Bryan Gonzalez

OF Quad Cities River Bandits
Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 220 lbs A+ HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202321A+BOS448.252/.318/.404111538—.180/.224/.291
202422A+BOS362.272/.339/.508201563—.198/.247/.370
202523A+KC314.235/.289/.35631434—.183/.225/.268
2027PROJMLE25MLBKC364.207/.252/.3207859-0.2
2028PROJ30% MLB26MLBKC29.206/.253/.3181161-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A+
Speed83
ISO58
wOBA39
wRC+36
K%21
Chase%20
CompsColin Davis (age 25) · Kyle Gaedele (age 25) · Tony Bullard (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 86 proj PA
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .250 / .318
PA86
HR2
K%29
BB%5
ISO113
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +1.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE25
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201917 ROKDSL Red Sox 2 — 293255 641249 30776 73 251344435779 184322 2610 345 25 — — — — — —
202119 ROKFCL Red Sox — 161139 32515 19541 80 230327388716 158329 3412 319 24 — — — — — —
202220 ASalem Red Sox — 126111 26501 15350 52 234325306632 72333 2812 294 36 — — — — — —
202220 ROKFCL Red Sox — 3428 2000 4121 12 7121271284 118 3512 157 -47 — — — — — —
202321 A+Greenville Drive — 448408 10315711 351494 158 252318404722 152369 338 322 38 — — — — — —
202422 A+Greenville Drive — 362327 8913220 291154 1510 272339508847 235356 328 369 63 — — — — — —
202523 A+Quad Cities River Bandits — 314289 681843 20942 145 235289356646 121337 306 287 34 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201917 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox 2 — 293264 38724 21946 73 144223231454 87197 327 205 25 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 161146 21313 12781 80 144214240454 96255 487 204 24 — — — — — —
202220 A MLESalem Red Sox — 126115 21401 11510 52 183254243497 61312 409 221 36 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 3430 1000 2171 12 3312133155 93 506 99 -47 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 448423 761059 201994 158 180224291514 111308 444 225 38 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 362338 679215 181574 1510 198247370617 172302 435 262 63 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 314295 541332 141192 145 183225268493 85293 384 218 34 — — — — — —
201917 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox 2 — 293264 38724 21946 73 144223231454 87202 327 205 25 — — — — — —
201917 ROK RAWDSL Red Sox 2 — 293255 641249 30776 73 251344435779 184322 2610 345 25 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 161146 21313 12781 80 144214240454 96269 487 204 24 — — — — — —
202119 ROK RAWFCL Red Sox — 161139 32515 19541 80 230327388716 158329 3412 319 24 — — — — — —
202220 A MLE2 teams — 160145 22401 13681 64 152226200426 48273 428 195 18 — — — — — —
202220 A RAW2 teams — 160139 28501 19471 64 201302259561 58293 2912 265 18 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 448423 761059 201994 158 180224291514 111310 444 225 38 — — — — — —
202321 A+ RAWGreenville Drive — 448408 10315711 351494 158 252318404722 152369 338 322 38 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 362338 679215 181574 1510 198247370617 172310 435 262 63 — — — — — —
202422 A+ RAWGreenville Drive — 362327 8913220 291154 1510 272339508847 235356 328 369 63 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 314295 541332 141192 145 183225268493 85297 384 218 34 — — — — — —
202523 A+ RAWQuad Cities River Bandits — 314289 681843 20942 145 235289356646 121337 306 287 34 — — — — — —
201917 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox 2 — 293264 38724 21946 73 144223231454 87197 327 205 25 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 161147 21313 12781 80 143214238452 95255 487 204 24 — — — — — —
202220 A MLE2 teams — 160145 22401 13681 64 152226200426 48265 428 195 18 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 448421 761059 201994 158 181224292516 112308 444 225 38 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 362337 679215 181574 1510 199247371618 172302 435 262 63 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 314295 541332 141192 145 183225268493 85293 384 218 34 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 362337 679215 181574 1510 199247371618 172302 435 262 63 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 314295 541332 141192 145 183225268493 85293 384 218 34 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEKC 0% 364341 701427 171073 83 207252320572 113278 295 255 59 -18 +0 +0 -2 +8 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEKC 30% 9589 19412 5281 21 209255325580 116278 295 259 61 -4 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.3
202826 MLB CTXKC 30% 2928 6101 180 10 206253318572 112277 283 255 61 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 2928 6101 180 10 214241357599 143263 283 255 39 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650628 13422022 221790 220 213240354594 140262 283 255 39 -30 +4 +0 -4 +14 -1.5
Career— MLE — 19191781 313531438 10776820 6932 176231285516 109279 406 227 39 -9 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650603 10618513 362607 2311 176231287518 111279 406 227 39 -31 +0 +0 -4 +14 -2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 314 PAwOBA .279 → .218 (−61)K% 29.9% → 37.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.94%÷1.007×1.270——37.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.05%÷0.981×0.710—×0.9884.33%
HBP% /PA0.64%—×0.790—×0.9880.50%
Singles /BIP22.05%÷1.027×0.920×1.033×0.98820.15%
Doubles /BIP9.23%÷1.055×0.810×1.033×0.9887.23%
Triples /BIP2.05%÷1.012×0.850×1.033×0.9881.76%
Home runs /BIP1.54%÷0.983×0.800—×0.9881.24%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 105, 2B 111, 3B 102, K 101, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .279 → .218; ISO .121 → .090; BABIP .337 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Greenville Drive · 362 PAwOBA .360 → .262 (−98)K% 31.8% → 43.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.77%÷0.960×1.310——43.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.73%÷0.924×0.600—×0.9985.01%
HBP% /PA1.10%—×0.770—×0.9980.85%
Singles /BIP25.47%÷1.013×0.870×1.032×0.99822.53%
Doubles /BIP6.13%÷1.037×0.780×1.032×0.9984.75%
Triples /BIP0.94%÷0.927×0.850×1.032×0.9980.89%
Home runs /BIP9.43%÷1.043×0.880—×0.9987.95%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 103, 2B 107, 3B 85, K 92, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .360 → .262; ISO .235 → .171; BABIP .356 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Greenville Drive · 448 PAwOBA .313 → .225 (−88)K% 33.3% → 44.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.26%÷0.981×1.310——44.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.59%÷1.028×0.600—×1.0124.48%
HBP% /PA0.89%—×0.770—×1.0120.70%
Singles /BIP27.03%÷1.053×0.870×1.023×1.01223.12%
Doubles /BIP5.79%÷1.033×0.780×1.023×1.0124.53%
Triples /BIP2.70%÷1.150×0.850×1.023×1.0122.07%
Home runs /BIP4.25%÷0.931×0.880—×1.0124.06%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 111, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 96, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .313 → .225; ISO .152 → .115; BABIP .369 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ASalem Red Sox · 126 PAwOBA .287 → .221 (−66)K% 27.8% → 40.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.78%÷0.930×1.360——40.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.90%÷0.967×0.690—×1.0158.62%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP26.32%÷1.026×0.920×1.037×1.01524.82%
Doubles /BIP6.58%÷0.950×0.830×1.037×1.0156.04%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.106×0.910×1.037×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP1.32%÷0.873×0.800—×1.0151.22%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 121, K 86, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .287 → .221; ISO .072 → .056; BABIP .333 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKFCL Red Sox · 34 PAwOBA .159 → .099 (−59)K% 35.3% → 50.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.29%÷1.000×1.440——50.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.76%÷1.080×0.620—×0.9856.65%
HBP% /PA2.94%—×0.720—×0.9852.09%
Singles /BIP12.50%÷1.010×0.820—×0.9859.99%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.229×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.908×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.943×0.780—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 102, 2B 146, 3B 82, K 100, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .159 → .099; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .118 → .093. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKFCL Red Sox · 161 PAwOBA .315 → .204 (−111)K% 33.5% → 48.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.54%÷0.999×1.440——48.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.80%÷0.997×0.620—×0.9957.30%
HBP% /PA0.62%—×0.720—×0.9950.44%
Singles /BIP24.71%÷0.980×0.820×0.978×0.99520.13%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷1.029×0.720×0.978×0.9954.01%
Triples /BIP1.18%÷0.951×0.720×0.978×0.9950.87%
Home runs /BIP5.88%÷0.951×0.780—×0.9954.80%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 106, 3B 90, K 100, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .315 → .204; ISO .158 → .102; BABIP .329 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 DSLDSL Red Sox 2 · 293 PAwOBA .338 → .205 (−133)K% 26.3% → 32.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.28%÷1.000×1.220——32.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.90%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0086.98%
HBP% /PA2.05%—×0.700—×1.0081.44%
Singles /BIP21.91%÷1.000×0.680×0.950×1.00814.26%
Doubles /BIP6.74%÷1.000×0.600×0.950×1.0083.87%
Triples /BIP2.25%÷1.000×0.600×0.950×1.0081.29%
Home runs /BIP5.06%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0082.39%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .338 → .205; ISO .184 → .093; BABIP .322 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).