Rainer Nunez — OGILVIE

Rainer Nunez1B Buffalo Bisons

Age 25 R/R 6'3" / 180 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 304 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .277 / .337

PA304

HR7

K%28

BB%6

ISO114

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	272	253	47	8	1	2	10	43	4	2	3	186	228	249	477	63	211	16	4	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	272	247	61	12	1	2	16	30	4	2	3	247	303	328	631	81	268	11	6	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	153	138	17	4	0	2	7	46	3	0	4	123	182	196	378	72	158	30	5	172	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	153	133	23	6	0	3	12	32	3	0	4	173	257	286	542	113	194	21	8	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	2 teams	—	169	151	32	8	0	5	15	37	1	0	0	212	287	364	652	152	243	22	9	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	2 teams	—	169	143	39	11	0	6	23	26	1	0	0	273	377	476	853	203	292	15	14	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	3 teams	—	645	618	157	26	1	23	18	194	4	0	0	254	280	411	691	157	330	30	3	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	3 teams	—	645	604	178	29	1	26	32	136	4	0	0	295	334	475	810	180	340	21	5	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	3 teams	—	542	513	102	16	1	11	24	180	3	1	0	199	239	298	537	99	281	33	4	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	3 teams	—	542	499	122	20	1	14	38	129	3	1	0	244	302	373	675	128	302	24	7	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	552	505	119	14	2	11	40	145	4	2	1	236	297	337	634	101	307	26	7	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	552	484	128	16	2	13	61	112	4	2	1	264	352	386	738	122	318	20	11	334	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	—	325	298	67	9	0	9	19	96	5	2	2	225	283	346	628	121	297	30	6	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	—	325	292	73	14	0	7	25	78	5	2	2	250	320	370	690	120	316	24	8	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	TOR	—	304	281	63	9	1	7	18	86	2	2	1	224	276	338	614	114	296	28	6	278	71	-10	+0	+0	-5	+9	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	TOR	35%	345	317	72	11	1	8	22	95	3	2	1	227	284	344	627	117	296	28	6	283	75	-10	+0	+0	-6	+10	-0.6
2028	27	MLB	TOR	44%	373	342	78	12	1	9	25	102	3	2	1	228	286	348	634	120	295	27	7	286	77	-10	+0	+0	-7	+11	-0.6
2027	26	MLB	TOR	35%	120	110	25	4	0	3	8	33	1	1	0	227	286	345	631	118	297	28	7	278	71	-4	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.3
2028	27	MLB	TOR	44%	164	151	34	5	0	4	11	45	1	1	0	225	282	338	620	113	297	27	7	281	73	-5	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	284	261	59	9	0	7	19	78	2	2	0	226	284	341	625	115	292	27	7	280	72	-9	+0	+0	-5	+8	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	135	21	0	16	43	179	5	5	0	226	284	342	625	116	292	28	7	280	72	-20	+1	+0	-12	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	3680	3416	754	117	8	87	198	1024	32	13	13	221	270	336	606	115	286	28	5	267	63	-156	-3	+0	-66	+104	-12.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	133	21	1	15	35	181	6	2	2	221	270	333	604	113	286	28	5	267	63	-28	-0	+0	-12	+18	-2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	272	247	61	12	1	2	16	30	4	2	3	247	303	328	631	81	268	11	6	283	75	-8	-1	—	—	+8	-0.1
2019	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	153	133	23	6	0	3	12	32	3	0	4	173	257	286	542	113	194	21	8	243	44	-10	-2	—	—	+4	-0.7
2021	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	23	19	5	0	0	1	3	4	1	0	0	263	391	421	812	158	286	17	13	371	142	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	20	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	146	124	34	11	0	5	20	22	0	0	0	274	375	484	859	210	293	15	14	375	145	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2022	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	116	106	34	6	0	4	10	27	0	0	0	321	379	491	870	170	400	23	9	386	153	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2022	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	384	361	108	19	1	15	14	82	4	0	0	299	332	482	814	183	346	21	4	354	129	+13	+0	—	—	+11	2.4
2022	21	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	145	137	36	4	0	7	8	27	0	0	0	263	303	445	749	182	282	19	6	330	111	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	22	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	326	304	68	9	0	10	21	88	0	0	0	224	274	352	626	128	280	27	6	280	73	-10	+0	—	—	+9	-0.1
2023	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	159	139	43	8	1	3	16	30	3	0	0	309	392	446	838	137	374	19	10	375	145	+8	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
2023	22	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	57	56	11	3	0	1	1	11	0	1	0	196	211	304	514	107	227	19	2	227	32	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	433	385	106	14	2	12	44	87	1	2	0	275	351	416	767	140	325	20	10	342	120	+10	+0	—	—	+12	2.3
2024	23	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	119	99	22	2	0	1	17	25	3	0	1	222	353	273	626	51	288	21	14	302	89	-1	-0	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	300	270	68	12	0	7	24	72	5	2	1	252	324	374	698	122	318	24	8	316	100	-0	+0	—	—	+8	0.9
2025	24	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	25	22	5	2	0	0	1	6	0	0	1	227	261	318	579	91	294	24	4	239	41	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	8	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
	/162	664	15	9	253	302	405	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
#2Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	315	8	2	229	283	351	-6	-2	-0.5	-0.3
	/162	664	16	4	229	283	351	-11.9	-3.2	-1.1	pk7: 0
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	19	9	250	303	400	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	21	9	246	305	405	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rainer Nunez (OGILVIE)	25	45	45	45	40	224/277/337	113	296	7	2	28%	6%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Castellanos 2023 · AAA	25	45	49→50	44→45	37	234/270/376	143	283	17	3	24%	3%	77	+0.1	221/262/346	125	281	15	5	27%	4%	66	-0.6	201/241/309	108	252	15	1	27%	3%	43	-1.1
✕Hunter Cole 2018 · AA	25	45→52	47→50	44→40	39	225/269/366	141	297	14	4	29%	5%	74	-0.1	237/287/377	140	340	16	4	33%	6%	84	+0.6	246/295/382	135	360	17	1	35%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Mike Spina 2012 · AA	25	43→42	45	48→30	44	214/281/336	123	286	13	2	29%	7%	72	-0.2	191/260/308	117	279	12	4	34%	8%	56	-1.3	139/215/247	108	206	13	1	38%	8%	20	-2.5
✕Steffan Wilson 2011 · AA	25	43→47	45→50	46→45	42	216/271/337	121	293	13	8	30%	7%	67	-0.5	204/251/295	91	271	9	7	27%	6%	47	-1.9	193/234/263	70	249	7	4	25%	5%	29	-2.4
✕Nick Longhi 2021 · AAA	25	43→52	45	45→30	36	216/254/337	120	292	13	4	30%	4%	59	-1.1	206/265/312	106	302	10	6	33%	6%	59	-1.1	171/241/246	74	261	7	0	35%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Jon Griffin 2014 · AA	25	43→46	48→50	44→30	38	221/265/351	130	292	17	2	30%	5%	69	-0.4	210/259/351	141	296	18	4	34%	5%	67	-0.5	185/237/347	162	250	24	1	36%	5%	55	-0.9
✕Curt Smith 2012 · AA	25	47→50	44→50	46→40	38	234/266/353	119	287	12	5	23%	4%	69	-0.4	227/271/365	138	290	15	5	27%	5%	75	-0.0	225/271/352	127	282	14	3	25%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Chris Errecart 2010 · AA	25	42→46	45→50	40	37	210/266/333	123	296	12	4	32%	5%	65	-0.7	213/262/340	127	293	11	7	30%	5%	65	-0.7	205/235/369	164	263	13	3	27%	2%	58	-0.3
✕Gabriel Guerrero 2019 · MLB	25	46→50	44→45	42→50	37	228/258/346	118	300	12	5	28%	4%	63	-0.8	215/242/330	115	317	12	8	35%	3%	53	-1.5	185/199/276	91	291	10	7	40%	1%	16	-2.5
✕Clint Coulter 2018 · AA	25	41→42	42→50	42→40	39	204/262/312	109	268	10	4	27%	5%	58	-1.2	203/259/326	123	314	12	6	37%	5%	59	-1.1	202/269/353	151	245	18	4	25%	5%	68	-0.1
✕D.J. Peterson 2018 · AAA	26	43→46	47→55	46→40	41	217/264/348	130	277	15	5	27%	5%	67	-0.5	208/251/339	131	283	15	6	31%	5%	59	-1.1	184/241/324	140	253	18	2	34%	5%	49	-1.0
✕Yorman Rodriguez 2022 · AAA	25	48→51	45→50	45→50	38	239/273/356	116	291	13	7	23%	4%	72	-0.2	248/287/386	138	288	17	7	20%	5%	87	+0.8	254/293/394	140	288	19	5	19%	5%	90	+0.7
●Neftali Soto 2014 · AAA	25	43→53	48→55	44→40	37	223/260/358	135	286	17	4	28%	4%	69	-0.4	231/270/320	89	298	7	4	24%	5%	61	-1.0	248/290/372	125	308	13	1	23%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Dustin Peterson 2019 · AAA	24	46→48	42→50	46→45	41	226/273/328	102	297	9	4	27%	5%	66	-0.6	239/282/372	133	298	16	5	25%	5%	81	+0.4	230/277/354	124	286	15	4	24%	5%	71	-0.2
✕Nicholas Torres 2018 · AAA	25	48→50	44→50	42→45	35	237/269/351	115	322	11	6	30%	3%	69	-0.4	233/282/359	126	325	14	6	31%	5%	78	+0.2	222/280/338	116	313	13	6	32%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Dustin Geiger 2017 · AA	25	41→46	44→50	47→40	41	204/264/320	116	288	12	7	32%	7%	60	-1.0	188/252/308	120	286	13	5	37%	7%	53	-1.5	159/227/272	113	242	13	1	39%	7%	30	-1.4
✕Mark Haddow 2013 · AA	25	49→53	44→45	46→45	41	239/289/355	115	319	11	5	28%	6%	79	+0.3	222/286/317	95	313	6	9	29%	7%	69	-0.4	205/281/284	80	297	3	10	30%	8%	56	-0.8
✕Cody Overbeck 2011 · AA	25	43→46	46→50	42→30	38	212/266/343	131	312	13	2	35%	6%	67	-0.5	224/267/364	140	301	17	2	30%	5%	73	-0.1	221/261/367	146	288	19	1	30%	4%	69	-0.4
✕Jon Zeringue 2008 · AA	25	40→44	47→50	43→45	40	208/262/339	132	274	16	6	30%	6%	65	-0.7	222/286/382	160	290	20	6	30%	7%	86	+0.8	217/284/386	169	273	22	3	29%	7%	82	+0.4
✕Armani Smith 2023 · AA	25	45	42→45	45	41	211/276/313	102	323	10	6	36%	8%	63	-0.8	210/275/307	97	328	9	9	36%	8%	61	-1.0	170/238/229	59	275	7	9	38%	7%	24	-0.6