Adrian Placencia

SS Tri-City Dust Devils
Age 24 S/R 5'11" / 184 lbs A+ K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2344ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421A+/A2 orgs466.233/.376/.39712863—.173/.285/.290
202522A+LAA501.212/.343/.38316655—.158/.264/.281
202623A+/ROKLAA239.165/.382/.3529653—.119/.281/.253
2027PROJMLE24MLBLAA1.162/.281/.2890066-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBLAA56.167/.283/.2981069-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB26MLBLAA107.171/.285/.3033170-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
BB%98
Chase%92
ISO57
wRC+47
wOBA38
Speed19
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%
CompsAllan Cerda (age 24) · Joe DeCarlo (age 24) · Brenden Dixon (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†66
AVG/OBP/SLG.162 / .281 / .289
PA1
HR0
K%40
BB%13
BABIP262
ISO142
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.6M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ROKACL Angels — 175143 25335 28494 42 175326343668 168225 2816 310 24 — — — — — —
202219 AInland Empire 66ers — 469382 9723213 761428 218 254388427814 173367 3016 367 74 — — — — — —
202320 AARocket City Trash Pandas — 6053 9001 4241 00 170241226468 57276 407 214 11 — — — — — —
202320 A+Tri-City Dust Devils — 480390 851529 821332 2411 218357336692 118303 2817 319 64 — — — — — —
202320 INTLScottsdale Scorpions — 7668 11102 7151 31 162250265515 103176 209 241 49 — — — — — —
202421 A+Tri-City Dust Devils — 224183 38421 31755 45 208336268604 60343 3314 285 38 — — — — — —
202421 AInland Empire 66ers — 242190 4913211 44746 42 258412521934 263358 3118 408 86 — — — — — —
202522 A+Tri-City Dust Devils — 501410 8714416 731519 64 212343383726 171284 3015 326 55 — — — — — —
202623 A+Tri-City Dust Devils — 202150 22407 47694 31 147363313677 167200 3423 324 44 — — — — — —
202623 ROKACL Angels — 3726 7012 1180 31 2694865771.063 308312 2230 461 101 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 ROK MLEACL Angels — 175152 18223 19704 42 118234217451 99179 4011 203 24 — — — — — —
202219 A MLEInland Empire 66ers — 469404 7717211 551958 218 191300324624 134321 4212 277 74 — — — — — —
202320 AA MLERocket City Trash Pandas — 6054 9001 3281 00 167224222446 56269 475 185 11 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLETri-City Dust Devils — 480413 791418 591702 2411 191295288583 97291 3512 263 64 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLETri-City Dust Devils — 224193 32311 22995 45 166268207475 41325 4410 225 38 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEInland Empire 66ers — 242205 37919 291056 42 180300366666 185304 4312 295 86 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLETri-City Dust Devils — 501430 6811312 532009 64 158264281546 123240 4011 249 55 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLETri-City Dust Devils — 202164 17305 33934 31 104269213482 110169 4616 233 44 — — — — — —
202623 ROK MLEACL Angels — 3730 6012 7120 31 200351467818 267234 3219 318 101 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEACL Angels — 175152 18223 19704 42 118234217451 99190 4011 203 24 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWACL Angels — 175143 25335 28494 42 175326343668 168225 2816 310 24 — — — — — —
202219 A MLEInland Empire 66ers — 469404 7717211 551958 218 191300324624 134330 4212 277 74 — — — — — —
202219 A RAWInland Empire 66ers — 469382 9723213 761428 218 254388427814 173367 3016 367 74 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLE3 teams — 616533 10016210 712274 2712 188288281569 94300 3712 254 58 — — — — — —
202320 A+ RAW3 teams — 616511 10516212 931724 2712 205332315647 110281 2815 299 58 — — — — — —
202421 A MLE2 teams — 466398 7112310 5120511 87 178289299588 121330 4411 261 63 — — — — — —
202421 A RAW2 teams — 466373 8717412 7514911 87 233376397773 164350 3216 349 63 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLETri-City Dust Devils — 501430 6811312 532009 64 158264281546 123249 4011 249 55 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAWTri-City Dust Devils — 501410 8714416 731519 64 212343383726 171284 3015 326 55 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 239194 23317 401054 62 119282253534 134193 4417 246 53 — — — — — —
