Merlin Bido
P
FCL Red Sox
Age 20
RHP
6'0" / 174 lbs
ROK
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 21 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 103
ERA4.53
FIP4.53
K%22.3%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 12 | 6 | 41 | 168 | 33 | 18 | 1 | 50% | 3.4 | 13.4% | 13.4% | -0.0% | 0.9% | 4.17 | 4.17 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 12 | 6 | 41 | 168 | 33 | 18 | 1 | 50% | 3.4 | 19.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 0.6% | 4.17 | 3.12 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 11 | 5 | 32 | 137 | 31 | 28 | 0 | 45% | 2.9 | 15.4% | 25.5% | -10.2% | 0.0% | 4.83 | 5.04 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 11 | 5 | 32 | 137 | 31 | 28 | 0 | 45% | 2.9 | 22.6% | 20.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 4.83 | 3.79 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 12 | 1 | 24 | 120 | 26 | 38 | 1 | 8% | 2.0 | 14.7% | 39.6% | -24.8% | 1.2% | 7.88 | 7.51 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | BOS | 20 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.53 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 45 | 207 | 45 | 47 | 3 | — | — | 21.9% | 22.9% | -1.0% | 1.7% | 6.33 | 6.13 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | BOS | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | BOS | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 3.99 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 94 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 3.99 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 35 | 12 | 97 | 425 | 61 | 105 | 3 | 34% | 2.8 | 14.4% | 24.7% | -10.3% | 0.7% | 5.31 | 5.39 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 25 | 200 | 879 | 127 | 217 | 6 | 34% | 2.8 | 14.4% | 24.7% | -10.3% | 0.7% | 5.31 | 5.39 | +0.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Merlin Bido (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 22.3% | 10.8% | 2.8% | — | 4.37 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 22 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Eccel Correa R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .316 | 4.40 | 14.2% | 2.3% | 151 | +0.05 | 3.96 | 186 | 84 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2028 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 83 |
| Brandon Komar R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.63 | 17.7% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | 5.21 | 16.7% | 5.7% | 198 | +0.58 | 3.00 | 538 | 82 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2027 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 81 |
| Brendan Collins R 2028 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 81 |
| Adrián Martinez R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.30 | 18.8% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .329 | 4.09 | 17.3% | 7.6% | 92 | -0.21 | 2.02 | 526 | 80 |
| Saul Teran R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.23 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 4.3% | .333 | 3.83 | 20.8% | 8.7% | 94 | -1.40 | 2.28 | 158 | 80 |
| Joangel Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.42 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 2.5% | .312 | 4.91 | 19.4% | 3.4% | 93 | +0.49 | 3.96 | 127 | 79 |
| Simon Mathews R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 79 |
| Nestor Lorant R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.02 | 22.5% | 13.2% | 2.1% | .385 | 3.89 | 18.6% | 8.4% | 223 | -0.13 | 2.69 | 367 | 79 |
| Juan Mendez R 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 79 |
| Dawil Almonte R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.60 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .271 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 3.3% | 97 | +0.84 | 3.60 | 138 | 79 |
| Luis Romero R 2029 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 79 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.59 | 17.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .360 | 5.41 | 16.1% | 3.7% | 88 | +0.82 | 4.59 | 120 | 79 |
| Carlos Campos R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.43 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .304 | 5.57 | 15.3% | 8.1% | 19 | +1.14 | 4.43 | 134 | 79 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2029 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 79 |
| Felix Arronde R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.42 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 2.7% | .275 | 4.69 | 16.3% | 6.9% | 299 | +0.27 | 4.13 | 397 | 78 |
| Carson Rudd R 2028 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 78 |
| Alix Hernandez R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.26 | 21.7% | 13.7% | 2.3% | .300 | 4.65 | 23.8% | 12.0% | 56 | +0.39 | 3.43 | 149 | 78 |
| Franco Aleman R 2028 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 78 |