Bryan Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Bryan GonzalezOF Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 220 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 265 proj PA

wRC+†34

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .223 / .283

PA265

HR5

SB7

K%40

BB%5

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox 2	—	293	267	42	7	2	6	18	111	6	7	3	157	227	266	493	109	237	38	6	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox 2	—	293	255	64	12	4	9	30	77	6	7	3	251	344	435	779	184	322	26	10	345	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	161	146	23	3	1	4	12	78	1	8	0	158	226	274	500	116	288	48	7	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	161	139	32	5	1	5	19	54	1	8	0	230	327	388	716	158	329	34	12	319	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	2 teams	—	160	146	21	4	0	1	12	75	1	6	4	144	214	192	406	48	282	47	8	182	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	2 teams	—	160	139	28	5	0	1	19	47	1	6	4	201	302	259	561	58	293	29	12	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	448	422	73	10	4	9	21	208	4	15	8	173	219	280	499	107	311	46	5	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	448	408	103	15	7	11	35	149	4	15	8	252	318	404	722	152	369	33	8	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	362	334	62	8	2	12	22	168	4	15	10	186	244	329	574	144	321	46	6	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	362	327	89	13	2	20	29	115	4	15	10	272	339	508	847	235	356	32	8	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	314	295	51	12	3	2	14	125	2	14	5	173	215	254	470	81	290	40	4	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	314	289	68	18	4	3	20	94	2	14	5	235	289	356	646	121	337	30	6	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	KC	—	265	248	44	8	2	5	13	106	2	7	3	177	224	286	511	109	281	40	5	229	34	-20	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	KC	30%	299	279	52	10	2	6	16	114	2	7	3	186	236	301	537	115	283	38	5	241	43	-19	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.3
2028	26	MLB	KC	44%	358	331	63	12	2	8	21	132	3	9	4	190	245	311	556	121	284	37	6	248	48	-21	+0	+0	-2	+10	-1.3
2027	25	MLB	KC	30%	91	85	16	3	1	2	5	35	1	2	1	188	242	318	559	129	279	38	5	232	36	-7	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
2028	26	MLB	KC	44%	158	147	27	5	1	3	9	58	1	4	2	184	236	293	528	109	280	37	6	239	41	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	249	232	43	8	2	5	14	93	2	6	3	185	238	302	540	116	281	37	6	237	39	-17	+0	+0	-1	+7	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	606	112	21	5	13	37	243	5	16	8	185	238	300	538	116	280	37	6	237	39	-45	+0	+0	-4	+18	-3.1
Career	—			—	2660	2468	431	74	18	53	149	1117	25	88	40	175	229	284	513	109	288	42	6	227	32	-204	+2	+0	-16	+75	-14.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	105	18	4	13	36	273	6	22	10	174	228	282	509	108	287	42	6	227	32	-50	+0	+0	-4	+18	-3.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox 2	—	293	255	64	12	4	9	30	77	6	7	3	251	344	435	779	184	322	26	10	345	123	+7	+0	—	—	+8	1.6
2021	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	161	139	32	5	1	5	19	54	1	8	0	230	327	388	716	158	329	34	12	319	103	+0	+2	—	—	+5	0.7
