Zach Zubia — OGILVIE

Zach Zubia1B Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 28 R/R 6'4" / 230 lbs AA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 220 proj PA

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .286 / .331

PA18

HR0

K%29

BB%10

ISO134

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	85	72	12	2	0	0	11	32	1	0	0	167	286	194	480	28	293	38	13	236	46	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2022	24	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	135	100	23	3	0	5	30	33	1	0	0	230	412	410	822	180	273	24	22	367	134	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2022	24	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	307	237	55	14	0	7	66	82	3	0	0	232	405	380	785	148	322	27	21	363	132	+12	+0	—	—	+7	1.9
2023	25	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	282	226	63	9	0	10	50	77	4	0	1	279	418	451	869	173	376	27	18	390	150	+17	-0	—	—	+6	2.3
2024	26	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	274	232	44	6	1	10	38	87	3	2	0	190	311	353	665	164	250	32	14	304	92	-3	+0	—	—	+6	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	85	76	8	1	0	0	7	45	1	0	0	105	190	118	309	13	240	53	8	150	-12	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-1.0
2022	24	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	135	108	21	3	0	5	22	44	1	0	0	194	336	361	697	167	237	33	16	307	94	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2022	24	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	307	252	42	10	0	6	51	120	3	0	0	167	314	278	592	111	280	39	17	272	70	-11	+0	—	—	+7	-0.4
2023	25	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	282	240	54	6	0	10	36	103	4	0	1	225	336	375	711	150	339	37	13	314	99	-0	-0	—	—	+6	0.5
2024	26	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	274	245	37	5	1	7	25	102	3	2	0	151	238	265	503	114	217	37	9	230	42	-19	+0	—	—	+6	-1.3
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	85	76	8	1	0	0	7	45	1	0	0	105	190	118	309	13	250	53	8	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	85	72	12	2	0	0	11	32	1	0	0	167	286	194	480	28	293	38	13	236	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	442	361	62	12	0	10	72	164	4	0	0	172	316	288	604	116	271	37	16	283	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	442	337	78	17	0	12	96	115	4	0	0	231	407	389	796	157	307	26	22	364	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	282	240	54	6	0	10	36	103	4	0	1	225	336	375	711	150	341	37	13	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	—	282	226	63	9	0	10	50	77	4	0	1	279	418	451	869	173	376	27	18	390	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	274	245	37	5	1	7	25	102	3	2	0	151	238	265	503	114	219	37	9	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	274	232	44	6	1	10	38	87	3	2	0	190	311	353	665	164	250	32	14	304	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	85	77	8	1	0	0	7	45	1	0	0	104	190	117	307	13	240	53	8	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	442	363	62	12	0	10	72	164	4	0	0	171	316	287	602	116	267	37	16	283	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	282	240	54	6	0	10	36	103	4	0	1	225	336	375	711	150	339	37	13	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	274	244	37	5	1	7	25	102	3	2	0	152	238	266	504	115	217	37	9	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	282	240	54	6	0	10	36	103	4	0	1	225	336	375	711	150	339	37	13	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	274	244	37	5	1	7	25	102	3	2	0	152	238	266	504	115	217	37	9	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	MIA	2%	18	16	3	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	188	278	250	528	62	263	28	11	282	77	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	MIA	23%	233	206	41	7	1	6	23	67	2	3	1	199	286	330	616	131	265	29	10	284	78	-6	+0	-1	-4	+5	-0.6
2027	29	MLB CTX	MIA	23%	53	47	9	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	191	283	298	581	106	257	28	9	269	78	-1	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	53	47	9	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	191	283	298	581	106	258	28	9	269	69	-1	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	111	25	0	12	61	184	12	12	0	193	283	299	582	106	261	28	9	269	69	-17	+2	-4	-12	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	1334	1144	205	32	2	33	165	486	14	5	2	179	290	297	587	118	271	36	12	270	69	-7	+0	-1	-4	+5	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	557	100	16	1	16	80	237	7	2	1	180	290	298	588	118	272	36	12	270	69	-17	+1	-4	-12	+14	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zach Zubia (OGILVIE)	28	20	46	45	53	198/286/331	133	263	6	3	29%	10%	77	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB	28	40→45	48→55	45→50	44	207/283/349	141	260	15	8	26%	7%	80	-0.2	210/276/339	129	270	14	11	27%	7%	74	-0.5	201/267/326	125	260	14	11	27%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Quincy Latimore 2017 · AA	28	39→43	46→50	45→50	42	204/258/334	130	266	14	7	29%	6%	65	-1.2	216/265/341	125	294	14	8	30%	6%	70	-0.9	218/256/337	119	286	16	6	29%	4%	62	-1.0
✕Jim Murphy 2014 · AA	28	43→44	48→50	42→30	42	217/275/360	143	285	16	2	29%	6%	78	-0.3	213/276/335	122	281	12	4	27%	7%	73	-0.6	196/266/309	113	256	11	1	27%	8%	61	-1.2
✕Matt Skole 2017 · AAA	28	37→41	47→50	46→40	46	198/264/330	132	248	16	3	27%	8%	68	-1.0	193/261/322	129	257	15	3	30%	8%	65	-1.2	179/255/300	121	244	14	1	31%	9%	57	-1.2
✕Brandon Larson 2004 · MLB	28	39→42	47→50	45	52	202/289/335	133	250	16	11	26%	10%	78	-0.3	224/295/372	148	288	17	7	27%	8%	88	+0.5	224/283/376	152	290	20	4	29%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	39	49→50	48→45	43	205/263/348	142	263	17	10	29%	7%	71	-0.8	223/279/369	146	284	18	8	27%	7%	82	-0.0	227/285/382	154	278	22	3	26%	6%	86	+0.1
✕Nick Podkul 2023 · AAA	26	40	45→50	48→50	46	199/285/316	117	280	13	9	32%	9%	73	-0.6	212/301/356	144	295	17	5	32%	9%	88	+0.4	207/301/369	163	277	20	1	31%	10%	87	+0.2
✕Jason Hart 2006 · AA	28	41→38	49→50	43→30	42	212/264/359	147	251	17	3	24%	5%	74	-0.5	211/259/358	147	261	18	4	26%	5%	72	-0.7	194/237/343	149	234	19	1	27%	4%	58	-1.2
✕Alex Burg 2016 · AAA	28	45→42	50	44→40	46	227/302/379	152	300	18	3	30%	9%	93	+0.8	209/268/339	130	274	14	5	28%	6%	71	-0.8	175/227/281	106	226	10	2	27%	5%	40	-1.5
✕Mike Hessman 2006 · MLB	28	32→36	51→60	43→45	40	182/250/336	154	240	20	6	33%	7%	65	-1.2	183/256/365	182	246	25	6	36%	8%	74	-0.6	189/269/386	197	255	26	4	36%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Darick Hall 2022 · AAA	27	39→38	47→55	41→40	45	201/277/338	137	259	14	4	27%	7%	75	-0.5	218/275/379	161	270	21	4	27%	6%	82	+0.0	213/268/368	155	261	21	3	27%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Richie Shaffer 2018 · MLB	27	36→39	47→55	46→40	41	187/260/320	133	278	16	5	37%	8%	64	-1.3	183/248/313	130	307	15	6	42%	7%	57	-1.8	117/175/233	116	202	14	0	49%	6%	9	-2.1
✕Jamie Romak 2014 · AAA	28	39→49	49→55	49→45	44	205/264/349	144	251	17	7	26%	6%	72	-0.7	209/266/372	163	281	19	6	32%	7%	78	-0.3	207/263/389	182	276	22	5	33%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Ben Guez 2015 · AAA	28	40→50	47→50	44→50	41	203/278/343	139	279	15	10	32%	7%	76	-0.4	208/285/351	143	308	16	16	36%	8%	80	-0.1	207/305/368	161	268	22	29	30%	11%	88	+0.1
✕Xavier Scruggs 2016 · MLB	28	42→46	47→50	42→45	44	211/285/345	133	287	15	6	31%	8%	79	-0.2	230/309/398	168	305	19	7	29%	9%	100	+1.3	227/313/418	191	295	24	4	30%	9%	104	+0.9
✕John-Ford Griffin 2008 · AAA	28	39→38	50	49→40	42	205/262/359	153	267	18	5	30%	7%	73	-0.6	222/281/361	139	289	14	6	27%	7%	80	-0.1	225/285/357	132	289	12	4	25%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Zack Zehner 2021 · AAA	28	40→50	45	44→45	39	203/257/325	122	289	12	6	33%	6%	63	-1.4	219/286/331	112	334	10	12	34%	8%	75	-0.5	211/285/307	97	333	7	12	36%	9%	67	-0.5
✕Caleb Hamilton 2023 · MLB	28	36	49→45	48→45	48	188/278/328	140	274	17	6	36%	11%	73	-0.6	176/256/294	118	278	14	7	39%	9%	57	-1.8	108/194/188	80	170	12	5	42%	9%	8	-1.3
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2014 · AAA	28	38→46	53→55	47→50	42	205/259/385	181	253	20	8	28%	6%	78	-0.3	220/267/379	159	256	17	8	21%	6%	80	-0.2	233/278/405	172	262	21	11	20%	6%	88	+0.3
✕D.J. Peterson 2019 · AAA	27	43→44	46→50	45→40	38	218/260/343	124	285	14	5	28%	5%	68	-1.0	208/258/334	126	284	14	8	31%	5%	65	-1.2	161/236/309	147	213	20	2	34%	7%	51	-1.0