Sawyer Strosnider

Sawyer StrosniderCF Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 22 L/L A+ HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 89 proj PA

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .279 / .326

PA89

HR2

K%30

BB%8

ISO121

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	103	87	24	5	2	2	12	30	4	7	0	276	388	448	837	172	400	29	12	376	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	103	90	21	4	2	2	9	38	4	7	0	233	330	389	719	156	360	37	9	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	103	90	21	4	2	2	9	38	4	7	0	233	330	389	719	156	380	37	9	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	103	87	24	5	2	2	12	30	4	7	0	276	388	448	837	172	400	29	12	376	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	103	89	21	4	2	2	9	38	4	7	0	236	330	393	723	157	360	37	9	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	103	89	21	4	2	2	9	38	4	7	0	236	330	393	723	157	360	37	9	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIL	0%	213	191	40	7	2	4	16	63	4	5	1	207	281	329	610	121	283	30	8	275	73	-7	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIL	35%	162	146	30	6	1	3	12	47	3	4	1	211	285	338	623	127	284	29	7	281	76	-5	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIL	46%	278	251	53	10	2	6	21	80	4	7	1	214	288	347	635	132	286	29	8	285	79	-7	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIL	52%	351	315	68	12	3	8	27	100	6	9	2	217	290	353	643	136	286	28	8	289	82	-8	+1	+1	+1	+8	0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIL	54%	399	359	78	14	3	10	31	113	6	10	2	219	292	358	650	139	286	28	8	292	83	-8	+1	+1	+1	+9	0.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIL	54%	422	380	82	15	3	10	33	118	6	10	2	219	293	358	651	139	286	28	8	292	84	-8	+1	+1	+2	+9	0.5
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIL	54%	434	391	84	15	3	10	34	123	6	10	2	217	291	354	644	136	285	28	8	289	82	-9	+1	+0	+2	+9	0.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	433	390	83	15	3	10	34	124	6	9	2	215	288	348	636	133	284	29	8	286	80	-11	+1	-0	+2	+9	0.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIL	52%	429	387	83	15	3	10	33	124	6	9	2	212	285	340	625	128	283	29	8	282	77	-12	+1	-1	+2	+9	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIL	35%	56	51	10	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	209	283	337	620	128	280	29	7	279	76	-2	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIL	46%	129	116	24	4	1	3	10	37	2	3	1	212	286	345	631	133	281	29	8	284	79	-3	+0	-0	+0	+3	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIL	52%	181	162	35	6	1	5	14	52	3	4	1	215	289	352	640	137	282	29	8	288	82	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIL	54%	216	194	43	7	2	6	17	61	3	5	1	216	290	357	647	141	282	28	8	290	83	-4	+1	+1	+1	+5	0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIL	54%	229	206	45	8	2	6	18	64	3	5	1	217	291	357	648	140	282	28	8	291	84	-4	+1	+1	+1	+5	0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIL	54%	236	212	46	8	2	6	19	67	3	5	1	215	289	353	642	137	281	28	8	288	82	-5	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	230	207	45	8	2	6	18	66	3	5	1	213	286	347	633	134	280	29	8	285	80	-6	+1	-0	+1	+5	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIL	52%	225	203	42	7	2	5	17	65	3	5	1	210	283	339	622	129	278	29	8	280	77	-6	+1	-0	+1	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1502	1351	290	50	12	38	117	428	21	33	7	215	287	354	641	139	283	28	8	286	81	-34	+4	+1	+5	+33	0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	125	22	5	16	51	185	9	14	3	214	287	350	638	137	282	28	8	286	81	-15	+2	+1	+2	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3100	2790	599	109	24	71	241	894	48	77	14	215	288	347	636	133	287	29	8	287	81	-70	+8	+1	+11	+65	1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	126	23	5	15	51	187	10	16	3	215	289	349	638	133	288	29	8	287	81	-15	+2	+0	+2	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.3	1,502	35	35	217	287	352	+5	+5	1.7	1.7
