Esmeiquel Arrieche

Esmeiquel ArriecheC DSL Blue Jays Blue

Age 19 R/R 5'7" / 152 lbs ROK HR +12%BB +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.2 · 2034

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .288 / .306

PA105

HR2

K%30

BB%10

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

26↗31

PWR

28↗33

SPD

42↗47

EYE

71↗76

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.1peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.0	$29M	+$28M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.1	$31M	+$30M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.2	$32M	+$31M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+3.0	$31M	+$25M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+2.9	$31M	+$22M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$13M	+2.7	$30M	+$17M
Totals		$31M		$184M	+$153M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	90	74	9	0	0	0	15	35	0	0	0	.122	.270	.122	.391	.000	.231	39	17	.204	14	-9	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.5
2025	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	125	106	13	2	1	0	16	40	2	0	0	.123	.250	.160	.410	.038	.194	32	13	.200	11	-13	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	TOR	105	93	19	3	1	2	10	31	1	2	0	.204	.288	.323	.611	.118	.282	30	10	.274	68	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	TOR	194	169	36	6	1	4	21	55	2	4	1	.213	.307	.331	.639	.118	.290	28	11	.296	85	-3	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.6
2028	21	MLB 28%	TOR	328	285	64	11	2	8	36	89	4	6	1	.225	.320	.361	.681	.137	.292	27	11	.306	93	-3	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.3
2029	22	MLB 48%	TOR	425	369	83	14	3	11	48	113	5	8	2	.225	.322	.369	.691	.144	.292	27	11	.313	98	-1	+1	+0	+8	+12	2.0
2030	23	MLB 65%	TOR	490	424	98	17	3	14	57	127	6	9	2	.231	.331	.384	.715	.153	.293	26	12	.319	103	+1	+1	+0	+9	+14	2.6
2031	24	MLB 82%	TOR	520	447	104	18	3	15	62	133	6	10	2	.233	.334	.387	.721	.154	.293	26	12	.324	106	+3	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.9
2032	25	MLB	TOR	520	446	104	18	3	15	63	132	6	9	2	.233	.336	.388	.724	.155	.294	25	12	.327	108	+5	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.0
2033	26	MLB	TOR	520	445	104	18	3	15	64	132	6	9	2	.234	.338	.389	.727	.155	.294	25	12	.328	109	+6	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.1
2034	27	MLB	TOR	520	445	104	18	3	15	64	133	6	9	1	.234	.338	.389	.727	.155	.294	26	12	.328	109	+6	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.2
2035	28	MLB	TOR	520	444	103	18	3	15	65	134	6	9	1	.232	.338	.387	.725	.155	.294	26	12	.327	109	+5	+1	-1	+9	+15	3.0
2036	29	MLB	TOR	520	444	103	18	3	15	65	135	6	8	1	.232	.338	.387	.725	.155	.293	26	12	.325	107	+4	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.9
2037	30	MLB	TOR	520	444	102	17	3	15	65	137	6	8	0	.230	.336	.383	.719	.153	.292	26	12	.322	105	+3	+2	-2	+9	+15	2.7
2038	31	MLB	TOR	504	430	97	16	3	14	63	135	6	7	0	.226	.333	.374	.707	.149	.290	27	12	.318	102	+1	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.3
2039	32	MLB	TOR	489	419	93	16	3	13	61	134	6	6	0	.222	.329	.368	.697	.146	.288	27	12	.314	98	-1	+1	-4	+9	+14	2.0
2040	33	MLB	TOR	450	386	83	14	2	11	56	126	5	6	0	.215	.322	.347	.669	.132	.287	28	12	.308	94	-3	+1	-4	+8	+13	1.5
2041	34	MLB	TOR	393	338	71	12	2	9	48	113	4	5	0	.210	.315	.337	.653	.127	.285	29	12	.302	89	-5	+1	-5	+7	+11	1.0
2042	35	MLB	TOR	334	286	59	10	2	7	41	100	4	5	0	.206	.314	.329	.643	.122	.283	30	12	.294	83	-6	+1	-6	+6	+9	0.5
2043	36	MLB	TOR	273	235	46	7	1	6	33	84	3	4	0	.196	.303	.311	.613	.115	.280	31	12	.285	77	-7	+1	-6	+5	+8	-0.0
2044	37	MLB	TOR	213	184	36	6	1	4	25	68	2	3	0	.196	.299	.304	.603	.109	.276	32	12	.276	69	-7	+1	-7	+4	+6	-0.4
2045	38	MLB	TOR	152	131	24	4	1	2	18	50	2	2	0	.183	.291	.275	.566	.092	.271	33	12	.265	61	-7	+0	-8	+3	+4	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8205	7044	1555	263	47	210	996	2236	94	129	15	.221	.325	.361	.686	.140	.290	27	12	.311	96	-35	+20	-46	+147	+232	32.4
