Dani Richar

P DSL Red Sox Red

Age 21 LHP 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKDSL Red Sox B…	9	9	27	6.07	3.36	19.4%	14.7%	—	K 13.2% · BB 18.4% · FIP 4.32
2026	20	ROKDSL Red Sox R…	11	1	18	9.50	5.43	18.6%	26.8%	—	K 12.6% · BB 33.5% · FIP 6.28
2027PROJ	21	MLBBOS	11	0	12	5.96	5.96	19.3%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBBOS	11	0	12	5.55	5.38	20.8%	16.6%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsColby Langford (age 22) · Spencer Giesting (age 21) · Bryce Hubbart (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130138vR 146

ERA5.96

FIP5.96

K%19.3%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-0.7%

Proj IP12

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	9	9	27	129	25	19	0	100%	3.0	13.2%	18.4%	-5.2%	0.0%	6.07	4.32	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	9	9	27	129	25	19	0	100%	3.0	13.2%	18.4%	-5.2%	0.0%	6.07	4.32	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	9	9	27	129	25	19	0	100%	3.0	19.4%	14.7%	4.7%	0.0%	6.07	3.36	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	11	1	18	97	18	26	0	9%	1.6	12.6%	33.5%	-20.9%	0.0%	9.50	6.28	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	11	1	18	97	18	26	0	9%	1.6	12.6%	33.5%	-20.9%	0.0%	9.50	6.28	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	11	1	18	97	18	26	0	9%	1.6	18.6%	26.8%	-8.2%	0.0%	9.50	5.43	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	BOS	11	0	12	51	10	10	1	0%	1.1	19.3%	20.0%	-0.7%	2.9%	5.96	5.96	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BOS	24	0	25	106	22	18	3	0%	1.1	20.8%	16.6%	4.2%	2.8%	5.55	5.38	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	BOS	11	0	12	51	11	8	1	0%	1.1	20.8%	16.6%	4.2%	2.8%	5.55	5.38	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	52	11	9	1	0%	1.0	20.8%	16.6%	4.2%	2.8%	5.55	5.00	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	145	16	0%	1.1	20.8%	16.6%	4.2%	2.8%	5.55	5.00	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		20	10	45	226	29	56	0	50%	2.2	12.9%	24.9%	-12.0%	0.0%	7.46	5.16	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	45	200	1012	131	252	0	50%	2.2	12.9%	24.9%	-12.0%	0.0%	7.46	5.16	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dani Richar (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.96	19.3%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.38	20.8%	4.2%	25	-0.58	—	—	—
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	81
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.30	19.0%	8.0%	394	-1.50	3.58	460	80
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.28	17.9%	4.2%	149	-0.59	4.79	194	80
Dominic Scheffler L 2024 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	19.7%	28.4%	0.9%	.348	5.19	16.1%	-4.1%	82	-0.35	4.59	110	79
Roberto Medina L 2024 · 5.29 FIP	19	SW	5.29	18.5%	19.6%	2.3%	.254	5.91	15.1%	-2.7%	45	+0.62	3.87	109	78
Brayan De Paula L 2019 · 6.00 FIP	20	SW	6.00	16.9%	16.4%	4.1%	.272	4.58	20.9%	6.1%	59	-1.42	3.57	243	76
Ryan Anderson L 2021 · 5.71 FIP	22	SP-	5.71	14.7%	26.1%	1.0%	.373	3.73	20.3%	11.0%	149	-1.98	2.80	214	76
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	75
Adam Laskey L 2021 · 6.39 FIP	23	SP-	6.39	16.0%	21.0%	3.6%	.383	3.25	20.1%	10.5%	188	-3.14	3.12	310	74
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	73
Kikito Severino L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SW	5.78	11.9%	19.5%	2.2%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.87	135	73
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	72
Alvaro Gamez L 2024 · 5.50 FIP	19	SW	5.50	13.2%	21.0%	1.6%	.278	7.06	15.0%	-9.3%	21	+1.56	4.57	115	72
Alex Robinson L 2016 · 5.59 FIP	21	SU	5.59	22.4%	26.9%	1.8%	.243	4.03	23.8%	8.8%	90	-1.56	3.69	135	72
Joseph Herrera L 2024 · 5.50 FIP	18	SW	5.50	13.0%	20.5%	1.6%	.325	5.55	13.6%	-4.1%	67	+0.05	4.67	105	72
Javier Navas L 2017 · 6.10 FIP	19	SW	6.10	11.1%	19.7%	2.6%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	103	71
Holden Laws L 2021 · 6.35 FIP	21	SP-	6.35	19.3%	15.6%	5.3%	.306	4.71	17.5%	7.1%	133	-1.64	2.96	190	70
Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SU	5.53	17.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.312	4.76	17.6%	5.6%	151	-0.77	3.66	239	70
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	69
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	69