Yehizon Sanchez — OGILVIE

Yehizon Sanchez P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 165 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION63 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142134vR 126

ERA5.75

FIP5.75

K%14.5%

BB%15.1%

K-BB%-0.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3535

CMD3535

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	7	4	21	83	15	7	0	57%	3.0	12.3%	10.5%	1.7%	0.0%	0.43	3.40	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	7	4	21	83	15	7	0	57%	3.0	18.1%	8.4%	9.6%	0.0%	0.43	2.67	—
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	3	26	122	30	18	3	33%	2.9	18.1%	16.7%	1.5%	4.0%	7.62	5.88	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	3	26	122	30	18	3	33%	2.9	24.6%	14.8%	9.8%	2.5%	7.62	4.37	—
2022	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	22	16	92	418	77	37	22	73%	4.2	13.6%	10.4%	3.2%	6.8%	5.75	7.02	—
2022	21	A RAW	Stockton Ports	22	16	92	418	77	37	22	73%	4.2	18.4%	8.9%	9.6%	5.3%	5.75	5.73	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	10	74	375	67	39	14	38%	2.8	12.9%	12.6%	0.3%	4.9%	9.61	6.29	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	10	74	375	67	39	14	38%	2.8	12.9%	12.6%	0.3%	4.9%	9.61	6.29	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	10	74	375	67	39	14	38%	2.8	17.9%	10.4%	7.5%	3.7%	9.61	5.33	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	37	0	51	245	44	27	3	0%	1.4	13.8%	12.7%	1.2%	1.8%	6.18	4.51	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	37	0	51	245	44	27	3	0%	1.4	13.8%	12.7%	1.2%	1.8%	6.18	4.51	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	37	0	51	245	44	27	3	0%	1.4	18.0%	11.0%	6.9%	1.2%	6.18	3.73	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	39	0	41	176	37	22	3	0%	1.1	16.2%	14.4%	1.8%	2.3%	4.14	4.82	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	39	0	41	176	37	22	3	0%	1.1	16.2%	14.4%	1.8%	2.3%	4.14	4.82	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	39	0	41	176	37	22	3	0%	1.1	21.0%	12.5%	8.5%	1.7%	4.14	3.85	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	40	0	63	291	72	41	3	0%	1.6	19.8%	14.5%	5.2%	1.4%	5.12	4.06	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	40	0	63	291	72	41	3	0%	1.6	19.8%	14.5%	5.2%	1.4%	5.12	4.06	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A+ RAW	MIN	35	0	57	261	67	33	3	0%	1.6	25.7%	12.6%	13.0%	1.1%	4.89	3.16	—
2026	25	AA RAW	MIN	5	0	6	30	5	8	0	0%	1.3	16.7%	26.7%	-10.0%	0.0%	7.11	5.07	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	MIN	5	0	5	23	3	3	1	0%	1.1	14.5%	15.1%	-0.6%	2.9%	5.75	5.75	-0.1
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	MIN	—	—	69	314	75	44	4	—	—	24.0%	14.2%	9.8%	1.2%	5.17	4.19	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIN	59	0	62	262	42	38	8	0%	1.1	16.1%	14.5%	1.6%	2.9%	5.57	5.55	-0.7
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIN	58	0	61	258	43	37	8	0%	1.1	16.6%	14.2%	2.4%	3.0%	5.48	5.49	-0.6
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIN	26	0	27	114	18	17	3	0%	1.0	16.1%	14.5%	1.6%	2.9%	5.57	5.55	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIN	36	0	38	160	27	23	5	0%	1.1	16.6%	14.2%	2.4%	3.0%	5.48	5.49	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		62	0	65	275	45	39	8	0%	1.1	16.4%	14.3%	2.1%	2.9%	5.52	5.13	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	138	120	25	0%	1.1	16.4%	14.3%	2.1%	2.9%	5.52	5.13	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		180	33	369	1710	257	219	64	18%	2.0	15.1%	12.8%	2.3%	3.8%	6.12	5.51	-1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		98	18	200	927	140	118	35	18%	2.0	15.1%	12.8%	2.3%	3.8%	6.12	5.51	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yehizon Sanchez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.75	14.5%	15.1%	2.9%	—	5.52	16.3%	2.0%	123	-0.23	—	—	—
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	86
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	85
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	85
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	85
Kender Villegas R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SU	4.70	13.3%	13.3%	1.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	131	84
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	84
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	84
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	83
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	83
Tyler Burch R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.0%	12.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	119	83
Rob Huber R 2016 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.90	117	83
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	83
Jarod Wright R 2022 · 5.73 FIP	25	SU	5.73	12.7%	13.2%	3.7%	.282	4.46	13.2%	3.8%	53	-1.27	4.46	170	82
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	81
Jack Jasiak R 2023 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	12.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.288	3.81	19.8%	12.1%	193	-1.22	3.24	262	81
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	81
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	81
Justin Camp R 2018 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	13.2%	11.9%	1.9%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	2.59	140	81
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	81
Danny Reynolds R 2016 · 4.72 FIP	25	SU	4.72	16.6%	16.8%	1.6%	.263	3.71	16.0%	4.3%	88	-1.01	3.29	165	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	61	15.8%	14.6%	1.13	5.60
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91