/162	664	16	15	+2.4	+2.1	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sawyer Strosnider (OGILVIE)	22	30→40	45→60	60	40	205/279/326	120	283	2	2	30%	8%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gabriel Rincones Jr. 2024 · A	23	41→42	47→50	54→55	42	207/279/346	139	294	14	18	33%	8%	77	-0.3	212/287/351	139	290	15	20	30%	8%	81	-0.1	206/286/345	139	274	16	20	29%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Carlos Guzman 2008 · A	22	39→48	43→50	53→50	44	193/274/305	112	280	11	9	33%	8%	66	-1.1	225/272/334	109	314	11	8	30%	6%	70	-0.8	237/289/332	96	308	9	3	25%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Bo Naylor 2022 · AA	22	35→45	45→55	54→50	40	182/245/305	123	268	13	11	36%	7%	54	-2.0	218/306/386	168	285	19	13	29%	11%	97	+1.1	218/311/396	178	274	21	12	27%	11%	100	+1.0
✕Sam Hilliard 2016 · A	22	45→49	44→55	54→55	44	219/281/347	128	305	10	11	30%	8%	76	-0.4	211/262/318	107	335	10	18	38%	6%	63	-1.4	208/281/383	175	283	19	18	32%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Brayan Buelvas 2024 · AA	22	37→45	46→50	55	41	190/252/319	129	260	13	18	32%	7%	61	-1.5	204/265/326	122	293	11	16	32%	7%	66	-1.1	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Loidel Chapelli 2024 · A	22	39→36	43→45	56→55	46	196/271/312	116	271	10	18	30%	8%	65	-1.2	196/259/284	88	300	7	17	34%	7%	54	-2.0	176/233/238	63	279	4	20	36%	6%	31	-2.0
✕Gavin Cross 2024 · A	23	37→40	47→50	55	42	190/264/327	138	277	14	18	35%	8%	68	-1.0	203/255/336	133	283	15	23	32%	6%	65	-1.2	200/247/333	133	277	16	26	33%	5%	59	-1.3
✕Alex Glenn 2014 · A	23	41→42	48→55	55→50	42	209/275/352	143	286	15	11	31%	7%	76	-0.4	216/263/365	149	280	15	11	28%	5%	74	-0.5	214/256/366	152	271	15	10	27%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2024 · AA	22	43→46	43→55	51→50	42	213/264/326	114	277	10	11	27%	6%	66	-1.1	230/284/377	147	283	17	11	24%	7%	85	+0.2	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Kahlil Watson 2024 · A	21	38→43	45→50	55	40	189/266/313	124	301	13	20	39%	8%	65	-1.2	204/277/348	144	305	16	20	36%	8%	77	-0.3	203/280/353	149	296	17	24	35%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Brian O'Grady 2016 · A	24	39→38	43→60	54→50	47	194/271/309	115	261	10	14	28%	9%	65	-1.2	193/272/317	124	269	12	13	31%	9%	68	-1.0	212/274/402	190	276	23	15	31%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2018 · A	21	42→45	45→50	55→50	39	207/270/339	132	294	12	8	32%	6%	72	-0.7	210/260/342	132	294	14	8	32%	5%	68	-1.0	208/282/359	151	278	18	6	31%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Gage Workman 2022 · A	22	41→50	45→50	54→55	36	193/253/325	132	326	11	18	42%	7%	61	-1.5	199/253/336	137	345	13	21	43%	6%	64	-1.3	223/279/374	152	342	15	23	37%	7%	80	-0.1
●James Outman 2019 · A	22	38→48	47→60	53→50	39	199/256/332	133	279	16	11	34%	6%	65	-1.2	195/263/331	136	278	16	13	34%	7%	68	-1.0	232/324/426	194	320	24	14	33%	10%	112	+2.0
✕Alex Iadisernia 2024 · A	23	38→37	46→50	52→55	43	196/263/328	132	261	14	16	30%	7%	67	-1.1	197/263/295	98	277	8	16	30%	7%	59	-1.7	178/248/250	72	257	3	19	30%	7%	42	-2.0
✕Carlos Jimenez 2024 · A	21	39→44	40→50	52→55	44	186/271/278	93	294	7	15	36%	9%	59	-1.7	222/298/356	134	324	13	17	33%	9%	86	+0.3	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Zach Cole 2023 · A	22	42→51	41→55	55	40	198/277/293	96	313	8	23	37%	8%	65	-1.2	200/278/352	152	340	16	22	42%	8%	78	-0.3	199/278/371	172	338	18	23	43%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→46	41→50	51→40	45	197/266/297	101	258	8	11	26%	7%	61	-1.5	222/279/357	135	292	15	6	28%	6%	79	-0.2	226/286/369	143	292	17	3	28%	6%	81	-0.0
●Ryan Schimpf 2011 · A	23	38→41	43→60	52→45	38	188/252/310	122	285	9	10	36%	6%	58	-1.7	196/271/353	157	270	17	6	32%	8%	76	-0.4	203/284/421	218	238	27	2	28%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→42	44→50	55	35	195/250/303	109	296	12	14	37%	5%	56	-1.9	203/253/327	124	287	14	19	33%	5%	62	-1.4	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps