Holden Laws — OGILVIE

Holden Laws P Everett AquaSox

Age 26 LHP 6'2" / 205 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109117vR 125

ERA4.83

FIP4.83

K%18.3%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%8.2%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	AZL Mariners	9	5	11	51	9	1	2	56%	1.3	12.0%	2.5%	9.5%	5.5%	4.76	5.41	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	AZL Mariners	9	5	11	51	9	1	2	56%	1.3	17.6%	2.0%	15.7%	3.9%	4.76	4.07	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	AZL Mariners	11	6	26	115	30	5	1	55%	2.4	17.7%	5.4%	12.3%	1.2%	5.54	2.96	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	AZL Mariners	11	6	26	115	30	5	1	55%	2.4	26.1%	4.3%	21.7%	0.9%	5.54	1.87	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	11	5	28	127	30	13	5	45%	2.6	19.3%	15.6%	3.7%	5.3%	5.08	6.35	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	11	5	28	127	30	13	5	45%	2.6	23.6%	10.2%	13.4%	3.9%	5.08	4.65	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	34	158	42	19	5	0%	1.4	19.0%	14.6%	4.4%	4.8%	4.24	5.98	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	0	34	158	42	19	5	0%	1.4	26.6%	12.0%	14.6%	3.2%	4.24	4.22	—
2023	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	36	0	52	239	66	13	5	0%	1.4	20.4%	6.4%	14.0%	3.1%	5.19	3.88	—
2023	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	36	0	52	239	66	13	5	0%	1.4	20.4%	6.4%	14.0%	3.1%	5.19	3.88	—
2023	23	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	36	0	52	239	66	13	5	0%	1.4	27.6%	5.4%	22.2%	2.1%	5.19	2.56	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	42	0	47	191	33	20	4	0%	1.1	13.3%	12.0%	1.3%	2.2%	3.66	4.72	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	42	0	47	191	33	20	4	0%	1.1	13.3%	12.0%	1.3%	2.2%	3.66	4.72	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	42	0	47	191	33	20	4	0%	1.1	17.3%	10.5%	6.8%	2.1%	3.66	4.09	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	SEA	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	18.3%	10.1%	8.2%	2.9%	4.83	4.83	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SEA	39	0	41	175	33	18	5	0%	1.1	18.8%	10.1%	8.8%	3.0%	4.80	4.81	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	SEA	14	0	15	63	12	6	2	0%	1.1	18.8%	10.1%	8.8%	3.0%	4.80	4.81	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	64	12	6	2	0%	1.1	18.8%	10.1%	8.8%	3.0%	4.80	4.43	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	158	79	26	0%	1.1	18.8%	10.1%	8.8%	3.0%	4.80	4.43	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		133	16	198	881	155	89	30	12%	1.5	17.6%	10.1%	7.6%	3.4%	4.67	4.76	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		134	16	200	888	157	89	30	12%	1.5	17.6%	10.1%	7.6%	3.4%	4.67	4.76	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Holden Laws (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.83	18.3%	10.1%	2.9%	—	4.81	18.8%	8.8%	41	-0.02	—	—	—
Braulio Lara L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SU	3.96	16.7%	8.7%	2.1%	.367	5.20	18.9%	3.9%	67	+1.24	3.96	118	85
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	84
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	83
Triston Polley L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.8%	8.9%	2.6%	.331	4.53	17.4%	-0.3%	22	+0.38	4.15	151	83
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	83
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	82
Jeff Ibarra L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	17.8%	9.7%	1.7%	.321	3.29	19.2%	13.8%	66	-0.46	2.85	101	81
Bryan Harper L 2016 · 4.13 FIP	26	SU	4.13	19.3%	9.6%	2.6%	.197	4.63	14.9%	1.0%	46	+0.50	4.13	133	81
Nolan Becker L 2016 · 4.17 FIP	25	SU	4.17	13.9%	7.5%	2.4%	.313	5.41	18.9%	14.6%	13	+1.24	3.71	105	81
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	81
Tom Windle L 2018 · 4.56 FIP	26	SU	4.56	19.0%	11.8%	2.9%	.269	4.37	17.2%	1.8%	74	-0.19	3.68	330	81
Michael Johnson L 2017 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	21.7%	9.5%	3.1%	.272	5.19	13.4%	3.4%	67	+0.99	3.92	256	81
Rob Zastryzny L 2018 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	18.4%	11.0%	2.5%	.264	4.81	19.8%	10.8%	142	+0.50	3.34	634	81
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	80
Brad Kuntz L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	26	SU	4.10	20.9%	11.7%	2.4%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	2.35	197	80
Ozzie Mendez L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	14.6%	6.7%	2.6%	.269	3.99	11.3%	3.0%	68	-0.17	3.95	161	80
Matt Purke L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	19.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.284	3.54	21.4%	8.8%	112	-0.71	3.01	226	80
Daniel Gibson L 2018 · 3.73 FIP	26	SU	3.73	18.6%	8.7%	2.0%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	159	80
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	80
Ben Onyshko L 2023 · 4.39 FIP	26	SU	4.39	16.1%	10.2%	2.5%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	219	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	35	18.6%	10.1%	1.15	4.81
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58