Brenden DixonSS
Altoona Curve
Age 25
R/R
5'11" / 205 lbs
AA
BB +7%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†50
AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .252 / .293
PA229
HR5
SB5
K%38
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
25→25
PWR
35→35
SPD
55→55
EYE
49↗55
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.1peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-2M | $-15M | -$13M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Pirates Gold | 43 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .250 | .372 | .500 | .872 | .250 | .412 | 40 | 14 | .331 | 111 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 347 | 303 | 45 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 148 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .149 | .254 | .241 | .495 | .092 | .265 | 43 | 11 | .229 | 33 | -26 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +10 | -1.2 |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 263 | 231 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 99 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .152 | .240 | .299 | .539 | .147 | .211 | 38 | 9 | .243 | 44 | -17 | -1 | +0 | +3 | +7 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | 2 teams | 239 | 219 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 100 | 2 | 7 | 0 | .151 | .218 | .283 | .502 | .132 | .223 | 42 | 7 | .221 | 27 | -20 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +7 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | 215 | 192 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 84 | 2 | 9 | 2 | .146 | .226 | .224 | .450 | .078 | .234 | 39 | 8 | .201 | 12 | -21 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +6 | -1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 229 | 206 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 88 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .175 | .251 | .286 | .538 | .112 | .271 | 38 | 8 | .251 | 50 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +6 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 11% | PIT | 309 | 276 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 114 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .185 | .265 | .312 | .576 | .127 | .275 | 37 | 9 | .260 | 57 | -15 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 26% | PIT | 346 | 310 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 124 | 3 | 7 | 2 | .187 | .265 | .313 | .578 | .126 | .276 | 36 | 9 | .265 | 61 | -15 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 38% | PIT | 370 | 330 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 131 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .188 | .270 | .309 | .579 | .121 | .277 | 35 | 9 | .266 | 62 | -16 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | PIT | 375 | 335 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 133 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .185 | .266 | .304 | .571 | .119 | .276 | 35 | 9 | .266 | 62 | -16 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 56% | PIT | 379 | 338 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 135 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .183 | .266 | .302 | .568 | .118 | .275 | 36 | 9 | .263 | 59 | -17 | +1 | -2 | +4 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 66% | PIT | 367 | 328 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 133 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .186 | .266 | .308 | .574 | .122 | .273 | 36 | 9 | .259 | 56 | -18 | +1 | -3 | +4 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 84% | PIT | 350 | 313 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 128 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .182 | .262 | .297 | .559 | .115 | .271 | 37 | 9 | .254 | 53 | -19 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 322 | 288 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 120 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .177 | .257 | .288 | .545 | .111 | .269 | 37 | 9 | .249 | 49 | -19 | +1 | -4 | +3 | +9 | -1.0 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 279 | 251 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 107 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .171 | .249 | .279 | .528 | .108 | .267 | 38 | 9 | .243 | 44 | -18 | +1 | -5 | +3 | +8 | -1.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4433 | 3956 | 693 | 120 | 16 | 105 | 395 | 1661 | 44 | 81 | 13 | .175 | .258 | .293 | .551 | .118 | .265 | 37 | 9 | .251 | 50 | -249 | +11 | -20 | +47 | +126 | -8.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 580 | 101 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 58 | 244 | 6 | 12 | 2 | .174 | .256 | .290 | .546 | .116 | .265 | 38 | 9 | .251 | 50 | -37 | +2 | -3 | +7 | +18 | -1.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Pirates Gold | 43 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .312 | .488 | .594 | 1.082 | .281 | .444 | 28 | 23 | .470 | 218 | +6 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.7 |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 347 | 289 | 60 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 53 | 104 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .208 | .338 | .346 | .684 | .138 | .292 | 30 | 15 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +1 | — | — | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 263 | 215 | 47 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 76 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .219 | .349 | .437 | .786 | .219 | .273 | 29 | 15 | .345 | 122 | +7 | -1 | — | — | +7 | 1.3 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 15 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .143 | .200 | .357 | .557 | .214 | .167 | 47 | 7 | .246 | 46 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +0 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Altoona Curve | 224 | 197 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 69 | 2 | 6 | 0 | .188 | .283 | .340 | .623 | .152 | .240 | 31 | 11 | .283 | 75 | -6 | +1 | — | — | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | 215 | 182 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 63 | 2 | 9 | 2 | .176 | .288 | .264 | .551 | .088 | .246 | 29 | 13 | .258 | 55 | -11 | +1 | — | — | +6 | -0.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Brenden Dixon (OGILVIE) | 25 | 25 | 35 | 55 | 55 | .175/.252/.293 | .118 | .271 | 5 | 5 | 38% | 8% | 50 | -0.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA |
