Stiven Martinez — OGILVIE

Stiven MartinezOF Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 18 R/R 6'4" / 198 lbs A HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION257 act + 171 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†26

AVG/OBP/SLG.161 / .230 / .258

PA171

HR3

K%44

BB%6

BABIP284

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	16	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	168	146	24	4	2	3	15	76	5	2	4	164	265	281	546	116	304	45	9	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	168	133	37	5	4	4	28	51	5	2	4	278	422	466	888	188	412	30	17	394	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	2 teams	—	286	250	27	6	2	2	28	147	6	5	6	108	215	172	387	64	245	51	10	184	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	2 teams	—	286	232	43	10	4	3	46	100	6	5	6	185	335	302	636	116	308	35	16	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	A	BAL	—	257	241	37	4	1	5	11	128	4	7	6	154	203	241	444	87	294	50	4	197	9	-26	-1	+0	-2	+7	-2.2
YTD	18	A	BAL	—	257	234	51	6	2	7	18	90	4	7	6	218	285	350	636	132	319	35	7	286	77	-7	-1	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
ROS	18	A	BAL	0%	171	155	25	4	1	3	11	76	3	3	3	161	230	258	488	97	280	44	6	219	26	-14	-1	-0	-1	+5	-1.2
ROS	18	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		284	—	—	210	19	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	A	BAL	—	257	242	37	4	1	5	11	128	4	7	6	153	203	240	443	87	291	50	4	197	9	-26	-1	+0	-2	+7	-2.2
TOT	18	A	BAL	—	428	396	62	8	2	8	22	204	7	10	9	156	214	247	461	91	290	48	5	206	16	-41	-2	-0	-3	+12	-3.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	BAL	34%	430	389	68	11	3	9	31	178	7	6	5	175	248	288	536	113	287	41	7	243	44	-27	-1	-0	-3	+12	-1.9
2028	20	MLB	BAL	48%	512	460	85	13	3	13	38	203	9	7	6	185	260	311	571	126	290	40	7	260	57	-25	-1	-1	-3	+15	-1.5
2029	21	MLB	BAL	54%	571	512	98	16	3	16	44	218	10	8	7	191	269	328	597	137	291	38	8	271	66	-22	-1	-1	-3	+16	-1.1
2030	22	MLB	BAL	57%	612	548	109	17	4	19	48	229	11	9	7	199	277	349	625	150	292	37	8	278	71	-20	-1	-1	-4	+17	-0.8
2031	23	MLB	BAL	58%	631	565	113	18	4	20	50	235	11	9	8	200	278	352	630	152	293	37	8	282	74	-19	-1	-1	-4	+18	-0.7
2032	24	MLB	BAL	57%	637	571	115	18	4	21	50	236	11	9	8	201	278	357	636	156	294	37	8	284	76	-17	-1	-1	-4	+18	-0.5
2033	25	MLB	BAL	57%	641	574	115	18	4	21	51	237	11	9	8	200	278	355	634	155	294	37	8	286	77	-17	-1	-1	-4	+18	-0.5
2034	26	MLB	BAL	57%	643	575	116	18	4	22	52	237	11	9	8	202	281	362	642	160	294	37	8	286	77	-17	-1	-1	-4	+18	-0.4
2035	27	MLB	BAL	60%	640	572	115	18	4	21	52	237	11	9	8	201	280	357	637	156	293	37	8	286	77	-16	-1	-1	-4	+18	-0.4
2027	19	MLB	BAL	34%	148	134	24	4	1	3	11	61	2	2	2	179	252	291	543	112	291	41	7	235	38	-10	-0	-0	-1	+4	-0.8
2028	20	MLB	BAL	48%	248	224	42	7	1	7	18	98	4	4	3	188	260	321	582	134	294	40	7	251	51	-14	-0	-0	-1	+7	-0.9
2029	21	MLB	BAL	54%	310	278	55	9	2	9	24	119	5	4	4	198	274	342	615	144	296	38	8	262	59	-14	-1	-0	-2	+9	-0.9
2030	22	MLB	BAL	57%	346	310	62	10	2	11	27	130	6	5	4	200	277	352	629	152	297	38	8	270	64	-14	-1	-0	-2	+10	-0.7
2031	23	MLB	BAL	58%	363	326	65	10	2	12	28	135	6	5	4	199	275	353	628	153	297	37	8	273	67	-13	-1	-0	-2	+10	-0.6
2032	24	MLB	BAL	57%	363	325	65	10	2	12	29	134	6	5	4	200	278	354	632	154	298	37	8	276	69	-13	-1	-0	-2	+10	-0.6
2033	25	MLB	BAL	57%	364	326	68	11	2	13	29	134	6	5	4	209	285	374	660	166	298	37	8	277	70	-12	-1	-0	-2	+10	-0.5
2034	26	MLB	BAL	57%	364	326	67	11	2	13	29	134	6	5	4	206	283	371	654	166	298	37	8	278	71	-12	-1	-0	-2	+10	-0.5
2035	27	MLB	BAL	60%	383	342	69	11	2	13	31	142	7	6	5	202	282	360	641	158	298	37	8	278	71	-13	-1	-0	-2	+11	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2889	2592	517	83	16	93	226	1087	48	41	34	199	276	351	628	152	297	38	8	270	65	-115	-5	-3	-17	+82	-6.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	117	19	4	21	51	245	11	9	8	201	278	355	633	154	299	38	8	270	65	-26	-1	-1	-4	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	5942	5317	1010	161	38	170	470	2309	106	85	78	190	269	330	600	140	293	39	8	270	65	-238	-14	-6	-36	+168	-12.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	111	18	4	19	51	253	12	9	9	191	270	333	603	143	294	39	8	270	65	-26	-2	-1	-4	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	16	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	168	133	37	5	4	4	28	51	5	2	4	278	422	466	888	188	412	30	17	394	159	+11	-1	—	—	+5	1.5
2025	17	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	95	80	10	3	1	0	13	46	2	3	2	125	263	188	451	62	294	48	14	226	31	-7	-0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2025	17	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	191	152	33	7	3	3	33	54	4	2	4	217	370	362	732	145	312	28	17	336	115	+3	-1	—	—	+5	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,208	94	46	194	269	337	-19	-12	-5.3	-2.7
	/162	664	19	9	194	269	337	-4.0	-2.5	-1.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Stiven Martinez (OGILVIE)	18	34	52	42	53	156/214/247	91	290	8	10	48%	5%	16	-3.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Douglas Glod 2023 · A	18	41	41→45	45	44	191/273/288	97	305	8	7	37%	9%	56	-1.3	173/273/269	96	330	8	5	44%	11%	53	-1.5	137/247/219	82	283	7	3	48%	11%	28	-1.3
✕Emilio King 2008 · A	18	40	39→45	44→40	38	192/250/280	89	281	6	5	33%	5%	44	-2.1	184/255/258	74	259	4	7	29%	6%	41	-2.3	206/259/300	94	298	6	4	31%	4%	49	-0.8
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2008 · A	18	40	37→40	45→55	39	190/264/262	72	298	5	8	36%	7%	46	-2.0	202/281/278	76	302	6	15	32%	8%	57	-1.2	192/271/258	66	296	7	17	34%	8%	46	-0.7
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→32	37→40	43→50	40	199/260/273	73	295	4	10	32%	6%	46	-2.0	184/285/263	79	357	5	9	44%	10%	56	-1.3	152/269/228	75	334	5	7	49%	11%	40	-1.1
✕Kristian Robinson 2019 · A	18	42→40	42→45	44→55	38	202/261/300	98	314	10	11	37%	6%	53	-1.5	207/264/331	124	320	14	9	37%	6%	63	-0.8	186/265/319	133	317	16	17	43%	8%	58	-0.5
✕Felix G. Santana 2013 · A	18	38	36→40	43→50	36	182/241/247	66	294	4	7	38%	6%	32	-3.0	206/265/279	73	285	4	8	28%	5%	50	-1.8	215/272/289	74	281	4	8	24%	4%	52	-0.5
✕Richard Ramirez 2023 · A	18	37	37→55	47→40	38	176/239/249	73	297	5	6	40%	8%	30	-3.1	195/259/306	111	313	11	5	38%	8%	55	-1.4	199/259/329	129	331	13	2	41%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Henry Pena 2009 · A	18	33	36→45	40→45	40	159/231/226	67	272	3	4	40%	8%	22	-3.7	199/274/299	100	328	7	6	37%	9%	59	-1.1	212/293/333	121	324	9	6	34%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	50	-1.8	193/299/287	94	289	6	11	32%	11%	68	-0.5	180/305/264	84	250	5	20	26%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Miguel Moreno 2008 · A	18	35	37→40	42→40	34	165/231/235	69	307	6	6	45%	7%	24	-3.5	192/280/264	72	278	6	5	30%	10%	53	-1.5	182/284/242	60	251	5	3	27%	11%	48	-0.7
●Aristides Aquino 2012 · A	18	34→40	38→65	39→50	36	167/231/242	75	269	6	6	38%	6%	26	-3.4	174/222/275	101	253	9	7	34%	5%	30	-3.1	216/277/454	238	250	36	8	31%	7%	97	+1.0
✕Jandel Paulino 2019 · A	18	39	35→40	41→45	40	185/261/243	58	280	3	8	33%	7%	40	-2.4	212/286/295	83	307	6	6	31%	7%	63	-0.8	215/300/291	76	303	6	4	28%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2008 · A	19	37	38→45	46→50	37	179/239/262	83	292	6	10	38%	7%	34	-2.8	183/273/286	103	276	11	8	35%	9%	57	-1.2	165/268/271	106	240	13	6	34%	10%	50	-0.6
✕Xavier Batista 2010 · A	18	38	42→50	46→45	37	183/246/288	104	300	10	5	40%	7%	45	-2.1	180/240/281	101	296	10	6	40%	7%	40	-2.4	154/217/255	100	245	12	5	40%	7%	23	-1.3
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	38	38→40	48→40	45	181/270/258	78	284	6	4	36%	9%	48	-1.9	187/273/272	85	333	6	4	41%	9%	53	-1.5	167/258/250	82	313	7	3	44%	9%	39	-0.7
✕Hector Martinez 2015 · A	18	42	38→45	41→45	33	201/241/285	84	303	5	7	34%	4%	40	-2.4	226/266/311	85	316	6	8	29%	4%	57	-1.2	244/276/343	99	341	7	9	29%	2%	66	-0.2
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	42→34	38→45	46→50	39	192/268/272	80	307	5	9	36%	7%	50	-1.7	206/287/306	100	302	9	7	32%	9%	67	-0.5	197/289/306	108	288	11	5	33%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Brandol Mezquita 2019 · A	18	39→49	40→30	45→50	39	183/267/271	88	300	8	8	38%	8%	50	-1.7	192/263/265	73	325	6	11	39%	7%	46	-2.0	216/283/278	62	362	4	13	38%	7%	55	-0.6
✕Cristopher Cespedes 2016 · A	18	36	40→45	42→40	36	176/237/265	90	278	7	4	37%	6%	35	-2.8	195/244/289	94	274	7	6	30%	5%	43	-2.2	204/253/325	121	283	10	4	30%	5%	54	-0.4
✕Omar Meregildo 2016 · A	18	34→33	39→50	46→30	37	164/242/254	90	284	5	5	41%	7%	35	-2.8	179/240/264	85	284	5	5	36%	6%	35	-2.8	172/240/299	127	285	15	1	43%	7%	44	-1.1