Arnaldo Lantigua

RF Daytona Tortugas
Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs A HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL LAD Mega193.301/.437/.57511665—.177/.289/.305
202519A/ROKCIN335.265/.335/.49012253—.187/.246/.332
202620A/ROKCIN476.263/.386/.43614480—.212/.306/.342
2027PROJMLE21MLBCIN586.188/.270/.31513466-0.6
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBCIN151.198/.280/.3484174-0.5
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBCIN235.206/.287/.3708281-0.5
Next 3 projected WAR -1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$0.2M2033Arb-2$5M2034Arb-3$0.6M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Max EV87
Chase%65
BB%53
K%51
Whiff%41
Speed40
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 18, comp-based) · star 6% · didn't stick 73%
CompsAbimelec Ortiz (age 21) · Brian Sanchez (age 21) · Clint Coulter (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†66
AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .267 / .312
PA210
HR5
K%29
BB%9
ISO127
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -2.7 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-3FLDPOS: -2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$8M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Arb-1$0.2M———
2033Arb-2$5M———
2034Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $0.0M $-5M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL LAD Mega — 11999 22407 18261 42 222347475822 253224 2215 361 19 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL LAD Mega — 193153 467111 33344 61 3014375751.012 275315 1817 435 65 — — — — — —
202519 ADaytona Tortugas — 129119 311222 9341 13 261318445763 185349 267 336 55 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Reds — 206183 4914110 18444 11 268346519865 251300 219 377 51 — — — — — —
202620 ADaytona Tortugas — 415342 8619112 63975 43 251376418794 167311 2315 355 77 — — — — — —
202620 ROKACL Reds — 6150 17502 1190 01 3404595601.019 220385 1518 448 101 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 119105 12203 12321 42 114212219431 105133 2710 197 19 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 193164 29415 22424 61 177289305594 128190 2211 264 65 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 129121 24821 7461 13 198248322570 124305 365 249 55 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Reds — 206189 341016 12634 11 180244339583 159223 316 244 51 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 415361 741519 441325 43 205300327627 122283 3211 282 77 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Reds — 6154 14402 7130 01 259344444789 185295 2111 317 101 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 119105 12203 12321 42 114212219431 105127 2710 197 19 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL LAD Mega — 11999 22407 18261 42 222347475822 253224 2215 361 19 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 193164 29415 22424 61 177289305594 128200 2211 264 65 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL LAD Mega — 193153 467111 33344 61 3014375751.012 275315 1817 435 65 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 335310 571827 191095 24 184243323565 139256 336 246 53 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAW2 teams — 335302 8026312 27785 24 265335490825 225319 238 361 53 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 476415 8819111 511455 44 212306342648 130292 3011 286 80 — — — — — —
202620 A RAW2 teams — 476392 10324114 741065 44 263386436823 173321 2216 367 80 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 119105 12203 12321 42 114212219431 105133 2710 197 19 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 193165 29415 22424 61 176289303593 127190 2211 264 65 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 335308 571827 191095 24 185243325567 140255 336 246 53 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 476417 8819111 511455 44 211306341646 129285 3011 286 80 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 193165 29415 22424 61 176289303593 127190 2211 264 65 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 335308 571827 191095 24 185243325567 140255 336 246 53 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 476417 8819111 511455 44 211306341646 129285 3011 286 80 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLECIN 0% 586522 9823213 531676 43 188270315584 127244 289 265 66 -24 -0 -7 -6 +13 -0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLECIN 34% 438391 7617112 401224 42 196278339616 143248 289 278 74 -13 +0 -5 -5 +9 -1.4
202923 MLB MLECIN 48% 486433 8819215 451335 42 203284359644 157252 279 289 81 -11 +0 -4 -5 +11 -1.0
203024 MLB MLECIN 53% 541481 10021218 501465 53 208290374664 166255 279 296 87 -9 -0 -3 -6 +12 -0.6
203125 MLB MLECIN 55% 578514 10923220 531546 53 212293383676 171257 279 301 90 -7 -0 -3 -6 +13 -0.4
203226 MLB MLECIN 56% 590525 11223221 541566 43 215295389684 174259 269 304 92 -5 -0 -4 -6 +13 -0.3
203327 MLB MLECIN 55% 590525 11223221 541576 43 214294386681 173259 279 303 91 -6 -0 -4 -6 +13 -0.4
203428 MLB MLECIN 55% 582518 11023220 541565 23 212292382674 170257 279 300 89 -7 -1 -4 -6 +13 -0.6
203529 MLB MLECIN 53% 565503 10522219 521535 12 209289375665 166256 279 297 87 -9 -1 -5 -6 +12 -0.8
202822 MLB CTXCIN 34% 151135 27614 14421 11 198280348628 150249 289 282 74 -5 -0 -2 -2 +3 -0.5
202923 MLB CTXCIN 48% 235209 43918 22642 21 206287370657 164253 279 293 81 -5 +0 -2 -3 +5 -0.5
203024 MLB CTXCIN 53% 285254 5311110 26773 21 211292385678 174256 279 302 87 -5 +0 -2 -3 +6 -0.3
203125 MLB CTXCIN 55% 316281 6012112 29843 32 215296395691 180259 279 307 90 -4 -0 -2 -3 +7 -0.2
203226 MLB CTXCIN 56% 328292 6413113 30873 22 218298401699 183260 279 310 92 -3 -0 -2 -4 +7 -0.2
203327 MLB CTXCIN 55% 325289 6313113 30863 22 217297398696 182260 269 309 91 -3 -0 -2 -3 +7 -0.2
203428 MLB CTXCIN 55% 318283 6012112 29853 11 215295393688 179259 279 306 89 -4 -0 -2 -3 +7 -0.3
203529 MLB CTXCIN 53% 301267 5611111 28823 01 212292387679 175257 279 302 87 -5 -0 -3 -3 +7 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 22592010 42687883 20860721 1311 212293387680 175257 279 303 81 -33 -2 -16 -24 +49 -2.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650578 12225224 601756 43 211292386678 175256 279 303 81 -10 -1 -5 -7 +14 -0.8
Career— MLE — 57035071 103422220177 525156559 4633 204286360646 156255 279 289 81 -76 -3 -34 -49 +99 -6.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650578 11725220 601787 54 202286356642 154253 279 289 81 -11 -0 -5 -7 +14 -0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ADaytona Tortugas · 415 PAwOBA .351 → .282 (−69)K% 23.4% → 31.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.37%÷1.000×1.360——31.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.18%÷1.000×0.690—×1.01510.63%
HBP% /PA1.20%—×0.780—×1.0150.95%
Singles /BIP22.04%÷1.000×0.920×1.009×1.01520.76%
Doubles /BIP7.76%÷1.000×0.830×1.009×1.0156.59%
Triples /BIP0.41%÷1.000×0.910×1.009×1.0150.38%
Home runs /BIP4.90%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0153.98%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .351 → .282; ISO .167 → .132; BABIP .311 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Reds · 61 PAwOBA .436 → .317 (−119)K% 14.8% → 21.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.75%÷1.000×1.440——21.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.03%÷1.000×0.620—×0.98511.01%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Singles /BIP24.39%÷1.000×0.820—×0.98519.70%
Doubles /BIP12.20%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9858.65%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP4.88%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9853.75%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .436 → .317; ISO .220 → .164; BABIP .385 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Reds · 206 PAwOBA .368 → .244 (−125)K% 21.4% → 30.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.36%÷1.010×1.440——30.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.74%÷0.931×0.620—×0.9955.79%
HBP% /PA1.94%—×0.720—×0.9951.39%
Singles /BIP17.27%÷1.039×0.820×0.998×0.99513.53%
Doubles /BIP10.07%÷0.963×0.720×0.998×0.9957.47%
Triples /BIP0.72%÷1.150×0.720×0.998×0.9950.45%
Home runs /BIP7.19%÷1.252×0.780—×0.9954.46%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 102, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .368 → .244; ISO .251 → .153; BABIP .300 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ADaytona Tortugas · 129 PAwOBA .327 → .249 (−79)K% 26.4% → 35.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.36%÷1.008×1.360——35.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.98%÷0.956×0.690—×1.0305.19%
HBP% /PA0.78%—×0.780—×1.0300.62%
Singles /BIP17.65%÷0.980×0.920×0.984×1.03016.80%
Doubles /BIP14.12%÷1.088×0.830×0.984×1.03010.92%
Triples /BIP2.35%÷1.000×0.910×0.984×1.0302.17%
Home runs /BIP2.35%÷1.032×0.800—×1.0301.88%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 96, 2B 118, 3B 100, K 102, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .327 → .249; ISO .185 → .133; BABIP .349 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL LAD Mega · 193 PAwOBA .430 → .264 (−166)K% 17.6% → 21.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.62%÷0.994×1.220——21.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.10%÷1.030×0.700—×0.99511.56%
HBP% /PA2.07%—×0.700—×0.9951.44%
Singles /BIP22.69%÷0.988×0.680×0.950×0.99514.76%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷0.953×0.600×0.950×0.9953.50%
Triples /BIP0.84%÷1.079×0.600×0.950×0.9950.44%
Home runs /BIP9.24%÷1.095×0.470—×0.9953.95%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 116, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .430 → .264; ISO .275 → .134; BABIP .315 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL LAD Mega · 119 PAwOBA .354 → .197 (−157)K% 21.8% → 27.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.85%÷0.978×1.220——27.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.13%÷1.050×0.700—×1.00810.16%
HBP% /PA0.84%—×0.700—×1.0080.59%
Singles /BIP15.07%÷0.998×0.680×0.951×1.0089.85%
Doubles /BIP5.48%÷0.985×0.600×0.951×1.0083.20%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.937×0.600×0.951×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP9.59%÷1.325×0.470—×1.0083.43%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 165, 1B 100, 2B 97, 3B 87, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.

Result: wOBA .354 → .197; ISO .253 → .100; BABIP .224 → .133. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).