Alexander Beltre

Alexander Beltre P FCL Cardinals

Age 23 LHP 6'1" / 169 lbs ROK

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104112vR 121

ERA4.60

FIP4.60

K%22.3%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%11.6%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Blue	24	2	39	192	44	28	6	8%	1.6	15.6%	18.2%	-2.6%	4.2%	7.85	6.42	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Blue	24	2	39	192	44	28	6	8%	1.6	22.9%	14.6%	8.3%	3.1%	7.85	5.00	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	10	8	40	167	46	13	0	80%	4.0	18.7%	9.7%	9.0%	0.0%	2.01	2.75	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	10	8	40	167	46	13	0	80%	4.0	27.5%	7.8%	19.8%	0.0%	2.01	1.79	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	9	3	15	66	15	8	2	33%	1.6	15.5%	15.2%	0.3%	4.2%	2.45	6.04	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	9	3	15	66	15	8	2	33%	1.6	15.5%	15.2%	0.3%	4.2%	2.45	6.04	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	9	3	15	66	15	8	2	33%	1.6	22.7%	12.1%	10.6%	3.0%	2.45	4.46	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	12	0	12	54	12	5	1	0%	1.0	15.1%	11.6%	3.5%	2.7%	4.63	4.75	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	12	0	12	54	12	5	1	0%	1.0	15.1%	11.6%	3.5%	2.7%	4.63	4.75	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	12	0	12	54	12	5	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	9.3%	13.0%	1.9%	4.63	3.44	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	STL	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	22.3%	10.7%	11.6%	3.0%	4.60	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	STL	19	0	20	84	19	8	3	0%	1.1	23.0%	10.0%	13.0%	3.0%	4.49	4.43	+0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	STL	9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	10.0%	13.0%	3.0%	4.49	4.43	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	23.0%	10.0%	13.0%	3.0%	4.49	4.05	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	23.0%	10.0%	13.0%	3.0%	4.49	4.05	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		55	13	106	479	80	68	12	24%	1.9	16.6%	14.1%	2.5%	2.6%	4.51	4.90	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		104	25	200	907	151	128	23	24%	1.9	16.6%	14.1%	2.5%	2.6%	4.51	4.90	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alexander Beltre (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.60	22.3%	10.7%	3.0%	—	4.43	23.0%	13.0%	20	-0.17	—	—	—
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	82
Lucas Knowles L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	23	SW	3.90	20.5%	12.9%	1.6%	.366	4.22	18.5%	9.4%	177	+0.32	3.37	308	80
Josh Simpson L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SW	4.57	23.5%	11.5%	3.6%	.290	3.29	32.8%	19.4%	102	-1.28	3.04	255	79
Jared Tobey L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.0%	12.1%	2.1%	.320	5.43	22.4%	8.2%	73	+1.44	3.99	158	77
Daniel Zamora L 2016 · 3.57 FIP	23	SU	3.57	20.3%	10.8%	1.5%	.294	2.75	24.7%	16.8%	135	-0.82	2.15	310	76
Fred Schlichtholz L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	12.8%	2.6%	.368	4.13	18.5%	8.4%	80	-0.10	3.49	175	76
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.2%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	76
Andrew Mitchell L 2018 · 3.75 FIP	23	SU	3.75	21.8%	7.5%	2.8%	.333	2.71	23.8%	15.8%	78	-1.04	2.51	119	76
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	75
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	75
Robert Garcia L 2019 · 4.35 FIP	23	SU	4.35	24.0%	11.4%	3.3%	.342	4.38	22.0%	10.4%	106	+0.03	2.21	452	74
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	74
Shane McCain L 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.8%	9.7%	3.0%	.324	4.75	16.6%	10.0%	125	+0.41	4.34	201	74
Garvin Alston L 2019 · 4.29 FIP	22	SU	4.29	19.7%	6.6%	3.7%	.333	4.74	16.4%	2.9%	84	+0.45	4.01	232	74
Brandon Hughes L 2021 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	27.0%	11.1%	2.7%	.300	4.61	24.0%	15.0%	149	+0.93	3.68	206	74
Easton Lucas L 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	23.6%	9.2%	3.7%	.316	4.03	21.2%	11.6%	184	-0.26	3.43	311	73
Manuel Medina L 2023 · 5.09 FIP	21	SU	5.09	22.3%	11.2%	4.5%	.319	2.79	24.2%	15.4%	78	-2.30	1.26	157	73
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	73
R.C. Orlan L 2015 · 3.93 FIP	24	SU	3.93	21.0%	10.9%	2.2%	.326	4.62	17.2%	5.0%	119	+0.69	1.71	206	73
Adrian Gusman L 2015 · 3.41 FIP	23	SW	3.41	16.5%	6.6%	1.6%	.280	3.68	15.0%	7.2%	63	+0.27	2.94	141	73