Dylan Campbell — OGILVIE

Dylan CampbellCF Birmingham Barons

Age 24 R/R 5'8" / 205 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION454 act + 246 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .250 / .339

PA246

HR6

SB10

K%30

BB%7

BABIP257

ISO145

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	40	39	7	1	0	0	0	11	1	2	1	179	200	205	405	26	250	28	0	176	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	40	39	8	1	0	0	0	8	1	2	1	205	225	231	456	26	258	20	0	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	493	453	87	17	1	7	32	151	4	42	7	192	252	280	532	88	268	31	6	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	493	435	109	21	1	10	50	110	4	42	7	251	333	372	706	122	310	22	10	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	3 teams	—	588	535	98	20	2	13	38	163	5	37	12	183	244	301	545	118	231	28	6	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	3 teams	—	588	508	114	27	3	18	65	127	5	37	12	224	318	396	714	171	258	22	11	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	CWS	—	454	422	76	21	4	12	31	144	0	19	11	180	236	334	570	154	241	32	7	248	48	-27	-1	+0	+2	+13	-1.3
YTD	24	AA	CWS	—	454	408	90	26	5	14	45	112	0	19	11	221	298	412	710	191	270	25	10	314	99	-1	-1	+0	+2	+13	1.4
ROS	24	AA	CWS	2%	246	227	44	11	2	6	16	74	1	10	5	194	250	339	589	145	251	30	7	255	54	-13	+0	-2	+1	+7	-0.7
ROS	24	MLB	CWS	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		252	40	0	255	53	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	CWS	—	459	427	77	21	4	12	31	146	0	19	11	180	236	333	568	152	242	32	7	248	48	-27	-1	-0	+2	+13	-1.3
TOT	24	AA	CWS	—	700	649	120	32	6	18	47	218	1	29	16	185	241	336	577	151	246	31	7	251	50	-39	-1	-2	+2	+20	-2.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	CWS	23%	370	340	67	16	2	10	26	108	1	12	5	197	256	344	600	147	255	29	7	266	62	-16	+0	-3	+1	+10	-0.6
2028	26	MLB	CWS	35%	407	373	75	17	3	11	29	117	2	13	5	201	262	351	614	150	258	29	7	273	67	-15	+1	-3	+1	+12	-0.4
2029	27	MLB	CWS	40%	420	384	79	18	3	12	31	119	2	13	5	206	269	362	631	156	260	28	7	276	69	-15	+1	-3	+1	+12	-0.4
2030	28	MLB	CWS	44%	425	388	80	18	3	12	32	121	2	12	5	206	270	361	631	155	260	28	8	276	69	-15	+0	-4	+2	+12	-0.4
2027	25	MLB	CWS	23%	85	79	16	4	1	2	6	25	0	3	1	203	259	354	613	152	256	29	7	265	61	-4	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	CWS	35%	143	131	27	6	1	4	10	41	1	4	2	206	268	359	626	153	259	29	7	271	66	-6	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.2
2029	27	MLB	CWS	40%	170	155	32	7	1	5	12	48	1	5	2	206	268	361	629	155	261	28	7	274	68	-6	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.2
2030	28	MLB	CWS	44%	186	169	35	8	1	5	14	53	1	5	2	207	272	355	627	148	261	28	8	274	68	-7	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	589	539	111	25	4	16	42	169	3	17	7	206	267	356	623	150	266	29	7	272	66	-22	+1	-4	+2	+17	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	123	28	4	18	46	187	3	19	8	207	267	358	625	151	267	29	7	272	66	-25	+1	-5	+2	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	2989	2739	537	118	16	71	204	864	18	141	45	196	256	329	585	133	255	29	7	257	55	-152	+10	-14	+11	+85	-6.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	116	26	3	15	44	188	4	31	10	195	255	324	578	129	254	29	7	257	55	-33	+2	-3	+2	+18	-1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	40	39	8	1	0	0	0	8	1	2	1	205	225	231	456	26	258	20	0	209	18	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	493	435	109	21	1	10	50	110	4	42	7	251	333	372	706	122	310	22	10	318	102	+1	+6	—	—	+14	2.1
2025	23	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	271	239	50	12	0	7	29	52	1	18	7	209	297	347	645	138	236	19	11	292	81	-6	+1	—	—	+8	0.3
2025	23	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	243	213	47	11	2	7	22	58	4	15	4	221	305	390	695	169	265	24	9	307	93	-2	+1	—	—	+7	0.7
2025	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	74	56	17	4	1	4	14	17	0	4	1	304	443	625	1.068	321	333	23	19	434	190	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	591	16	18	203	262	352	+2	-2	-0.3	-0.1
	/162	664	18	20	203	262	352	+2.4	-2.2	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dylan Campbell (OGILVIE)	24	30→45	40→50	50	45	185/241/336	151	246	18	29	31%	7%	50	-2.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	187/250/311	124	262	15	19	34%	7%	53	-1.5	184/265/319	135	258	16	22	34%	8%	62	-0.9	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	41→46	42→45	52→60	43	202/263/305	103	271	9	20	28%	7%	56	-1.3	228/286/325	97	313	8	28	28%	7%	70	-0.3	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Jeffrey Baez 2018 · AA	24	39→43	45→50	52→60	41	199/248/317	118	251	13	21	26%	6%	53	-1.5	209/262/347	138	291	17	16	33%	6%	67	-0.5	202/257/342	140	287	18	16	35%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	36→46	45	52→65	39	191/248/311	120	257	14	21	31%	6%	51	-1.7	219/287/347	128	293	11	39	27%	8%	77	+0.1	221/289/346	125	298	10	43	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Clay Fuller 2011 · AA	24	42→45	44→45	53→55	43	207/279/324	117	289	12	19	31%	8%	68	-0.5	222/272/356	134	296	16	14	29%	6%	72	-0.2	224/260/366	142	283	20	15	28%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Jalen Miller 2021 · AA	24	39→43	45→50	48→50	40	204/250/326	123	263	14	16	28%	6%	56	-1.3	199/258/344	145	271	17	14	32%	7%	64	-0.8	182/246/334	152	243	18	14	33%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Lolo Sanchez 2023 · AA	24	42→43	43→45	50→55	49	210/285/315	104	255	11	18	22%	8%	68	-0.5	199/269/279	80	245	7	10	21%	8%	52	-1.6	179/251/238	59	217	5	7	19%	8%	31	-1.2
✕Edward Salcedo 2015 · AAA	24	36→41	45→50	48→50	39	190/239/307	117	257	13	16	31%	6%	46	-2.0	203/253/312	109	258	11	11	25%	6%	53	-1.5	194/237/286	92	235	8	5	21%	5%	38	-1.1
✕Mycal Jones 2011 · AA	24	42→45	44→45	51→55	38	210/259/331	122	286	11	14	30%	5%	61	-1.0	210/268/314	104	279	9	19	27%	6%	60	-1.0	219/277/306	87	283	6	24	24%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Travis Witherspoon 2014 · AA	25	42→47	46→50	55	41	213/265/342	128	282	14	24	29%	6%	66	-0.6	199/255/311	112	279	12	20	31%	7%	54	-1.4	180/240/279	100	253	12	22	33%	7%	36	-1.5
✕Derrick Mitchell 2011 · A	24	40→47	45→50	51→55	37	203/248/330	127	276	11	15	30%	5%	56	-1.3	215/264/345	130	280	14	16	27%	6%	66	-0.6	209/258/341	131	265	15	16	27%	5%	60	-0.7
✕Orlando Calixte 2016 · AAA	24	41→51	41→45	52→55	37	206/242/298	92	280	9	18	30%	4%	43	-2.2	222/258/339	117	285	12	19	26%	5%	61	-1.0	233/273/324	91	306	9	20	26%	5%	61	-0.4
✕Lane Adams 2014 · AA	24	44→46	44→50	55→60	41	219/269/338	119	291	12	19	28%	6%	66	-0.6	225/277/348	123	297	13	28	27%	6%	72	-0.2	228/279/363	136	311	16	36	31%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Noel Cuevas 2016 · AA	24	44→49	40→45	53→55	38	216/254/309	93	284	7	21	26%	4%	52	-1.6	234/267/329	95	302	7	15	24%	3%	63	-0.9	241/274/340	99	304	7	12	22%	3%	65	-0.5
✕Ryan McKenna 2021 · AA	24	43→53	41→50	49→55	43	207/272/310	103	287	8	15	30%	7%	61	-1.0	219/292/355	136	322	15	13	34%	9%	82	+0.5	215/292/352	137	316	16	13	35%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Jeudy Valdez 2013 · AA	24	40→43	47→50	50→55	34	206/242/343	136	275	15	16	31%	4%	56	-1.3	211/252/331	120	280	12	13	28%	4%	57	-1.2	207/248/321	114	269	11	13	27%	5%	50	-1.1
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA	24	42→44	47→50	49→50	46	213/276/339	126	264	16	12	25%	8%	70	-0.3	208/272/338	130	272	15	11	28%	8%	69	-0.4	216/281/385	169	263	20	13	26%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Hunter Jones 2016 · A	24	41→51	40→45	56→55	41	198/260/283	85	278	8	21	30%	6%	49	-1.8	218/273/313	95	290	7	17	26%	6%	62	-0.9	225/281/324	99	293	7	16	24%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Kuo Hui Lo 2011 · AA	25	41→51	44→50	49→55	41	208/253/325	118	260	11	13	25%	5%	56	-1.3	208/258/319	111	276	10	12	27%	6%	56	-1.3	193/238/313	120	258	10	14	29%	6%	43	-0.8