Bjorn Johnson
P
Wisconsin Timber Rattlers
Age 21
LHP
6'3" / 201 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION21 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124134vR 143
ERA5.51
FIP5.51
K%17.0%
BB%15.9%
K-BB%1.0%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 8 | 6 | 19 | 99 | 16 | 18 | 1 | 75% | 2.4 | 11.0% | 22.7% | -11.7% | 1.6% | 8.38 | 5.92 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 8 | 6 | 19 | 99 | 16 | 18 | 1 | 75% | 2.4 | 16.2% | 18.2% | -2.0% | 1.0% | 8.38 | 4.91 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 30 | 0 | 73 | 309 | 75 | 38 | 2 | 0% | 2.4 | 18.0% | 14.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 4.33 | 3.74 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 30 | 0 | 73 | 309 | 75 | 38 | 2 | 0% | 2.4 | 24.3% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 0.6% | 4.33 | 2.96 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 13 | 0 | 21 | 107 | 20 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 14.4% | 19.3% | -5.0% | 3.5% | 8.57 | 6.26 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIL | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 30 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.0% | 15.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 5.51 | 5.51 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.0% | 15.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 5.51 | 5.51 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 63 | 284 | 50 | 46 | 8 | — | — | 17.6% | 16.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 6.53 | 5.76 | -0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 21 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 17.0% | 15.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 5.51 | 5.13 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | MIL | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 35 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 14.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 5.23 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | MIL | 44 | 0 | 46 | 193 | 38 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 4.99 | 4.87 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | MIL | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 4.81 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | MIL | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 14.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 5.23 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | MIL | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 27 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 4.99 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | MIL | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 34 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 4.81 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 90 | 0 | 94 | 398 | 78 | 51 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 4.97 | 4.48 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 165 | 108 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 4.97 | 4.48 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 51 | 6 | 113 | 515 | 82 | 88 | 7 | 12% | 2.2 | 15.9% | 17.1% | -1.2% | 1.4% | 5.81 | 4.68 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 11 | 200 | 912 | 145 | 156 | 13 | 12% | 2.2 | 15.9% | 17.1% | -1.2% | 1.4% | 5.81 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bjorn Johnson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.51 | 17.0% | 15.9% | 2.6% | — | 4.89 | 19.6% | 6.6% | 137 | -0.62 | — | — | — |
| Cole Reynolds L 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.81 | 16.4% | 16.2% | 1.9% | .304 | 5.26 | 17.3% | 0.4% | 52 | +0.45 | 4.81 | 108 | 89 |
| Brayan Restituyo L 2026 · 5.55 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.55 | 17.4% | 17.3% | 3.1% | .312 | 4.61 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 149 | -0.94 | 3.66 | 236 | 87 |
| Max Green L 2027 · 4.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.97 | 15.7% | 13.3% | 2.8% | .352 | 4.40 | 13.9% | 6.6% | 86 | -0.57 | 4.23 | 169 | 86 |
| Luis Silva L 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.05 | 14.1% | 13.4% | 2.6% | .311 | 6.59 | 8.7% | -7.4% | 12 | +1.54 | 4.48 | 107 | 85 |
| Austin Hamilton L 2028 · 4.92 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.92 | 17.0% | 15.6% | 2.3% | .329 | 4.18 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 109 | -0.74 | 4.06 | 135 | 84 |
| Manuel Osorio L 2025 · 5.22 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.22 | 18.7% | 15.3% | 3.2% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 153 | 83 |
| Ryan Wilson L 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.93 | 16.2% | 13.8% | 2.6% | .279 | 4.41 | 20.7% | 10.3% | 113 | -0.52 | 3.43 | 222 | 83 |
| Trevor Seidenberger L 2028 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.63 | 18.1% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .248 | 6.50 | 13.1% | -1.8% | 52 | +1.87 | 4.63 | 101 | 83 |
| Yoldin De La Paz L 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.41 | 17.8% | 15.8% | 1.5% | .339 | 4.19 | 17.7% | 10.5% | 44 | -0.22 | 3.44 | 124 | 82 |
| Matt Minnick L 2028 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.65 | 23.5% | 12.1% | 105 | -0.94 | 3.77 | 147 | 82 |
| Raúl Alcantara L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.88 | 16.1% | 14.6% | 2.4% | .291 | 4.54 | 19.0% | 3.5% | 230 | -0.34 | 3.82 | 396 | 82 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2029 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.64 | 19.3% | 15.7% | 2.2% | .329 | 5.86 | 17.6% | 2.4% | 49 | +1.22 | 4.64 | 107 | 82 |
| Jorger Petri L 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.93 | 19.1% | 15.2% | 2.8% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 147 | 82 |
| Enrique Perez L 2025 · 4.81 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.81 | 16.2% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 133 | 81 |
| Felix Polanco L 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.46 | 16.1% | 13.0% | 3.8% | .275 | 4.30 | 18.8% | 6.2% | 51 | -1.16 | 3.64 | 105 | 81 |
| Davis Schwab L 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.46 | 13.6% | 13.8% | 1.4% | .368 | 5.34 | 18.9% | -0.8% | 92 | +0.88 | 4.46 | 114 | 81 |
| Ivan Jean L 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.50 | 16.8% | 18.5% | 0.9% | .258 | 3.77 | 20.1% | 2.6% | 121 | -0.73 | 3.63 | 158 | 81 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2028 · 5.61 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.61 | 12.6% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .266 | 4.08 | 21.4% | 8.7% | 101 | -1.53 | 3.54 | 146 | 80 |
| Adrian Almeida L 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.65 | 18.6% | 15.3% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.97 | 18.4% | -4.1% | 119 | -0.68 | 4.24 | 188 | 80 |
| Emmanuel Martinez L 2026 · 6.08 FIP | 21 | SU | 6.08 | 17.4% | 28.6% | 1.5% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 137 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 45 | 18.9% | 13.7% | 1.01 | 5.12 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |