Pedro Castellanos
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 25 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 527 | .264/.312/.371 | 10 | 6 | 71 | — | .195/.236/.285 |
| 2024 | 26 | INTLTiburones de … | 160 | .312/.390/.504 | 7 | 2 | 153 | — | |
| 2025 | 27 | INTLTiburones de … | 152 | .291/.371/.403 | 3 | 2 | 123 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox 2 | — | 264 | 236 | 77 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 326 | 395 | 496 | 891 | 169 | 354 | 9 | 8 | 393 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | — | 208 | 186 | 63 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 339 | 394 | 457 | 851 | 118 | 351 | 7 | 5 | 373 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 365 | 344 | 104 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 302 | 337 | 387 | 724 | 84 | 348 | 14 | 3 | 323 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 486 | 446 | 123 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 71 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 276 | 326 | 397 | 723 | 121 | 306 | 15 | 5 | 320 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 369 | 325 | 94 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 63 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 289 | 366 | 471 | 837 | 182 | 321 | 17 | 9 | 369 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | INTL | Cardenales de Lara | — | 144 | 131 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 313 | 366 | 550 | 916 | 237 | 324 | 16 | 7 | 395 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | — | 241 | 227 | 61 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 47 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 269 | 308 | 396 | 705 | 128 | 318 | 20 | 3 | 314 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 254 | 240 | 67 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 56 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 279 | 308 | 463 | 770 | 183 | 328 | 22 | 3 | 333 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | INTL | Cardenales de Lara | — | 163 | 149 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 289 | 346 | 436 | 782 | 148 | 295 | 10 | 6 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 315 | 295 | 69 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 64 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 280 | 339 | 619 | 105 | 279 | 20 | 4 | 279 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | INTL | Cardenales de Lara | — | 212 | 193 | 60 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 311 | 361 | 420 | 780 | 109 | 333 | 12 | 4 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 160 | 141 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 312 | 390 | 504 | 893 | 191 | 301 | 8 | 8 | 394 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 152 | 134 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 291 | 371 | 403 | 774 | 112 | 319 | 12 | 6 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox 2 | — | 264 | 243 | 49 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 202 | 262 | 288 | 550 | 86 | 226 | 12 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 208 | 190 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 310 | 358 | 668 | 95 | 267 | 11 | 3 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 365 | 349 | 93 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 65 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 266 | 293 | 341 | 634 | 74 | 318 | 18 | 2 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 486 | 453 | 101 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 105 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 223 | 265 | 313 | 579 | 91 | 264 | 22 | 3 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 369 | 338 | 85 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 75 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 251 | 309 | 411 | 720 | 160 | 283 | 20 | 5 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | Worcester Red Sox | — | 241 | 229 | 55 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 56 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 240 | 275 | 341 | 616 | 100 | 296 | 23 | 2 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 254 | 242 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 69 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 256 | 368 | 624 | 136 | 287 | 27 | 2 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 315 | 298 | 58 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 79 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 195 | 236 | 285 | 521 | 91 | 241 | 25 | 3 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox 2 | — | 264 | 243 | 49 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 202 | 262 | 288 | 550 | 86 | 226 | 12 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Red Sox 2 | — | 264 | 236 | 77 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 326 | 395 | 496 | 891 | 169 | 354 | 9 | 8 | 393 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 208 | 190 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 310 | 358 | 668 | 95 | 281 | 11 | 3 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Red Sox | — | 208 | 186 | 63 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 339 | 394 | 457 | 851 | 118 | 351 | 7 | 5 | 373 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 365 | 349 | 93 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 65 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 266 | 293 | 341 | 634 | 74 | 322 | 18 | 2 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A RAW | Greenville Drive | — | 365 | 344 | 104 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 302 | 337 | 387 | 724 | 84 | 348 | 14 | 3 | 323 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 486 | 453 | 101 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 105 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 223 | 265 | 313 | 579 | 91 | 270 | 22 | 3 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ RAW | Salem Red Sox | — | 486 | 446 | 123 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 71 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 276 | 326 | 397 | 723 | 121 | 306 | 15 | 5 | 320 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 471 | 117 | 16 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 104 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 248 | 303 | 401 | 704 | 153 | 284 | 20 | 5 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 513 | 456 | 135 | 21 | 3 | 21 | 42 | 86 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 296 | 366 | 493 | 860 | 197 | 322 | 17 | 8 | 376 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 658 | 627 | 147 | 27 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 166 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 234 | 264 | 352 | 616 | 118 | 295 | 25 | 2 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 658 | 616 | 171 | 35 | 3 | 18 | 24 | 119 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 278 | 317 | 432 | 749 | 154 | 315 | 18 | 4 | 330 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 527 | 493 | 96 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 132 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 195 | 239 | 280 | 519 | 85 | 244 | 25 | 3 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 527 | 488 | 129 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 20 | 89 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 264 | 312 | 371 | 683 | 107 | 302 | 17 | 4 | 306 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | INTL MLE | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 160 | 141 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 312 | 390 | 504 | 893 | 191 | 301 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | INTL RAW | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 160 | 141 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 312 | 390 | 504 | 893 | 191 | 301 | 8 | 8 | 394 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | INTL MLE | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 152 | 134 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 291 | 371 | 403 | 774 | 112 | 319 | 12 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | INTL RAW | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 152 | 134 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 291 | 371 | 403 | 774 | 112 | 319 | 12 | 6 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox 2 | — | 264 | 242 | 49 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 202 | 262 | 289 | 552 | 87 | 226 | 12 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 208 | 193 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 310 | 352 | 663 | 93 | 267 | 11 | 3 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 365 | 349 | 93 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 65 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 266 | 293 | 341 | 634 | 74 | 318 | 18 | 2 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 486 | 457 | 101 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 105 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 221 | 265 | 311 | 576 | 90 | 264 | 22 | 3 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 471 | 117 | 16 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 104 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 248 | 303 | 401 | 704 | 153 | 283 | 20 | 5 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 658 | 628 | 147 | 27 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 166 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 234 | 264 | 352 | 616 | 118 | 291 | 25 | 2 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 527 | 493 | 96 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 132 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 195 | 239 | 280 | 519 | 85 | 241 | 25 | 3 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3333 | 3101 | 736 | 127 | 16 | 59 | 119 | 656 | 79 | 27 | 25 | 237 | 283 | 346 | 629 | 108 | 280 | 20 | 4 | 240 | 49 | -203 | -5 | +0 | -60 | +72 | -19.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 605 | 144 | 25 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 128 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 238 | 283 | 349 | 632 | 111 | 280 | 20 | 4 | 240 | 49 | -40 | -1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -3.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AASan Antonio Missions · 315 PAwOBA .272 → .225 (−47)K% 20.3% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.32% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.81% | ÷0.927 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 2.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.22% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.65% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×0.976 | ×0.988 | 19.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.63% | ÷1.116 | ×0.840 | ×0.976 | ×0.988 | 4.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.940 | ×0.976 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.60% | ÷0.820 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.51% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 97, 2B 123, 3B 102, K 97, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .272 → .225; ISO .105 → .087; BABIP .279 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 254 PAwOBA .329 → .268 (−61)K% 22.0% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.05% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.76% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 1.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷0.983 | ×0.970 | ×0.953 | ×0.998 | 20.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.78% | ÷1.066 | ×0.860 | ×0.953 | ×0.998 | 7.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.54% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.953 | ×0.998 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.004 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.37% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 97, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 99, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .329 → .268; ISO .183 → .137; BABIP .328 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 241 PAwOBA .306 → .266 (−40)K% 19.5% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.50% | ÷1.013 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.90% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 2.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.49% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.44% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | ×1.025 | ×1.033 | 23.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.179 | ×0.830 | ×1.025 | ×1.033 | 4.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.025 | ×1.033 | 1.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.939 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 2.14% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 136, 3B 100, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .306 → .266; ISO .128 → .099; BABIP .318 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 369 PAwOBA .361 → .309 (−52)K% 17.1% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.07% | ÷1.025 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.40% | ÷1.078 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 5.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.17% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.43% | ÷1.047 | ×0.940 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 21.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.34% | ÷1.064 | ×0.870 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 4.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 1.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.96% | ÷0.900 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 4.35% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 109, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 105, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .361 → .309; ISO .182 → .162; BABIP .321 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Salem Red Sox · 486 PAwOBA .316 → .253 (−63)K% 14.6% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.61% | ÷0.958 | ×1.420 | — | — | 21.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.53% | ÷0.968 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 2.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.26% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 1.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.73% | ÷1.003 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 21.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.13% | ÷1.070 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 4.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷0.972 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.40% | ÷1.080 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 2.02% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 101, 2B 114, 3B 94, K 92, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .316 → .253; ISO .121 → .092; BABIP .306 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AGreenville Drive · 365 PAwOBA .316 → .276 (−40)K% 13.7% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.70% | ÷1.024 | ×1.340 | — | — | 17.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.01% | ÷1.008 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 2.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.64% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.21% | ÷1.040 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×1.015 | 25.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.80% | ÷0.961 | ×0.820 | ×1.023 | ×1.015 | 6.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.02% | ÷0.991 | ×0.940 | ×1.023 | ×1.015 | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.34% | ÷0.923 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 0.31% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 108, 2B 92, 3B 98, K 105, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .316 → .276; ISO .084 → .075; BABIP .348 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKGCL Red Sox · 208 PAwOBA .370 → .282 (−88)K% 7.2% → 10.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.21% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 10.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 2.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.37% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.965 | ×0.995 | 21.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.965 | ×0.995 | 5.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.965 | ×0.995 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.91% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .370 → .282; ISO .118 → .087; BABIP .351 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 DSLDSL Red Sox 2 · 264 PAwOBA .383 → .249 (−135)K% 9.5% → 11.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.47% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 11.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 5.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.65% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 1.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.995 | ×0.995 | 15.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.995 | ×0.995 | 6.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.995 | ×0.995 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.66% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .383 → .249; ISO .169 → .098; BABIP .354 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .