Stiven Martinez — OGILVIE

Stiven MartinezOF Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 18 R/R 6'4" / 198 lbs A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION431 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%44

BB%11

BABIP291

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	16	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	168	133	37	5	4	4	28	51	5	2	4	278	422	466	888	188	412	30	17	394	153	+11	-1	—	—	+4	1.3
2025	17	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	95	80	10	3	1	0	13	46	2	3	2	125	263	188	451	62	294	48	14	226	39	-7	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	17	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	191	152	33	7	3	3	33	54	4	2	4	217	370	362	732	145	312	28	17	336	113	+3	-1	—	—	+4	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	168	146	24	3	2	3	15	75	5	2	4	164	265	274	539	110	299	45	9	250	55	-9	-1	—	—	+4	-0.7
2025	17	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	95	85	6	2	1	0	8	66	2	3	2	71	168	118	286	47	274	69	8	131	-25	-14	-0	—	—	+2	-1.3
2025	17	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	191	165	22	4	2	2	20	79	4	2	4	133	243	218	462	85	232	41	10	214	31	-16	-1	—	—	+4	-1.3
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	168	146	24	3	2	3	15	75	5	2	4	164	265	274	539	110	300	45	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	168	133	37	5	4	4	28	51	5	2	4	278	422	466	888	188	412	30	17	394	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	286	250	28	6	2	2	28	145	6	5	6	112	218	176	394	64	250	51	10	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	286	232	43	10	4	3	46	100	6	5	6	185	335	302	636	116	308	35	16	299	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	168	146	24	3	2	3	15	75	5	2	4	164	265	274	539	110	299	45	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	286	250	28	6	2	2	28	145	6	5	6	112	218	176	394	64	246	51	10	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	168	146	24	3	2	3	15	75	5	2	4	164	265	274	539	110	299	45	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	286	250	28	6	2	2	28	145	6	5	6	112	218	176	394	64	246	51	10	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	A MLE	BAL	—	431	399	72	8	3	11	25	187	6	14	7	180	240	298	538	118	302	43	6	231	42	-29	+0	+0	-3	+9	-2.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	A RAW	BAL	—	431	385	93	11	4	14	39	132	6	14	7	242	321	400	721	158	329	31	9	323	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	A MLE	BAL	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		287	44	11	240	49	-1	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	A MLE	BAL	—	440	407	73	8	3	11	26	191	6	14	7	179	239	295	534	115	301	43	6	231	43	-30	+0	-0	-3	+10	-2.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	442	400	76	11	3	11	32	172	7	7	4	190	262	315	577	125	291	39	7	260	62	-20	-0	-0	-3	+10	-1.4
2028	20	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	503	452	90	13	3	15	38	186	8	8	4	199	273	341	614	142	294	37	8	275	72	-16	+0	-1	-3	+11	-0.9
2029	21	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	543	487	100	15	3	17	42	194	9	8	5	205	281	353	634	148	295	36	8	285	79	-13	-0	-1	-3	+12	-0.6
2030	22	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	586	526	111	16	4	20	46	204	9	9	5	211	286	371	656	160	295	35	8	292	83	-12	-0	-1	-4	+13	-0.3
