José SuárezOF Peoria Chiefs
Age 21 R/R 6'3" / 200 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION279 act + 186 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†40
AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .239 / .299
PA186
HR3
SB7
K%41
BB%4
BABIP326
ISO103
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -29.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-30BATRUN: +2.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +13.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+13REPTotal WAR: -1.80-1.8WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.0-$3M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202116 ROKDSL Cardinals Blue 10795 20211 10411 01 211292284577 74352 389 246 46
202116 ROKDSL Cardinals Blue 10788 26311 17311 01 295415386801 91439 2916 366 138
202217 ROKDSL Cardinals 162146 23624 11682 31 158226308535 151247 427 229 33
202217 ROKDSL Cardinals 162141 35946 16462 31 248333496830 248315 2810 356 130
202318 ROKFCL Cardinals 131120 16113 7613 12 133200233433 100228 475 187 1
202318 ROKFCL Cardinals 131115 23214 12423 12 200292339631 139271 329 287 78
202419 A2 teams 327307 551025 151295 85 179229274503 94289 395 221 27
202419 A2 teams 327299 781637 23895 85 261324405729 144350 277 326 108
202520 APalm Beach Cardinals 366334 701322 231418 176 210277278555 69354 396 252 51
202520 APalm Beach Cardinals 366327 811223 30998 176 248326324650 76345 278 299 87
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 A+STL 279265 531216 61285 185 200232321553 121351 462 245 46 -17 +2 +0 -2 +8 -0.9
YTD21 A+STL 279262 711729 9955 185 271308454762 183385 343 332 112 +4 +2 +0 -2 +8 1.2
ROS21 A+STL 0% 186174 34713 7773 72 195239299538 103319 414 237 40 -13 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.8
ROS21 MLBSTL 0% 11 0000 000 00 319 00 225 30 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
FULL21 A+STL 280266 531216 61285 185 199231320551 120348 462 245 46 -17 +2 +0 -2 +8 -1.0
TOT21 A+STL 465439 871929 132058 257 198235312547 114341 443 242 43 -30 +2 +0 -3 +13 -1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBSTL 35% 489455 9219210 231918 155 202253319572 116318 395 256 54 -26 +1 +0 -3 +14 -1.4
202823 MLBSTL 49% 512473 10020312 261918 165 211264342607 131317 375 266 62 -22 +1 +0 -3 +15 -1.0
202924 MLBSTL 53% 541499 10621313 291968 175 212267345611 132316 365 273 67 -20 +1 +0 -3 +15 -0.7
203025 MLBSTL 55% 556512 11022314 311998 175 215270352622 137315 366 277 70 -19 +1 +0 -3 +16 -0.5
203126 MLBSTL 59% 563518 11122314 322018 175 214271349620 135315 366 278 71 -19 +1 +0 -3 +16 -0.5
203227 MLBSTL 62% 562517 11122314 322018 175 215271350621 135315 366 278 71 -19 +1 +0 -3 +16 -0.5
202722 MLBSTL 35% 169156 31613 8663 52 199251308559 109318 395 244 45 -11 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.7
202823 MLBSTL 49% 249230 491016 13934 82 213267343611 130316 375 255 53 -13 +1 +0 -1 +7 -0.7
202924 MLBSTL 53% 285264 551117 151034 93 208261337599 129316 365 262 58 -13 +1 +0 -2 +8 -0.7
203025 MLBSTL 55% 304279 611228 171095 93 219276362638 143315 366 265 61 -13 +1 +0 -2 +9 -0.6
203126 MLBSTL 59% 334307 671329 191195 103 218275362636 143315 366 266 62 -14 +1 +0 -2 +9 -0.6
203227 MLBSTL 62% 346318 681329 201245 113 214271352623 138315 366 266 62 -15 +1 +0 -2 +10 -0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career 16881555 33165942 9261426 5216 213268347616 134318 365 261 58 -80 +4 +0 -10 +48 -3.9
/ 162G 650599 12725316 3523610 206 212267344611 132317 365 261 58 -31 +2 +0 -4 +18 -1.5
Career 45024150 8481652695 246169670 13547 204261325586 121316 385 260 57 -217 +8 +0 -27 +128 -11.0
/ 162G 650599 12324414 3624510 197 205262329591 124318 386 260 57 -31 +1 +0 -4 +18 -1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202116 ROKDSL Cardinals Blue 10788 26311 17311 01 295415386801 91439 2916 366 138 +5 -0 +3 0.7
202217 ROKDSL Cardinals 162141 35946 16462 31 248333496830 248315 2810 356 130 +6 +0 +5 1.1
202318 ROKFCL Cardinals 131115 23214 12423 12 200292339631 139271 329 287 78 -3 -1 +4 -0.0
202419 APalm Beach Cardinals 173159 40823 12462 53 252312384696 132336 277 312 97 -1 -0 +5 0.4
202419 ROKFCL Cardinals 154140 38814 11433 32 271338429766 157366 287 342 120 +4 -0 +4 0.8
202520 APalm Beach Cardinals 366327 811223 30998 176 248326324650 76345 278 299 87 -5 +1 +10 0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA
83,2209698241309409-34-283.84.4
/1626642020-7.1-5.80.8pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#5Doug Glanvillelast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA
52,2563590259290356-9+31.31.3
/1626641026-2.8+0.90.4pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,6894152213265346-10+0-2.2-1.1
/1626641620-4.0+0.0-0.9pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
José Suárez (OGILVIE) 21 35 25 50 30 198/235/312 114341 925 44% 3% 43 -1.8
Juan Beltre
2007 · A
21 36 34→30 47→60 34 173/221/220 48266 210 34% 4% 15 -4.1 209/274/272 63297 319 29% 6% 52 -1.6 243/319/2914931423221%7%73-0.0
Carson Tucker
2023 · A
21 39 38→40 52→55 34 164/237/241 78356 611 51% 8% 29 -3.2 184/248/266 82392 79 50% 7% 40 -2.4 198/246/2646634832242%5%35-0.7
Yeison Santana
2022 · A
21 43 37→30 45→55 39 199/261/271 71320 510 37% 7% 46 -2.0 217/285/282 65313 315 29% 8% 59 -1.1 221/302/2634230822226%9%57-0.6
Juan De La Rosa
2019 · A
21 41 39→40 48→55 32 192/236/281 89315 610 39% 5% 37 -2.6 201/263/288 87317 512 36% 6% 51 -1.7 184/259/2718628842034%6%43-0.7
Romer Cuadrado
2019 · A
21 42→37 39→40 46→45 36 197/251/282 84318 67 38% 6% 43 -2.2 201/254/300 99324 105 38% 6% 51 -1.7 189/245/29310430913241%6%42-1.3
Brandol Mezquita
2022 · A
21 44→54 38→30 52→50 37 201/265/282 81338 615 40% 7% 50 -1.7 213/272/287 74360 411 39% 6% 54 -1.4 211/272/2786736131139%6%50-0.8
Rafael Morel
2023 · A
21 41 37→40 49→50 34 187/244/260 73318 49 40% 6% 36 -2.7 188/260/270 82295 812 36% 7% 46 -2.0 166/245/2377225981537%8%29-2.0
Travis Mitchell
2009 · A
21 38 37→30 51→50 31 181/218/248 67298 414 40% 4% 20 -3.8 199/232/265 66321 312 37% 4% 30 -3.1 203/216/2474431501435%1%14-1.5
Didimo Bracho
2017 · A
20 35 37→30 48→60 34 172/222/242 69271 513 37% 5% 21 -3.7 195/244/300 105293 86 34% 5% 46 -2.0 181/230/32114025111332%5%41-0.6
Maikol Escotto
2023 · A
21 39 40 47→50 35 183/244/270 87313 814 42% 6% 39 -2.5 180/225/274 94278 1014 37% 5% 31 -3.0 171/213/26190250111835%4%20-1.8
Monte Harrison
2017 · A
21 37→44 38→50 52→60 35 176/245/255 79302 614 41% 6% 36 -2.7 208/262/336 128338 1419 41% 5% 63 -0.8 206/263/349143355183144%5%64-0.5
Arturo Guerrero
2023 · A
22 39 39→40 50 33 175/250/262 88323 612 44% 6% 40 -2.4 190/262/286 96363 89 46% 7% 51 -1.7 140/224/24210330611953%6%27-0.7
Jase Bowen
2022 · A
21 37→38 41→50 54→55 34 183/241/274 91285 912 37% 5% 39 -2.5 193/247/307 114286 1316 36% 5% 50 -1.7 200/250/342142290172436%5%57-0.7
Mikey Edie
2017 · A
20 43 34→30 50 36 201/262/254 53296 214 31% 4% 42 -2.3 217/267/280 63316 213 30% 4% 50 -1.7 206/255/265592903728%3%37-1.3
Kyle Nevin
2023 · A
21 41→38 40→45 52→50 38 198/249/295 97282 610 31% 5% 47 -1.9 217/274/320 103339 910 36% 7% 64 -0.8 212/271/3099733491237%7%57-0.7
Sandy Mota
2018 · A
21 38 39→30 52→55 35 186/232/270 84279 614 34% 5% 33 -2.9 189/242/270 81287 512 34% 6% 37 -2.6 164/223/2347024641533%6%18-1.0
Misael Tavarez
2009 · A
21 39 38→40 47→50 30 179/234/258 79329 69 45% 5% 31 -3.0 181/231/267 86322 68 43% 5% 32 -3.0 134/179/214802327744%3%-6-1.7
Fabian Pertuz
2022 · A
21 42→33 39→40 45→55 33 198/245/277 79321 77 39% 5% 40 -2.4 175/222/265 90272 811 37% 5% 28 -3.2 156/204/2438724191238%4%12-2.6
Orlando Sandoval
2007 · A
21 40 40 46→50 33 193/240/289 95309 89 39% 5% 41 -2.3 205/239/288 83334 68 39% 4% 40 -2.4 208/251/3121033238936%3%48-0.9
James Harris
2015 · A
21 40→50 41→40 48→50 38 199/248/293 95285 1012 33% 6% 46 -2.0 225/287/317 92321 713 30% 7% 68 -0.5 235/301/3259033151528%8%73-0.1