Shervyen Newton — OGILVIE

Shervyen NewtonSS Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 27 S/R 6'3" / 209 lbs A+ HR -5%BB +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .251 / .305

PA178

HR4

K%38

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.2peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$-5M		$-16M	-$11M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Mets 2	150	126	16	4	1	0	14	46	10	0	5	.127	.267	.175	.441	.048	.200	31	9	.200	11	-15	-2	+0	+2	+4	-1.1
2017	18	ROK	DSL Mets 2	303	261	63	8	7	1	30	82	4	10	4	.241	.329	.337	.666	.096	.343	27	10	.294	83	-6	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.7
2018	19	ROK	Kingsport Mets	266	225	44	11	1	4	28	119	4	4	0	.196	.296	.307	.602	.111	.364	45	11	.272	66	-10	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.1
2019	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	423	400	55	9	1	7	19	190	2	1	4	.138	.181	.217	.398	.080	.236	45	4	.180	-4	-50	-1	+0	+5	+12	-3.5
2021	22	A	St. Lucie Mets	142	123	14	4	0	1	13	85	2	1	1	.114	.210	.171	.381	.057	.325	60	9	.183	-2	-16	-0	+0	+2	+4	-1.1
2022	23	A+	2 teams	475	431	68	16	2	10	30	219	9	1	1	.158	.228	.274	.501	.116	.282	46	6	.222	28	-39	-0	+0	+5	+13	-2.1
2023	24	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	366	332	59	14	3	10	29	150	2	3	1	.178	.248	.328	.576	.151	.283	41	8	.249	49	-21	+0	+0	+4	+10	-0.7
2024	25	A+	3 teams	212	195	28	4	0	5	12	98	3	1	0	.144	.205	.241	.446	.097	.247	46	6	.202	13	-21	+0	+0	+2	+6	-1.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	KC	178	161	30	6	1	4	13	67	2	3	1	.186	.256	.311	.566	.124	.279	38	7	.253	52	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB 8%	KC	222	201	38	7	1	5	17	80	2	3	1	.189	.259	.308	.568	.119	.281	36	8	.259	57	-11	+0	-1	+2	+6	-0.3
2028	29	MLB 18%	KC	272	247	48	9	1	7	21	96	2	3	1	.194	.263	.324	.587	.130	.281	35	8	.262	59	-13	+0	-1	+3	+8	-0.3
2029	30	MLB 28%	KC	307	277	53	10	1	7	24	108	3	3	0	.191	.263	.310	.574	.119	.280	35	8	.262	59	-14	+1	-2	+3	+9	-0.4
2030	31	MLB 39%	KC	310	280	53	10	1	7	24	109	3	1	0	.189	.261	.307	.568	.118	.279	35	8	.260	57	-15	+0	-3	+3	+9	-0.6
2031	32	MLB 49%	KC	303	273	52	10	1	7	24	108	3	0	0	.190	.263	.311	.575	.121	.277	36	8	.255	53	-16	+0	-4	+3	+9	-0.8
2032	33	MLB 63%	KC	280	254	47	9	1	6	22	102	2	0	0	.185	.255	.299	.555	.114	.275	36	8	.250	49	-16	+0	-4	+3	+8	-0.9
2033	34	MLB 80%	KC	242	219	39	7	1	5	19	90	2	0	0	.178	.250	.288	.538	.110	.273	37	8	.243	45	-15	+0	-5	+3	+7	-1.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4451	4005	707	138	23	86	339	1749	55	34	19	.177	.250	.287	.537	.110	.282	39	8	.241	43	-288	-1	-20	+48	+126	-13.7
/ 162G	—			650	585	103	20	3	13	50	255	8	5	3	.176	.251	.287	.538	.111	.280	39	8	.241	43	-42	-0	-3	+7	+18	-2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Mets 2	150	118	20	5	1	0	22	32	10	0	5	.169	.347	.229	.575	.059	.233	21	15	.289	80	-3	-2	—	—	+4	-0.1
2017	18	ROK	DSL Mets 2	303	241	75	11	9	1	50	57	4	10	4	.311	.437	.444	.881	.133	.398	19	17	.388	155	+19	+0	—	—	+9	2.8
2018	19	ROK	Kingsport Mets	266	207	58	16	2	5	46	84	4	4	0	.280	.420	.449	.870	.169	.421	32	17	.379	148	+15	+1	—	—	+8	2.3
2019	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	423	382	80	15	2	9	37	139	2	1	4	.209	.283	.330	.613	.120	.303	33	9	.277	71	-14	-1	—	—	+12	-0.4
2021	22	A	St. Lucie Mets	142	116	22	6	0	2	20	58	2	1	1	.190	.319	.293	.612	.103	.339	41	14	.281	74	-4	-0	—	—	+4	-0.0
2022	23	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	378	327	65	13	3	8	39	134	8	1	1	.199	.299	.330	.629	.131	.303	35	10	.287	78	-10	-0	—	—	+11	0.1
2022	23	A	St. Lucie Mets	97	84	25	9	0	4	10	29	1	0	0	.298	.379	.548	.927	.250	.404	30	10	.396	162	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2023	24	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	366	324	72	17	3	15	37	119	2	3	1	.222	.306	.432	.738	.210	.298	33	10	.324	106	+3	+0	—	—	+10	1.3
2024	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	62	54	8	2	0	1	7	26	0	1	0	.148	.246	.241	.487	.093	.259	42	11	.227	32	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	25	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	129	116	26	3	0	5	9	42	3	0	0	.224	.297	.379	.676	.155	.300	33	7	.303	90	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
2024	25	ROK	ACL Royals	21	19	3	1	0	1	2	9	0	0	0	.158	.238	.368	.607	.211	.222	43	10	.270	65	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Shervyen Newton (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	.183/.251/.305	.121	.279	4	3	38%	7%	52	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→25	45→55	48→50	35	.184/.240/.304	.120	.279	13	9	38%	5%	46	-2.0	.211/.271/.326	.115	.298	10	10	31%	5%	66	-0.6	.215/.285/.308	.094	.297	6	9	28%	4%	64	-0.2
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→30	47→50	50	44	.181/.258/.318	.137	.259	15	13	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.189/.267/.321	.132	.273	16	12	35%	9%	63	-0.9	.160/.249/.296	.136	.218	19	12	36%	9%	46	-1.0
✕Camden Duzenack 2022 · AAA	27	35→37	49→50	50	35	.190/.239/.328	.138	.268	18	9	36%	5%	52	-1.6	.214/.262/.346	.132	.279	14	11	28%	5%	66	-0.6	.215/.267/.343	.129	.269	14	10	25%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→30	47→45	50→45	43	.183/.260/.318	.135	.266	15	9	36%	9%	59	-1.1	.181/.252/.301	.120	.260	14	10	34%	8%	51	-1.7	.130/.207/.227	.097	.172	15	8	34%	8%	11	-2.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	46→45	43	.181/.257/.295	.114	.275	12	9	37%	9%	52	-1.6	.181/.267/.319	.138	.277	18	6	38%	10%	63	-0.9	.145/.237/.274	.129	.209	19	3	39%	10%	37	-0.8
✕Jason Delay 2022 · AAA	27	38	47→45	48→40	33	.198/.238/.325	.127	.287	15	6	36%	4%	50	-1.7	.216/.269/.301	.085	.295	5	5	27%	6%	56	-1.3	.226/.285/.301	.075	.297	3	2	23%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA	27	36	43→45	48→30	43	.183/.252/.292	.109	.264	10	5	33%	8%	48	-1.9	.194/.265/.297	.103	.312	9	6	37%	9%	55	-1.4	.125/.205/.184	.059	.260	4	0	49%	9%	0	-1.2
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA	27	40→38	43→50	47→30	40	.197/.265/.308	.111	.291	11	5	34%	7%	58	-1.2	.199/.260/.292	.093	.305	9	6	35%	7%	51	-1.7	.163/.224/.224	.061	.249	8	0	36%	7%	16	-1.3
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→55	36	.179/.243/.270	.091	.285	8	11	38%	6%	39	-2.5	.186/.268/.305	.119	.285	12	20	36%	9%	59	-1.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Mark Thomas 2015 · AA	27	34→41	46→50	47→45	35	.183/.228/.309	.126	.257	13	5	34%	5%	42	-2.3	.176/.234/.300	.124	.274	12	6	38%	6%	43	-2.2	.136/.196/.257	.121	.201	11	6	37%	6%	13	-1.6
✕Patrick Dorrian 2023 · AAA	27	38→37	50→55	47→45	41	.196/.266/.350	.154	.290	19	6	38%	8%	70	-0.3	.196/.260/.343	.147	.289	18	6	37%	7%	65	-0.7	.181/.245/.318	.137	.261	18	5	37%	7%	49	-1.0
✕Colt Morton 2009 · MLB	27	38	47→50	46→30	41	.195/.264/.331	.136	.277	15	3	34%	7%	64	-0.8	.201/.256/.340	.139	.280	16	6	33%	6%	63	-0.9	.170/.220/.361	.191	.196	26	0	30%	5%	50	-0.3
✕Mark Contreras 2022 · AAA	27	38	49→50	50→55	37	.194/.258/.343	.149	.284	16	15	36%	6%	65	-0.7	.203/.264/.339	.136	.292	16	23	35%	6%	66	-0.6	.192/.256/.306	.115	.275	14	30	34%	6%	50	-1.2
✕Craig Dedelow 2022 · AA	27	35→34	48→50	43→45	35	.186/.240/.326	.140	.284	17	5	40%	6%	52	-1.6	.185/.258/.341	.156	.335	19	11	47%	8%	64	-0.8	.157/.241/.320	.162	.292	21	14	50%	9%	50	-1.6
✕Jason Martinson 2016 · AAA	27	39→41	45→50	53→50	38	.194/.254/.310	.115	.295	13	13	37%	7%	53	-1.5	.183/.238/.299	.116	.306	12	10	42%	5%	44	-2.1	.161/.214/.274	.113	.283	11	8	45%	5%	24	-2.1
✕Corey Ray 2022 · AAA	27	41→36	47→50	49→55	34	.203/.250/.338	.134	.320	15	10	40%	6%	59	-1.1	.205/.246/.362	.157	.304	19	14	38%	5%	63	-0.8	.170/.208/.329	.159	.248	21	16	40%	4%	37	-1.4
✕Joe Dunand 2023 · AAA	27	38→46	45→50	49→45	38	.190/.256/.311	.120	.289	12	8	37%	6%	55	-1.4	.222/.290/.373	.151	.314	17	7	33%	7%	85	+0.7	.230/.304/.404	.174	.313	21	4	32%	8%	96	+1.0
✕Edwin Díaz 2023 · AAA	27	33→34	49→50	50→40	32	.173/.227/.312	.138	.301	19	6	47%	6%	43	-2.2	.184/.242/.328	.144	.295	18	7	42%	7%	54	-1.4	.178/.259/.338	.160	.225	21	5	31%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Ryan Aguilar 2022 · AA	27	38→41	43→45	50	41	.181/.265/.280	.099	.307	11	12	42%	9%	52	-1.6	.204/.296/.339	.135	.334	15	13	39%	10%	80	+0.4	.217/.319/.382	.165	.335	19	13	37%	12%	95	+0.9
✕Madison Stokes 2023 · AAA	27	38→36	43→45	49→40	35	.186/.243/.299	.112	.305	11	9	41%	6%	46	-2.0	.192/.271/.300	.108	.306	9	9	37%	9%	59	-1.1	.176/.270/.275	.099	.273	8	6	35%	10%	49	-1.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)