Andres Cova

P ACL Angels

Age 22 LHP 6'2" / 165 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKLAA	11	10	38	3.08	2.86	31.0%	16.4%	—	K 21.1% · BB 20.5% · FIP 4.33
2025	20	ROKLAA	4	0	8	6.75	3.48	31.4%	11.4%	—	K 31.4% · BB 11.4% · FIP 3.46
2026	21	MIX2 levels	26	0	29	5.22	3.92	30.4%	16.7%	—	K 23.1% · BB 20.6% · FIP 4.51
2027PROJ	22	MLBLAA	14	0	15	5.36	5.36	23.2%	17.6%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBLAA	12	0	13	5.07	4.94	23.9%	14.9%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsBrendan Nail (age 23) · Jeff Belge (age 23) · Jackson Lancaster (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119127vR 135

ERA5.36

FIP5.36

K%23.2%

BB%17.6%

K-BB%5.6%

Proj IP15

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	11	10	38	171	53	28	1	91%	3.5	21.1%	20.5%	0.6%	0.8%	3.08	4.33	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	11	10	38	171	53	28	1	91%	3.5	21.1%	20.5%	0.6%	0.8%	3.08	4.33	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	11	10	38	171	53	28	1	91%	3.5	31.0%	16.4%	14.6%	0.6%	3.08	2.86	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	4	0	8	35	11	4	1	0%	2.0	31.4%	11.4%	20.0%	2.9%	6.75	3.46	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	4	0	8	35	11	4	1	0%	2.0	31.4%	11.4%	20.0%	2.9%	6.75	3.46	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	4	0	8	35	11	4	1	0%	2.0	31.4%	11.4%	20.0%	2.9%	6.75	3.48	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	29	138	42	23	3	0%	1.1	23.1%	20.6%	2.5%	1.4%	5.22	4.51	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	29	138	42	23	3	0%	1.1	23.1%	20.6%	2.5%	1.4%	5.22	4.51	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	29	138	42	23	3	0%	1.1	30.4%	16.7%	13.8%	2.2%	5.22	3.92	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	LAA	14	0	15	63	15	11	2	0%	1.1	23.2%	17.6%	5.6%	2.9%	5.36	5.36	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	LAA	26	0	27	116	28	17	3	0%	1.1	23.9%	14.9%	9.0%	2.9%	5.07	4.94	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	LAA	12	0	13	55	13	8	2	0%	1.1	23.9%	14.9%	9.0%	2.9%	5.07	4.94	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	13	57	14	8	2	0%	1.0	23.9%	14.9%	9.0%	2.9%	5.07	4.56	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	208	119	30	0%	1.1	23.9%	14.9%	9.0%	2.9%	5.07	4.56	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		41	10	75	344	79	67	4	24%	1.8	22.9%	19.6%	3.3%	1.2%	4.30	4.31	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		109	27	200	913	210	179	11	24%	1.8	22.9%	19.6%	3.3%	1.2%	4.30	4.31	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andres Cova (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.36	23.2%	17.6%	2.9%	—	4.94	23.9%	9.0%	27	-0.42	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	87
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	83
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	82
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	81
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	81
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	81
Angel Hernandez L 2022 · 5.53 FIP	22	SU	5.53	23.4%	21.0%	3.2%	.262	4.36	21.2%	1.6%	123	-1.17	3.33	182	81
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	81
Nick Jones L 2022 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	22.3%	17.9%	1.3%	.284	3.63	21.7%	12.0%	143	-0.58	1.32	201	80
Evan Taylor L 2022 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	28.1%	16.5%	2.7%	.304	3.19	21.9%	10.0%	150	-1.12	3.09	225	80
Renyel Pinto L 2006 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	26.7%	20.0%	2.2%	.246	4.42	21.2%	7.6%	185	-0.18	3.58	231	79
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	79
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	79
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	78
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.89	22.1%	8.8%	105	-0.31	3.14	161	78
Carlos Rey L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	22	SU	4.47	26.1%	22.0%	1.4%	.297	4.30	25.5%	5.4%	108	-0.17	3.90	165	78
Felix Polanco L 2022 · 5.19 FIP	22	SU	5.19	18.7%	19.9%	2.1%	.290	3.68	18.8%	12.8%	27	-1.51	3.68	105	77
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	77
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	77
Kyle Dohy L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	22	SU	4.42	25.4%	19.7%	1.8%	.361	3.28	28.3%	14.8%	54	-1.14	2.69	167	77