Stiven Martinez

OF Delmarva Shorebirds
Age 19 R/R 6'4" / 198 lbs A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202416ROKDSL Orioles O…168.278/.422/.4664251—.154/.271/.245
202517A/ROKBAL286.185/.335/.3023518—.121/.229/.193
202618ABAL431.242/.321/.400141450—.184/.249/.295
2027PROJMLE19MLBBAL541.178/.252/.28310852-0.8
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLBBAL130.189/.265/.3123260-0.4
2029PROJ48% MLB21MLBBAL206.197/.274/.3346469-0.5
Next 3 projected WAR -1.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Speed64
ISO63
wRC+47
wOBA42
Chase%29
Z-Con%27
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 1.7, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 90%
CompsRobert Perez Jr. (age 19) · Luis Baez (age 19) · Jhostynxon Garcia (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .250 / .280
PA210
HR4
K%37
BB%8
ISO105
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -12.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.80-0.8WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Arb-1$3M———
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202416 ROKDSL Orioles Orange — 168133 37544 28515 24 278422466888 188412 3017 394 51 — — — — — —
202517 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 9580 10310 13462 32 125263188451 62294 4814 226 -14 — — — — — —
202517 ROKFCL Orioles — 191152 33733 33544 24 217370362732 145312 2817 336 34 — — — — — —
202618 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 431385 9311414 391326 147 242321400721 158329 319 323 50 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202416 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 168143 22322 18635 24 154271245516 91251 3811 243 51 — — — — — —
202517 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 9584 7210 9632 32 83189131320 48288 669 148 -14 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 191165 23422 20794 24 139249224473 85237 4110 219 34 — — — — — —
202618 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 431396 738310 281806 147 184249295544 111303 426 242 50 — — — — — —
202416 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 168143 22322 18635 24 154271245516 91250 3811 243 51 — — — — — —
202416 ROK RAWDSL Orioles Orange — 168133 37544 28515 24 278422466888 188412 3017 394 51 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLE2 teams — 286248 28622 301426 56 113225177403 65248 5010 195 18 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAW2 teams — 286232 431043 461006 56 185335302636 116308 3516 299 18 — — — — — —
202618 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 431396 738310 281806 147 184249295544 111304 426 242 50 — — — — — —
202618 A RAWDelmarva Shorebirds — 431385 9311414 391326 147 242321400721 158329 319 323 50 — — — — — —
202416 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 168143 22322 18635 24 154271245516 91251 3811 243 51 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLE2 teams — 286248 28622 301426 56 113225177403 65254 5010 195 18 — — — — — —
202618 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 431394 738310 281806 147 185249297546 112303 426 242 50 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202416 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 168143 22322 18635 24 154271245516 91251 3811 243 51 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLE2 teams — 286248 28622 301426 56 113225177403 65254 5010 195 18 — — — — — —
202618 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 431394 738310 281806 147 185249297546 112303 426 242 50 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLEBAL 0% 541487 8613410 422027 84 178252283535 105273 378 244 52 -31 +0 -1 -3 +12 -0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLEBAL 34% 377339 631038 301375 73 186262304566 118277 368 257 60 -18 +0 -0 -2 +8 -1.2
202921 MLB MLEBAL 48% 425382 7311311 341496 84 193271326596 132279 358 270 69 -16 +0 -0 -3 +9 -1.0
203022 MLB MLEBAL 54% 472423 8513314 391617 84 200277342620 143281 348 279 75 -14 +0 -1 -3 +10 -0.7
203123 MLB MLEBAL 57% 523467 9515316 441747 94 205282354636 149282 338 285 79 -13 +0 -1 -3 +11 -0.5
203224 MLB MLEBAL 57% 587525 11017419 491918 104 208286362648 153283 338 290 82 -12 +0 -1 -4 +13 -0.3
203325 MLB MLEBAL 57% 596533 11117419 501948 94 209287364651 155284 338 291 83 -12 +0 -1 -4 +13 -0.3
203426 MLB MLEBAL 56% 603539 11217419 511968 94 209287364651 155283 338 291 83 -12 +0 -1 -4 +13 -0.3
203527 MLB MLEBAL 55% 599535 11117419 511958 94 208286361647 154282 339 290 82 -13 +0 -1 -4 +13 -0.4
202820 MLB CTXBAL 34% 130117 22313 10472 21 189265312576 123281 368 261 60 -6 +0 -0 -1 +3 -0.4
202921 MLB CTXBAL 48% 206184 37616 17723 42 197274334608 137283 358 274 69 -8 +0 -0 -1 +4 -0.5
203022 MLB CTXBAL 54% 256229 47728 21874 52 203281351632 148285 348 284 75 -8 +0 -0 -2 +6 -0.4
203123 MLB CTXBAL 57% 296265 569210 25984 52 208286363649 155286 338 290 79 -7 +0 -0 -2 +6 -0.3
203224 MLB CTXBAL 57% 332296 6310211 281085 52 212290371661 159288 338 295 82 -7 +0 -0 -2 +7 -0.2
203325 MLB CTXBAL 57% 337301 6410211 281095 52 213290374664 161288 328 296 83 -7 +0 -0 -2 +7 -0.2
203426 MLB CTXBAL 56% 341304 6510212 291115 52 213290374664 161288 339 296 83 -7 +0 -0 -2 +7 -0.2
203527 MLB CTXBAL 55% 332297 6310211 281084 52 211289371660 159287 338 295 82 -7 +0 -0 -2 +7 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 22301993 417651472 18674032 3615 209287364651 155289 338 290 71 -56 +1 -2 -13 +48 -2.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650581 12219421 542169 104 210287365652 155291 338 290 71 -16 +0 -1 -4 +14 -0.7
Career— MLE — 52774719 91613936143 440186077 9350 194274330603 136282 358 272 71 -122 +1 -5 -26 +95 -5.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 11317418 542299 116 194273330603 136282 358 272 71 -18 +0 -1 -4 +14 -0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 431 PAwOBA .315 → .242 (−73)K% 30.6% → 41.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.63%÷1.000×1.360——41.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.05%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0456.52%
HBP% /PA1.39%—×0.780—×1.0451.13%
Singles /BIP25.30%÷1.000×0.920×0.980×1.04523.84%
Doubles /BIP4.35%÷1.000×0.830×0.980×1.0453.70%
Triples /BIP1.58%÷1.000×0.910×0.980×1.0451.47%
Home runs /BIP5.53%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0454.63%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .315 → .242; ISO .158 → .116; BABIP .329 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Orioles · 191 PAwOBA .330 → .219 (−111)K% 28.3% → 41.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.27%÷0.980×1.440——41.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.28%÷1.020×0.620—×1.02210.73%
HBP% /PA2.09%—×0.720—×1.0221.54%
Singles /BIP20.41%÷0.997×0.820×0.967×1.02216.60%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷1.033×0.720×0.967×1.0224.93%
Triples /BIP3.06%÷1.150×0.720×0.967×1.0221.90%
Home runs /BIP3.06%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0222.44%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .330 → .219; ISO .145 → .093; BABIP .312 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 95 PAwOBA .221 → .148 (−73)K% 48.4% → 66.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA48.42%÷0.993×1.360——66.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.68%÷1.007×0.690—×1.0509.85%
HBP% /PA2.11%—×0.780—×1.0501.72%
Singles /BIP17.65%÷0.998×0.920—×1.05017.09%
Doubles /BIP8.82%÷0.898×0.830—×1.0508.56%
Triples /BIP2.94%÷0.904×0.910—×1.0503.11%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.899×0.800—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 80, 3B 81, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .221 → .148; ISO .062 → .039; BABIP .294 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Orioles Orange · 168 PAwOBA .385 → .243 (−142)K% 30.4% → 37.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.36%÷0.981×1.220——37.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.48%÷1.041×0.700—×1.02210.64%
HBP% /PA2.98%—×0.700—×1.0222.13%
Singles /BIP29.27%÷1.082×0.680×0.986×1.02218.54%
Doubles /BIP6.10%÷0.924×0.600×0.986×1.0223.99%
Triples /BIP4.88%÷1.150×0.600×0.986×1.0222.56%
Home runs /BIP4.88%÷0.992×0.470—×1.0222.36%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 116, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 96, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .385 → .243; ISO .188 → .101; BABIP .412 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).