Bryan Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Bryan GonzalezOF Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 220 lbs A+ HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 265 proj PA

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .227 / .291

PA21

HR0

K%39

BB%5

ISO111

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox 2	—	293	255	64	12	4	9	30	77	6	7	3	251	344	435	779	184	322	26	10	345	120	+7	+0	—	—	+6	1.4
2021	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	161	139	32	5	1	5	19	54	1	8	0	230	327	388	716	158	329	34	12	319	102	+0	+2	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	20	A	Salem Red Sox	—	126	111	26	5	0	1	15	35	0	5	2	234	325	306	632	72	333	28	12	294	85	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2022	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	34	28	2	0	0	0	4	12	1	1	2	71	212	71	284		118	35	12	157	-8	-4	-1	—	—	+1	-0.4
2023	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	448	408	103	15	7	11	35	149	4	15	8	252	318	404	722	152	369	33	8	322	104	+2	-0	—	—	+10	1.2
2024	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	362	327	89	13	2	20	29	115	4	15	10	272	339	508	847	235	356	32	8	369	136	+15	-1	—	—	+8	2.3
2025	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	314	289	68	18	4	3	20	94	2	14	5	235	289	356	646	121	337	30	6	287	80	-7	+1	—	—	+7	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox 2	—	293	267	42	7	2	6	18	111	6	7	3	157	227	266	493	109	239	38	6	225	38	-21	+0	—	—	+6	-1.5
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	161	146	21	3	1	3	12	78	1	8	0	144	214	240	454	96	256	48	7	205	25	-14	+2	—	—	+3	-0.9
2022	20	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	126	116	21	4	0	1	10	53	0	5	2	181	246	241	487	60	314	42	8	214	31	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	34	30	1	0	0	0	2	17	1	1	2	33	121	33	155		95	50	6	101	-45	-6	-1	—	—	+1	-0.6
2023	21	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	448	421	76	10	5	8	22	203	4	15	8	181	228	285	513	105	322	45	5	227	40	-32	-0	—	—	+10	-2.3
2024	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	362	336	67	9	2	13	20	160	4	15	10	199	253	354	607	155	319	44	6	262	63	-16	-1	—	—	+8	-0.9
2025	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	314	295	53	13	3	2	14	126	2	14	5	180	222	264	486	85	296	40	4	213	30	-26	+1	—	—	+7	-1.9
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox 2	—	293	267	42	7	2	6	18	111	6	7	3	157	227	266	493	109	237	38	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox 2	—	293	255	64	12	4	9	30	77	6	7	3	251	344	435	779	184	322	26	10	345	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	161	146	21	3	1	3	12	78	1	8	0	144	214	240	454	96	269	48	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	161	139	32	5	1	5	19	54	1	8	0	230	327	388	716	158	329	34	12	319	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	160	146	22	4	0	1	12	71	1	6	4	151	220	199	419	48	280	44	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	160	139	28	5	0	1	19	47	1	6	4	201	302	259	561	58	293	29	12	265	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	448	421	76	10	5	8	22	203	4	15	8	181	228	285	513	105	322	45	5	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	—	448	408	103	15	7	11	35	149	4	15	8	252	318	404	722	152	369	33	8	322	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	362	336	67	9	2	13	20	160	4	15	10	199	253	354	607	155	327	44	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	—	362	327	89	13	2	20	29	115	4	15	10	272	339	508	847	235	356	32	8	369	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	314	295	53	13	3	2	14	126	2	14	5	180	222	264	486	85	304	40	4	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	314	289	68	18	4	3	20	94	2	14	5	235	289	356	646	121	337	30	6	287	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox 2	—	293	267	42	7	2	6	18	111	6	7	3	157	227	266	493	109	239	38	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	161	147	21	3	1	3	12	78	1	8	0	143	214	238	452	95	256	48	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	160	146	22	4	0	1	12	71	1	6	4	151	220	199	419	48	267	44	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	448	419	76	10	5	8	22	203	4	15	8	181	228	286	515	105	322	45	5	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	362	335	67	9	2	13	20	160	4	15	10	200	253	355	608	155	319	44	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	314	295	53	13	3	2	14	126	2	14	5	180	222	264	486	85	296	40	4	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	448	419	76	10	5	8	22	203	4	15	8	181	228	286	515	105	322	45	5	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	362	335	67	9	2	13	20	160	4	15	10	200	253	355	608	155	319	44	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	314	295	53	13	3	2	14	126	2	14	5	180	222	264	486	85	296	40	4	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	24	MLB MLE	KC	0%	21	20	3	1	0	0	1	8	0	1	0	150	190	200	390	50	282	38	5	233	44	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	KC	30%	299	279	52	10	2	6	16	111	2	7	3	186	236	301	537	115	283	37	5	245	52	-17	+0	+0	-2	+6	-1.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	KC	44%	358	332	64	12	2	8	20	129	3	9	4	193	245	313	558	120	284	36	6	252	57	-18	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	KC	49%	386	357	69	13	2	9	23	137	3	9	4	193	248	317	565	123	284	35	6	256	59	-19	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	KC	30%	91	85	16	3	1	2	5	34	1	2	1	188	242	318	559	129	280	37	5	235	52	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	KC	44%	158	147	27	5	1	3	9	57	1	4	2	184	236	293	528	109	281	36	6	242	57	-8	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.6
2029	27	MLB CTX	KC	49%	189	174	33	6	1	4	11	67	2	5	2	190	246	305	551	115	281	35	6	245	59	-9	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	438	406	76	14	3	9	25	158	4	11	5	187	241	303	544	116	278	36	6	242	46	-23	+0	+0	-3	+9	-1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	603	112	21	4	13	37	234	6	16	7	186	240	299	538	113	276	36	6	242	46	-33	+0	+0	-4	+14	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2802	2599	469	82	19	56	158	1134	26	91	41	180	235	291	526	111	290	40	6	235	46	-56	+1	+0	-6	+23	-3.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	603	108	19	4	13	37	263	6	21	10	179	234	289	522	109	288	40	6	235	46	-34	+0	+0	-4	+14	-2.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	440	10	11	194	245	318	-3	+0	-1.3	-0.7
/162	664	15	16	-4.0	+0.0	-2.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bryan Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	24	35	35	55	25	180/227/291	110	282	5	7	39%	5%	44	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryce Teodosio 2023 · AA	24	37→43	44→45	54→65	34	177/247/283	106	320	12	24	46%	7%	51	-2.3	195/256/292	97	313	8	27	38%	6%	55	-1.9	205/262/302	97	306	6	42	33%	5%	57	-1.1
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→29	45	50	37	194/252/314	121	284	13	12	35%	6%	59	-1.6	211/268/301	90	318	8	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	217/275/286	69	332	7	24	34%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Thomas Jones 2022 · A	24	36→35	41→40	52→50	37	176/256/269	93	287	8	17	39%	7%	51	-2.2	180/261/291	111	315	11	13	43%	7%	58	-1.7	123/217/245	122	228	14	10	49%	8%	31	-1.4
✕Demi Orimoloye 2021 · A	24	38→37	42→45	52→55	34	188/239/288	100	294	10	16	38%	5%	48	-2.5	206/243/308	102	327	9	15	38%	4%	53	-2.1	196/220/296	99	312	9	18	39%	3%	37	-1.6
✕Ashton Creal 2023 · A	24	38	41→40	54→55	38	181/259/279	98	296	8	22	39%	7%	55	-2.0	191/267/280	89	341	8	15	43%	7%	57	-1.8	129/224/173	43	295	6	12	53%	7%	16	-1.0
✕Connor Lien 2018 · AA	24	37→46	43→45	53→55	31	182/234/290	108	310	10	19	43%	5%	47	-2.6	174/239/299	125	335	13	13	49%	6%	51	-2.2	138/217/260	122	283	14	10	52%	7%	33	-1.5
✕Brandon Downes 2017 · A	24	38→35	44→50	49→50	32	188/237/310	122	297	11	13	39%	5%	52	-2.2	193/249/334	141	296	16	9	39%	6%	63	-1.4	178/238/334	157	254	20	6	38%	6%	56	-0.8
✕LeDarious Clark 2018 · A	24	37→34	46→45	51→55	34	187/237/318	132	298	14	18	41%	6%	54	-2.0	188/255/305	117	298	13	17	39%	7%	59	-1.7	158/238/263	105	245	13	22	39%	7%	42	-0.9
✕Ronnie Jebavy 2018 · A	24	41→37	41→40	52→50	32	199/241/296	96	305	8	16	36%	4%	50	-2.3	187/246/276	89	289	7	14	36%	6%	48	-2.5	136/210/207	72	207	7	16	36%	8%	17	-2.3
✕Michael Sandle 2023 · A	24	43→41	42→45	56→50	39	209/265/318	109	293	10	16	31%	5%	64	-1.3	190/248/291	101	281	10	14	34%	6%	52	-2.2	150/209/240	91	222	10	16	36%	5%	24	-2.8
✕Isaac Galloway 2014 · AA	24	38→42	41→45	50→55	31	192/219/292	99	278	8	18	34%	3%	40	-3.1	198/227/289	91	286	7	17	32%	3%	42	-2.9	209/257/350	142	277	17	25	31%	5%	66	-0.5
✕David Harris 2016 · A	24	40	42→45	47→50	32	199/239/301	101	294	9	9	35%	4%	51	-2.3	203/249/300	97	310	8	10	35%	5%	54	-2.0	169/210/241	72	274	4	10	39%	3%	23	-0.8
✕Anthony Hewitt 2013 · A	24	37→39	43→45	51→55	27	184/218/292	107	307	12	15	43%	3%	40	-3.0	186/222/286	100	319	10	16	43%	4%	40	-3.0	172/201/269	98	288	11	19	43%	3%	26	-1.9
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	34	44→45	51→40	35	174/244/287	113	284	12	7	41%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/305	109	312	10	5	38%	5%	57	-1.8	193/247/308	115	295	10	0	36%	4%	53	-0.8
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	39→34	44→50	46→50	34	194/238/310	117	291	11	11	36%	4%	53	-2.1	198/246/338	140	298	16	12	38%	5%	62	-1.4	166/224/312	146	239	20	14	39%	7%	46	-1.3
✕Bradlee Beesley 2022 · AA	24	40	44→45	55→60	37	196/257/315	119	306	11	20	38%	6%	61	-1.5	202/272/324	122	300	11	26	34%	7%	69	-0.9	194/271/322	129	285	11	34	34%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Tanner Murphy 2023 · A	25	40	42→45	53→50	36	185/260/291	106	320	10	12	42%	7%	57	-1.8	197/261/292	95	361	8	14	44%	7%	57	-1.8	163/226/231	68	343	5	22	50%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Will Skinner 2013 · A	24	38	44→45	50→45	36	190/243/306	116	294	11	11	38%	6%	53	-2.1	187/233/320	133	311	15	6	43%	5%	53	-2.1	170/215/310	139	282	17	3	45%	4%	42	-1.7
✕Michael O'Neill 2016 · A	24	39→43	40→45	50→55	36	194/243/284	89	278	8	18	32%	5%	48	-2.5	209/258/313	104	302	9	18	32%	5%	60	-1.6	211/262/319	109	303	10	22	32%	5%	61	-1.1
✕Bubba Alleyne 2023 · A	24	43→28	42→40	54→55	37	204/258/311	107	316	9	15	37%	6%	60	-1.6	185/242/279	94	277	8	19	34%	6%	47	-2.6	171/231/261	90	254	8	22	34%	6%	37	-2.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps