DJ Layton

SS Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 21 S/R 6'1" / 185 lbs A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

OGV OFP35OGV rank#674ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKBAL	135	.183/.366/.231	0	10	16	—	.114/.246/.140
2026	20	A+/ABAL	490	.250/.401/.397	8	45	72	—	.197/.311/.309
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBBAL	581	.192/.296/.297	9	17	72	0.0
2028PROJ25% MLB	22	MLBBAL	113	.202/.304/.322	2	3	78	0.0
2029PROJ38% MLB	23	MLBBAL	193	.207/.308/.335	4	5	82	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$3M2034Arb-2$4M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

BB%94

Chase%84

wOBA80

wRC+79

Speed70

ISO57

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 5.9, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 86%

CompsBrainer Bonaci (age 21) · Carlos Jimenez (age 21) · Christian Cairo (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .294 / .295

PA210

HR3

SB6

K%33

BB%12

ISO105

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$7M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	135	104	19	5	0	0	25	37	5	10	1	183	366	231	596	48	284	27	19	298	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Frederick Keys	—	93	72	19	6	0	2	19	35	0	13	4	264	418	431	848	167	486	38	20	377	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	397	316	78	19	4	6	73	117	6	32	14	247	397	389	787	142	371	29	18	360	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	135	114	13	3	0	0	15	54	5	10	1	114	246	140	387	26	214	40	11	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	93	80	17	5	0	2	11	46	0	13	4	212	308	350	658	137	422	49	12	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	397	337	65	15	3	5	52	159	6	32	14	193	311	300	611	107	335	40	13	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	135	114	13	3	0	0	15	54	5	10	1	114	246	140	387	26	217	40	11	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	135	104	19	5	0	0	25	37	5	10	1	183	366	231	596	48	284	27	19	298	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	490	417	79	19	3	6	63	205	6	45	18	189	305	293	597	103	353	42	13	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	490	388	97	25	4	8	92	152	6	45	18	250	401	397	798	147	389	31	19	363	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	135	114	13	3	0	0	15	54	5	10	1	114	246	140	387	26	214	40	11	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	490	418	79	19	3	6	63	205	6	45	18	189	305	292	596	103	352	42	13	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	135	114	13	3	0	0	15	54	5	10	1	114	246	140	387	26	214	40	11	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	490	418	79	19	3	6	63	205	6	45	18	189	305	292	596	103	352	42	13	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	581	502	98	21	3	9	68	192	6	17	6	192	296	297	593	105	287	33	12	274	72	-19	+1	-3	+6	+13	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BAL	25%	455	394	77	16	2	8	53	146	5	13	4	199	301	315	616	116	288	32	12	283	78	-12	+1	-2	+5	+10	0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	BAL	38%	506	437	88	18	2	10	59	159	5	14	5	204	305	327	632	123	289	31	12	289	82	-11	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.5
2030	24	MLB MLE	BAL	44%	555	480	100	20	3	12	64	171	6	15	5	207	307	335	643	128	290	31	12	293	84	-10	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.8
2031	25	MLB MLE	BAL	47%	578	501	105	21	3	13	66	175	6	15	5	210	309	341	649	131	290	30	11	295	86	-10	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	BAL	49%	590	513	108	22	3	13	66	176	6	15	5	211	309	344	653	132	290	30	11	297	87	-9	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	BAL	49%	590	512	108	22	3	13	67	177	6	15	5	210	308	341	649	131	289	30	11	295	86	-10	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	BAL	49%	582	505	107	22	3	13	66	176	6	13	5	209	306	337	643	128	289	30	11	293	84	-11	+1	-1	+6	+13	0.8
2035	29	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	565	492	101	21	2	12	63	173	5	12	5	206	304	331	634	124	287	31	11	289	82	-12	+0	-1	+6	+12	0.5
2036	30	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	552	480	98	20	2	11	62	170	5	11	5	203	300	323	623	120	285	31	11	285	79	-14	+0	-2	+6	+12	0.2