2031	23	MLB MLE	BAL	58%	633	568	120	17	4	22	50	219	10	9	5	211	287	371	658	160	296	35	8	295	86	-11	-0	-1	-4	+14	-0.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	639	573	123	18	4	23	51	219	10	9	5	215	290	380	671	166	297	34	8	298	88	-9	-0	-1	-4	+14	-0.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	642	574	123	18	4	23	52	220	11	9	5	214	292	380	672	166	297	34	8	300	89	-8	-0	-1	-4	+14	0.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	644	575	124	18	4	24	53	220	11	10	5	216	294	386	680	170	296	34	8	300	89	-8	+0	-1	-4	+14	0.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	641	572	122	18	4	23	53	220	11	9	5	213	292	379	672	166	296	34	8	300	89	-8	-0	-1	-4	+14	0.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	633	565	120	17	4	23	53	218	10	9	5	212	291	379	670	166	296	34	8	299	89	-8	-0	-1	-4	+14	-0.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	622	555	118	17	4	22	52	215	10	8	5	213	292	377	668	164	295	35	8	297	87	-9	-0	-2	-4	+13	-0.2
2038	30	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	610	543	113	16	3	21	52	213	10	8	4	208	289	365	654	157	293	35	9	295	86	-10	+0	-3	-4	+13	-0.4
2027	19	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	152	138	27	4	1	4	11	59	2	2	1	196	265	326	591	130	295	39	7	253	62	-7	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.5
2028	20	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	244	220	45	6	2	8	18	90	4	4	2	205	277	359	636	155	298	37	7	268	72	-8	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.5
2029	21	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	294	264	56	8	2	10	23	105	5	4	3	212	288	371	659	159	299	36	8	278	79	-7	-0	-0	-2	+6	-0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	332	298	63	9	2	12	26	116	5	5	3	211	286	376	662	164	300	35	8	285	83	-7	-0	-0	-2	+7	-0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	BAL	58%	364	326	70	10	2	13	29	126	6	5	3	215	291	377	668	163	301	35	8	289	86	-6	-0	-0	-2	+8	-0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	364	326	71	10	2	14	29	125	6	5	3	218	294	390	683	172	301	34	8	291	88	-5	-0	-0	-2	+8	-0.0
2033	25	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	364	325	71	10	2	14	30	125	6	5	3	218	296	391	687	172	301	34	8	293	89	-5	-0	-0	-2	+8	0.0
2034	26	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	364	325	71	10	2	14	30	125	6	5	3	218	296	391	687	172	301	34	8	294	89	-5	-0	-0	-2	+8	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	356	317	69	10	2	14	30	122	6	5	3	218	297	394	692	177	301	34	8	294	89	-4	-0	-0	-2	+8	0.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	348	310	67	10	2	13	29	120	6	5	3	216	296	387	683	171	300	34	8	293	89	-5	-0	-1	-2	+8	-0.0
2037	29	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	333	297	63	9	2	12	28	115	5	5	3	212	291	377	668	165	299	35	8	291	87	-5	-0	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	348	310	66	9	2	13	29	121	6	4	3	213	293	381	673	168	298	35	8	288	86	-6	-0	-2	-2	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3863	3456	739	105	23	141	312	1349	63	54	33	214	291	380	671	166	301	35	8	287	81	-69	-2	-6	-23	+84	-1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	125	18	4	24	52	227	11	9	6	215	292	383	675	168	301	35	8	287	81	-12	-0	-1	-4	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	7601	6794	1393	203	48	249	618	2724	127	110	67	205	284	359	643	154	296	36	8	288	81	-134	-2	-12	-43	+155	-3.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	118	17	4	21	53	233	11	9	6	203	282	355	637	151	294	36	8	288	81	-12	-0	-1	-4	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	7.2	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.9
/162	664	27	0	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	6.3	4,183	139	61	208	282	364	-25	-14	-0.0	0.9
/162	664	22	10	-4.0	-2.2	-0.0	pk7: 2
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Stiven Martinez (OGILVIE)	18	34	52	42	53	174/242/281	107	287	7	8	41%	7%	49	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aristides Aquino 2012 · A	18	34→41	38→60	39→50	36	167/231/242	75	269	6	6	38%	6%	34	-3.5	174/222/275	101	253	9	7	34%	5%	38	-3.2	212/278/428	216	266	32	9	33%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Edwin Sanchez 2023 · A	18	41	44→45	43→50	47	201/290/315	114	282	12	6	31%	9%	74	-0.5	200/313/311	111	277	10	9	29%	11%	83	+0.1	178/321/293	116	239	11	11	27%	14%	82	+0.0
✕Felix G. Santana 2012 · A	17	38	40	43→50	35	185/248/278	93	292	7	8	37%	5%	49	-2.4	192/253/259	67	285	4	8	32%	5%	47	-2.6	215/272/289	74	281	4	8	24%	4%	58	-0.5
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→40	44→55	44→45	43	197/263/310	113	267	13	9	30%	8%	63	-1.4	199/261/321	122	254	13	9	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/271/392	175	242	26	8	23%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Robert Perez Jr. 2019 · A	19	37→47	41→55	42→45	37	183/244/280	97	279	9	6	36%	6%	49	-2.4	210/270/330	120	326	13	4	37%	6%	70	-0.9	218/288/378	160	310	20	2	35%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Oscar Gonzalez 2016 · A	18	34→44	39→55	41→40	36	171/216/255	84	249	6	3	33%	5%	31	-3.7	201/235/309	108	318	11	5	39%	4%	51	-2.3	254/283/414	160	309	19	1	24%	3%	90	+0.6
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2023 · A	19	41→43	44→55	44→30	42	200/278/315	116	290	12	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	197/274/331	134	305	16	4	38%	8%	72	-0.7	202/297/392	190	283	25	2	36%	10%	92	+0.6
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2019 · A	18	37→40	46→55	44→45	40	193/268/316	123	267	14	7	32%	6%	67	-1.1	216/270/350	134	284	16	7	29%	5%	74	-0.5	203/254/375	172	260	23	4	32%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2008 · A	18	40	37→40	45→55	39	190/264/262	72	298	5	8	36%	7%	52	-2.2	202/281/278	76	301	6	15	32%	8%	62	-1.4	192/271/258	67	293	7	17	34%	8%	52	-0.7
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	83	+0.1	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	87	+0.1
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2008 · A	19	37	38→45	46→50	37	179/239/262	83	292	6	10	38%	7%	42	-2.9	183/273/286	103	276	11	8	35%	9%	62	-1.4	165/268/271	106	240	13	6	34%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→35	37→40	43→50	40	196/257/268	72	295	4	10	33%	6%	50	-2.3	186/284/265	79	353	5	9	43%	10%	61	-1.5	159/271/236	77	335	5	7	47%	10%	49	-1.0
✕Emilio King 2008 · A	18	40	39→45	44→40	38	192/250/280	89	281	6	5	33%	5%	51	-2.3	184/255/258	74	259	4	7	29%	6%	48	-2.5	205/257/297	92	296	6	4	31%	4%	54	-0.9
✕Kristian Robinson 2019 · A	18	42→47	42→45	44→55	38	202/261/300	98	314	10	11	37%	6%	59	-1.7	206/263/324	118	320	12	9	37%	6%	65	-1.2	194/282/321	127	316	14	23	40%	10%	70	-0.6
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
●Zoilo Almonte 2007 · A	18	36→46	42→50	46→50	42	184/247/287	103	264	10	6	33%	8%	51	-2.3	195/238/289	94	259	9	5	27%	5%	47	-2.5	247/294/384	137	313	16	13	25%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Xavier Batista 2010 · A	18	38	42→50	46→45	37	183/246/288	104	300	10	5	40%	7%	51	-2.2	180/240/281	101	296	10	6	40%	7%	47	-2.6	154/217/255	100	245	12	5	40%	7%	32	-1.3
✕Jesus Vasquez 2010 · A	18	41	43→55	45→55	40	203/255/316	114	272	9	8	29%	5%	60	-1.6	209/267/336	127	280	13	13	29%	6%	70	-0.9	206/270/350	143	270	16	18	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Douglas Glod 2023 · A	18	40	40→45	45	43	187/269/282	94	306	7	7	38%	9%	59	-1.7	170/268/263	93	328	8	5	45%	11%	55	-2.0	137/244/219	82	283	8	3	48%	11%	35	-1.3
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	55	-1.9	193/299/288	95	289	6	11	32%	11%	72	-0.7	181/305/266	86	250	6	20	26%	12%	68	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps