Jose Paulino

P FCL Marlins

Age 20 RHP 6'3" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKMIA	12	12	38	4.70	1.74	32.9%	11.8%	—	K 22.4% · BB 14.7% · FIP 3.07
2026	19	ROKMIA	9	4	16	7.31	3.54	29.3%	22.7%	—	K 19.9% · BB 28.3% · FIP 5.00
2027PROJ	20	MLBMIA	3	3	14	5.49	5.49	22.4%	18.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBMIA	3	3	18	5.19	5.07	22.9%	15.7%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 92%

CompsEddy Peralta (age 20) · Chris Viall (age 20) · Wilian Bormie (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.49

FIP5.49

K%22.4%

BB%18.4%

K-BB%4.0%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	7	7	21	85	23	13	0	100%	3.0	18.4%	19.1%	-0.7%	0.0%	3.86	3.97	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	7	7	21	85	23	13	0	100%	3.0	18.4%	19.1%	-0.7%	0.0%	3.86	3.97	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	7	7	21	85	23	13	0	100%	3.0	27.1%	15.3%	11.8%	0.0%	3.86	2.77	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	12	12	38	170	56	20	0	100%	3.2	22.4%	14.7%	7.7%	0.0%	4.70	3.07	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	12	12	38	170	56	20	0	100%	3.2	22.4%	14.7%	7.7%	0.0%	4.70	3.07	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	12	12	38	170	56	20	0	100%	3.2	32.9%	11.8%	21.2%	0.0%	4.70	1.74	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	9	4	16	75	22	17	0	44%	1.8	19.9%	28.3%	-8.4%	0.0%	7.31	5.00	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	9	4	16	75	22	17	0	44%	1.8	19.9%	28.3%	-8.4%	0.0%	7.31	5.00	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	9	4	16	75	22	17	0	44%	1.8	29.3%	22.7%	6.7%	0.0%	7.31	3.54	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	MIA	3	3	14	59	13	11	2	100%	4.7	22.4%	18.4%	4.0%	2.9%	5.49	5.49	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIA	7	7	36	153	35	24	4	100%	5.2	22.9%	15.7%	7.2%	2.8%	5.19	5.07	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIA	3	3	18	76	17	12	2	100%	6.0	22.9%	15.7%	7.2%	2.8%	5.19	5.07	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	18	75	17	12	2	100%	4.4	22.9%	15.7%	7.3%	2.8%	5.19	4.69	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	191	135	22	100%	4.8	22.9%	15.7%	7.3%	2.8%	5.19	4.69	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		28	23	75	330	69	62	0	82%	2.7	20.8%	18.9%	1.9%	0.0%	5.02	3.74	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	61	200	876	182	166	0	82%	2.7	20.8%	18.9%	1.9%	0.0%	5.02	3.74	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Paulino (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.49	22.4%	18.4%	2.9%	—	5.07	22.9%	7.3%	36	-0.42	—	—	—
Eddy Peralta R 2023 · 4.65 FIP	20	SP-	4.65	22.0%	19.8%	1.6%	.342	3.96	21.0%	1.7%	86	-0.69	3.73	117	87
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	85
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	84
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	83
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	82
Junior Mieses R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	19	SP-	4.87	19.9%	19.2%	1.9%	.296	6.10	18.9%	-1.2%	134	+1.23	4.87	236	81
Tahnaj Thomas R 2018 · 5.06 FIP	19	SP-	5.06	23.0%	15.6%	3.5%	.268	6.04	17.0%	2.7%	61	+0.98	3.81	214	80
Jace Beck R 2021 · 5.13 FIP	21	SP-	5.13	21.1%	23.7%	1.5%	.347	5.32	25.7%	2.8%	50	+0.19	4.03	216	80
Royber Salinas R 2021 · 4.69 FIP	20	SP-	4.69	27.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.280	4.36	26.1%	11.3%	213	-0.33	3.75	285	78
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	78
Cristian Hernandez R 2024 · 4.39 FIP	19	SP	4.39	23.5%	19.9%	1.4%	.269	5.41	18.1%	2.6%	62	+1.02	4.39	116	78
Deivy Mendez R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	19	SP-	4.43	20.3%	20.5%	0.8%	.308	4.98	22.9%	3.4%	81	+0.55	2.84	130	78
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	77
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	77
Alfred Vega R 2021 · 4.56 FIP	20	SP-	4.56	20.5%	16.0%	2.1%	.203	4.66	13.4%	0.6%	81	+0.10	2.07	234	76
Omar Victorino R 2024 · 5.88 FIP	19	SP-	5.88	19.5%	30.3%	1.1%	.302	5.30	13.2%	-5.7%	97	-0.58	5.26	182	75
Wellington Aracena R 2024 · 5.43 FIP	19	SP-	5.43	18.9%	24.7%	1.5%	.343	3.94	20.0%	4.8%	196	-1.49	3.20	304	75
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	75
Hyun-Seok Jang R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	20	SP-	6.03	28.2%	20.1%	5.0%	.304	4.68	22.3%	8.2%	122	-1.35	4.30	146	75
Carlos Lagrange R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	20	SP	4.34	22.1%	15.5%	2.1%	.291	3.93	25.8%	12.5%	199	-0.41	3.66	273	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.2	25	22.8%	16.4%	1.09	5.27
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*