Almen Tolentino — OGILVIE

Almen TolentinoC FCL Marlins

Age 19 L/R 6'1" / 160 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION116 act + 77 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .272 / .288

PA77

HR1

K%31

BB%9

BABIP271

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$7M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.6	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+1.4	$5M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$17M		$40M	+$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	69	57	3	1	0	0	12	29	0	13	2	53	217	70	288	18	107	42	17	155	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	69	50	4	2	0	0	19	21	0	13	2	80	333	120	453	40	138	30	28	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	204	170	35	6	2	3	20	52	10	20	11	206	325	318	643	112	269	25	10	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	204	156	47	10	4	6	34	34	10	20	11	301	455	532	987	231	342	17	17	428	186	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	MIA	—	116	103	12	1	1	1	13	46	0	7	2	117	216	175	390	58	196	40	11	179	-5	-14	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.8
YTD	19	ROK	MIA	—	116	94	16	2	1	1	22	32	0	7	2	170	328	245	572	74	246	28	19	280	72	-4	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.2
ROS	19	ROK	MIA	0%	77	69	13	2	1	1	7	24	1	2	1	187	272	288	560	101	270	31	9	258	56	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	19	MLB	MIA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		265	—	—	248	48	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	MIA	—	116	104	12	1	1	1	13	46	0	7	2	115	216	173	389	58	193	40	11	179	-5	-14	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.8
TOT	19	ROK	MIA	—	193	172	25	3	2	2	20	70	1	9	3	145	238	221	458	75	229	36	10	211	19	-18	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	MIA	43%	253	224	45	8	2	5	24	76	3	6	2	201	287	321	608	121	274	30	9	271	66	-10	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.2
2028	21	MLB	MIA	61%	374	331	69	12	3	8	36	110	4	9	2	208	294	335	629	127	277	29	10	281	73	-11	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.7
2029	22	MLB	MIA	68%	460	407	86	15	3	11	44	132	6	11	3	211	298	344	642	133	279	29	10	288	78	-11	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.1
2030	23	MLB	MIA	71%	517	456	97	17	3	13	50	147	6	13	3	213	299	349	648	136	280	28	10	292	81	-11	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2031	24	MLB	MIA	71%	520	459	98	17	3	13	50	148	6	13	3	214	299	349	648	135	281	28	10	294	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2032	25	MLB	MIA	71%	520	459	99	17	3	14	50	147	6	13	3	216	301	357	658	142	281	28	10	296	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2033	26	MLB	MIA	71%	520	459	99	17	3	14	50	147	6	13	3	216	301	357	658	142	281	28	10	297	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2034	27	MLB	MIA	69%	520	458	98	17	3	14	51	148	6	13	3	214	301	356	657	142	281	28	10	297	86	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2035	28	MLB	MIA	69%	520	457	98	17	3	14	52	148	6	12	3	214	303	357	660	142	280	28	10	296	85	-9	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.6
2036	29	MLB	MIA	67%	520	457	97	16	3	14	52	149	6	12	3	212	301	352	653	140	279	29	10	294	83	-10	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.4
2037	30	MLB	MIA	66%	520	457	96	16	3	13	52	151	6	12	3	210	299	344	643	133	278	29	10	291	81	-11	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.2
2038	31	MLB	MIA	71%	504	443	91	15	3	12	50	148	6	11	3	205	295	334	629	129	275	29	10	287	78	-13	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.9
2027	20	MLB	MIA	43%	109	97	19	3	1	2	10	33	1	3	1	196	278	309	587	113	270	30	9	260	57	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	MIA	61%	228	201	41	7	2	5	22	67	3	6	1	204	292	333	625	129	272	29	10	269	64	-9	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.2
2029	22	MLB	MIA	68%	313	276	57	10	2	7	30	90	4	8	2	207	294	333	627	127	274	29	10	275	68	-11	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.4
2030	23	MLB	MIA	71%	368	326	68	12	2	9	35	105	4	9	2	209	293	340	634	132	275	29	10	279	72	-12	+1	+0	+7	+10	0.6
2031	24	MLB	MIA	71%	369	326	68	12	2	9	36	105	4	9	2	209	295	340	636	132	276	28	10	281	74	-11	+1	+0	+7	+10	0.7
2032	25	MLB	MIA	71%	369	326	68	12	2	9	36	105	4	9	2	209	295	340	636	132	276	28	10	283	75	-11	+1	+0	+7	+10	0.8
2033	26	MLB	MIA	71%	369	325	69	12	2	10	36	105	5	9	2	212	301	354	654	142	276	28	10	284	75	-10	+1	+0	+7	+10	0.8
