Abraham Hernandez
P
DSL Miami
Age 19
LHP
6'2" / 170 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION18 act + 11 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 119
ERA4.40
FIP4.40
K%23.1%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP11
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 7 | 7 | 18 | 86 | 18 | 19 | 1 | 100% | 2.6 | 14.2% | 27.6% | -13.4% | 1.8% | 5.89 | 6.41 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 7 | 7 | 18 | 86 | 18 | 19 | 1 | 100% | 2.6 | 20.9% | 22.1% | -1.2% | 1.2% | 5.89 | 4.95 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 33.3% | -16.7% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 5.91 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 33.3% | -16.7% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 7.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 15 | 5 | 18 | 119 | 24 | 27 | 1 | 33% | 1.2 | 13.7% | 28.4% | -14.6% | 1.2% | 15.28 | 6.18 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.1% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.40 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 29 | 165 | 35 | 31 | 2 | — | — | 21.0% | 19.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 11.13 | 5.50 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | MIA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.89 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.89 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 23 | 13 | 37 | 211 | 30 | 60 | 3 | 57% | 1.6 | 14.0% | 28.2% | -14.2% | 1.4% | 10.46 | 6.27 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 124 | 70 | 200 | 1141 | 160 | 322 | 16 | 57% | 1.6 | 14.0% | 28.2% | -14.2% | 1.4% | 10.46 | 6.27 | -2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Abraham Hernandez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.40 | 23.1% | 9.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.27 | 23.6% | 14.3% | 20 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| James Gonzalez L 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.47 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .327 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 7.0% | 91 | +1.40 | 2.31 | 455 | 76 |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.99 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .250 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.93 | 319 | 75 |
| Denny Roman L 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.24 | 25.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .348 | 5.24 | 15.7% | -1.0% | 21 | +2.00 | 3.24 | 109 | 74 |
| Taylor Hearn L 2028 · 3.88 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.88 | 26.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .347 | 3.97 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 236 | +0.09 | 3.66 | 572 | 73 |
| Jacob Lopez L 2027 · 3.66 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.66 | 24.3% | 7.9% | 2.9% | .302 | 3.58 | 30.4% | 21.6% | 55 | -0.08 | 3.50 | 478 | 72 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2029 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 72 |
| Sam Long L 2028 · 3.26 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.26 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 1.2% | .371 | 4.18 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 97 | +0.92 | 3.08 | 446 | 72 |
| Rafael Marcano L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.59 | 16.2% | 8.7% | 1.4% | .304 | 4.43 | 19.7% | 7.0% | 117 | +0.84 | 3.38 | 291 | 71 |
| Francisco Villegas L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.55 | 17.0% | 8.1% | 3.4% | .256 | 5.57 | 17.9% | 3.1% | 59 | +1.02 | 4.55 | 131 | 70 |
| Bodi Rascon L 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.55 | 15.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .271 | 5.56 | 15.7% | 3.9% | 143 | +1.01 | 4.55 | 218 | 68 |
| Adam Macko L 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 18 | SW | 3.88 | 22.4% | 14.6% | 1.5% | .353 | 3.57 | 27.2% | 12.4% | 72 | -0.31 | 3.51 | 382 | 68 |
| Johan Simon L 2027 · 3.42 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.42 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 1.3% | .302 | 4.50 | 17.6% | 1.1% | 41 | +1.08 | 3.42 | 158 | 68 |
| Dalton Pence L 2029 · 3.32 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.32 | 23.8% | 9.6% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.89 | 22.0% | 13.9% | 71 | +0.57 | 3.32 | 153 | 67 |
| Luke Little L 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.00 | 25.8% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .200 | 2.91 | 28.0% | 12.2% | 155 | -1.09 | 2.76 | 250 | 67 |
| Harry Gustin L 2029 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .331 | 4.42 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 89 | +0.45 | 3.77 | 132 | 66 |
| Victor Cabreja L 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.75 | 17.0% | 13.0% | 0.8% | .348 | 4.50 | 11.2% | 1.7% | 146 | +0.75 | 3.75 | 233 | 65 |
| Deivi Diaz L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.73 | 20.4% | 11.6% | 1.6% | .369 | 4.50 | 13.5% | -2.3% | 57 | +0.77 | 3.73 | 161 | 65 |
| Christian Torres L 2029 · 3.26 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.26 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 0.8% | .297 | 2.96 | 16.2% | 9.0% | 141 | -0.30 | 2.75 | 172 | 65 |
| Thomas Ireland L 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.50 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .286 | 3.55 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 177 | -0.95 | 2.94 | 221 | 64 |
| Blake Townsend L 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | .286 | 4.11 | 18.5% | 4.8% | 96 | +0.15 | 3.40 | 263 | 64 |