Luis Alvarez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 29 | INTLAguilas del Z… | 113 | .323/.385/.444 | 1 | 0 | 129 | — |
| 2020 | 30 | INTLAguilas del Z… | 39 | .059/.111/.059 | 0 | 0 | -58 | — |
| 2022 | 32 | INTLNavegantes de… | 16 | .231/.375/.231 | 0 | 0 | 91 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 17 | ROK | VSL Astros | — | 131 | 112 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 341 | 330 | 671 | 89 | 263 | 11 | 8 | 308 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK | VSL Astros | — | 255 | 207 | 69 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 333 | 448 | 517 | 965 | 184 | 363 | 13 | 13 | 422 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | — | 53 | 48 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 271 | 340 | 396 | 735 | 125 | 333 | 21 | 6 | 333 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | — | 151 | 133 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 271 | 353 | 376 | 729 | 105 | 304 | 13 | 8 | 331 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 58 | 53 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 264 | 328 | 434 | 762 | 170 | 316 | 22 | 5 | 339 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | — | 19 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 368 | 706 | 1.074 | 412 | 273 | 21 | 11 | 455 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 26 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 280 | 417 | 697 | 167 | 263 | 19 | 4 | 295 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 27 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 370 | 591 | 961 | 364 | 176 | 11 | 11 | 413 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 53 | 51 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 321 | 471 | 791 | 176 | 361 | 25 | 2 | 349 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 24 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 167 | 227 | 394 | 136 | 59 | 17 | 4 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 133 | 123 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 318 | 382 | 700 | 114 | 295 | 12 | 7 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 113 | 99 | 32 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 323 | 385 | 444 | 830 | 121 | 360 | 12 | 8 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 39 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 111 | 59 | 170 | 69 | 15 | 3 | 83 | -58 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 32 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 375 | 231 | 606 | 250 | 6 | 12 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Astros | — | 131 | 115 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 165 | 256 | 217 | 473 | 52 | 182 | 14 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | VSL Astros | — | 255 | 216 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 39 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 218 | 324 | 324 | 648 | 106 | 234 | 15 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 53 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 264 | 306 | 570 | 102 | 272 | 30 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 151 | 137 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 219 | 287 | 307 | 593 | 88 | 249 | 18 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 58 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 276 | 333 | 609 | 111 | 290 | 29 | 3 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 19 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 263 | 444 | 708 | 222 | 206 | 32 | 5 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 26 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 280 | 417 | 697 | 167 | 231 | 23 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 27 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 333 | 565 | 899 | 348 | 139 | 15 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 53 | 51 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 245 | 314 | 559 | 98 | 312 | 32 | 2 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Astros | — | 131 | 115 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 165 | 256 | 217 | 473 | 52 | 188 | 14 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 17 | ROK RAW | VSL Astros | — | 131 | 112 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 341 | 330 | 671 | 89 | 263 | 11 | 8 | 308 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | VSL Astros | — | 255 | 216 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 39 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 218 | 324 | 324 | 648 | 106 | 244 | 15 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK RAW | VSL Astros | — | 255 | 207 | 69 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 333 | 448 | 517 | 965 | 184 | 363 | 13 | 13 | 422 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 53 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 264 | 306 | 570 | 102 | 281 | 30 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK RAW | Greeneville Astros | — | 53 | 48 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 271 | 340 | 396 | 735 | 125 | 333 | 21 | 6 | 333 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 151 | 137 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 219 | 287 | 307 | 593 | 88 | 259 | 18 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | ROK RAW | Greeneville Astros | — | 151 | 133 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 271 | 353 | 376 | 729 | 105 | 304 | 13 | 8 | 331 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 77 | 72 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 208 | 260 | 375 | 635 | 167 | 255 | 29 | 4 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 77 | 70 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 271 | 338 | 500 | 838 | 229 | 306 | 22 | 6 | 368 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 106 | 99 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 212 | 257 | 384 | 641 | 172 | 250 | 26 | 3 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 106 | 97 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 268 | 324 | 485 | 808 | 216 | 292 | 20 | 5 | 352 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | INTL MLE | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 24 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 167 | 227 | 394 | 136 | 59 | 17 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | INTL RAW | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 24 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 167 | 227 | 394 | 136 | 59 | 17 | 4 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL MLE | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 133 | 123 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 318 | 382 | 700 | 114 | 295 | 12 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL RAW | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 133 | 123 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 318 | 382 | 700 | 114 | 295 | 12 | 7 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | INTL MLE | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 113 | 99 | 32 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 323 | 385 | 444 | 830 | 121 | 360 | 12 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | INTL RAW | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 113 | 99 | 32 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 323 | 385 | 444 | 830 | 121 | 360 | 12 | 8 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | INTL MLE | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 39 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 111 | 59 | 170 | 69 | 15 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2020 | 30 | INTL RAW | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 39 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 111 | 59 | 170 | 69 | 15 | 3 | 83 | -58 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 32 | INTL MLE | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 375 | 231 | 606 | 250 | 6 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 