2034	27	MLB	MIA	69%	361	319	66	11	2	9	35	103	4	9	2	207	293	339	632	132	276	29	10	284	75	-10	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.8
2035	28	MLB	MIA	69%	358	316	65	11	2	9	35	102	4	9	2	206	293	339	632	133	275	28	10	283	75	-10	+1	-0	+6	+10	0.7
2036	29	MLB	MIA	67%	348	306	64	11	2	9	35	100	4	8	2	209	299	346	645	137	274	29	10	281	73	-10	+1	-1	+6	+10	0.6
2037	30	MLB	MIA	66%	342	301	61	10	2	8	34	99	4	8	2	203	292	329	621	126	273	29	10	279	71	-11	+1	-1	+6	+10	0.4
2038	31	MLB	MIA	71%	357	314	65	11	2	9	36	105	4	8	2	207	297	341	637	134	271	29	10	275	68	-13	+1	-2	+6	+10	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3891	3434	711	122	23	95	380	1119	45	95	22	207	294	339	633	132	275	29	10	279	72	-124	+10	-5	+69	+110	6.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	119	20	4	16	63	187	8	16	4	207	295	340	635	132	275	29	10	279	72	-21	+2	-1	+12	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	6098	5363	1124	193	38	149	600	1756	78	173	48	210	298	343	641	133	279	29	10	289	80	-141	+15	-7	+109	+173	15.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	120	21	4	16	64	187	8	18	5	210	298	344	643	135	279	29	10	289	80	-15	+2	-1	+12	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	69	50	4	2	0	0	19	21	0	13	2	80	333	120	453	40	138	30	28	256	54	-4	+2	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	204	156	47	10	4	6	34	34	10	20	11	301	455	532	987	231	342	17	17	428	186	+20	-0	—	—	+6	2.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,063	101	97	212	296	348	+73	+36	11.1	9.5
	/162	664	16	16	212	296	348	+11.9	+5.9	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Almen Tolentino (OGILVIE)	19	50	50	60	60	145/238/221	75	229	2	9	36%	10%	19	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	52→55	47	210/291/312	102	321	7	14	34%	10%	70	-0.3	212/314/339	127	299	15	12	31%	12%	88	+0.9	207/304/326	119	281	14	14	29%	11%	78	+0.2
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	45→53	42→50	52→55	54	215/320/330	115	290	9	18	26%	12%	88	+0.9	235/321/384	149	306	13	20	25%	10%	101	+1.8	236/324/395	159	305	15	21	26%	10%	102	+1.2
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Marcelo Mayer 2022 · A	19	46→45	43→50	53→50	42	216/280/325	108	329	10	12	35%	8%	68	-0.5	216/281/362	146	316	16	12	34%	8%	79	+0.3	231/283/364	133	283	15	10	23%	6%	77	+0.1
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	189/246/313	124	271	11	8	33%	7%	50	-1.7	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Hank Conger 2007 · A	19	46→56	40→50	54→45	44	222/273/324	102	287	6	6	24%	6%	64	-0.8	243/281/378	135	290	15	6	21%	5%	82	+0.5	255/295/391	136	297	16	4	20%	5%	91	+0.7
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	46→56	40	50→40	47	222/289/316	94	291	7	7	25%	8%	69	-0.4	242/309/331	89	308	7	5	22%	8%	82	+0.5	244/317/320	76	314	4	2	22%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Bryan Anderson 2006 · A	19	49→56	45	51→30	42	241/287/364	122	303	13	9	25%	6%	81	+0.4	251/299/341	90	320	6	3	22%	6%	79	+0.3	261/309/345	84	330	6	1	22%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Matthew Sweeney 2007 · A	19	48→40	44→50	54→45	46	231/295/357	127	283	10	6	22%	7%	82	+0.5	223/274/366	143	278	15	5	25%	6%	76	+0.1	203/257/334	131	269	14	3	29%	6%	59	-0.7
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	51→42	43→45	51→55	52	244/320/360	116	300	9	14	21%	9%	94	+1.3	228/320/325	97	311	8	17	26%	11%	85	+0.7	226/320/360	134	289	14	26	25%	12%	91	+0.8
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	245/292/346	101	303	7	14	21%	5%	78	+0.2	237/292/339	102	303	8	14	23%	6%	76	+0.1	255/306/365	110	315	10	22	21%	6%	86	+0.6
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→47	47→45	52→55	43	223/287/366	143	309	14	9	32%	8%	82	+0.5	211/317/346	135	289	14	16	29%	11%	91	+1.1	204/318/335	131	272	14	21	28%	12%	85	+0.6
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→45	54→50	43	225/276/311	86	292	5	14	24%	6%	62	-0.9	252/298/346	94	308	6	11	19%	6%	80	+0.4	274/322/369	95	316	5	8	14%	6%	95	+1.2
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A	20	44→51	44→50	50→40	45	216/272/344	128	281	10	8	26%	7%	69	-0.4	233/298/343	110	302	8	4	24%	9%	80	+0.4	236/304/339	103	303	8	2	23%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→55	40→45	53→50	44	216/279/314	98	304	7	14	30%	7%	64	-0.8	199/257/288	89	280	6	10	30%	6%	48	-1.9	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	50→51	38→50	51→50	44	238/283/324	87	297	4	10	21%	6%	68	-0.5	241/294/369	128	325	10	10	27%	6%	85	+0.7	241/298/385	144	307	13	11	25%	6%	87	+0.7