Eduardo Beltre

OF Fort Myers Mighty Mussels
Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKMIN181.326/.458/.618111080—.197/.318/.355
202518A/ROKMIN303.186/.300/.32672523—.137/.223/.245
202619AMIN67.242/.299/.3873345—.190/.239/.286
2027PROJMLE20MLBMIN257.192/.256/.3106559-0.2
2028PROJ25% MLB21MLBMIN30.198/.264/.3291166-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Max EV69
Whiff%69
Z-Con%55
K%41
Speed39
Chase%32
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%
CompsBrayan Buelvas (age 21) · Jose Meza (age 20) · Wilfredo Lara (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj PA
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .254 / .308
PA73
HR2
K%26
BB%7
ISO119
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +1.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Twins — 181144 479011 28437 104 3264586181.076 292391 2415 462 80 — — — — — —
202518 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 10893 14302 14281 62 151269247516 97190 2613 247 11 — — — — — —
202518 ROKFCL Twins — 195165 341015 21466 193 206318370687 164248 2411 309 29 — — — — — —
202619 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 6762 15003 5180 31 242299387686 145293 277 307 45 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Twins — 181152 30606 20527 104 197318355674 158236 2911 287 80 — — — — — —
202518 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 10897 12202 10381 62 124213206419 82170 359 185 11 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Twins — 195173 25714 13666 193 145229266495 121185 347 211 29 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 6763 12002 4240 31 190239286525 95274 366 234 45 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Twins — 181152 30606 20527 104 197318355674 158250 2911 287 80 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Twins — 181144 479011 28437 104 3264586181.076 292391 2415 462 80 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 303270 36915 231057 255 133220230450 96190 358 202 23 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAW2 teams — 303258 481317 35747 255 186300326626 140228 2412 287 23 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 6763 12002 4240 31 190239286525 95270 366 234 45 — — — — — —
202619 A RAWFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 6762 15003 5180 31 242299387686 145293 277 307 45 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Twins — 181152 30606 20527 104 197318355674 158236 2911 287 80 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 303270 36915 231057 255 133220230450 96180 358 202 23 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 6763 12002 4240 31 190239286525 95274 366 234 45 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Twins — 181152 30606 20527 104 197318355674 158236 2911 287 80 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 303270 36915 231057 255 133220230450 96180 358 202 23 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 6763 12002 4240 31 190239286525 95274 366 234 45 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEMIN 0% 257235 45816 17673 51 192256310566 119239 267 256 59 -13 +1 -1 -2 +6 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEMIN 25% 122111 22413 9311 31 198264329593 131242 257 266 66 -5 +0 -0 -1 +3 -0.3
202821 MLB CTXMIN 25% 3028 6101 280 10 198264329593 131242 277 267 66 -1 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3028 6101 280 10 214267357624 143263 277 267 49 -1 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650607 13122022 431730 220 216268361628 145265 277 267 49 -26 +4 -1 -4 +14 -1.3
Career— MLE — 746663 11221218 6123116 4311 169255288543 119224 318 241 49 -8 +1 -0 -1 +4 -0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650578 9818216 5320114 3710 170256291546 121224 318 241 49 -28 +2 -2 -4 +14 -1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 67 PAwOBA .299 → .234 (−64)K% 26.9% → 36.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.87%÷1.000×1.360——36.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.46%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0305.30%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0300.00%
Singles /BIP27.27%÷1.000×0.920—×1.03025.84%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0300.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP6.82%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0305.62%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .299 → .234; ISO .145 → .106; BABIP .293 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Twins · 195 PAwOBA .306 → .211 (−95)K% 23.6% → 34.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.59%÷0.998×1.440——34.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.77%÷0.981×0.620—×1.0086.86%
HBP% /PA3.08%—×0.720—×1.0082.23%
Singles /BIP15.13%÷1.028×0.820×0.970×1.00811.79%
Doubles /BIP8.40%÷0.979×0.720×0.970×1.0086.04%
Triples /BIP0.84%÷1.000×0.720×0.970×1.0080.59%
Home runs /BIP4.20%÷1.006×0.780—×1.0083.28%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 106, 2B 96, 3B 100, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .306 → .211; ISO .164 → .115; BABIP .248 → .185. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 108 PAwOBA .241 → .185 (−56)K% 25.9% → 35.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.93%÷0.994×1.360——35.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.96%÷1.054×0.690—×1.0458.86%
HBP% /PA0.93%—×0.780—×1.0450.75%
Singles /BIP13.85%÷1.029×0.920×0.980×1.04512.68%
Doubles /BIP4.62%÷1.032×0.830×0.980×1.0453.80%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×0.980×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP3.08%÷0.898×0.800—×1.0452.87%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .241 → .185; ISO .097 → .079; BABIP .190 → .170. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Twins · 181 PAwOBA .455 → .287 (−168)K% 23.8% → 29.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.76%÷1.000×1.220——29.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.47%÷1.010×0.700—×1.00810.81%
HBP% /PA3.87%—×0.700—×1.0082.73%
Singles /BIP26.73%÷1.038×0.680×0.990×1.00817.47%
Doubles /BIP8.91%÷1.006×0.600×0.990×1.0085.30%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.115×0.600×0.990×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP10.89%÷0.939×0.470—×1.0085.49%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 108, 2B 101, 3B 123, K 100, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .455 → .287; ISO .292 → .157; BABIP .391 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).