Logan Davidson — OGILVIE

Logan Davidson1B Durham Bulls

Age 28 S/R 6'3" / 185 lbs AAA HR +6%H +4% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION409 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP290

ISO137

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT45

Whiff%

1016.6%

xAVG

100.138

POWER45

Barrel%

214.5

Avg EV

2887.4

Bat Spd

5772.0

EYE60

Chase%

8425.0%

SPEED50

Sprint

4327.2

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	515	448	95	22	1	7	62	155	1	4	3	212	309	312	622	100	304	30	12	286	80	-12	-0	—	—	+11	-0.2
2021	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	90	73	20	4	0	2	15	33	1	1	1	274	404	411	815	137	462	37	17	369	136	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
2022	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	484	424	107	21	1	14	53	134	3	4	1	252	340	406	745	153	332	28	11	333	111	+7	+0	—	—	+10	1.8
2023	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	232	208	55	12	1	3	21	51	1	4	1	264	335	375	710	111	335	22	9	319	102	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2023	25	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	206	182	54	11	1	7	22	56	2	2	2	297	379	484	862	187	395	27	11	383	145	+11	-0	—	—	+4	1.5
2024	26	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	347	310	93	23	4	14	27	108	7	7	2	300	369	535	905	235	414	31	8	392	152	+21	+1	—	—	+8	3.0
2024	26	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	26	20	2	1	0	0	4	13	2	1	0	100	308	150	458	50	286	50	15	248	54	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	27	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	47	42	7	2	0	1	3	22	0	0	0	167	222	286	508	119	316	47	6	220	35	-4	+0	-3	-8	+1	-1.4
2025	27	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	423	344	86	18	1	10	73	119	4	7	2	250	387	395	783	145	350	28	17	357	128	+14	+1	—	—	+9	2.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	47	42	7	2	0	1	3	22	0	0	0	167	222	286	508	119	316	47	6	220	35	-4	+0	-3	-8	+1	-1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	515	468	80	18	1	6	42	193	1	4	3	171	241	252	493	81	266	37	8	223	37	-39	-0	—	—	+11	-2.8
2022	24	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	484	439	94	18	1	13	38	164	3	4	1	214	281	349	630	134	300	34	8	277	74	-15	+0	—	—	+10	-0.4
2023	25	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	232	215	45	8	1	2	14	65	1	4	1	209	261	284	545	74	283	28	6	243	51	-14	+0	—	—	+5	-0.8
2023	25	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	206	189	45	9	1	5	15	70	2	2	2	238	301	376	677	138	343	34	7	294	85	-4	-0	—	—	+4	0.0
2024	26	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	347	319	73	16	3	10	18	136	7	7	2	229	285	392	677	163	347	39	5	292	84	-7	+1	—	—	+8	0.1
2025	27	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	47	42	7	2	0	1	3	22	0	0	0	167	222	286	508	119	316	47	6	218	34	-4	+0	-3	-8	+1	-1.4
2025	27	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	423	369	75	16	1	8	48	154	4	7	2	203	302	317	619	114	319	36	11	280	76	-12	+1	—	—	+9	-0.3
2021	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	605	549	94	22	1	7	49	226	2	5	4	171	242	253	495	82	272	37	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	605	521	115	26	1	9	77	188	2	5	4	221	323	326	650	106	323	31	13	298	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	484	439	94	18	1	13	38	164	3	4	1	214	281	349	630	134	305	34	8	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	—	484	424	107	21	1	14	53	134	3	4	1	252	340	406	745	153	332	28	11	333	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	438	404	90	17	1	8	29	134	3	6	3	223	280	329	609	106	312	31	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	438	390	109	23	2	10	43	107	3	6	3	279	356	426	781	146	361	24	10	349	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	373	342	78	17	3	11	19	147	9	8	2	228	286	392	678	164	358	39	5	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	373	330	95	24	4	14	31	121	9	8	2	288	365	512	877	224	409	32	8	382	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	470	411	82	18	1	9	51	176	4	7	2	200	294	314	608	114	320	37	11	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	470	386	93	20	1	11	76	141	4	7	2	241	371	383	755	142	347	30	16	343	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	605	549	94	22	1	7	49	226	2	5	4	171	242	253	495	82	266	37	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	484	440	94	18	1	13	38	164	3	4	1	214	281	348	629	134	300	34	8	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	438	403	90	17	1	8	29	134	3	6	3	223	280	330	610	107	311	31	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	373	342	78	17	3	11	19	147	9	8	2	228	286	392	678	164	347	39	5	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	470	412	82	18	1	9	51	176	4	7	2	199	294	313	607	114	319	37	11	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	438	403	90	17	1	8	29	134	3	6	3	223	280	330	610	107	311	31	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	373	342	78	17	3	11	19	147	9	8	2	228	286	392	678	164	347	39	5	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	470	412	82	18	1	9	51	176	4	7	2	199	294	313	607	114	319	37	11	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	TB	—	409	365	61	10	2	10	35	153	6	13	4	167	251	288	539	121	250	37	9	244	51	-24	+1	+0	-7	+9	-2.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA RAW	TB	—	409	349	74	13	2	15	51	127	6	13	4	212	323	390	712	178	282	31	12	320	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	28	AAA MLE	TB	10%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		282	40	10	267	67	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	28	MLB CTX	TB	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						290	0	0	263	67	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	28	MLB A+C	TB	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	263	52	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	28	AAA MLE	TB	—	419	374	62	10	2	10	36	157	6	13	4	166	250	283	533	118	249	37	9	245	52	-24	+1	-0	-7	+9	-2.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	TB	27%	380	339	66	12	2	10	33	134	5	8	2	195	276	330	606	136	284	35	9	272	70	-13	+1	-3	-7	+8	-1.4
2027	29	MLB CTX	TB	27%	104	93	19	4	0	3	9	37	1	2	1	204	282	344	626	140	292	36	9	269	70	-4	+0	-1	-2	+2	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	152	136	26	6	0	4	12	59	1	2	1	191	262	324	585	132	297	39	8	254	65	-7	+0	-3	-10	+3	-1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	111	26	0	17	51	252	4	9	4	191	261	323	584	132	297	39	8	254	65	-31	+0	-14	-44	+14	-7.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2760	2493	505	104	9	58	220	985	26	38	14	203	274	321	595	119	305	36	8	264	65	-17	+1	-5	-15	+9	-2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	119	24	2	14	52	232	6	9	3	203	274	322	596	119	304	36	8	264	65	-26	+1	-8	-23	+14	-4.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Logan Davidson (OGILVIE)	28	45	45	50	60	187/268/315	128	282	6	6	36%	9%	67	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Rua 2018 · MLB	28	44→54	48→50	50	41	221/281/355	134	310	16	11	33%	7%	80	-0.2	218/272/368	150	305	18	13	33%	6%	79	-0.2	189/235/349	160	255	21	17	35%	4%	59	-0.6
✕Brandon Boggs 2010 · MLB	27	44→48	46→55	50	50	216/301/348	133	302	12	10	31%	10%	85	+0.2	212/298/337	125	297	11	7	30%	10%	82	-0.0	204/292/327	123	283	11	5	29%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Brent Clevlen 2012 · AAA	28	50→52	46→50	49→50	41	238/292/367	129	342	13	10	33%	7%	85	+0.2	225/283/368	143	314	15	9	31%	7%	83	+0.1	217/272/356	139	292	16	7	30%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Clint Coulter 2021 · AAA	28	45→43	46→50	48→40	37	216/271/350	134	325	14	8	36%	6%	74	-0.5	215/276/360	145	283	17	6	29%	6%	79	-0.2	201/269/342	141	247	16	4	25%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB	28	40→45	48→55	45→50	44	207/283/349	141	260	15	8	26%	7%	80	-0.2	210/276/339	129	270	14	11	27%	7%	74	-0.5	201/267/326	125	260	14	11	27%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Eli White 2022 · MLB	28	42→52	46→50	48→60	44	211/285/337	126	290	14	13	31%	8%	77	-0.3	222/298/350	128	312	15	28	31%	9%	84	+0.2	242/297/385	142	309	16	27	26%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Darnell Sweeney 2019 · AAA	28	43→50	43→45	46→55	40	208/262/318	109	298	10	14	32%	6%	63	-1.4	209/263/332	123	336	13	11	39%	6%	67	-1.1	169/213/281	112	296	12	7	45%	4%	33	-0.9
✕Adam Engel 2020 · MLB	28	44→48	45→50	52→60	39	218/274/342	124	296	11	16	30%	5%	74	-0.6	235/293/378	143	305	15	19	27%	6%	89	+0.5	203/276/332	129	289	14	30	33%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Mike Costanzo 2012 · AAA	28	43→47	46→45	46→40	41	212/268/343	131	299	12	6	32%	7%	72	-0.7	208/269/331	123	295	12	4	32%	8%	69	-0.9	196/260/310	114	275	12	1	32%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Billy McKinney 2023 · MLB	28	41→51	49→55	53→45	46	207/284/358	152	283	16	5	32%	9%	82	-0.0	218/297/362	144	287	17	7	29%	9%	87	+0.4	209/290/344	135	268	17	6	27%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Joe McCarthy 2021 · AAA	27	38→48	46→45	49→50	44	191/275/317	127	288	13	7	36%	9%	69	-0.9	242/306/403	161	300	18	9	25%	7%	100	+1.3	253/317/428	176	300	20	6	22%	7%	107	+1.0
✕Sócrates Brito 2021 · MLB	28	44→54	48→50	50→55	41	223/268/371	148	291	14	13	28%	6%	78	-0.3	220/273/328	108	295	10	21	28%	6%	70	-0.9	212/265/298	85	287	8	28	27%	5%	58	-1.2
✕Rymer Liriano 2019 · MLB	28	39→49	46→45	45→55	38	197/259/318	121	300	15	11	38%	7%	63	-1.4	200/277/337	137	324	17	13	40%	9%	74	-0.5	155/255/288	132	253	18	14	43%	11%	55	-0.8
✕Corey Brown 2014 · MLB	28	43→48	51→55	50	40	218/274/379	161	305	19	14	34%	7%	82	+0.0	198/245/345	147	287	18	13	36%	6%	63	-1.3	201/259/370	168	288	21	17	37%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Cooper Hummel 2023 · MLB	28	46→49	48→50	48→55	53	227/318/379	152	299	14	10	27%	11%	99	+1.2	221/324/361	140	303	12	18	28%	12%	97	+1.1	215/328/356	141	293	12	19	28%	12%	96	+0.7
✕Victor Mendez 2008 · AAA	28	45	45	51→50	43	223/278/353	129	297	13	11	28%	7%	77	-0.3	228/288/347	119	298	12	10	26%	7%	80	-0.2	235/308/354	119	298	14	12	25%	9%	87	+0.1
✕Ben Guez 2015 · AAA	28	40→50	47→50	44→50	41	203/278/343	139	279	15	10	32%	7%	76	-0.4	208/285/351	143	308	16	16	36%	8%	80	-0.1	207/305/368	161	268	22	29	30%	11%	88	+0.1
✕Luis Liberato 2023 · AAA	27	42→49	49→50	52→50	43	214/277/367	153	293	16	8	32%	8%	80	-0.1	219/283/349	130	311	12	12	31%	8%	78	-0.3	218/283/331	113	310	10	13	31%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	43	46→50	49→50	42	215/271/341	126	287	13	11	30%	6%	72	-0.7	204/270/355	151	326	19	14	41%	7%	76	-0.4	143/213/283	140	229	22	18	47%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2019 · AAA	28	45	44→45	48→45	40	223/273/341	119	304	12	10	30%	6%	72	-0.7	233/284/375	142	336	15	10	34%	6%	85	+0.2	232/278/378	146	339	17	6	35%	5%	82	-0.0