Jorge Juan
P
Portland Sea Dogs
Age 27
RHP
6'8" / 200 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION2 act + 23 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133124vR 115
ERA5.05
FIP5.05
K%22.3%
BB%14.8%
K-BB%7.4%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 15 | 6 | 43 | 192 | 48 | 22 | 0 | 40% | 2.9 | 17.0% | 14.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 2.70 | 3.48 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 15 | 6 | 43 | 192 | 48 | 22 | 0 | 40% | 2.9 | 25.0% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 0.0% | 2.70 | 2.41 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | AZL Athletics Green | 13 | 6 | 33 | 166 | 36 | 33 | 1 | 46% | 2.6 | 14.7% | 24.8% | -10.1% | 0.8% | 7.29 | 5.47 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | AZL Athletics Green | 13 | 6 | 33 | 166 | 36 | 33 | 1 | 46% | 2.6 | 21.7% | 19.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 7.29 | 4.30 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 6 | 27 | 113 | 40 | 13 | 4 | 75% | 3.3 | 28.0% | 10.1% | 17.9% | 2.4% | 5.40 | 3.32 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 6 | 27 | 113 | 40 | 13 | 4 | 75% | 3.3 | 35.4% | 11.5% | 23.9% | 3.5% | 5.40 | 3.51 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 4 | 21 | 84 | 28 | 9 | 3 | 50% | 2.6 | 22.3% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.92 | 6.26 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 4 | 21 | 84 | 28 | 9 | 3 | 50% | 2.6 | 33.3% | 10.7% | 22.6% | 3.6% | 3.92 | 3.58 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 49 | 232 | 65 | 44 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.2% | 21.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 4.20 | 4.83 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 49 | 232 | 65 | 44 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 28.0% | 19.0% | 9.1% | 1.3% | 4.20 | 3.93 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 34 | 0 | 37 | 177 | 53 | 27 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 16.8% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 5.11 | 4.55 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 34 | 0 | 37 | 177 | 53 | 27 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.9% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 1.7% | 5.11 | 3.48 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 38 | 187 | 46 | 37 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.5% | 22.2% | -2.8% | 2.6% | 5.21 | 5.73 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 38 | 187 | 46 | 37 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.6% | 19.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 5.21 | 5.31 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | — | — | — | — | 27.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | BOS | 22 | 0 | 23 | 96 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 5.05 | 5.05 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.3% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 5.05 | 5.05 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 24 | 109 | 22 | 19 | 3 | — | — | 20.5% | 17.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 6.55 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.3% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 5.05 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 14.4% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 5.03 | 5.06 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 14.4% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 5.03 | 5.06 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 14.5% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 5.03 | 4.68 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 115 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 14.5% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 5.03 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 144 | 22 | 250 | 1164 | 239 | 217 | 23 | 15% | 1.7 | 20.6% | 18.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.90 | 4.78 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 115 | 18 | 200 | 931 | 191 | 173 | 18 | 15% | 1.7 | 20.6% | 18.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.90 | 4.78 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jorge Juan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.05 | 22.3% | 14.8% | 2.9% | — | 5.06 | 22.3% | 7.8% | 22 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 85 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 83 |
| Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.56 | 21.0% | 15.2% | 2.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 252 | 82 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 81 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 80 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 80 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 80 |
| Nick Ernst R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 80 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.7% | .360 | 5.09 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.79 | 3.42 | 173 | 80 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 80 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.94 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.93 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 69 | +0.99 | 3.68 | 181 | 80 |
| Michael Ynoa R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.64 | 23.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 142 | 79 |
| Cole Uvila R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 20.4% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .360 | 3.16 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 44 | -0.92 | 3.16 | 155 | 79 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2024 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 79 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 79 |
| Theo Denlinger R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 20.2% | 16.4% | 1.6% | .266 | 4.20 | 15.3% | 9.9% | 41 | -0.12 | 3.03 | 140 | 79 |
| Javy Guerra R 2029 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 79 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2024 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 78 |
| Morris Austin R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.05 | 22.3% | 14.8% | 3.6% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 164 | 78 |
| Kevin Lenik R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.93 | 21.7% | 14.9% | 3.2% | .205 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 107 | 78 |