32 | INTL RAW | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 375 | 231 | 606 | 250 | 6 | 12 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2007 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Astros | — | 131 | 116 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 164 | 256 | 216 | 471 | 52 | 182 | 14 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | VSL Astros | — | 255 | 219 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 39 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 215 | 324 | 320 | 644 | 105 | 234 | 15 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 53 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 264 | 306 | 570 | 102 | 272 | 30 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 151 | 137 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 219 | 287 | 307 | 593 | 88 | 249 | 18 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 77 | 72 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 208 | 260 | 375 | 635 | 167 | 269 | 29 | 4 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 106 | 99 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 212 | 257 | 384 | 641 | 172 | 248 | 26 | 3 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1098 | 979 | 214 | 39 | 4 | 19 | 68 | 191 | 34 | 8 | 7 | 219 | 292 | 325 | 617 | 106 | 251 | 17 | 6 | 181 | 9 | -119 | -1 | +0 | +20 | +24 | -7.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 126 | 23 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 113 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 217 | 291 | 321 | 611 | 103 | 250 | 17 | 6 | 181 | 9 | -71 | -1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -4.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2013 AQuad Cities River Bandits · 53 PAwOBA .339 → .260 (−79)K% 24.5% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.53% | ÷1.032 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.89% | ÷0.993 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 1.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.89% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷1.047 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 22.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.89% | ÷0.920 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 7.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.070 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.034 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 4.03% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 109, 2B 84, 3B 114, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .339 → .260; ISO .176 → .129; BABIP .361 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 27 PAwOBA .402 → .309 (−93)K% 11.1% → 16.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.929 | ×1.340 | — | — | 16.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.035 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.41% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 5.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷1.037 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 9.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.090 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.998 | 3.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.53% | ÷1.147 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 8.43% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 107, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 86, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .402 → .309; ISO .364 → .279; BABIP .176 → .139. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 26 PAwOBA .298 → .249 (−49)K% 19.2% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.23% | ÷1.004 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.85% | ÷1.117 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 2.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.040 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 19.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.067 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 4.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.106 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.91% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 108, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 101, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .298 → .249; ISO .167 → .128; BABIP .263 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ALexington Legends · 58 PAwOBA .330 → .269 (−61)K% 22.4% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.41% | ÷1.046 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.17% | ÷1.016 | ×0.660 | — | — | 3.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 2.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | — | — | 23.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.50% | ÷0.998 | ×0.820 | — | — | 2.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.50% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | — | — | 2.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.064 | ×0.820 | — | — | 3.85% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 98, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 109, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .330 → .269; ISO .170 → .135; BABIP .316 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKGreeneville Astros · 19 PAwOBA .442 → .312 (−129)K% 21.1% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.05% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 29.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.975 | 6.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.975 | 12.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | — | ×0.975 | 5.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.975 | 12.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .442 → .312; ISO .412 → .295; BABIP .273 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKGreeneville Astros · 151 PAwOBA .322 → .248 (−74)K% 12.6% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.58% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.985 | 5.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.31% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.985 | 2.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.021 | ×0.985 | 20.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.021 | ×0.985 | 3.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.021 | ×0.985 | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.985 | 1.38% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .322 → .248; ISO .105 → .079; BABIP .304 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 ROKGreeneville Astros · 53 PAwOBA .324 → .238 (−86)K% 20.8% → 29.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.75% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 29.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×1.008 | 3.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.77% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×1.008 | 2.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.008 | 20.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | — | ×1.008 | 6.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.008 | 2.18% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .324 → .238; ISO .125 → .089; BABIP .333 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 DSLVSL Astros · 255 PAwOBA .416 → .279 (−137)K% 12.5% → 15.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.55% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 8.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.31% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 3.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.992 | ×1.008 | 17.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.992 | ×1.008 | 5.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.992 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 1.89% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .416 → .279; ISO .184 → .103; BABIP .363 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .