Logan Davidson — OGILVIE

Logan Davidson1B Durham Bulls

Age 28 S/R 6'3" / 185 lbs AAA HR -6%H +4% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION286 act + 190 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .292 / .350

PA190

HR5

SB5

K%36

BB%9

BABIP314

ISO142

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT45

Whiff%

1016.6%

xwOBA

100.198

POWER45

Barrel%

214.5

Avg EV

2887.4

Bat Spd

5772.0

EYE60

Chase%

8425.0%

SPEED50

Sprint

4327.2

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-1	$0.3M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AA	2 teams	—	605	550	87	20	1	10	48	243	2	5	4	158	228	253	481	95	256	40	8	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	2 teams	—	605	521	115	26	1	9	77	188	2	5	4	221	323	326	650	106	323	31	13	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	484	438	94	17	1	20	39	174	3	4	1	215	283	395	678	180	298	36	8	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	484	424	107	21	1	14	53	134	3	4	1	252	340	406	745	153	332	28	11	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	438	405	88	16	1	9	28	139	3	6	3	217	273	328	601	111	306	32	6	263	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	438	390	109	23	2	10	43	107	3	6	3	279	356	426	781	146	361	24	10	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	373	341	78	16	2	11	20	144	9	8	2	229	289	384	673	155	354	39	5	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	373	330	95	24	4	14	31	121	9	8	2	288	365	512	877	224	409	32	8	382	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	470	413	85	21	1	9	49	177	4	7	2	206	296	327	623	121	332	38	10	279	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	470	386	93	20	1	11	76	141	4	7	2	241	371	383	755	142	347	30	16	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	TB	—	286	249	46	8	2	7	28	106	6	11	3	185	283	317	600	133	283	37	10	262	59	-13	+1	+0	-5	+8	-1.0
YTD	28	AAA	TB	—	286	237	52	10	2	8	40	88	6	11	3	219	346	380	726	160	308	31	14	329	110	+3	+1	+0	-5	+8	0.7
ROS	28	AAA	TB	10%	190	168	35	7	1	5	17	69	3	5	1	208	292	350	641	142	303	36	9	284	75	-5	+1	-1	-3	+5	-0.4
ROS	28	MLB	TB	10%	19	17	3	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	176	263	235	498	59	307	37	11	273	67	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
FULL	28	AAA	TB	—	305	266	49	9	2	7	30	113	6	11	3	184	281	312	593	128	284	37	10	263	59	-14	+1	-0	-5	+9	-1.0
TOT	28	AAA	TB	—	476	417	81	15	3	12	45	175	9	16	4	194	286	330	617	136	295	37	9	271	65	-19	+2	-1	-9	+14	-1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	TB	27%	380	337	69	14	2	9	34	132	6	8	2	205	289	338	627	134	299	35	9	284	76	-11	+1	-3	-7	+11	-0.9
2028	30	MLB	TB	37%	380	337	69	14	2	9	34	130	6	8	2	205	289	338	627	134	297	34	9	284	75	-11	+1	-4	-7	+11	-1.0
2027	29	MLB	TB	27%	104	92	20	4	1	3	9	36	2	2	1	217	301	380	681	163	302	35	9	273	67	-4	+0	-1	-2	+3	-0.4
2028	30	MLB	TB	37%	142	126	26	5	1	3	13	49	2	3	1	206	291	333	624	127	300	35	9	273	67	-5	+0	-1	-3	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	312	277	56	12	2	7	27	114	4	5	2	202	282	336	618	134	310	37	9	265	61	-14	+0	-5	-13	+9	-2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	117	25	4	15	56	238	8	10	4	203	282	338	620	135	311	37	9	265	61	-28	+0	-10	-27	+18	-4.8
Career	—			—	3320	2989	605	125	11	82	269	1208	36	51	17	202	276	334	610	131	304	36	8	271	65	-130	+3	-10	-59	+94	-10.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	118	24	2	16	53	236	7	10	3	202	276	332	608	130	303	36	8	271	65	-25	+1	-2	-12	+18	-2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	515	448	95	22	1	7	62	155	1	4	3	212	309	312	622	100	304	30	12	286	77	-13	-0	—	—	+15	0.1
2021	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	90	73	20	4	0	2	15	33	1	1	1	274	404	411	815	137	462	37	17	369	140	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	484	424	107	21	1	14	53	134	3	4	1	252	340	406	745	153	332	28	11	333	113	+7	+0	—	—	+14	2.2
2023	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	232	208	55	12	1	3	21	51	1	4	1	264	335	375	710	111	335	22	9	319	102	+1	+0	—	—	+7	0.8
2023	25	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	206	182	54	11	1	7	22	56	2	2	2	297	379	484	862	187	395	27	11	383	151	+12	-0	—	—	+6	1.8
2024	26	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	347	310	93	23	4	14	27	108	7	7	2	300	369	535	905	235	414	31	8	392	158	+23	+1	—	—	+10	3.4
2024	26	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	26	20	2	1	0	0	4	13	2	1	0	100	308	150	458	50	286	50	15	248	48	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	27	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	47	42	7	2	0	1	3	22	0	0	0	167	222	286	508	119	316	47	6	220	27	-4	+0	-3	-8	+1	-1.4
2025	27	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	423	344	86	18	1	10	73	119	4	7	2	250	387	395	783	145	350	28	17	357	131	+15	+1	—	—	+12	2.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	47	42	7	2	0	1	3	22	0	0	0	167	222	286	508	119	316	47	6	220	27	-4	+0	-3	-8	+1	-1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#4Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	271	7	6	206	287	342	-5	-3	-0.5	-0.2
	/162	664	17	14	206	287	342	-11.9	-6.6	-1.2	pk7: 0
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	19	9	250	303	400	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	21	9	246	305	405	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Logan Davidson (OGILVIE)	28	45	45	50	60	194/286/330	136	295	12	16	37%	9%	65	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Rua 2018 · MLB	28	44→54	47→50	50	41	221/280/353	133	307	16	11	33%	7%	76	+0.0	219/271/370	151	303	18	13	33%	6%	76	+0.1	193/239/358	165	259	22	17	34%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Brandon Boggs 2010 · MLB	27	44→48	46→55	50	49	216/300/351	135	302	13	10	31%	10%	84	+0.6	210/296/336	126	293	12	7	30%	10%	79	+0.3	202/290/327	126	278	11	5	29%	10%	71	-0.2
✕Eli White 2022 · MLB	28	43→49	47→50	48→60	44	213/287/345	132	291	15	13	31%	8%	77	+0.1	227/302/365	138	317	17	28	31%	9%	88	+0.9	238/302/384	146	318	18	31	30%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Victor Mendez 2008 · AAA	28	45	46→45	51→50	43	224/278/357	133	299	13	11	29%	7%	76	+0.0	228/288/348	120	298	12	10	26%	7%	77	+0.1	234/304/354	120	298	14	12	25%	9%	84	+0.2
✕Darnell Sweeney 2019 · AAA	28	42→48	43→50	45→55	40	207/260/321	114	295	11	14	33%	6%	59	-1.1	210/261/341	131	338	14	11	40%	6%	64	-0.8	172/217/307	135	303	16	7	47%	4%	33	-0.7
✕Slade Heathcott 2018 · MLB	27	46→43	48→45	46→50	42	227/288/367	140	312	16	10	31%	7%	82	+0.5	226/285/356	130	327	13	13	33%	7%	79	+0.3	217/273/305	88	346	4	17	36%	6%	55	-0.3
✕Barrett Barnes 2019 · AAA	28	48	43→45	50	40	229/294/348	119	329	10	10	32%	6%	80	+0.4	219/306/367	148	290	16	8	29%	9%	91	+1.1	196/297/347	151	252	18	5	28%	10%	80	+0.2
✕Mike Costanzo 2012 · AAA	28	41→48	47→50	45→40	40	208/265/348	140	301	15	6	35%	7%	68	-0.5	205/265/334	129	294	14	4	33%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/313	121	273	13	1	33%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Brent Clevlen 2012 · AAA	28	50→52	47→50	49→50	41	239/293/378	139	345	15	10	34%	7%	87	+0.8	221/281/365	144	312	15	9	32%	8%	79	+0.3	204/260/343	139	280	16	7	32%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2019 · AAA	28	44	46→50	47→45	39	221/268/347	126	302	14	10	31%	6%	69	-0.4	233/281/382	149	336	17	10	34%	5%	83	+0.6	233/280/392	159	341	19	6	36%	5%	84	+0.3
✕Billy McKinney 2023 · MLB	28	41→51	49→55	53→45	46	207/285/359	152	283	16	5	32%	9%	79	+0.3	221/299/375	154	288	19	7	28%	9%	90	+1.0	214/296/366	152	268	19	6	27%	9%	83	+0.3
✕Jaylin Davis 2023 · MLB	29	39→45	48→50	44→45	41	200/272/339	139	292	16	7	36%	8%	69	-0.4	206/284/353	147	310	17	8	36%	8%	79	+0.3	175/274/336	161	263	19	3	38%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Clint Coulter 2021 · AAA	28	45→42	46→50	48→40	35	212/268/345	133	340	13	8	40%	6%	69	-0.4	216/276/373	157	283	19	6	30%	6%	80	+0.4	202/269/353	151	245	18	4	25%	5%	68	-0.1
✕Joe McCarthy 2021 · AAA	27	38→48	46→50	49→50	43	190/272/319	129	288	14	7	37%	9%	64	-0.8	247/309/426	179	300	21	9	24%	7%	107	+2.2	262/327/469	207	303	25	6	22%	7%	123	+1.7
✕Sócrates Brito 2021 · MLB	28	44→54	49→50	50→55	40	222/267/377	155	290	16	13	29%	6%	76	+0.0	224/276/336	112	301	11	21	28%	6%	69	-0.4	220/274/310	90	298	8	28	28%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Cal Towey 2017 · AAA	27	44→50	43→45	47→50	44	208/287/318	110	318	10	13	35%	9%	69	-0.4	201/285/308	107	325	9	8	37%	9%	67	-0.5	171/271/265	94	294	6	3	39%	10%	48	-1.2
✕Greg Deichmann 2023 · MLB	28	43→48	43→50	49→50	40	210/267/323	112	310	10	13	34%	7%	62	-0.9	209/262/358	149	307	18	16	36%	6%	69	-0.4	188/245/352	164	266	22	18	37%	6%	57	-0.9
✕Ben Paulsen 2016 · MLB	28	44→53	48→50	43→40	40	222/274/371	149	307	15	4	32%	6%	78	+0.2	211/255/330	119	283	11	5	28%	5%	59	-1.1	194/233/279	85	269	6	1	29%	5%	30	-2.1
✕Dan Black 2015 · AAA	28	48→52	47→50	46→45	47	240/303/377	137	307	15	5	26%	8%	92	+1.2	238/302/355	117	311	13	5	26%	8%	85	+0.7	243/311/342	99	315	12	2	25%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Zack Zehner 2021 · AAA	28	40→50	46→50	44→45	38	203/255/332	128	291	14	6	34%	6%	59	-1.1	223/287/344	121	341	11	12	35%	8%	76	+0.0	220/293/332	112	347	10	12	36%	9%	72	-0.1