Nelson Maldonado
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | AATennessee Smo… | 272 | .303/.373/.467 | 6 | 1 | 97 | — | .270/.321/.393 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 411 | .279/.334/.458 | 12 | 6 | 79 | — | .241/.282/.385 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 332 | .213/.325/.362 | 8 | 1 | 54 | — | .182/.261/.297 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 22 | A | South Bend Cubs | — | 141 | 132 | 41 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 311 | 350 | 409 | 759 | 98 | 357 | 14 | 6 | 337 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Cubs 1 | — | 39 | 36 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 278 | 333 | 500 | 833 | 222 | 310 | 15 | 8 | 363 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 272 | 244 | 74 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 49 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 303 | 373 | 467 | 840 | 164 | 358 | 18 | 8 | 372 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 253 | 231 | 53 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 229 | 282 | 359 | 642 | 130 | 268 | 20 | 6 | 282 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 158 | 142 | 51 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 359 | 417 | 620 | 1.036 | 261 | 440 | 23 | 8 | 445 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 22 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 500 | 467 | 967 | 200 | 300 | 18 | 32 | 440 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 310 | 267 | 56 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 60 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 313 | 356 | 669 | 146 | 241 | 19 | 12 | 302 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 141 | 135 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 244 | 271 | 311 | 583 | 67 | 304 | 20 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs 1 | — | 39 | 37 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 216 | 256 | 405 | 662 | 189 | 230 | 23 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 272 | 252 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 60 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 321 | 393 | 714 | 123 | 335 | 22 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 253 | 236 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 61 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 203 | 242 | 309 | 551 | 106 | 244 | 24 | 4 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 158 | 146 | 44 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 301 | 346 | 507 | 853 | 205 | 399 | 30 | 6 | 366 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 22 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 409 | 412 | 821 | 176 | 266 | 23 | 23 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 310 | 280 | 50 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 73 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 179 | 251 | 289 | 540 | 111 | 216 | 24 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 180 | 172 | 41 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 238 | 268 | 331 | 600 | 93 | 291 | 21 | 4 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 180 | 168 | 51 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 304 | 346 | 429 | 775 | 125 | 348 | 14 | 6 | 343 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 272 | 252 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 60 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 321 | 393 | 714 | 123 | 339 | 22 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA RAW | Tennessee Smokies | — | 272 | 244 | 74 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 49 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 303 | 373 | 467 | 840 | 164 | 358 | 18 | 8 | 372 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 411 | 382 | 91 | 27 | 0 | 9 | 20 | 108 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 238 | 280 | 380 | 659 | 141 | 304 | 26 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 411 | 373 | 104 | 31 | 0 | 12 | 29 | 87 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 279 | 334 | 458 | 793 | 180 | 330 | 21 | 7 | 345 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 332 | 298 | 54 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 77 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 181 | 258 | 295 | 554 | 114 | 220 | 23 | 8 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 332 | 282 | 60 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 43 | 64 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 325 | 362 | 687 | 149 | 244 | 19 | 13 | 312 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 180 | 171 | 41 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 240 | 268 | 333 | 601 | 94 | 288 | 21 | 4 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 272 | 251 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 60 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 271 | 321 | 394 | 715 | 124 | 335 | 22 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 411 | 386 | 91 | 27 | 0 | 9 | 20 | 108 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 236 | 280 | 376 | 655 | 140 | 304 | 26 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 332 | 298 | 54 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 77 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 181 | 258 | 295 | 554 | 114 | 219 | 23 | 8 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1195 | 1104 | 254 | 62 | 5 | 21 | 69 | 282 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 230 | 281 | 352 | 634 | 122 | 287 | 24 | 6 | 276 | 73 | -38 | +2 | +0 | -7 | +26 | -1.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 138 | 34 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 153 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 230 | 281 | 351 | 632 | 121 | 287 | 24 | 6 | 276 | 73 | -21 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AATennessee Smokies · 310 PAwOBA .298 → .240 (−57)K% 19.4% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.35% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.61% | ÷1.059 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 7.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.29% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.46% | ÷0.975 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×0.978 | 14.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.73% | ÷1.023 | ×0.910 | ×0.996 | ×0.978 | 6.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷0.966 | ×0.880 | ×0.996 | ×0.978 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.38% | ÷1.082 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 2.45% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 95, 2B 105, 3B 93, K 102, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .298 → .240; ISO .146 → .118; BABIP .241 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAIowa Cubs · 22 PAwOBA .431 → .349 (−81)K% 18.2% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.019 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 31.82% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 21.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 24.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.049 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.916 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 6.61% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 105, 2B 110, 3B 83, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .431 → .349; ISO .200 → .165; BABIP .300 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAIowa Cubs · 253 PAwOBA .278 → .234 (−44)K% 19.8% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.76% | ÷0.988 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.32% | ÷1.048 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.23% | ÷0.985 | ×0.930 | ×0.981 | ×1.018 | 17.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.29% | ÷0.967 | ×0.830 | ×0.981 | ×1.018 | 7.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.118 | ×0.970 | ×0.981 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.76% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.98% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 97, 2B 93, 3B 124, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .278 → .234; ISO .130 → .102; BABIP .268 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AATennessee Smokies · 158 PAwOBA .438 → .366 (−72)K% 23.4% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.42% | ÷0.958 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.23% | ÷0.940 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 5.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.63% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×0.988 | 24.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.24% | ÷0.929 | ×0.910 | ×0.978 | ×0.988 | 14.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.973 | ×0.880 | ×0.978 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.010 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 5.22% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 96, 2B 86, 3B 95, K 92, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .438 → .366; ISO .261 → .213; BABIP .440 → .399. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AATennessee Smokies · 272 PAwOBA .364 → .311 (−53)K% 18.0% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.01% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.46% | ÷1.066 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.998 | 5.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.62% | ÷0.970 | ×0.940 | ×1.013 | ×0.998 | 24.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.23% | ÷1.015 | ×0.870 | ×1.013 | ×0.998 | 8.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.03% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.013 | ×0.998 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.08% | ÷1.050 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.28% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 94, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 98, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .364 → .311; ISO .164 → .131; BABIP .358 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ASouth Bend Cubs · 141 PAwOBA .328 → .263 (−65)K% 14.2% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.18% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 19.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.96% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 3.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 25.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.36% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 4.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 1.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.89% | ÷0.914 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.77% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 97, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .328 → .263; ISO .098 → .074; BABIP .357 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKAZL Cubs 1 · 39 PAwOBA .353 → .244 (−110)K% 15.4% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.38% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 4.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 13.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 6.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 2.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 2.51% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .353 → .244; ISO .222 → .152; BABIP .310 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).