Marco Barrios — OGILVIE

Marco Barrios P Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 20 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127

ERA5.81

FIP5.81

K%20.8%

BB%19.6%

K-BB%1.3%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	17	0	27	130	33	36	1	0%	1.6	17.3%	34.6%	-17.4%	0.7%	7.00	6.43	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	17	0	27	130	33	36	1	0%	1.6	17.3%	34.6%	-17.4%	0.7%	7.00	6.43	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	17	0	27	130	33	36	1	0%	1.6	25.4%	27.7%	-2.3%	0.8%	7.00	5.14	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	35	152	38	19	4	0%	1.3	17.0%	15.0%	2.0%	2.3%	4.15	4.83	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	35	152	38	19	4	0%	1.3	17.0%	15.0%	2.0%	2.3%	4.15	4.83	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	35	152	38	19	4	0%	1.3	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	2.6%	4.15	4.05	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	48	0	52	223	55	11	5	0%	1.1	18.3%	5.8%	12.4%	2.9%	2.75	3.90	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	48	0	52	223	55	11	5	0%	1.1	18.3%	5.8%	12.4%	2.9%	2.75	3.90	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	A RAW	CWS	48	0	52	223	55	11	5	0%	1.1	24.7%	4.9%	19.7%	2.2%	2.75	2.87	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CWS	51	0	54	228	49	38	7	0%	1.1	21.5%	16.5%	5.0%	2.9%	5.47	5.34	-0.5
2028	22	MLB MLE	CWS	54	0	57	239	54	34	7	0%	1.0	22.5%	14.2%	8.3%	2.8%	5.12	4.93	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	CWS	25	0	26	110	24	18	3	0%	1.0	21.5%	16.5%	5.0%	2.9%	5.47	5.34	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	CWS	39	0	41	173	39	25	5	0%	1.1	22.5%	14.2%	8.3%	2.8%	5.12	4.93	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		65	0	68	286	63	43	8	0%	1.0	22.1%	15.1%	7.0%	2.9%	5.26	4.71	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	127	24	0%	1.1	22.1%	15.1%	7.0%	2.9%	5.26	4.71	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		92	0	114	505	89	81	11	0%	1.2	17.6%	16.0%	1.6%	2.2%	4.18	4.83	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		161	0	200	886	156	142	19	0%	1.2	17.6%	16.0%	1.6%	2.2%	4.18	4.83	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Marco Barrios (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.81	20.8%	19.6%	2.9%	—	5.13	22.0%	6.7%	110	-0.68	—	—	—
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.10	167	88
Daniel Lloyd R 2021 · 5.40 FIP	20	SU	5.40	20.4%	22.4%	2.2%	.367	4.15	18.0%	8.5%	226	-1.25	3.59	319	87
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	87
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	86
Marcus Crescentini R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	22	SU	5.80	21.8%	21.9%	3.2%	.365	3.95	23.3%	11.6%	123	-1.85	2.74	150	86
Greg Weissert R 2016 · 5.22 FIP	21	SU	5.22	19.4%	19.3%	2.4%	.382	3.80	23.0%	10.3%	126	-1.42	2.57	481	86
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	85
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.79	29.0%	15.6%	152	-1.12	3.38	209	85
Johan Quezada R 2015 · 4.65 FIP	20	SU	4.65	18.0%	17.2%	1.6%	.255	4.39	14.1%	-3.0%	53	-0.26	3.78	234	84
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	84
Adonis Villavicencio R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	21	SU	4.65	21.5%	21.9%	1.1%	.316	3.93	18.0%	3.9%	90	-0.72	3.21	115	84
Adrian Rodriguez R 2021 · 6.92 FIP	20	SU	6.92	23.1%	34.0%	2.7%	.368	5.46	23.1%	-1.6%	93	-1.46	2.43	148	84
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	84
Edgar Isea R 2023 · 6.17 FIP	20	SU	6.17	24.2%	27.6%	2.9%	.310	4.90	20.6%	-4.4%	76	-1.27	4.50	162	83
Junior Flores R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	19	SU	5.28	20.5%	24.1%	1.6%	.220	4.93	14.5%	-3.9%	92	-0.35	4.87	110	83
Andrew Marrero R 2021 · 5.09 FIP	21	SU	5.09	21.7%	22.0%	1.9%	.395	4.61	24.3%	9.1%	148	-0.48	3.45	210	83
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	83
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	82
Jonathan Teaney R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	22.5%	19.8%	1.9%	.328	5.65	16.4%	0.7%	55	+0.88	4.77	108	82
Roberto Espinosa R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.9%	18.6%	1.9%	.273	4.43	14.8%	2.2%	77	-0.49	4.32	117	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	42	21.9%	15.8%	1.11	5.35
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91