Zach Cole — OGILVIE

Zach ColeRF Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 25 L/R 6'2" / 190 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION307 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%44

BB%11

BABIP276

ISO224

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 27 / POW 58

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT27

Whiff%

738.6%

xAVG

100.204

POWER58

Barrel%

9015.8

Avg EV

8291.3

Bat Spd

8575.0

EYE50

Chase%

9014.0%

SPEED60

Sprint

6328.0

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	117	95	20	5	0	2	16	31	6	15	3	211	359	326	685	116	290	26	14	324	105	+1	+2	—	—	+3	0.5
2022	21	ROK	FCL Astros Orange	—	20	20	3	1	0	0	0	6	0	2	0	150	150	200	350	50	214	30	0	155	-9	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	175	150	37	5	3	8	21	58	3	12	4	247	351	480	831	233	341	33	12	364	133	+7	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2023	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	312	253	67	15	5	11	45	97	12	25	5	265	400	494	894	229	381	31	14	394	153	+20	+3	—	—	+7	3.0
2024	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	295	262	56	17	2	10	24	113	9	14	2	214	302	408	710	195	331	38	8	317	101	+0	+2	—	—	+6	0.9
2024	23	ROK	FCL Astros	—	26	22	6	1	1	1	3	8	1	1	0	273	385	545	930	273	385	31	12	405	160	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	24	MLB	Houston Astros	—	52	47	12	2	0	4	5	20	0	3	0	255	327	553	880	298	348	38	10	381	144	+3	+1	-1	-5	+1	-0.1
2025	24	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	61	51	18	3	1	5	10	17	0	3	1	353	459	745	1.204	392	448	28	16	508	230	+9	+0	—	—	+1	1.1
2025	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	355	307	82	19	6	14	42	129	5	15	6	267	364	505	869	238	412	36	12	381	144	+18	+1	—	—	+8	2.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	52	47	12	2	0	4	5	20	0	3	0	255	327	553	880	298	348	38	10	381	144	+3	+1	-1	-5	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	117	101	17	4	0	2	10	45	6	15	3	168	282	267	549	99	268	38	9	243	51	-7	+2	—	—	+3	-0.3
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Orange	—	20	20	2	1	0	0	0	9	0	2	0	100	100	150	250	50	171	45	0	95	-50	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2023	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	175	158	29	3	3	5	13	80	3	12	4	184	259	335	594	152	314	46	7	254	58	-9	+1	—	—	+4	-0.4
2023	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	312	271	53	11	3	9	27	136	12	25	5	196	297	358	655	162	332	44	9	289	82	-7	+3	—	—	+7	0.3
2024	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	295	270	45	14	2	7	16	137	9	14	2	167	237	311	548	144	300	46	5	241	49	-18	+2	—	—	+6	-1.0
2024	23	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	26	23	5	1	1	1	2	11	1	1	0	217	308	478	786	261	300	42	8	256	59	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	24	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	52	47	12	2	0	4	5	20	0	3	0	255	327	553	880	298	348	38	10	380	143	+3	+1	-1	-5	+1	-0.1
2025	24	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	61	54	16	3	1	4	7	22	0	3	1	296	377	611	988	315	388	36	11	386	147	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	355	320	73	17	6	10	29	152	5	15	6	228	302	412	715	184	389	43	8	307	94	-3	+1	—	—	+8	0.6
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	137	121	18	4	0	2	10	54	6	17	3	149	248	231	480	83	246	39	7	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	137	115	23	6	0	2	16	37	6	17	3	200	328	304	633	104	276	27	12	299	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	487	428	81	14	6	13	41	216	15	37	9	189	283	341	624	152	337	44	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	487	403	104	20	8	19	66	155	15	37	9	258	382	489	871	231	366	32	14	384	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	321	293	48	14	2	8	18	149	10	15	2	164	237	307	544	143	294	46	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	321	284	62	18	3	11	27	121	10	15	2	218	308	419	727	201	336	38	8	325	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	468	421	99	22	6	18	41	194	5	21	7	235	310	444	755	209	386	41	9	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	468	405	112	24	7	23	57	166	5	21	7	277	373	541	913	264	410	35	12	397	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	137	120	18	4	0	2	10	54	6	17	3	150	248	233	482	83	254	39	7	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	487	428	81	14	6	13	41	216	15	37	9	189	283	341	624	152	326	44	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	321	290	48	14	2	8	18	149	10	15	2	166	237	310	547	145	300	46	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	468	419	99	22	6	18	41	194	5	21	7	236	310	446	757	210	384	41	9	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	487	428	81	14	6	13	41	216	15	37	9	189	283	341	624	152	326	44	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	321	290	48	14	2	8	18	149	10	15	2	166	237	310	547	145	300	46	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	468	419	99	22	6	18	41	194	5	21	7	236	310	446	757	210	384	41	9	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	HOU	—	307	283	39	8	1	9	20	148	4	7	1	138	205	269	474	131	238	48	7	214	31	-25	+1	+0	-3	+7	-2.1
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	HOU	—	53	51	8	1	0	3	1	21	1	0	0	157	189	353	542	196	185	40	2	237	31	-4	+0	+0	-3	+1	-0.7
YTD	25	A RAW	HOU	—	25	20	5	1	1	1	5	6	0	0	1	250	400	550	950	300	308	24	20	411	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA RAW	HOU	—	229	203	39	10	0	8	23	92	3	7	0	192	284	360	643	167	301	40	10	291	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	MLB RAW	HOU	—	53	51	8	1	0	3	1	21	1	0	0	157	189	353	542	196	185	40	2	237	47	-3	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.3
ROS	25	AAA MLE	HOU	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		274	44	11	272	70	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	HOU	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		276	44	11	262	70	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	MLB A+C	HOU	—	62	59	9	1	0	3	2	25	1	0	0	153	194	322	516	169	194	40	3	241	32	-5	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.4
TOT	25	AAA MLE	HOU	—	316	291	40	8	1	9	21	152	4	7	1	137	206	265	470	127	238	48	7	215	32	-26	+1	+0	-3	+7	-2.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	HOU	92%	415	375	70	14	3	17	32	173	5	12	2	187	260	376	636	189	279	42	8	280	76	-12	+2	+1	-4	+9	-0.5
2028	27	MLB MLE	HOU	92%	421	380	71	14	2	17	33	169	5	12	2	187	261	368	629	182	280	40	8	284	78	-11	+2	+1	-5	+9	-0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	HOU	92%	422	380	72	14	2	17	34	167	5	11	2	189	265	371	636	182	281	40	8	285	79	-11	+1	+0	-5	+9	-0.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	HOU	92%	414	373	71	14	2	16	33	162	5	10	2	190	265	367	632	177	280	39	8	284	78	-11	+1	-1	-4	+9	-0.6
2031	30	MLB MLE	HOU	92%	407	366	70	14	2	16	33	161	5	9	2	191	267	372	639	180	279	40	8	282	77	-11	+1	-1	-4	+9	-0.7
2027	26	MLB CTX	HOU	92%	382	345	64	13	2	15	29	159	5	11	2	186	259	365	624	180	281	42	8	270	76	-11	+1	+1	-4	+8	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	HOU	92%	387	349	65	13	2	15	30	156	5	11	2	186	260	364	624	178	282	40	8	273	78	-10	+1	+1	-4	+8	-0.4
2029	28	MLB CTX	HOU	92%	388	349	66	13	2	15	31	153	5	10	2	189	265	367	632	178	283	39	8	275	79	-10	+1	+0	-4	+8	-0.4
2030	29	MLB CTX	HOU	92%	381	342	66	13	2	15	31	150	5	9	2	193	270	374	644	181	282	39	8	274	78	-10	+1	-0	-4	+8	-0.5
2031	30	MLB CTX	HOU	92%	374	336	64	13	2	14	30	148	5	8	2	190	267	366	633	176	281	40	8	272	77	-10	+1	-1	-4	+8	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1973	1776	338	67	10	78	157	790	25	52	10	190	266	371	637	181	283	40	8	276	77	-48	+6	-0	-26	+43	-2.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	111	22	3	26	52	260	8	17	3	190	265	371	636	181	281	40	8	276	77	-16	+2	-0	-8	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3501	3145	601	124	25	124	276	1449	61	144	31	191	269	365	634	174	301	41	8	282	77	-53	+7	-0	-27	+46	-2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	112	23	5	23	51	269	11	27	6	192	269	366	636	175	302	41	8	282	77	-16	+2	-0	-8	+14	-0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	4.3	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
/162	664	18	10	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Jake Marisnicklast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,213 PA	3.3	2,213	63	81	227	280	381	+5	+54	8.3	8.1
/162	664	19	24	+1.4	+16.2	2.5	pk7: 8
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	3.4	2,275	96	62	193	264	385	+3	-3	2.4	2.6
/162	664	28	18	+0.9	-0.8	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zach Cole (OGILVIE)	25	20→27	60→58	60	50	176/248/362	186	274	11	8	44%	7%	70	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesse Franklin V 2023 · AA	24	38→28	55→60	53→55	36	206/267/389	183	296	23	15	38%	6%	83	+0.1	215/279/373	158	306	19	18	35%	6%	84	+0.1	199/267/366	167	276	22	24	35%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Jonathan Van Every 2006 · AA	26	40→43	55	49→50	41	208/285/387	179	314	24	15	40%	9%	89	+0.5	223/287/388	165	342	18	11	37%	7%	89	+0.5	224/288/390	166	347	18	8	38%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Stone Garrett 2023 · MLB	27	40→39	56→60	53→50	36	220/259/409	189	280	25	17	32%	4%	84	+0.1	222/285/364	142	319	16	10	33%	7%	83	+0.1	226/303/342	116	338	11	5	34%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Niko Hulsizer 2023 · AAA	26	43→29	55→60	52→50	37	210/278/391	181	351	23	16	44%	8%	87	+0.4	195/276/333	138	312	15	11	39%	9%	73	-0.6	157/253/276	119	248	13	8	39%	10%	51	-1.8
●Joey Gallo 2018 · MLB	24	34→35	66→70	51→45	48	200/304/455	255	281	35	7	40%	12%	112	+2.2	215/326/489	274	284	37	6	36%	13%	127	+3.3	203/345/459	256	265	35	6	36%	17%	120	+1.8
✕Nick Pratto 2023 · MLB	24	37→45	56→55	50	47	198/292/390	192	278	23	9	36%	10%	93	+0.8	195/269/326	131	298	15	9	37%	8%	69	-0.9	181/251/290	109	279	11	9	37%	8%	51	-1.7
✕Bobby Bradley 2022 · MLB	26	37→40	60	46→40	40	209/279/418	209	282	30	3	37%	7%	95	+0.9	199/271/358	159	300	20	5	39%	7%	78	-0.3	133/209/247	115	219	14	0	44%	7%	31	-1.3
✕Dallas McPherson 2005 · MLB	25	48→44	58→65	51→50	44	249/312/448	199	330	27	12	32%	8%	113	+2.3	234/286/453	219	327	28	9	36%	6%	105	+1.7	211/277/442	231	298	32	10	39%	8%	97	+0.7
✕Sam Huff 2023 · MLB	25	42→40	56→55	47→45	37	219/275/395	176	319	26	4	39%	7%	87	+0.4	217/276/371	154	322	19	3	36%	7%	82	-0.0	205/266/348	143	307	17	0	37%	7%	70	-0.5
✕Aristides Aquino 2020 · MLB	26	38→41	59→60	49→50	39	217/265/420	202	262	29	10	30%	5%	89	+0.5	218/288/417	199	283	27	9	32%	8%	97	+1.1	193/274/373	180	272	23	6	37%	9%	78	-0.1
●Jack Suwinski 2023 · MLB	25	39→43	56→60	45→50	46	213/294/402	190	286	25	8	34%	10%	96	+1.0	210/300/400	190	282	25	13	33%	11%	98	+1.2	199/297/385	185	266	24	15	33%	11%	90	+0.5
✕Dérmis Garcia 2023 · MLB	25	37→38	55	49→45	38	198/263/373	176	303	24	8	42%	8%	78	-0.3	191/257/341	150	284	20	7	38%	7%	68	-1.0	163/231/298	135	231	19	4	38%	7%	45	-1.4
✕Jonny DeLuca 2023 · AA	25	39→37	57→60	56→55	46	217/280/414	197	242	25	15	23%	7%	93	+0.8	227/291/386	159	266	18	19	21%	7%	91	+0.6	227/293/373	145	267	15	23	21%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Trey Cabbage 2023 · AA	26	49→44	56→55	53→55	37	228/292/416	188	379	24	14	44%	8%	98	+1.2	219/281/397	178	346	22	26	40%	7%	89	+0.5	208/271/387	180	323	22	32	41%	7%	81	-0.1
✕J.J. Matijevic 2023 · MLB	27	43→41	55	52→50	42	225/287/412	187	306	23	12	34%	8%	95	+1.0	218/281/379	161	300	18	11	32%	7%	85	+0.2	200/265/356	156	273	16	8	32%	8%	71	-0.7
✕Kyle Russell 2011 · AA	25	43→45	55→60	51→45	37	213/277/403	190	341	22	9	42%	7%	89	+0.5	205/271/362	157	310	17	7	37%	8%	78	-0.3	187/258/329	142	277	15	6	36%	8%	64	-0.7
✕Cody Thomas 2022 · AAA	27	40→47	57→60	49→45	38	215/268/421	206	298	25	5	36%	6%	91	+0.6	230/282/403	173	311	20	6	31%	6%	91	+0.7	240/290/424	184	299	21	5	27%	6%	96	+0.9
✕Alex Jackson 2022 · MLB	26	36→37	55	48→30	36	194/274/378	183	298	24	5	41%	6%	84	+0.1	204/271/360	156	280	18	5	33%	7%	78	-0.3	182/246/333	151	234	18	2	30%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Stewart Ijames 2016 · AA	27	42	58→60	47→45	38	222/277/424	202	310	26	7	37%	7%	94	+0.9	203/266/352	149	295	17	6	35%	7%	74	-0.6	175/247/308	133	250	15	3	35%	8%	54	-0.7
✕Brad Eldred 2006 · MLB	26	41→39	65→60	47→45	37	234/283/475	241	295	34	8	34%	6%	109	+2.0	202/252/393	191	260	26	9	33%	5%	78	-0.3	202/257/410	207	255	29	9	33%	5%	81	-0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps