Esmeiquel Arrieche

Esmeiquel ArriecheC DSL Blue Jays Blue

Age 19 R/R 5'7" / 152 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 105 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .281 / .258

PA8

HR0

K%28

BB%11

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$20M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE77

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	90	64	10	0	0	0	25	23	0	0	0	156	393	156	550		244	26	28	294	85	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	125	96	18	3	1	0	26	26	2	0	0	188	371	240	611	52	254	21	21	302	91	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	90	74	9	0	0	0	15	34	0	0	0	122	270	122	391		218	38	17	204	24	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	125	106	13	2	1	0	16	39	2	0	0	123	250	160	410	38	186	31	13	201	22	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	90	74	9	0	0	0	15	34	0	0	0	122	270	122	391		225	38	17	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	—	90	64	10	0	0	0	25	23	0	0	0	156	393	156	550		244	26	28	294	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	125	106	13	2	1	0	16	39	2	0	0	123	250	160	410	38	191	31	13	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	125	96	18	3	1	0	26	26	2	0	0	188	371	240	611	52	254	21	21	302	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	90	75	9	0	0	0	15	34	0	0	0	120	270	120	390		218	38	17	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	125	106	13	2	1	0	16	39	2	0	0	123	250	160	410	38	186	31	13	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	90	75	9	0	0	0	15	34	0	0	0	120	270	120	390		218	38	17	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	125	106	13	2	1	0	16	39	2	0	0	123	250	160	410	38	186	31	13	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		270	25	12	254	58	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	194	170	33	5	1	2	20	54	2	3	1	194	286	271	557	76	274	28	10	266	66	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2028	21	MLB MLE	TOR	48%	328	288	59	10	2	4	34	89	3	5	2	205	295	295	591	90	276	27	10	274	72	-11	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	TOR	54%	425	373	78	13	3	6	44	113	5	7	3	209	301	308	609	99	278	27	10	280	75	-12	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	490	432	91	15	3	8	50	130	5	8	3	211	300	315	615	104	279	27	10	283	78	-13	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2031	24	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	520	455	97	16	3	9	54	137	6	9	3	213	305	321	626	108	280	26	10	285	79	-13	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2032	25	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	520	455	97	16	3	9	54	137	6	9	3	213	305	321	626	108	280	26	10	286	79	-13	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2033	26	MLB MLE	TOR	60%	520	455	97	16	3	9	54	137	6	9	3	213	305	321	626	108	280	26	10	286	80	-13	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2034	27	MLB MLE	TOR	62%	520	454	97	16	3	9	55	137	6	9	3	214	307	322	628	108	280	26	11	286	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2035	28	MLB MLE	TOR	63%	520	454	96	16	3	9	55	138	6	9	3	211	305	319	624	108	279	27	11	285	79	-13	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.8
2036	29	MLB MLE	TOR	64%	520	454	95	15	3	9	55	139	6	9	3	209	303	315	618	106	278	27	11	283	78	-14	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2037	30	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	520	454	94	15	3	8	55	140	6	8	3	207	301	306	607	99	277	27	11	280	76	-15	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.4
2038	31	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	504	440	90	14	3	8	54	138	5	8	3	205	299	305	603	100	274	27	11	276	73	-16	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.1
2039	32	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	489	429	86	13	3	7	52	136	5	7	3	200	294	294	588	93	271	28	11	271	70	-18	+0	-4	+9	+11	-0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	67	59	12	2	0	1	7	19	1	1	0	203	299	288	587	85	275	28	10	260	66	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	TOR	48%	159	140	29	5	1	2	16	43	2	3	1	207	297	300	597	93	278	27	10	267	72	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	TOR	54%	230	201	43	7	2	4	24	61	3	4	1	214	307	328	635	114	280	27	10	273	75	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	277	243	52	8	2	5	29	73	3	5	2	214	305	325	631	111	281	26	10	276	78	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2031	24	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	294	259	55	9	2	5	30	78	3	5	2	212	301	320	622	108	282	27	10	278	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	294	259	55	9	2	5	30	77	3	5	2	212	301	320	622	108	282	26	10	278	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	TOR	60%	314	274	59	10	2	5	33	83	4	5	2	215	309	321	630	106	282	26	11	279	80	-8	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	TOR	62%	323	282	61	10	2	6	34	85	4	6	2	216	309	330	639	113	281	26	11	279	80	-8	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	TOR	63%	329	287	62	10	2	6	35	87	4	6	2	216	310	328	637	111	281	26	11	278	79	-8	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	TOR	64%	332	290	62	10	2	6	35	89	4	5	2	214	307	324	631	110	280	27	11	276	78	-9	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.4
2037	30	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	338	295	61	10	2	5	36	91	4	5	2	207	301	305	607	98	278	27	11	273	76	-10	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.3
2038	31	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	328	286	59	9	2	5	35	90	4	5	2	206	302	304	606	98	276	27	11	269	73	-10	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.1
2039	32	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	318	278	57	9	2	5	34	88	3	5	2	205	298	306	604	101	273	28	11	264	70	-12	+0	-2	+6	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3603	3153	667	108	23	60	378	964	42	60	22	212	304	317	622	106	283	27	10	274	75	-101	+3	-7	+64	+78	3.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	120	19	4	11	68	174	8	11	4	211	304	316	620	105	282	27	10	274	75	-18	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6293	5500	1133	182	37	97	668	1700	69	100	36	206	300	305	605	99	277	27	11	278	75	-171	+6	-10	+109	+132	6.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	117	19	4	10	69	176	7	10	4	206	300	306	606	100	277	27	11	278	75	-18	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.6	3,707	59	60	209	298	312	+66	+36	6.5	5.6
/162	664	11	11	+11.9	+6.4	1.2	pk7: 5
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Esmeiquel Arrieche (OGILVIE)	19	27→32	28→33	42→47	77	189/281/258	69	270	1	1	28%	11%	58	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Marco Guzman 2014 · A	19	39	36→45	44→50	48	185/262/256	71	249	3	8	25%	9%	50	-2.3	207/264/294	87	251	5	7	19%	7%	58	-1.7	224/262/324	100	290	5	8	24%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	50	191/273/255	63	252	3	8	24%	9%	53	-2.1	201/307/293	92	271	5	6	25%	12%	76	-0.4	184/305/272	88	246	5	5	24%	13%	69	-0.3
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Miguel Moreno 2009 · A	19	38	39→40	42→40	48	184/276/263	79	271	7	5	32%	10%	57	-1.8	200/281/271	71	286	5	5	29%	9%	61	-1.5	176/264/209	33	250	3	3	28%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	40	-3.0	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	63	-1.4	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Daniel Santos 2018 · A	19	37	36→45	46→40	43	178/255/242	64	250	3	6	28%	7%	45	-2.7	197/260/282	85	284	6	6	31%	6%	55	-2.0	186/247/273	87	269	7	4	31%	6%	47	-0.7
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	36→40	37→45	48→40	48	173/263/240	67	258	5	3	32%	10%	47	-2.5	205/289/309	104	317	11	4	35%	10%	72	-0.7	200/285/310	110	312	13	2	37%	10%	69	-0.6
✕Jose Colmenares 2021 · A	19	39	39→45	47→50	45	192/256/277	84	251	7	8	26%	7%	52	-2.2	210/290/338	128	295	14	8	31%	9%	79	-0.2	177/254/299	122	259	13	14	35%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	40	-3.1	206/263/285	79	260	5	4	22%	6%	56	-1.9	227/270/319	92	275	7	1	19%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Luis Cruz 2012 · A	19	39	35→40	43→45	42	186/235/238	52	254	2	5	27%	6%	34	-3.5	220/272/314	94	275	9	5	22%	5%	65	-1.2	224/271/298	73	297	6	3	25%	4%	59	-0.7
✕Juan Zabala 2019 · A	20	39	34→40	43→50	49	181/263/236	55	238	1	7	23%	8%	46	-2.6	188/252/275	87	288	7	6	35%	6%	50	-2.3	206/268/289	83	286	8	16	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	48	-2.5	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	56	-1.9	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Andrew Caraballo 2018 · A	18	40	35→40	42→40	51	185/269/244	58	254	2	7	26%	10%	50	-2.3	179/265/257	78	292	4	7	36%	9%	51	-2.2	141/240/222	81	245	4	7	40%	10%	33	-0.9
✕José Alvarez 2018 · A	18	40	34→40	40→50	46	189/260/235	46	266	2	7	28%	8%	44	-2.8	218/275/277	59	303	2	7	27%	7%	58	-1.7	229/279/278	49	322	1	8	27%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	19	43	35→40	46→50	50	199/283/256	57	281	2	10	28%	10%	57	-1.8	188/254/253	65	290	3	9	33%	8%	45	-2.7	169/235/227	58	265	2	10	34%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2018 · A	19	36	37→40	46→50	43	170/272/245	75	268	5	9	35%	8%	53	-2.1	177/263/273	96	284	8	9	38%	7%	55	-1.9	147/225/231	84	286	8	19	48%	6%	29	-1.2
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	52	-2.2	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	68	-1.0	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	38	38→40	48→40	45	181/270/258	78	284	6	4	36%	9%	54	-2.0	187/273/272	85	333	6	4	41%	9%	58	-1.7	167/258/250	82	313	7	3	44%	9%	46	-0.7
✕Marco Hernandez 2017 · A	19	40	35→40	47→45	44	186/240/247	61	227	2	8	19%	5%	38	-3.2	215/284/290	75	253	4	7	16%	6%	65	-1.2	204/289/278	74	244	6	4	18%	8%	64	-0.4
✕Jose Cabello 2016 · A	19	38	34→30	44→45	43	180/243/231	51	244	2	4	26%	6%	36	-3.3	203/281/264	61	261	3	6	21%	8%	59	-1.7	205/287/242	38	250	0	5	16%	8%	55	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps