Omar Victorino
P
FCL Mets
Age 21
RHP
6'2" / 170 lbs
ROK
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION29 act + 35 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 109
ERA4.81
FIP4.81
K%20.9%
BB%12.0%
K-BB%8.9%
ROS IP35
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mets 1 | 13 | 11 | 37 | 174 | 37 | 32 | 2 | 85% | 2.8 | 14.5% | 23.0% | -8.5% | 1.8% | 5.11 | 5.77 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mets 1 | 13 | 11 | 37 | 174 | 37 | 32 | 2 | 85% | 2.8 | 21.3% | 18.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 5.11 | 4.40 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 7 | 21 | 122 | 25 | 28 | 2 | 70% | 2.1 | 15.9% | 23.4% | -7.5% | 2.4% | 10.89 | 6.05 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 7 | 21 | 122 | 25 | 28 | 2 | 70% | 2.1 | 20.5% | 23.0% | -2.5% | 1.6% | 10.89 | 6.00 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Mets | 10 | 8 | 28 | 136 | 39 | 33 | 1 | 80% | 2.8 | 19.5% | 30.3% | -10.8% | 1.1% | 5.46 | 5.89 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Mets | 10 | 8 | 28 | 136 | 39 | 33 | 1 | 80% | 2.8 | 28.7% | 24.3% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 5.46 | 4.31 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 11 | 66 | 288 | 52 | 40 | 4 | 58% | 3.5 | 12.6% | 16.9% | -4.2% | 2.3% | 3.97 | 5.45 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 11 | 66 | 288 | 52 | 40 | 4 | 58% | 3.5 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 3.97 | 4.14 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 19 | 2 | 29 | 159 | 32 | 30 | 1 | 11% | 1.5 | 13.9% | 23.0% | -9.1% | 0.9% | 8.69 | 5.32 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | NYM | 33 | 0 | 35 | 147 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.81 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.9% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.81 | 4.81 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 64 | 306 | 63 | 48 | 5 | — | — | 20.5% | 15.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 6.57 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | NYM | 35 | 0 | 36 | 154 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | NYM | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.15 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 189 | 89 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.15 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 71 | 39 | 180 | 879 | 130 | 195 | 16 | 55% | 2.5 | 14.7% | 22.2% | -7.4% | 1.8% | 5.99 | 5.64 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 79 | 43 | 200 | 975 | 144 | 216 | 17 | 55% | 2.5 | 14.7% | 22.2% | -7.4% | 1.8% | 5.99 | 5.64 | -0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Omar Victorino (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.81 | 20.9% | 12.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.53 | 22.1% | 11.3% | 36 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Juan Mendez R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 88 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 85 |
| Luis Rujano R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.69 | 17.0% | 12.3% | 2.7% | .361 | 5.05 | 17.0% | -2.8% | 72 | +0.36 | 4.67 | 178 | 82 |
| Miguel Alfonseca R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.24 | 18.3% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .400 | 5.54 | 14.9% | -0.9% | 92 | +1.30 | 4.24 | 123 | 82 |
| Eiberson Castellano R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.94 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .266 | 3.93 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 189 | -0.01 | 3.69 | 348 | 81 |
| John Matthews R 2028 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 81 |
| Inohan Paniagua R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.78 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .298 | 4.27 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 297 | +0.49 | 3.78 | 473 | 81 |
| Janser Lara R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.05 | 19.3% | 11.5% | 2.1% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | 208 | 80 |
| Rodolfo Sanchez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.72 | 23.0% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .264 | 5.07 | 19.9% | 6.3% | 104 | +0.35 | 3.59 | 255 | 80 |
| Simon Mathews R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 80 |
| Florencio Serrano R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .264 | 4.88 | 14.1% | 3.4% | 117 | +1.04 | 3.84 | 206 | 80 |
| Luis Rosario R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.68 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.46 | 206 | 80 |
| Jonathan Petit R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.74 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 3.4% | .272 | 5.09 | 15.6% | 2.4% | 113 | +0.35 | 2.80 | 189 | 79 |
| Tanner Cooper R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.75 | 17.1% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .338 | 5.44 | 14.4% | 6.7% | 121 | +0.69 | 4.49 | 148 | 79 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2028 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 79 |
| Grant Ford R 2028 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 79 |
| Wilmer Ortega R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.86 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .304 | 5.83 | 16.1% | 1.8% | 30 | +1.97 | 3.62 | 158 | 79 |
| Chris Campos R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.86 | 21.0% | 11.8% | 3.7% | .364 | 4.57 | 18.7% | 11.7% | 237 | -0.29 | 4.43 | 306 | 79 |
| Ray Gaither R 2029 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 78 |
| Zach Messinger R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.96 | 23.0% | 14.7% | 1.7% | .317 | 4.30 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 314 | +0.34 | 3.68 | 444 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 36 | 21.5% | 11.4% | 1.10 | 4.71 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |