Rayne Doncon

3B Cedar Rapids Kernels
Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 176 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2393ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420A+/AMIN407.254/.344/.43111660—.195/.265/.320
202521A+/AMIN176.187/.280/.3034224—.143/.211/.230
202622A+MIN198.137/.230/.263523—.105/.173/.199
2027PROJMLE23MLBMIN1.207/.272/.3280068-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB24MLBMIN46.212/.277/.3401073-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB25MLBMIN95.215/.281/.3472176-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.2M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
K%78
Whiff%60
ISO38
BB%35
Speed34
Chase%30
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsJacob Amaya (age 23) · Kyler Fedko (age 23) · Jake Noll (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†68
AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .272 / .328
PA1
HR0
K%25
BB%8
BABIP262
ISO125
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +2.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 46
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT44
scouting grade only
POWER46
scouting grade only
EYE53
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Arb-1$0.2M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202117 ROKDSL LAD Bautista — 11999 28423 16282 71 283393455848 172357 2413 373 38 — — — — — —
202218 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 4340 10003 350 00 250302475777 225219 127 341 61 — — — — — —
202218 ROKACL Dodgers — 215199 511619 15380 62 256308482791 226275 187 344 58 — — — — — —
202319 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 473427 9221114 361036 32 215286368653 152248 228 292 40 — — — — — —
202420 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels — 244217 511137 24513 33 235320410730 175277 2110 326 50 — — — — — —
202420 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 163138 391304 21381 31 283381464845 181354 2313 370 74 — — — — — —
202521 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels — 11096 14113 13320 00 146248271519 125177 2912 240 9 — — — — — —
202521 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 6659 15301 7110 20 254333356689 102298 1711 315 49 — — — — — —
202622 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels — 198175 24705 20371 20 137230263492 126142 1910 227 3 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202117 ROK MLEDSL LAD Bautista — 119105 17211 10352 71 162248229476 67219 298 225 38 — — — — — —
202218 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 4341 9002 270 00 220256366622 146208 165 258 61 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 215204 391217 10550 62 191229363592 172223 265 254 58 — — — — — —
202319 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 473437 7616110 261446 32 174230284514 110227 305 228 40 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 244224 42825 17673 33 188254308562 121239 277 242 50 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 163145 301003 14521 31 207281338619 131281 329 278 74 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 110100 11112 9410 00 110183200383 90154 378 182 9 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 6661 12201 5150 20 197258279536 82253 238 240 49 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 198181 19504 14471 20 105173199372 94119 247 173 3 — — — — — —
202117 ROK MLEDSL LAD Bautista — 119105 17211 10352 71 162248229476 67225 298 225 38 — — — — — —
202117 ROK RAWDSL LAD Bautista — 11999 28423 16282 71 283393455848 172357 2413 373 38 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLE2 teams — 258245 481219 12620 62 196233363597 167223 245 255 59 — — — — — —
202218 ROK RAW2 teams — 258239 6116112 18430 62 255307481789 226265 177 344 59 — — — — — —
202319 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 473437 7616110 261446 32 174230284514 110230 305 228 40 — — — — — —
202319 A RAWRancho Cucamonga Quakes — 473427 9221114 361036 32 215286368653 152248 228 292 40 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLE2 teams — 407369 711728 311194 64 192262314577 122257 298 256 60 — — — — — —
202420 A+ RAW2 teams — 407355 9024311 45894 64 254344431775 177306 2211 344 60 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLE2 teams — 176161 24313 14570 20 149217236453 87206 328 204 24 — — — — — —
202521 A+ RAW2 teams — 176155 29414 20430 20 187280303583 116229 2411 268 24 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 198181 19504 14471 20 105173199372 94115 247 173 3 — — — — — —
202622 A+ RAWCedar Rapids Kernels — 198175 24705 20371 20 137230263492 126142 1910 227 3 — — — — — —
202117 ROK MLEDSL LAD Bautista — 119106 17211 10352 71 160248226474 66219 298 225 38 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLE2 teams — 258244 481219 12620 62 197233365598 168220 245 255 59 — — — — — —
202319 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 473438 7616110 261446 32 174230283513 110227 305 228 40 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLE2 teams — 407369 711728 311194 64 192262314577 122256 298 256 60 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLE2 teams — 176160 24313 14570 20 150217237455 87191 328 204 24 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 198181 19504 14471 20 105173199372 94119 247 173 3 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 A+ MLE2 teams — 407369 711728 311194 64 192262314577 122256 298 256 60 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLE2 teams — 176160 24313 14570 20 150217237455 87191 328 204 24 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 198181 19504 14471 20 105173199372 94119 247 173 3 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLEMIN 0% 308280 581316 23782 31 207272327599 120262 257 269 68 -12 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXMIN 0% 11 0000 000 00 207272328599 120262 00 269 68 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLEMIN 30% 153139 29613 12381 20 212277339616 127265 258 276 73 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
202925 MLB MLEMIN 44% 214194 42915 17531 21 214280346627 132266 258 281 76 -6 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.1
203026 MLB MLEMIN 51% 269244 521116 21662 31 216283349632 134267 258 283 78 -7 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.0
203127 MLB MLEMIN 52% 301272 591317 24742 31 216283350633 133268 258 284 78 -8 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.0
203228 MLB MLEMIN 53% 319289 611317 25792 21 216283348631 132268 258 283 78 -9 +0 -1 +1 +7 -0.1
203329 MLB MLEMIN 53% 320290 611317 25802 11 213280341621 128266 258 279 75 -10 -0 -1 +1 +7 -0.3
203430 MLB MLEMIN 52% 316286 611317 25802 10 210276333610 123264 258 274 72 -11 +0 -2 +1 +7 -0.5
202824 MLB CTXMIN 30% 4642 9201 4120 00 212277340617 128265 269 277 73 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202925 MLB CTXMIN 44% 9587 18402 7241 10 215281347627 132266 257 281 76 -3 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.0
203026 MLB CTXMIN 51% 137124 27613 11341 10 216283350633 134267 258 283 78 -4 +0 +0 +0 +3 0.0
203127 MLB CTXMIN 52% 158143 32714 13391 10 216284350634 134268 258 284 78 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.0
203228 MLB CTXMIN 53% 170153 34714 14421 10 216283348632 132268 258 283 78 -5 +0 -0 +1 +4 -0.0
203329 MLB CTXMIN 53% 168152 33714 13421 00 213280342622 129266 258 279 75 -5 +0 -1 +1 +4 -0.2
203430 MLB CTXMIN 52% 165150 33714 13421 00 210276334610 124264 258 274 72 -6 +0 -1 +1 +4 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 939851 18640522 752356 40 219286355641 136274 258 281 60 -27 +1 -2 +3 +20 -0.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650589 12828315 521634 30 217285351636 134273 258 281 60 -19 +1 -2 +2 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 36383316 6421381479 26596326 4114 194259315574 122245 267 257 60 -59 +1 -4 +7 +43 -1.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650592 11525314 471725 73 194259318576 123246 267 257 60 -19 +0 -1 +2 +14 -0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 198 PAwOBA .222 → .173 (−49)K% 18.7% → 23.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.69%÷1.000×1.270——23.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.10%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9987.16%
HBP% /PA0.51%—×0.790—×0.9980.40%
Singles /BIP8.70%÷1.000×0.920×0.965×0.9987.70%
Doubles /BIP5.07%÷1.000×0.810×0.965×0.9983.96%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×0.965×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP3.62%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9982.89%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.

Result: wOBA .222 → .173; ISO .126 → .098; BABIP .142 → .119. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 110 PAwOBA .236 → .182 (−54)K% 29.1% → 37.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.09%÷0.979×1.270——37.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.82%÷0.989×0.710—×1.0128.59%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP14.06%÷0.990×0.920×0.950×1.01212.57%
Doubles /BIP1.56%÷1.088×0.810×0.950×1.0121.12%
Triples /BIP1.56%÷0.943×0.850×0.950×1.0121.35%
Home runs /BIP4.69%÷0.962×0.800—×1.0123.95%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 98, 2B 118, 3B 89, K 96, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .236 → .182; ISO .125 → .096; BABIP .177 → .154. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 66 PAwOBA .307 → .240 (−67)K% 16.7% → 22.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷0.994×1.360——22.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.61%÷1.054×0.690——6.94%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780——0.00%
Singles /BIP22.92%÷1.029×0.920×0.973—19.93%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷1.032×0.830×0.973—4.89%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×0.973—0.00%
Home runs /BIP2.08%÷0.898×0.800——1.86%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .307 → .240; ISO .102 → .082; BABIP .298 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 244 PAwOBA .318 → .242 (−76)K% 20.9% → 27.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.90%÷0.972×1.270——27.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.84%÷1.043×0.710—×1.0276.87%
HBP% /PA1.23%—×0.790—×1.0271.00%
Singles /BIP18.07%÷0.984×0.920×0.981×1.02717.03%
Doubles /BIP6.63%÷1.119×0.810×0.981×1.0274.83%
Triples /BIP1.81%÷1.146×0.850×0.981×1.0271.35%
Home runs /BIP4.22%÷1.191×0.800—×1.0272.91%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 97, 2B 124, 3B 129, K 94, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .318 → .242; ISO .175 → .119; BABIP .277 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 163 PAwOBA .365 → .278 (−88)K% 23.3% → 31.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.31%÷0.994×1.360——31.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.27%÷0.976×0.690—×1.0158.81%
HBP% /PA0.61%—×0.780—×1.0150.49%
Singles /BIP22.00%÷1.096×0.920×0.950×1.01517.81%
Doubles /BIP13.00%÷1.019×0.830×0.950×1.01510.21%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.962×0.910×0.950×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP4.00%÷0.962×0.800—×1.0153.38%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 119, 2B 104, 3B 92, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .365 → .278; ISO .181 → .141; BABIP .354 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 473 PAwOBA .286 → .228 (−58)K% 21.8% → 30.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.78%÷0.973×1.360——30.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.61%÷0.976×0.690—×1.0305.54%
HBP% /PA1.27%—×0.780—×1.0301.02%
Singles /BIP17.28%÷0.955×0.920×0.963×1.03016.51%
Doubles /BIP6.48%÷0.990×0.830×0.963×1.0305.39%
Triples /BIP0.31%÷0.900×0.910×0.963×1.0300.31%
Home runs /BIP4.32%÷1.025×0.800—×1.0303.48%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 91, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .286 → .228; ISO .152 → .115; BABIP .248 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Dodgers · 215 PAwOBA .336 → .254 (−82)K% 17.7% → 25.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.67%÷0.998×1.440——25.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.98%÷0.973×0.620—×1.0084.48%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP15.53%÷1.029×0.820×1.032×1.00812.87%
Doubles /BIP9.94%÷0.931×0.720×1.032×1.0087.99%
Triples /BIP0.62%÷0.900×0.720×1.032×1.0080.52%
Home runs /BIP5.59%÷0.912×0.780—×1.0084.82%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 106, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .336 → .254; ISO .226 → .178; BABIP .275 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 43 PAwOBA .331 → .258 (−74)K% 11.6% → 17.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.63%÷0.930×1.360——17.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.98%÷1.072×0.690—×1.0454.69%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0450.00%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.981×0.920—×1.04519.61%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.923×0.830—×1.0450.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910—×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP8.57%÷1.247×0.800—×1.0455.75%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 86, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .331 → .258; ISO .225 → .145; BABIP .219 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).