Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | GCL Twins | 19 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 17.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.38 | 4.65 | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | GCL Twins | 19 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.4% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 1.1% | 3.38 | 3.24 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | 19 | 0 | 30 | 139 | 29 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 14.2% | 18.9% | -4.7% | 1.0% | 5.04 | 4.85 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | 19 | 0 | 30 | 139 | 29 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.9% | 15.1% | 5.8% | 0.7% | 5.04 | 3.69 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 31 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 14.0% | 14.7% | -0.7% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 3.78 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 31 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 22.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 2.49 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | 33 | 0 | 52 | 233 | 49 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 16.2% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 3.44 | 3.76 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | 33 | 0 | 52 | 233 | 49 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.0% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 0.9% | 3.44 | 3.27 | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.00 | 7.32 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.00 | 7.10 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 2 | 24 | 112 | 28 | 9 | 3 | 11% | 1.3 | 17.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.38 | 6.06 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 2 | 24 | 112 | 28 | 9 | 3 | 11% | 1.3 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 17.0% | 2.7% | 6.38 | 3.52 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 1 | 60 | 274 | 73 | 37 | 3 | 2% | 1.4 | 21.9% | 15.2% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 4.83 | 3.84 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 1 | 60 | 274 | 73 | 37 | 3 | 2% | 1.4 | 26.6% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 1.1% | 4.83 | 3.17 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 0 | 43 | 201 | 43 | 35 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.2% | 15.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.85 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 0 | 43 | 201 | 43 | 35 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.4% | 17.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.85 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 22 | 0 | 23 | 96 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 11 | 53 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.7% | 17.8% | -0.1% | 3.9% | 7.85 | 6.01 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 199 | 0 | 200 | 924 | 158 | 158 | 35 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.7% | 17.8% | -0.1% | 3.9% | 7.85 | 6.01 | -1.4 | ||
| Career | — | 180 | 3 | 266 | 1197 | 213 | 178 | 21 | 2% | 1.5 | 17.8% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.30 | 4.43 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 135 | 2 | 200 | 900 | 160 | 134 | 15 | 2% | 1.5 | 17.8% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.30 | 4.43 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Johan Quezada (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 22.9% | 10.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.68 | 22.5% | 12.1% | 21 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 89 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 82 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 82 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 82 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 80 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 79 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 79 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.18 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .276 | 3.35 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.83 | 3.35 | 129 | 77 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 77 |
| Logan Kensing R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 77 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 76 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 76 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 76 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 76 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 76 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .240 | 5.21 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.45 | 3.03 | 120 | 75 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.40 | 25.5% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.69 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 129 | +0.29 | 2.73 | 410 | 75 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2024 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 160 | 75 |
| Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 75 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.86 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 137 | 74 |