2037	31	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	534	465	93	19	2	10	59	167	5	9	5	199	296	314	609	114	282	31	11	279	75	-16	-0	-3	+6	+12	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	BAL	25%	113	98	20	4	1	2	13	36	1	3	1	202	304	322	626	120	292	32	12	287	78	-3	+0	-1	+1	+2	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	BAL	38%	193	167	34	7	1	4	22	61	2	5	2	207	308	335	643	128	293	32	11	293	82	-4	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	BAL	44%	244	211	44	9	1	5	28	75	3	7	2	211	310	344	654	133	294	31	11	297	84	-5	+1	-0	+3	+5	0.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	BAL	47%	273	237	49	10	1	6	31	83	3	7	2	213	312	349	661	136	295	30	11	300	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	BAL	49%	290	252	54	11	1	7	33	87	3	8	3	215	312	352	665	137	294	30	11	301	87	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	BAL	49%	290	252	54	11	1	7	33	87	3	7	3	214	311	350	661	136	294	30	11	300	86	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	BAL	49%	286	249	53	11	1	7	32	87	3	7	2	212	309	345	654	133	293	30	11	297	84	-5	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.4
2035	29	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	272	236	49	10	1	6	31	83	3	6	2	210	307	339	645	129	292	31	11	294	82	-6	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.3
2036	30	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	287	250	52	11	1	6	32	89	3	6	3	207	303	331	634	124	290	31	11	289	79	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	293	256	52	11	1	6	32	92	3	5	3	203	299	321	620	118	287	31	11	283	75	-9	-0	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2541	2208	461	95	10	56	287	780	27	61	23	209	307	337	644	128	293	31	11	295	80	-53	+3	-5	+27	+55	2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	565	118	24	3	14	73	200	7	16	6	209	307	336	643	127	294	31	11	295	80	-13	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6342	5491	1111	230	29	124	728	2018	68	193	70	202	303	323	626	120	292	32	11	286	80	-122	+7	-12	+61	+124	6.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	115	24	3	13	75	207	7	20	7	204	305	327	632	123	295	32	12	286	80	-14	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 397 PAwOBA .353 → .273 (−80)K% 29.5% → 40.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.47%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	40.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.39%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.030	13.07%
HBP% /PA	1.51%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	1.21%
Singles /BIP	24.62%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.984	×1.030	22.95%
Doubles /BIP	9.55%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.984	×1.030	8.03%
Triples /BIP	2.01%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.984	×1.030	1.85%
Home runs /BIP	3.02%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.030	2.48%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .353 → .273; ISO .142 → .110; BABIP .371 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Frederick Keys · 93 PAwOBA .365 → .280 (−85)K% 37.6% → 49.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	37.63%	÷1.000	×1.310	—	—	49.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.35%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.042	12.10%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.770	—	×1.042	0.00%
Singles /BIP	29.73%	÷1.000	×0.870	—	×1.042	26.95%
Doubles /BIP	16.22%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.042	13.18%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.850	—	×1.042	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.41%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×1.042	4.96%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .365 → .280; ISO .167 → .140; BABIP .486 → .422. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Orioles · 135 PAwOBA .292 → .192 (−100)K% 27.4% → 40.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.41%	÷0.980	×1.440	—	—	40.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.52%	÷1.020	×0.620	—	×1.008	11.34%
HBP% /PA	3.70%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	2.69%
Singles /BIP	20.90%	÷0.997	×0.820	×0.950	×1.008	16.45%
Doubles /BIP	7.46%	÷1.033	×0.720	×0.950	×1.008	4.98%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.720	×0.950	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .292 → .192; ISO .048 → .030; BABIP .284 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Alex Gonzalez'94-'06 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,528 PA	8.3	5,528	137	97	232*	290*	379*	+55	+6	8.3	10.0
