Xavier Moore — OGILVIE

Xavier Moore P Bowie Baysox

Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA5.01

FIP5.01

K%23.5%

BB%14.8%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	12	0	15	70	17	8	0	0%	1.2	16.5%	14.3%	2.2%	0.0%	3.60	3.51	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	12	0	15	70	17	8	0	0%	1.2	24.3%	11.4%	12.9%	0.0%	3.60	2.43	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	5	0	8	36	8	4	0	0%	1.5	22.2%	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	4.70	2.63	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	5	0	8	36	8	4	0	0%	1.5	22.2%	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	4.70	2.58	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	9	4	19	87	16	11	1	44%	2.1	12.5%	15.8%	-3.3%	1.6%	5.59	4.93	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Orioles	9	4	19	87	16	11	1	44%	2.1	18.4%	12.6%	5.7%	1.1%	5.59	3.82	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	3	38	166	50	24	7	14%	1.8	22.7%	16.8%	5.9%	5.1%	5.97	6.13	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	3	38	166	50	24	7	14%	1.8	30.1%	14.5%	15.7%	4.2%	5.97	4.77	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	30	0	33	135	58	14	1	0%	1.1	33.1%	11.9%	21.2%	0.9%	1.36	2.31	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	30	0	33	135	58	14	1	0%	1.1	43.0%	10.4%	32.6%	0.7%	1.36	1.25	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	26	0	30	151	44	35	3	0%	1.1	23.6%	25.5%	-1.9%	2.0%	6.37	5.42	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	26	0	30	151	44	35	3	0%	1.1	23.6%	25.5%	-1.9%	2.0%	6.37	5.42	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Bowie Baysox	26	0	30	151	44	35	3	0%	1.1	29.1%	23.2%	6.0%	2.0%	6.37	4.99	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	BAL	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	23.5%	14.8%	8.6%	3.0%	5.01	5.01	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	BAL	19	0	20	84	20	12	3	0%	1.1	23.3%	14.4%	8.9%	3.1%	4.99	5.02	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	BAL	8	0	8	34	8	5	1	0%	1.0	23.3%	14.4%	8.9%	3.1%	4.99	5.02	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	32	7	5	1	0%	1.1	23.3%	14.4%	8.9%	3.1%	4.99	4.64	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	133	27	0%	1.1	23.3%	14.4%	8.9%	3.1%	4.99	4.64	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		103	7	142	645	148	110	14	7%	1.4	23.0%	17.1%	5.9%	2.2%	4.62	4.52	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	10	200	906	209	155	20	7%	1.4	23.0%	17.1%	5.9%	2.2%	4.62	4.52	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Xavier Moore (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.01	23.5%	14.8%	3.0%	—	5.02	23.3%	8.9%	20	+0.01	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	84
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	83
Beck Wheeler R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.9%	14.5%	2.9%	.360	5.40	15.3%	3.1%	58	+0.98	3.46	173	83
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	83
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	82
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	26.4%	14.3%	2.3%	.274	4.86	21.0%	9.6%	69	+0.93	3.84	181	82
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	81
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	81
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	81
Michael Ynoa R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	27	SU	4.68	23.1%	13.8%	3.3%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	142	81
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	80
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	80
Jake Haberer R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	27	SU	5.24	24.3%	16.0%	4.0%	.324	5.08	16.4%	0.9%	62	-0.16	3.46	183	80
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	79
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	79
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	79
Kevin Lenik R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	27	SU	4.91	21.7%	14.9%	3.2%	.205	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	107	79
Theo Denlinger R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	27	SU	4.21	19.8%	15.1%	1.6%	.266	4.23	15.3%	9.9%	41	+0.02	2.92	140	79
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	79
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	79