/ 162G	—			650	558	124	21	4	17	79	177	7	10	1	.222	.326	.366	.691	.143	.292	27	12	.311	96	-3	+2	-4	+12	+18	2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	90	64	10	0	0	0	25	23	0	0	0	.156	.393	.156	.550	.000	.244	26	28	.294	83	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	125	96	18	3	1	0	26	26	2	0	0	.188	.371	.240	.611	.052	.254	21	21	.302	89	-2	+0	—	—	+4	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Esmeiquel Arrieche (OGILVIE)	19	26→31	28→33	42→47	76	.201/.288/.306	.105	.282	2	2	30%	10%	68	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	42→36	38→45	47→60	48	.195/.289/.277	.082	.295	5	8	32%	10%	61	-1.0	.192/.285/.295	.103	.282	10	14	33%	9%	64	-0.8	.179/.278/.292	.113	.261	13	23	34%	9%	59	-0.8
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	42	42→45	47→50	43	.205/.277/.309	.104	.271	9	8	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.284/.326	.102	.290	5	11	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	40	40→45	46→45	47	.186/.285/.282	.096	.298	8	6	36%	11%	61	-1.0	.184/.262/.261	.077	.294	6	6	36%	9%	44	-2.1	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Oswaldo Linares 2022 · A	19	43	37→40	47→40	54	.199/.300/.266	.067	.278	4	8	27%	12%	63	-0.8	.198/.298/.286	.088	.276	8	5	28%	11%	68	-0.5	.176/.285/.257	.081	.246	9	2	29%	12%	53	-0.6
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	.199/.262/.281	.083	.258	5	7	24%	6%	50	-1.8	.211/.287/.284	.073	.267	5	9	21%	9%	61	-1.0	.221/.317/.274	.053	.274	5	10	19%	11%	69	-0.2
✕Cristian Santana 2023 · A	19	38→20	45	46→45	47	.187/.304/.312	.125	.282	13	11	35%	10%	78	+0.2	.156/.295/.274	.118	.251	13	7	39%	13%	66	-0.6	.123/.282/.246	.123	.185	16	4	39%	15%	54	-0.8
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	40	43→45	43→50	47	.193/.290/.298	.105	.281	11	10	32%	10%	67	-0.5	.182/.264/.285	.103	.284	10	6	37%	8%	52	-1.6	.153/.236/.254	.101	.237	11	2	38%	9%	32	-0.9
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	39	38→55	47→45	39	.185/.251/.256	.071	.289	6	6	36%	7%	39	-2.5	.226/.287/.352	.126	.291	13	7	26%	6%	79	+0.3	.248/.309/.417	.169	.290	19	6	21%	6%	103	+0.7
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	42	39→50	45→50	50	.201/.284/.289	.088	.280	6	8	28%	10%	61	-1.0	.188/.259/.302	.114	.283	10	9	35%	8%	54	-1.4	.207/.263/.362	.155	.281	19	10	33%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A	19	44	37→40	47→40	45	.209/.268/.279	.070	.271	5	6	24%	7%	50	-1.7	.224/.289/.327	.103	.275	7	5	20%	8%	72	-0.2	.253/.306/.321	.068	.288	2	0	12%	6%	73	-0.0
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	40	42→50	48→55	43	.195/.271/.297	.102	.274	9	9	31%	8%	58	-1.2	.218/.289/.357	.139	.282	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	.220/.291/.383	.163	.271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	44	39→40	50→60	57	.208/.311/.297	.090	.266	5	12	22%	12%	75	-0.0	.220/.309/.303	.083	.307	6	23	27%	10%	76	+0.0	.224/.312/.299	.075	.311	7	32	27%	10%	72	-0.1
✕Jose Ovalles 2013 · A	19	41	42→45	45→40	47	.200/.280/.308	.108	.250	9	5	23%	8%	65	-0.7	.214/.277/.321	.107	.255	9	5	19%	6%	66	-0.6	.219/.276/.329	.110	.242	9	3	14%	6%	66	-0.2
✕Manuel Joseph 2013 · A	19	46	40→45	44→50	45	.221/.275/.318	.097	.272	8	8	21%	6%	63	-0.8	.243/.298/.349	.106	.288	8	15	18%	6%	82	+0.5	.263/.321/.381	.118	.302	10	21	15%	5%	101	+0.8
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	.230/.303/.339	.110	.271	10	5	19%	7%	82	+0.5	.225/.291/.326	.101	.280	9	5	22%	6%	73	-0.1	.212/.264/.322	.111	.252	13	1	21%	4%	57	-0.3
✕Miguel Moreno 2009 · A	19	38	39→40	42→40	47	.184/.273/.262	.078	.274	6	5	33%	10%	50	-1.7	.198/.280/.268	.070	.284	5	5	29%	9%	54	-1.4	.176/.264/.209	.033	.250	3	3	28%	10%	29	-0.9
✕Alixon Suarez 2013 · A	19	41	38→45	42→40	49	.196/.283/.280	.083	.253	6	3	23%	8%	59	-1.1	.196/.259/.273	.077	.264	4	5	26%	6%	46	-2.0	.148/.180/.183	.035	.205	0	2	27%	3%	-14	-1.2
✕Christian Cerda 2022 · A	19	40→38	38→45	48→40	48	.191/.270/.274	.083	.251	4	8	24%	8%	52	-1.6	.195/.288/.294	.099	.263	9	6	27%	11%	65	-0.7	.182/.284/.277	.094	.246	10	4	28%	12%	58	-0.7
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	40	39→45	47→45	48	.192/.270/.277	.084	.265	6	7	28%	9%	52	-1.6	.212/.301/.309	.097	.270	7	8	22%	10%	74	-0.1	.195/.299/.312	.117	.259	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	45	38→45	46→55	49	.212/.290/.296	.083	.279	4	8	24%	8%	65	-0.7	.212/.292/.324	.112	.265	9	14	22%	8%	73	-0.1	.212/.278/.321	.109	.270	10	12	24%	6%	65	-0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)