/162	664	16	12	+6.6	+0.8	1.0	pk7: 12
#4Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
#5Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.1	2,751	57	67	206	301	331	+29	+0	4.9	4.5
/162	664	14	16	+7.1	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 4
#6Frank Duffy'70-'79 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,924 PA	4.4	2,924	26	49	234*	283*	348*	+30	-2	0.9	2.1
/162	664	6	11	+6.7	-0.5	0.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
DJ Layton (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	191/294/295	104	287	3	6	33%	12%	72	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	45→46	40→45	55→50	53	211/302/310	100	290	7	16	27%	11%	77	-0.3	227/287/348	121	312	12	11	29%	8%	80	-0.2	232/274/365	133	311	17	8	30%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2024 · A	21	39→44	40→50	52→55	44	186/271/278	93	294	7	15	36%	9%	59	-1.7	222/298/356	134	324	13	17	33%	9%	86	+0.3	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	41→49	40	53→60	46	191/289/283	92	297	8	16	35%	10%	67	-1.1	200/301/282	82	297	6	18	31%	11%	71	-0.8	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Alex Freeland 2024 · A	22	44→48	42→45	54→55	43	207/282/308	101	319	10	22	36%	9%	69	-0.9	224/310/353	129	306	13	19	28%	10%	90	+0.6	226/317/359	132	301	13	18	27%	11%	92	+0.7
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→51	39→45	59→55	46	195/272/287	91	280	4	17	30%	9%	60	-1.6	220/296/307	87	294	6	17	25%	9%	74	-0.6	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Juan Matheus 2024 · A	20	42→46	38→45	53→55	59	192/312/281	89	273	4	21	28%	14%	76	-0.4	215/292/311	96	283	7	20	24%	9%	73	-0.6	219/288/322	102	278	9	23	23%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Allan Castro 2024 · A	21	42→45	42→45	52→50	47	205/277/316	111	276	7	12	27%	8%	69	-0.9	213/282/329	116	284	11	15	27%	8%	74	-0.6	212/279/324	113	274	12	17	26%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Victor Arias 2024 · A	20	41→50	40→45	55→50	48	193/289/289	97	300	7	16	35%	11%	68	-1.0	227/296/340	113	318	9	15	29%	8%	81	-0.1	226/289/343	117	310	10	15	29%	7%	76	-0.3
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→49	42→45	58→60	54	211/313/323	113	290	8	21	28%	12%	85	+0.2	220/320/345	125	277	13	33	24%	11%	93	+0.8	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	41→51	40→45	55	44	198/266/291	93	280	8	16	30%	8%	59	-1.7	243/305/349	106	326	7	24	25%	8%	86	+0.3	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Blake Perkins 2018 · A	21	45→51	40→50	51→55	44	216/276/308	92	292	7	15	28%	7%	66	-1.1	204/272/289	85	295	7	17	31%	8%	61	-1.5	227/310/355	127	301	12	25	27%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Geraldo Quintero 2023 · A	21	45→47	41→40	56→60	47	216/284/325	109	278	7	20	24%	8%	73	-0.6	213/279/301	88	280	6	26	25%	7%	66	-1.1	202/273/285	83	265	7	32	25%	7%	57	-1.2
✕Adrian Placencia 2024 · AA	21	41	43→45	48→50	47	191/287/297	106	311	11	15	38%	11%	70	-0.9	180/282/298	118	306	13	9	41%	11%	68	-1.0	155/270/277	121	264	14	6	42%	12%	57	-1.2
✕Colin Walsh 2011 · A	21	44→52	40→45	53→50	52	213/295/309	95	271	8	10	23%	10%	74	-0.6	224/297/348	124	275	11	8	21%	9%	84	+0.1	214/321/331	117	302	10	7	29%	13%	87	+0.3
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	41→40	54→60	55	164/295/261	97	258	8	24	35%	14%	66	-1.1	191/307/295	104	295	8	20	33%	12%	77	-0.3	192/310/298	105	297	8	21	33%	12%	77	-0.2
●Bryan Rincon 2024 · A	20	43→47	43→45	49→55	54	210/307/319	109	268	10	19	24%	11%	82	-0.0	196/286/316	120	277	12	25	31%	10%	73	-0.6	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2018 · A	21	41→45	41→45	54→50	39	200/255/302	102	297	8	15	34%	6%	57	-1.8	205/269/312	107	318	9	14	36%	8%	65	-1.2	199/269/311	112	312	11	14	37%	8%	62	-0.8
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	40→48	42→45	54→50	51	196/289/300	104	251	9	21	24%	9%	71	-0.8	219/276/335	116	269	11	15	22%	6%	72	-0.7	216/271/322	106	262	11	16	21%	6%	65	-1.1
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→49	42→50	57→50	43	224/279/341	116	300	8	15	27%	6%	74	-0.5	220/277/337	117	289	10	12	26%	6%	73	-0.6	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Esteban González 2024 · A	21	43→45	41→45	56→55	41	205/280/306	101	298	7	18	31%	7%	68	-1.0	211/269/331	120	298	10	24	31%	6%	70	-0.9	203/264/330	127	285	12	27	31%	6%	65	-0.8

DJ Layton

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps