Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024
17
ROKMLE
DSL Pirates Black
12
8
34
155
32
29
0
67%
2.8
14.0%
23.4%
-9.3%
0.0%
3.97
4.88
—
2024
17
ROKMLE
DSL Pirates Black
12
8
34
155
32
29
0
67%
2.8
14.0%
23.4%
-9.3%
0.0%
3.97
4.88
—
2024
17
ROKRAW
DSL Pirates Black
12
8
34
155
32
29
0
67%
2.8
20.6%
18.7%
1.9%
0.0%
3.97
3.78
—
2025
18
ROKMLE
FCL Pirates
11
8
33
144
22
25
0
73%
3.0
10.4%
21.7%
-11.3%
0.0%
4.41
4.97
—
2025
18
ROKMLE
FCL Pirates
11
8
33
144
22
25
0
73%
3.0
10.4%
21.7%
-11.3%
0.0%
4.41
4.97
—
2025
18
ROKRAW
FCL Pirates
11
8
33
144
22
25
0
73%
3.0
15.3%
17.4%
-2.1%
0.0%
4.41
4.05
—
2026
19
MIXMLE
2 levels
19
17
68
306
64
57
7
89%
3.6
15.0%
22.5%
-7.4%
3.0%
5.53
6.33
—
2026
19
MIXMLE
2 levels
19
17
68
306
64
57
7
89%
3.6
15.0%
22.5%
-7.4%
3.0%
5.53
6.33
—
2026
19
MIXRAW
2 levels
19
17
68
306
64
57
7
89%
3.6
20.9%
18.6%
2.3%
2.3%
5.53
5.06
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
20
MLB
PIT
8
8
38
160
26
32
5
100%
4.8
16.4%
20.0%
-3.6%
3.0%
6.27
6.27
-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
21
MLBMLE
PIT
13
13
65
273
50
46
8
100%
5.0
18.2%
17.0%
1.2%
2.9%
5.85
5.70
-0.6
2029
22
MLBMLE
PIT
13
13
68
286
57
42
8
100%
5.2
19.9%
14.7%
5.2%
2.9%
5.44
5.24
-0.3
2030
23
MLBMLE
PIT
13
13
70
297
62
39
8
100%
5.4
21.0%
13.2%
7.8%
2.8%
5.11
4.93
-0.0
2031
24
MLBMLE
PIT
13
13
72
304
66
37
9
100%
5.5
21.6%
12.2%
9.4%
2.8%
4.88
4.74
+0.1
2032
25
MLBMLE
PIT
12
12
73
308
68
36
9
100%
6.1
21.9%
11.5%
10.4%
2.8%
4.72
4.61
+0.2
2033
26
MLBMLE
PIT
12
12
73
308
68
35
9
100%
6.1
22.1%
11.5%
10.7%
2.8%
4.64
4.59
+0.3
2034
27
MLBMLE
PIT
12
12
72
304
67
35
9
100%
6.0
22.1%
11.6%
10.6%
2.8%
4.63
4.63
+0.2
2035
28
MLBMLE
PIT
12
12
70
294
65
34
9
100%
5.8
22.0%
11.7%
10.3%
2.9%
4.68
4.71
+0.2
2036
29
MLBMLE
PIT
11
11
67
281
61
34
9
100%
6.1
21.8%
11.9%
9.8%
3.1%
4.78
4.84
+0.0
2037
30
MLBMLE
PIT
10
10
63
264
57
32
9
100%
6.3
21.4%
12.2%
9.2%
3.3%
4.93
5.02
-0.1
2028
21
MLBCTX
PIT
7
7
32
135
25
23
4
100%
4.6
18.2%
17.0%
1.2%
2.7%
5.73
5.58
-0.3
2029
22
MLBCTX
PIT
10
10
49
207
41
30
5
100%
4.9
19.9%
14.7%
5.2%
2.7%
5.32
5.12
-0.2
2030
23
MLBCTX
PIT
11
11
59
249
52
33
7
100%
5.4
21.0%
13.2%
7.8%
2.6%
4.99
4.81
-0.0
2031
24
MLBCTX
PIT
11
11
64
270
58
33
7
100%
5.8
21.6%
12.2%
9.4%
2.6%
4.76
4.62
+0.1
2032
25
MLBCTX
PIT
11
11
67
283
62
33
7
100%
6.1
21.9%
11.5%
10.4%
2.6%
4.61
4.50
+0.2
2033
26
MLBCTX
PIT
11
11
68
287
64
33
7
100%
6.2
22.1%
11.5%
10.7%
2.6%
4.53
4.48
+0.2
2034
27
MLBCTX
PIT
11
11
68
287
64
33
8
100%
6.2
22.1%
11.6%
10.6%
2.6%
4.51
4.51
+0.2
2035
28
MLBCTX
PIT
11
11
66
279
61
33
8
100%
6.0
22.0%
11.7%
10.3%
2.7%
4.56
4.59
+0.1
2036
29
MLBCTX
PIT
10
10
63
266
58
32
8
100%
6.3
21.8%
11.9%
9.8%
2.9%
4.65
4.71
+0.0
2037
30
MLBCTX
PIT
10
10
59
249
53
30
8
100%
5.9
21.4%
12.2%
9.2%
3.0%
4.79
4.88
-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
104
104
597
2521
540
314
68
100%
5.7
21.4%
12.4%
9.0%
2.7%
4.78
4.34
+3.9
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
35
35
200
844
181
105
23
100%
5.7
21.4%
12.4%
9.0%
2.7%
4.78
4.34
+1.3
Career
—
MLE
42
33
135
605
83
136
9
79%
3.2
13.7%
22.5%
-8.8%
1.5%
4.87
5.63
+0.1
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
62
49
200
896
123
202
14
79%
3.2
13.7%
22.5%
-8.8%
1.5%
4.87
5.63
+0.0
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.