25 | 36 | 45→50 | 48→50 | 37 | .186/.248/.306 | .120 | .290 | 14 | 12 | 39% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .185/.245/.287 | .102 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 36% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .153/.212/.244 | .092 | .224 | 3 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 14 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA |
25 | 35 | 41→45 | 50→45 | 39 | .177/.239/.273 | .095 | .270 | 8 | 7 | 36% | 7% | 37 | -2.6 | .200/.266/.312 | .112 | .290 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.265/.302 | .110 | .270 | 10 | 5 | 31% | 8% | 52 | -0.8 |
|
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA |
25 | 34→29 | 46→45 | 49→50 | 44 | .182/.254/.300 | .117 | .244 | 15 | 18 | 31% | 8% | 52 | -1.6 | .203/.279/.317 | .114 | .274 | 13 | 12 | 29% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .204/.281/.310 | .106 | .271 | 11 | 8 | 28% | 9% | 64 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA |
25 | 42→32 | 43→40 | 46→50 | 37 | .201/.264/.310 | .109 | .312 | 11 | 11 | 37% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .206/.279/.294 | .088 | .335 | 7 | 14 | 38% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .202/.285/.272 | .070 | .341 | 4 | 17 | 38% | 8% | 54 | -0.8 |
|
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA |
25 | 37→40 | 46→50 | 51→50 | 38 | .193/.251/.319 | .126 | .276 | 14 | 14 | 35% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .200/.261/.341 | .141 | .304 | 17 | 11 | 38% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .192/.258/.339 | .147 | .301 | 18 | 10 | 40% | 7% | 59 | -0.7 |
|
✕Cadyn Grenier 2022 · AAA |
25 | 40→37 | 42→40 | 48→50 | 39 | .191/.265/.291 | .100 | .313 | 9 | 10 | 39% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .196/.279/.296 | .100 | .292 | 8 | 13 | 33% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .175/.272/.270 | .095 | .250 | 7 | 16 | 30% | 10% | 50 | -1.1 |
|
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA |
25 | 39→33 | 44→45 | 48→45 | 42 | .196/.263/.315 | .118 | .271 | 12 | 9 | 31% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .204/.262/.318 | .114 | .295 | 12 | 7 | 33% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .195/.242/.316 | .121 | .282 | 13 | 0 | 35% | 5% | 50 | -0.5 |
|
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA |
25 | 39→38 | 46→50 | 54→55 | 43 | .195/.275/.328 | .133 | .280 | 14 | 16 | 34% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .196/.270/.305 | .109 | .263 | 10 | 17 | 28% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .156/.241/.247 | .091 | .208 | 8 | 20 | 27% | 8% | 30 | -1.4 |
|
✕Marty Bechina 2022 · AAA |
25 | 35→34 | 45 | 47→45 | 31 | .179/.230/.302 | .123 | .296 | 13 | 8 | 42% | 5% | 41 | -2.3 | .186/.258/.305 | .119 | .310 | 12 | 9 | 41% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .167/.257/.278 | .111 | .280 | 12 | 8 | 41% | 8% | 44 | -1.4 |
|
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA |
25 | 36→35 | 45 | 51→55 | 38 | .187/.245/.306 | .118 | .262 | 14 | 14 | 33% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .203/.276/.332 | .129 | .299 | 15 | 15 | 35% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .230/.309/.359 | .129 | .323 | 13 | 18 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA |
24 | 40→30 | 46→45 | 50 | 37 | .202/.259/.333 | .131 | .288 | 14 | 12 | 34% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .210/.268/.306 | .096 | .313 | 9 | 17 | 34% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .216/.274/.290 | .074 | .331 | 7 | 24 | 35% | 6% | 53 | -1.0 |
|
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA |
25 | 40 | 45 | 51→50 | 44 | .199/.282/.323 | .124 | .278 | 13 | 13 | 32% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .204/.293/.301 | .097 | .284 | 9 | 11 | 29% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.289/.271 | .075 | .275 | 6 | 10 | 28% | 9% | 57 | -0.6 |
|
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA |
26 | 38 | 43→45 | 51→50 | 40 | .188/.263/.297 | .108 | .296 | 12 | 13 | 38% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .201/.277/.307 | .106 | .299 | 10 | 14 | 34% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .196/.298/.302 | .106 | .259 | 11 | 24 | 26% | 10% | 67 | -0.1 |
|
✕Trevor Schwecke 2023 · AAA |
25 | 40 | 43→45 | 42→50 | 39 | .196/.257/.308 | .111 | .294 | 11 | 7 | 36% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .222/.280/.337 | .115 | .319 | 10 | 13 | 32% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .230/.289/.344 | .113 | .326 | 10 | 17 | 30% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA |
25 | 39→29 | 40→45 | 50→55 | 38 | .192/.256/.284 | .092 | .277 | 8 | 12 | 32% | 5% | 48 | -1.9 | .179/.255/.283 | .104 | .283 | 9 | 15 | 37% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .181/.273/.314 | .132 | .266 | 14 | 28 | 35% | 10% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jacob Nottingham 2020 · MLB |
25 | 37→47 | 43→45 | 48→50 | 37 | .186/.255/.296 | .110 | .281 | 10 | 9 | 36% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .202/.271/.348 | .146 | .295 | 18 | 11 | 36% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .185/.263/.338 | .153 | .248 | 21 | 12 | 34% | 6% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jason Martinson 2014 · AA |
25 | 37→41 | 47→50 | 54→50 | 38 | .191/.258/.322 | .131 | .293 | 16 | 15 | 39% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .193/.251/.307 | .114 | .301 | 13 | 14 | 38% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .168/.226/.281 | .113 | .280 | 13 | 8 | 43% | 6% | 31 | -2.1 |
|
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A |
25 | 38 | 43→40 | 50 | 47 | .190/.271/.298 | .108 | .259 | 11 | 13 | 30% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .198/.292/.298 | .100 | .275 | 9 | 11 | 29% | 10% | 68 | -0.5 | .183/.296/.269 | .086 | .255 | 8 | 11 | 28% | 12% | 59 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA |
24 | 38 | 42→50 | 52→45 | 40 | .189/.250/.291 | .102 | .286 | 10 | 11 | 36% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .204/.266/.313 | .109 | .307 | 11 | 9 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .164/.224/.258 | .094 | .235 | 10 | 0 | 33% | 7% | 25 | -0.6 |
|
✕Ryan Dorow 2021 · AA |
25 | 42 | 42→45 | 49→45 | 39 | .202/.266/.305 | .102 | .304 | 10 | 9 | 35% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .208/.272/.333 | .125 | .293 | 12 | 6 | 31% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .201/.266/.328 | .127 | .277 | 12 | 3 | 30% | 7% | 60 | -0.7 |