202623 A+ RAW2 teams — 239176 29419 58774 62 165382352735 188220 3224 345 53 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEACL Angels — 175150 18223 19704 42 120234220454 100179 4011 203 24 — — — — — —
202219 A MLEInland Empire 66ers — 469403 7717211 551958 218 191300325625 134321 4212 277 74 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLE3 teams — 616536 10016210 712274 2712 187288280568 93289 3712 254 58 — — — — — —
202421 A MLE2 teams — 466401 7112310 5120511 87 177289297586 120314 4411 261 63 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLETri-City Dust Devils — 501434 6811312 532009 64 157264279543 122240 4011 249 55 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 239193 23317 401054 62 119282254535 135179 4417 246 53 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A MLE2 teams — 466401 7112310 5120511 87 177289297586 120314 4411 261 63 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLETri-City Dust Devils — 501434 6811312 532009 64 157264279543 122240 4011 249 55 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 239193 23317 401054 62 119282254535 135179 4417 246 53 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLELAA 0% 289247 40717 361184 31 162281289570 127264 4112 265 66 -12 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXLAA 0% 11 0000 000 00 162281289570 127262 00 265 66 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLELAA 30% 185157 26415 23733 21 167284298582 130267 3912 270 69 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
202926 MLB MLELAA 44% 241205 35616 30944 21 171286303589 132268 3912 272 70 -8 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.1
203027 MLB MLELAA 49% 271232 40717 331034 21 174287306593 132269 3812 274 71 -9 +0 +0 +3 +6 -0.0
203128 MLB MLELAA 52% 289249 43817 341094 22 176287307594 131270 3812 274 71 -10 -0 -1 +3 +6 -0.2
203229 MLB MLELAA 51% 291251 44817 341084 22 177286306592 129270 3712 273 71 -10 -0 -1 +3 +6 -0.3
202825 MLB CTXLAA 30% 5648 7101 7221 00 167283298581 131265 3912 269 69 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202926 MLB CTXLAA 44% 10791 17313 13422 10 171285303588 133266 3912 272 70 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
203027 MLB CTXLAA 49% 133114 20314 16512 11 173286306592 133267 3812 273 71 -5 -0 +0 +1 +3 -0.0
203128 MLB CTXLAA 52% 149128 23414 18562 11 175286307593 131268 3812 273 71 -5 -0 -0 +2 +3 -0.1
203229 MLB CTXLAA 51% 150129 24414 18562 11 177285306591 129268 3712 272 71 -5 -0 -1 +2 +3 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 595510 9115416 722279 43 178291318609 139277 3812 272 63 -21 -0 -1 +6 +13 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650557 9816417 7924810 43 176289311600 135274 3812 272 63 -23 -0 -1 +7 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 38843325 565971989 461154661 8343 170283291573 121278 4012 261 63 -50 -1 -2 +15 +31 -0.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650556 9416315 7725910 147 169281290571 121276 4012 261 63 -23 -0 -1 +7 +14 -0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 202 PAwOBA .318 → .233 (−85)K% 34.2% → 46.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.16%÷1.000×1.350——46.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.27%÷1.000×0.710—×0.99816.49%
HBP% /PA1.98%—×0.810—×0.9981.60%
Singles /BIP13.58%÷1.000×0.910×0.969×0.99811.96%
Doubles /BIP4.94%÷1.000×0.830×0.969×0.9983.97%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.820×0.969×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP8.64%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9987.16%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .318 → .233; ISO .167 → .123; BABIP .200 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Angels · 37 PAwOBA .451 → .318 (−133)K% 21.6% → 31.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.62%÷1.000×1.440——31.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA29.73%÷1.000×0.620—×0.96517.79%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷1.000×0.820—×0.96517.58%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Triples /BIP5.56%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9653.86%
Home runs /BIP11.11%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9658.36%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .451 → .318; ISO .308 → .238; BABIP .312 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 501 PAwOBA .322 → .249 (−73)K% 30.1% → 39.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.14%÷1.019×1.350——39.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.37%÷0.975×0.710—×1.01210.59%
HBP% /PA1.80%—×0.810—×1.0121.47%
Singles /BIP20.46%÷1.019×0.910×0.954×1.01217.64%
Doubles /BIP5.41%÷0.975×0.830×0.954×1.0124.44%
Triples /BIP1.54%÷0.900×0.820×0.954×1.0121.36%
Home runs /BIP6.18%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0125.19%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .322 → .249; ISO .171 → .133; BABIP .284 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AInland Empire 66ers · 242 PAwOBA .400 → .295 (−104)K% 30.6% → 43.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.58%÷0.957×1.360——43.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.18%÷1.057×0.690—×1.01512.05%
HBP% /PA2.48%—×0.780—×1.0151.96%
Singles /BIP19.83%÷0.983×0.920×0.951×1.01517.91%
Doubles /BIP11.21%÷1.023×0.830×0.951×1.0158.78%
Triples /BIP1.72%÷1.139×0.910×0.951×1.0151.33%
Home runs /BIP9.48%÷0.882×0.800—×1.0158.73%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 97, 2B 105, 3B 128, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.

Result: wOBA .400 → .295; ISO .263 → .204; BABIP .358 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 224 PAwOBA .280 → .225 (−55)K% 33.5% → 44.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.48%÷1.018×1.350——44.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.84%÷1.018×0.710—×1.0279.91%
HBP% /PA2.23%—×0.810—×1.0271.86%
Singles /BIP28.70%÷0.969×0.910×1.005×1.02727.82%
Doubles /BIP3.70%÷0.950×0.830×1.005×1.0273.34%
Triples /BIP1.85%÷1.150×0.820×1.005×1.0271.36%
Home runs /BIP0.93%÷0.916×0.830—×1.0270.86%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 94, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .280 → .225; ISO .060 → .046; BABIP .343 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 480 PAwOBA .314 → .263 (−51)K% 27.7% → 35.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.71%÷1.053×1.350——35.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.08%÷1.030×0.710—×1.04212.27%
HBP% /PA0.42%—×0.810—×1.0420.35%
Singles /BIP22.96%÷0.957×0.910×0.984×1.04222.39%
Doubles /BIP5.84%÷0.891×0.830×0.984×1.0425.57%
Triples /BIP0.78%÷1.150×0.820×0.984×1.0420.57%
Home runs /BIP3.50%÷0.990×0.830—×1.0423.06%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 91, 2B 78, 3B 130, K 111, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .314 → .263; ISO .118 → .101; BABIP .303 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 60 PAwOBA .212 → .185 (−28)K% 40.0% → 47.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA40.00%÷1.032×1.220——47.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.67%÷1.017×0.680—×1.0504.68%
HBP% /PA1.67%—×0.840—×1.0501.47%
Singles /BIP27.59%÷0.985×0.920—×1.05027.06%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.910×0.910—×1.0500.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.880—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP3.45%÷0.970×0.800—×1.0502.98%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 97, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 106, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .212 → .185; ISO .057 → .047; BABIP .276 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AInland Empire 66ers · 469 PAwOBA .360 → .277 (−83)K% 30.3% → 41.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.28%÷0.991×1.360——41.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.20%÷0.995×0.690—×1.04511.74%
HBP% /PA1.71%—×0.780—×1.0451.39%
Singles /BIP24.58%÷1.049×0.920×0.979×1.04522.05%
Doubles /BIP9.58%÷1.023×0.830×0.979×1.0457.96%
Triples /BIP0.83%÷1.006×0.910×0.979×1.0450.77%
Home runs /BIP5.42%÷0.889×0.800—×1.0455.10%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 110, 2B 105, 3B 101, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .360 → .277; ISO .173 → .138; BABIP .367 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .