Nick Longhi
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 291 | .244/.302/.320 | 2 | 1 | 53 | — | .222/.268/.289 |
| 2019 | 23 | AAACIN | 424 | .283/.337/.463 | 12 | 0 | 74 | — | .232/.268/.377 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAACOL | 252 | .242/.339/.356 | 5 | 0 | 49 | — | .192/.263/.271 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | — | 50 | 45 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 178 | 245 | 356 | 600 | 178 | 219 | 24 | 6 | 263 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 488 | 442 | 124 | 27 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 88 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 281 | 340 | 403 | 743 | 122 | 334 | 18 | 7 | 330 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 535 | 471 | 133 | 40 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 106 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 282 | 355 | 393 | 748 | 110 | 352 | 20 | 9 | 331 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 275 | 256 | 68 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 266 | 313 | 410 | 723 | 145 | 299 | 16 | 6 | 322 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 93 | 90 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 258 | 289 | 547 | 56 | 333 | 29 | 2 | 248 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 198 | 176 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 323 | 335 | 658 | 85 | 302 | 19 | 7 | 298 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 424 | 389 | 110 | 28 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 102 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 283 | 337 | 463 | 800 | 180 | 354 | 24 | 7 | 351 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 252 | 219 | 53 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 67 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 339 | 356 | 695 | 114 | 324 | 27 | 11 | 318 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 50 | 46 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 130 | 184 | 261 | 445 | 130 | 166 | 34 | 4 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 488 | 453 | 116 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 116 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 256 | 301 | 358 | 658 | 102 | 322 | 24 | 5 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 535 | 489 | 118 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 158 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 241 | 292 | 327 | 619 | 86 | 334 | 30 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 275 | 263 | 62 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 56 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 236 | 269 | 338 | 607 | 103 | 289 | 20 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 93 | 91 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 209 | 226 | 253 | 479 | 44 | 326 | 37 | 1 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 198 | 180 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 287 | 306 | 593 | 78 | 282 | 23 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 424 | 401 | 93 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 128 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 232 | 268 | 377 | 645 | 145 | 305 | 30 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 252 | 229 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 84 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 263 | 271 | 534 | 79 | 284 | 33 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 50 | 46 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 130 | 184 | 261 | 445 | 130 | 179 | 34 | 4 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK RAW | GCL Red Sox | — | 50 | 45 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 178 | 245 | 356 | 600 | 178 | 219 | 24 | 6 | 263 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 488 | 453 | 116 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 116 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 256 | 301 | 358 | 658 | 102 | 329 | 24 | 5 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A RAW | Greenville Drive | — | 488 | 442 | 124 | 27 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 88 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 281 | 340 | 403 | 743 | 122 | 334 | 18 | 7 | 330 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 535 | 489 | 118 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 158 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 241 | 292 | 327 | 619 | 86 | 343 | 30 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ RAW | Salem Red Sox | — | 535 | 471 | 133 | 40 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 106 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 282 | 355 | 393 | 748 | 110 | 352 | 20 | 9 | 331 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 275 | 263 | 62 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 56 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 236 | 269 | 338 | 607 | 103 | 286 | 20 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA RAW | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 275 | 256 | 68 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 266 | 313 | 410 | 723 | 145 | 299 | 16 | 6 | 322 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 291 | 270 | 60 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 79 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 271 | 289 | 560 | 67 | 302 | 27 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 291 | 266 | 65 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 65 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 244 | 302 | 320 | 622 | 75 | 312 | 22 | 5 | 282 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 424 | 401 | 93 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 128 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 232 | 268 | 377 | 645 | 145 | 311 | 30 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA RAW | Louisville Bats | — | 424 | 389 | 110 | 28 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 102 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 283 | 337 | 463 | 800 | 180 | 354 | 24 | 7 | 351 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 252 | 229 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 84 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 263 | 271 | 534 | 79 | 287 | 33 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA RAW | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 252 | 219 | 53 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 67 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 339 | 356 | 695 | 114 | 324 | 27 | 11 | 318 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 50 | 47 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 128 | 184 | 255 | 439 | 128 | 166 | 34 | 4 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 488 | 456 | 116 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 116 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 254 | 301 | 355 | 656 | 101 | 322 | 24 | 5 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 535 | 495 | 118 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 158 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 238 | 292 | 323 | 615 | 85 | 334 | 30 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 275 | 261 | 62 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 56 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 238 | 269 | 341 | 610 | 103 | 289 | 20 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 291 | 271 | 60 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 79 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 271 | 288 | 559 | 66 | 296 | 27 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 424 | 401 | 93 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 128 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 232 | 268 | 377 | 645 | 145 | 305 | 30 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 252 | 228 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 84 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 263 | 272 | 535 | 79 | 284 | 33 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2315 | 2151 | 499 | 114 | 7 | 29 | 114 | 638 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 232 | 279 | 332 | 611 | 100 | 313 | 28 | 5 | 267 | 67 | -92 | -1 | +0 | -41 | +50 | -8.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 604 | 140 | 32 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 179 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 278 | 331 | 610 | 99 | 313 | 28 | 5 | 267 | 67 | -26 | +0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 252 PAwOBA .310 → .241 (−68)K% 26.6% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.59% | ÷0.958 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.71% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.110 | ×0.930 | ×1.039 | ×1.018 | 22.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.58% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×1.039 | ×1.018 | 5.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.039 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.29% | ÷1.172 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 122, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 92, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .310 → .241; ISO .114 → .079; BABIP .324 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAALouisville Bats · 424 PAwOBA .342 → .277 (−66)K% 24.1% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.06% | ÷0.960 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.84% | ÷1.151 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 4.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.47% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.34% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 21.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.76% | ÷1.082 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 7.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.18% | ÷0.957 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 3.84% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 92, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .342 → .277; ISO .180 → .147; BABIP .354 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 198 PAwOBA .295 → .264 (−31)K% 19.2% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.19% | ÷1.030 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.57% | ÷0.967 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 4.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.03% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 2.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.91% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | ×1.018 | ×1.027 | 22.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.039 | ×0.910 | ×1.018 | ×1.027 | 5.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.880 | ×1.018 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.45% | ÷0.909 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.31% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 105, 2B 108, 3B 101, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .295 → .264; ISO .085 → .078; BABIP .302 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAALouisville Bats · 93 PAwOBA .241 → .210 (−31)K% 29.0% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.03% | ÷0.962 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.15% | ÷0.967 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 1.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.40% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×1.041 | ×1.050 | 25.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.94% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×1.041 | ×1.050 | 7.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.001 | ×0.970 | ×1.041 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 100, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.
Result: wOBA .241 → .210; ISO .056 → .045; BABIP .333 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 275 PAwOBA .313 → .268 (−45)K% 16.4% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.36% | ÷0.979 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.82% | ÷1.095 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 3.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.73% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.33% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.037 | ×1.042 | 20.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.58% | ÷0.997 | ×0.910 | ×1.037 | ×1.042 | 7.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.943 | ×0.880 | ×1.037 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.32% | ÷1.399 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 1.98% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 180, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 89, K 96, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .313 → .268; ISO .145 → .108; BABIP .299 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Salem Red Sox · 535 PAwOBA .327 → .274 (−52)K% 19.8% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.81% | ÷0.951 | ×1.420 | — | — | 29.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.97% | ÷0.989 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.027 | 5.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 0.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.034 | ×1.027 | 24.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.96% | ÷1.030 | ×0.830 | ×1.034 | ×1.027 | 9.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.82% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×1.034 | ×1.027 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.55% | ÷0.787 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.027 | 0.64% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 57, 1B 100, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 90, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .327 → .274; ISO .110 → .091; BABIP .352 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AGreenville Drive · 488 PAwOBA .323 → .284 (−39)K% 18.0% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.03% | ÷1.019 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.97% | ÷0.993 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 4.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.58% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×1.043 | ×1.030 | 24.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.63% | ÷1.063 | ×0.820 | ×1.043 | ×1.030 | 6.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.069 | ×0.940 | ×1.043 | ×1.030 | 0.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.98% | ÷0.979 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 1.71% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 96, 2B 113, 3B 114, K 104, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .323 → .284; ISO .122 → .102; BABIP .334 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKGCL Red Sox · 50 PAwOBA .256 → .176 (−79)K% 24.0% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 34.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 3.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.022 | 5.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 11.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 2.42% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .256 → .176; ISO .178 → .123; BABIP .219 → .166. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).