Randy Guzman — OGILVIE

Randy GuzmanOF St. Lucie Mets

Age 21 R/R 6'4" / 215 lbs A H +5%HR +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.2 · 2031

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .285 / .378

PA273

HR9

SB7

K%29

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30↗33

PWR

45↗61

SPD

40↘34

FLD

30↗45

EYE

43↘30

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.4peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.2	$20M	+$20M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.2	$21M	+$20M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.1	$21M	+$20M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$19M	+$15M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+1.6	$17M	+$11M
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+1.3	$14M	+$8M
Totals		$19M		$112M	+$93M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	177	156	15	4	0	2	17	88	4	0	0	.096	.203	.160	.364	.064	.197	50	10	.173	-9	-22	+0	+0	-1	+5	-1.8
2024	19	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	76	71	8	2	1	1	5	38	0	1	2	.113	.171	.211	.382	.099	.219	50	7	.179	-5	-9	-1	+0	-0	+2	-0.8
2025	20	ROK	2 teams	283	259	63	19	1	9	14	75	9	2	6	.243	.305	.429	.734	.185	.307	27	5	.312	97	-1	-2	+0	-2	+8	0.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	73	61	9	1	1	2	8	30	4	3	0	.148	.288	.295	.583	.148	.241	41	11	.262	59	-3	+1	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
ROS	21	MLB	NYM	200	179	38	8	1	6	15	62	4	4	1	.212	.288	.369	.657	.156	.283	31	8	.294	83	-4	+0	-1	-1	+6	0.0
TOT	21	MLB	NYM	273	240	47	9	2	8	23	92	8	7	1	.196	.288	.350	.638	.154	.277	34	8	.286	77	-7	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	NYM	332	295	67	13	2	12	27	83	7	5	1	.227	.307	.407	.714	.180	.273	25	8	.317	101	+0	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.7
2028	23	MLB 28%	NYM	413	367	86	17	2	16	35	101	8	6	1	.234	.315	.422	.737	.188	.276	24	8	.327	109	+4	+1	-2	-2	+12	1.2
2029	24	MLB 45%	NYM	467	414	99	19	3	19	41	112	9	6	1	.239	.321	.437	.758	.198	.278	24	9	.334	114	+7	+1	-2	-3	+13	1.7
2030	25	MLB 60%	NYM	497	441	106	20	3	21	44	119	9	6	1	.240	.322	.442	.764	.202	.279	24	9	.339	117	+10	+1	-2	-3	+14	2.0
2031	26	MLB 77%	NYM	512	450	110	21	3	22	47	122	10	6	1	.244	.329	.451	.780	.207	.280	24	9	.341	119	+11	+1	-2	-3	+15	2.2
2032	27	MLB 92%	NYM	518	455	111	21	3	23	48	124	10	5	1	.244	.329	.455	.784	.211	.280	24	9	.342	120	+11	+1	-2	-3	+15	2.2
2033	28	MLB	NYM	517	454	110	21	3	22	48	125	10	5	0	.242	.328	.447	.775	.205	.279	24	9	.340	119	+11	+1	-3	-3	+15	2.1
2034	29	MLB	NYM	509	447	107	20	3	22	48	124	9	4	0	.239	.325	.445	.771	.206	.278	24	9	.338	117	+10	+1	-4	-3	+14	1.9
2035	30	MLB	NYM	500	440	105	20	3	21	47	124	9	4	0	.239	.325	.441	.766	.202	.277	25	9	.335	115	+8	+1	-4	-3	+14	1.6
2036	31	MLB	NYM	487	429	100	19	2	20	46	123	9	3	0	.233	.320	.427	.747	.193	.275	25	9	.331	112	+6	+1	-5	-3	+14	1.3
2037	32	MLB	NYM	469	414	95	18	2	19	44	121	8	2	0	.229	.315	.420	.736	.191	.274	26	9	.327	108	+4	+0	-6	-3	+13	1.0
2038	33	MLB	NYM	440	388	87	16	2	17	41	116	8	2	0	.224	.311	.407	.718	.183	.272	26	9	.321	104	+2	+0	-6	-3	+12	0.6
2039	34	MLB	NYM	394	348	77	14	2	15	36	107	7	2	0	.221	.307	.402	.709	.181	.270	27	9	.314	98	-1	+0	-7	-2	+11	0.2
2040	35	MLB	NYM	341	301	65	12	2	12	31	96	6	2	0	.216	.302	.389	.690	.173	.267	28	9	.305	92	-3	+0	-7	-2	+10	-0.2
2041	36	MLB	NYM	282	250	51	9	1	9	25	83	5	2	0	.204	.289	.356	.645	.152	.264	29	9	.296	85	-5	+0	-8	-2	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7414	6558	1500	293	39	288	659	1943	141	67	15	.229	.313	.417	.730	.188	.278	26	9	.322	105	+41	+7	-62	-44	+210	15.6
/ 162G	—			650	575	131	26	3	25	58	170	12	6	1	.228	.312	.414	.726	.186	.277	26	9	.322	105	+4	+1	-5	-4	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	177	143	25	8	0	3	30	59	4	0	0	.175	.333	.294	.627	.119	.272	33	17	.300	88	-2	+0	—	—	+5	0.3
2024	19	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	76	67	14	4	1	2	9	25	0	1	2	.209	.303	.388	.691	.179	.300	33	12	.310	95	-0	-1	—	—	+2	0.1
2025	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	105	96	32	13	2	3	6	21	2	2	3	.333	.385	.604	.989	.271	.397	20	6	.424	182	+10	-1	—	—	+3	1.2
2025	20	ROK	FCL Mets	178	156	44	9	0	7	15	33	7	0	3	.282	.371	.474	.845	.192	.319	19	8	.377	147	+9	-1	—	—	+5	1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Randy Guzman (OGILVIE)	21	30→33	45→61	40→34	30	.220/.285/.378	.158	.286	9	4	29%	7%	85	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Mark Vientos 2021 · A	21	39→49	46→60	41→30	38	.203/.249/.329	.126	.269	15	3	30%	5%	56	-1.3	.231/.283/.421	.190	.315	26	2	34%	6%	95	+1.4	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
●Chris Carter 2008 · A	21	41→51	52→65	43→45	41	.215/.273/.380	.165	.279	21	3	31%	6%	81	+0.4	.225/.295/.427	.202	.289	26	5	31%	8%	102	+1.9	.221/.312/.438	.217	.288	29	4	33%	11%	106	+2.1
★Austin Riley 2018 · AA	21	41→51	50→65	41→40	36	.214/.261/.364	.150	.300	19	3	35%	5%	71	-0.3	.229/.279/.416	.187	.310	24	2	33%	6%	92	+1.2	.273/.345/.498	.224	.325	30	1	25%	8%	136	+4.9
●Heliot Ramos 2021 · AA	21	43→52	46→55	41→50	37	.213/.267/.341	.128	.308	14	7	34%	5%	67	-0.5	.212/.267/.339	.127	.304	14	11	33%	6%	67	-0.5	.256/.322/.432	.177	.319	22	8	26%	7%	112	+2.4
✕Brian Sanchez 2017 · A	21	42	48→60	46→45	37	.209/.270/.353	.143	.308	16	5	36%	6%	72	-0.2	.194/.247/.306	.112	.300	11	4	37%	6%	49	-1.8	.135/.188/.204	.069	.221	4	0	39%	6%	-5	-1.0
✕Matt Davidson 2012 · A	21	43→44	48→60	40→30	40	.217/.276/.359	.142	.297	15	2	32%	6%	76	+0.0	.209/.275/.354	.145	.287	16	2	32%	7%	75	-0.0	.214/.287/.413	.199	.285	28	0	34%	8%	94	+1.0
✕Eric Haase 2015 · A	22	39→41	48→65	42→40	38	.201/.253/.347	.146	.286	16	3	35%	6%	63	-0.9	.194/.252/.355	.161	.294	18	4	39%	6%	65	-0.7	.218/.277/.437	.219	.284	32	2	35%	7%	94	+0.9
✕Anthony García 2013 · A	21	44→46	51→55	43→45	41	.228/.288/.398	.169	.286	18	4	27%	6%	91	+1.1	.204/.267/.353	.149	.265	16	5	29%	6%	71	-0.3	.218/.290/.362	.145	.263	18	4	24%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Max Stassi 2013 · A	22	41→43	47→55	43→40	40	.210/.270/.343	.133	.290	15	4	32%	6%	69	-0.4	.216/.264/.358	.142	.286	17	3	30%	5%	70	-0.3	.208/.295/.359	.151	.271	20	0	30%	10%	81	+0.2
✕Abimelec Ortiz 2023 · A	21	36→39	50→60	43→40	41	.192/.265/.337	.145	.271	19	7	35%	8%	66	-0.6	.210/.271/.394	.184	.280	25	4	34%	7%	83	+0.6	.207/.272/.399	.191	.261	26	2	31%	7%	82	+0.4
✕Allan Cerda 2022 · A	22	41→24	54→55	40→45	40	.210/.289/.396	.186	.309	21	5	37%	8%	92	+1.2	.177/.277/.344	.167	.281	21	7	41%	10%	74	-0.1	.144/.256/.302	.158	.223	21	7	43%	11%	52	-0.8
✕Heriberto Hernández 2021 · A	21	45	52→55	45	47	.227/.308/.406	.179	.310	19	6	31%	9%	102	+1.8	.208/.286/.362	.154	.324	18	6	39%	9%	81	+0.4	.213/.297/.387	.174	.298	22	7	34%	10%	90	+0.8
✕Alexander Canario 2021 · A	21	43→34	49→60	48→50	40	.217/.277/.364	.147	.303	17	8	33%	7%	77	+0.1	.205/.259/.386	.181	.288	24	14	36%	7%	76	+0.1	.209/.277/.424	.216	.279	30	13	36%	8%	90	+0.6
●Renato Núñez 2015 · A	21	41→51	50→60	47→30	37	.214/.258/.362	.148	.273	18	3	29%	4%	69	-0.4	.208/.251/.370	.162	.254	22	3	28%	4%	68	-0.5	.238/.308/.452	.215	.278	31	1	26%	7%	111	+1.7
●Nolan Gorman 2021 · A	21	40→43	48→60	43→45	37	.201/.259/.345	.145	.302	16	3	38%	6%	65	-0.7	.224/.278/.400	.176	.300	24	6	33%	7%	88	+0.9	.225/.289/.424	.199	.290	29	6	33%	8%	95	+1.2
●Tommy Joseph 2013 · AA	22	42→49	47→60	37→30	38	.216/.259/.350	.134	.274	16	2	28%	5%	66	-0.6	.213/.258/.336	.123	.269	14	3	26%	5%	62	-0.9	.240/.292/.434	.194	.274	27	1	23%	6%	100	+1.3
●Thomas Neal 2009 · A	21	46→56	47→55	42→50	42	.228/.286/.360	.132	.294	15	4	27%	6%	80	+0.4	.260/.319/.414	.154	.325	16	6	24%	6%	108	+2.3	.270/.328/.423	.153	.337	14	7	23%	6%	110	+1.9
✕Marco Luciano 2023 · A	21	41→46	49→50	44→45	40	.210/.268/.357	.147	.290	18	5	34%	7%	72	-0.2	.204/.281/.341	.137	.304	17	7	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.187/.277/.320	.133	.282	17	8	37%	11%	64	-0.6
●Gary Sánchez 2014 · AA	21	42→51	49→65	47→45	40	.219/.269/.362	.143	.281	17	6	28%	5%	73	-0.1	.239/.289/.387	.148	.294	18	6	24%	6%	89	+0.9	.232/.315/.480	.248	.254	37	1	26%	9%	119	+2.3
●Anthony Santander 2017 · A	22	43→49	47→65	45	40	.220/.274/.359	.139	.291	15	7	30%	6%	75	-0.0	.234/.278/.389	.155	.289	17	6	25%	5%	84	+0.6	.242/.317/.473	.231	.257	31	2	20%	9%	120	+3.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)