Adrian Placencia

Adrian PlacenciaSS Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 23 S/R 5'11" / 184 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION167 act + 153 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.158 / .263 / .286

PA153

HR4

K%39

BB%11

BABIP243

ISO128

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Angels	—	175	152	17	2	2	3	19	70	4	4	2	112	229	211	439	99	177	40	11	197	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	ACL Angels	—	175	143	25	3	3	5	28	49	4	4	2	175	326	343	668	168	225	28	16	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	469	405	74	16	1	14	54	194	8	21	8	183	291	331	622	148	302	41	12	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	469	382	97	23	2	13	76	142	8	21	8	254	388	427	814	173	367	30	16	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	3 teams	—	616	546	100	17	1	10	58	225	4	27	12	183	266	273	539	90	286	37	9	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	3 teams	—	616	511	105	16	2	12	93	172	4	27	12	205	332	315	647	110	281	28	15	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	466	402	71	12	2	12	47	210	11	8	7	177	280	306	586	129	324	45	10	259	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	466	373	87	17	4	12	75	149	11	8	7	233	376	397	773	164	350	32	16	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	501	435	66	10	4	12	48	203	9	6	4	152	250	276	526	124	238	41	10	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	501	410	87	14	4	16	73	151	9	6	4	212	343	383	726	171	284	30	15	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	LAA	—	167	139	17	2	1	5	24	70	3	6	1	122	265	259	524	137	185	42	14	245	46	-10	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
YTD	23	A+	LAA	—	167	124	22	3	1	7	39	50	3	6	1	177	386	387	773	210	221	30	23	356	130	+6	+1	+0	+2	+5	1.3
ROS	23	A+	LAA	0%	153	133	21	3	1	4	17	60	2	3	1	158	263	286	549	128	244	39	11	253	52	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
ROS	23	MLB	LAA	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						243	0	0	241	43	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	LAA	—	168	140	17	2	1	5	24	70	3	6	1	121	263	257	521	136	182	42	14	245	46	-10	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
TOT	23	A+	LAA	—	320	272	38	5	2	9	41	130	5	9	2	140	264	272	536	132	215	41	13	249	49	-18	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	LAA	30%	548	475	80	13	3	15	61	205	7	7	3	168	273	303	576	135	252	37	11	265	61	-24	+0	+0	+6	+16	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	LAA	44%	579	503	89	15	3	17	64	210	7	7	3	177	279	320	599	143	256	36	11	272	66	-22	+0	+0	+6	+16	0.1
2029	26	MLB	LAA	51%	596	518	93	16	3	17	65	212	8	7	3	180	281	320	601	141	259	36	11	276	69	-21	+0	+0	+6	+17	0.3
2030	27	MLB	LAA	52%	602	523	95	16	3	18	66	212	8	7	3	182	283	327	610	145	259	35	11	277	70	-20	+0	+0	+6	+17	0.4
2031	28	MLB	LAA	53%	602	522	94	16	3	17	67	213	8	7	3	180	283	320	603	140	259	35	11	276	70	-21	+0	-1	+6	+17	0.2
2027	24	MLB	LAA	30%	166	145	24	4	1	4	18	62	2	2	1	166	267	290	556	124	251	37	11	254	53	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	LAA	44%	256	223	38	6	1	7	28	93	3	3	1	170	272	300	572	130	255	36	11	261	58	-12	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2029	26	MLB	LAA	51%	303	263	48	8	2	9	33	108	4	3	1	183	283	331	614	148	257	36	11	265	61	-13	+0	+0	+3	+9	-0.1
2030	27	MLB	LAA	52%	316	274	50	8	2	9	35	111	4	4	1	182	284	325	609	142	258	35	11	266	62	-14	+0	+0	+3	+9	-0.1
2031	28	MLB	LAA	53%	321	278	50	8	2	9	36	114	4	4	1	180	283	320	603	140	258	36	11	265	61	-14	+0	-0	+3	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1363	1184	210	34	8	38	150	488	17	16	5	177	279	316	595	139	258	36	11	263	60	-62	+1	-0	+15	+39	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	100	16	4	18	72	233	8	8	2	177	280	315	595	138	258	36	11	263	60	-30	+1	-0	+7	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	5307	4614	800	136	26	139	566	2014	76	104	49	173	274	305	579	131	265	38	11	262	59	-247	+1	-1	+57	+150	-4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	98	17	3	17	69	247	9	13	6	173	273	304	578	131	266	38	11	262	59	-30	+0	-0	+7	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Angels	—	175	143	25	3	3	5	28	49	4	4	2	175	326	343	668	168	225	28	16	310	95	-1	+0	—	—	+5	0.4
2022	19	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	469	382	97	23	2	13	76	142	8	21	8	254	388	427	814	173	367	30	16	367	139	+21	+1	—	—	+13	3.6
2023	20	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	60	53	9	0	0	1	4	24	1	0	0	170	241	226	468	57	276	40	7	214	22	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2023	20	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	480	390	85	15	2	9	82	133	2	24	11	218	357	336	692	118	303	28	17	319	103	+1	+0	—	—	+14	1.6
2023	20	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	76	68	11	1	0	2	7	15	1	3	1	162	250	265	515	103	176	20	9	241	43	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	21	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	224	183	38	4	2	1	31	75	5	4	5	208	336	268	604	60	343	33	14	285	76	-6	-1	—	—	+6	-0.1
2024	21	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	242	190	49	13	2	11	44	74	6	4	2	258	412	521	934	263	358	31	18	408	170	+19	+0	—	—	+7	2.7
2025	22	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	501	410	87	14	4	16	73	151	9	6	4	212	343	383	726	171	284	30	15	326	108	+4	-0	—	—	+14	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,363	39	16	179	278	321	+15	+6	0.5	0.5
	/162	664	19	8	179	278	321	+7.1	+2.9	0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adrian Placencia (OGILVIE)	23	30	45	45	60	140/264/272	132	215	9	9	41%	13%	49	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Michael Toglia 2022 · AA	23	37→34	47→55	49→45	41	190/260/325	135	291	15	9	38%	8%	61	-1.0	189/263/347	158	268	20	7	36%	9%	68	-0.5	189/268/367	178	253	24	7	34%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Yasel Antuna 2023 · AA	23	38→36	43→45	48→50	49	189/273/296	108	264	11	14	31%	10%	59	-1.1	189/270/286	97	280	9	13	33%	9%	55	-1.4	142/231/225	83	214	8	12	35%	9%	21	-1.5
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	35→40	45→55	45→50	43	180/260/303	123	268	12	7	36%	9%	55	-1.4	206/284/377	171	294	20	9	35%	9%	85	+0.7	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	47→50	44→40	39	181/246/309	128	264	15	5	36%	7%	50	-1.7	207/262/323	116	285	12	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	206/261/314	108	276	12	2	29%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Joe DeCarlo 2017 · A	23	37	46→55	47→30	44	188/274/317	128	274	14	2	35%	9%	65	-0.7	199/274/344	145	282	17	3	34%	7%	72	-0.2	184/260/325	141	260	18	0	35%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Andy Yerzy 2022 · AA	24	31	50	49→40	41	171/259/314	143	256	19	7	39%	8%	59	-1.1	192/268/329	137	263	16	6	32%	8%	66	-0.6	170/244/297	127	243	16	2	36%	8%	45	-1.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2018 · A	23	35	42→45	43→45	47	171/267/278	106	270	9	5	37%	11%	52	-1.6	184/252/283	99	267	8	7	32%	8%	46	-2.0	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Carson Blair 2013 · A	23	34	42→50	43→30	38	172/234/280	108	274	10	6	39%	7%	37	-2.6	197/267/331	134	321	13	4	39%	8%	65	-0.7	191/266/336	145	314	15	1	41%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Michael Pérez 2016 · A	23	34	41→50	42→40	41	176/240/273	97	255	9	4	33%	7%	38	-2.6	207/260/304	97	277	8	3	27%	6%	53	-1.5	221/281/340	119	284	13	0	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Zack Collins 2018 · AA	23	35→43	46→50	41→40	45	175/265/301	125	286	14	2	41%	11%	57	-1.2	193/291/339	146	301	16	3	37%	12%	78	+0.2	188/297/338	150	281	16	2	36%	13%	78	+0.2
✕Bobby Borchering 2014 · AA	23	36→42	48→50	41→30	37	189/245/324	135	278	16	3	37%	6%	53	-1.5	183/235/277	94	309	8	4	41%	6%	37	-2.7	152/190/217	65	262	5	2	43%	4%	-2	-2.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2023 · AA	23	39	46→45	42→45	52	198/293/324	126	277	14	6	32%	12%	75	-0.0	179/260/273	94	259	9	6	32%	9%	47	-1.9	150/237/225	75	215	8	4	32%	9%	24	-1.2
✕John Tolisano 2012 · AA	23	38→47	47→50	44→50	43	198/259/336	138	267	15	8	31%	8%	63	-0.9	209/273/336	127	272	12	11	26%	8%	68	-0.5	199/268/317	119	254	11	11	25%	8%	58	-0.6
✕Jose Acosta 2023 · A	23	37	46→45	49→55	36	188/247/315	127	295	14	16	40%	6%	52	-1.6	188/242/296	108	280	11	17	35%	6%	44	-2.1	162/209/252	91	232	8	22	33%	5%	16	-1.1
✕Luis García 2023 · AA	22	36→37	43→40	45	46	180/266/289	109	260	11	10	33%	10%	54	-1.4	189/281/286	97	308	9	10	38%	10%	59	-1.1	130/260/191	61	243	8	10	44%	13%	28	-0.8
✕Allan Cerda 2023 · AA	23	33→22	53→55	42→45	45	179/281/352	173	270	21	6	40%	10%	78	+0.2	172/266/319	147	292	18	8	44%	10%	63	-0.9	131/236/270	139	217	19	8	46%	10%	35	-0.9
✕Taylor Brennan 2015 · A	23	36→41	45	45	46	182/265/305	123	274	14	6	37%	10%	58	-1.2	186/265/279	93	322	7	8	40%	9%	50	-1.7	168/254/246	78	311	4	9	42%	9%	37	-1.5
✕Kyle McCann 2022 · AA	24	32→34	46→55	48→40	35	163/239/284	121	300	15	4	48%	8%	42	-2.3	205/277/381	176	328	25	4	42%	8%	83	+0.6	208/282/393	185	319	27	2	41%	8%	84	+0.3