2022	20	A	Salem Red Sox	—	126	111	26	5	0	1	15	35	0	5	2	234	325	306	632	72	333	28	12	294	83	-2	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2022	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	34	28	2	0	0	0	4	12	1	1	2	71	212	71	284		118	35	12	157	-22	-5	-1	—	—	+1	-0.4
2023	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	448	408	103	15	7	11	35	149	4	15	8	252	318	404	722	152	369	33	8	322	104	+2	-0	—	—	+13	1.5
2024	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	362	327	89	13	2	20	29	115	4	15	10	272	339	508	847	235	356	32	8	369	141	+17	-1	—	—	+10	2.6
2025	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	314	289	68	18	4	3	20	94	2	14	5	235	289	356	646	121	337	30	6	287	78	-8	+1	—	—	+9	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	250	5	6	189	239	308	-2	+0	-1.0	-0.5
	/162	664	14	16	189	239	308	-4.0	+0.0	-2.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bryan Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	24	35	35	55	25	176/223/283	107	281	5	7	40%	5%	34	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Demi Orimoloye 2021 · A	24	36→35	41→40	52→55	33	181/233/274	94	291	9	16	40%	5%	35	-2.8	202/239/306	104	332	10	15	40%	4%	45	-2.1	186/212/289	103	307	10	18	42%	3%	24	-1.7
✕Ashton Creal 2023 · A	24	38	41→40	54→55	39	182/261/280	98	290	8	22	38%	7%	50	-1.8	189/265/279	90	345	8	15	44%	7%	51	-1.7	121/213/165	44	300	7	12	56%	7%	-2	-1.2
✕Michael Sandle 2023 · A	24	41→38	42→40	57→50	38	199/258/303	104	289	9	16	33%	6%	53	-1.5	186/244/283	97	282	9	14	36%	6%	42	-2.3	148/206/233	85	224	10	16	37%	5%	11	-3.0
✕Thomas Jones 2022 · A	24	36→37	40	52→50	37	175/253/268	93	281	8	17	38%	6%	43	-2.2	176/256/285	109	322	11	13	45%	7%	49	-1.8	110/204/224	114	226	14	10	54%	8%	11	-1.7
✕Ronnie Jebavy 2018 · A	24	42→38	41→40	53→50	33	201/243/299	98	307	8	16	36%	4%	45	-2.1	188/248/283	95	296	8	14	37%	6%	43	-2.2	135/209/217	82	210	9	16	39%	8%	10	-2.2
✕Brandon Thomas 2015 · A	24	38	41→40	54→55	38	185/256/278	93	294	9	17	38%	7%	46	-2.0	191/257/281	90	338	7	15	42%	7%	47	-1.9	140/212/193	52	302	3	18	50%	7%	4	-1.2
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	36→24	39→40	54→55	40	166/257/253	87	306	7	18	44%	9%	42	-2.3	177/257/259	82	368	6	20	48%	9%	43	-2.2	92/195/135	43	236	2	38	55%	10%	-16	-1.7
✕Randolph Oduber 2013 · A	24	43→44	40	56→55	32	207/243/296	89	315	8	20	36%	4%	43	-2.2	194/233/275	81	314	6	14	39%	3%	34	-2.8	187/225/263	77	306	6	14	39%	3%	24	-2.5
✕Chandler Laurent 2012 · A	24	39	42→40	52→50	32	189/238/291	102	311	9	14	41%	5%	41	-2.3	179/233/273	94	325	7	12	44%	6%	34	-2.8	125/180/203	78	246	4	13	48%	6%	-7	-2.3
✕Tanner Murphy 2023 · A	25	39	42→45	53→50	35	182/255/289	107	320	10	12	43%	7%	50	-1.8	194/257/291	97	367	8	14	46%	7%	50	-1.7	155/219/226	71	347	6	22	53%	7%	14	-1.3
✕Beau Philip 2023 · A	24	38	42→40	50	37	179/249/274	95	322	11	13	45%	8%	43	-2.2	199/274/309	110	336	12	9	41%	8%	62	-0.9	173/262/288	115	291	13	3	42%	9%	50	-0.8
✕Connor Lien 2018 · AA	24	36→45	43→45	53→55	30	176/229/286	110	313	11	19	45%	5%	37	-2.7	169/235/302	133	350	15	13	52%	6%	44	-2.1	133/211/267	134	289	17	10	56%	7%	23	-1.5
✕Will Skinner 2013 · A	24	36→37	43→45	50→45	34	178/231/287	109	295	11	11	42%	6%	38	-2.6	182/230/315	133	313	16	6	45%	5%	45	-2.1	167/214/306	139	283	18	3	46%	4%	33	-1.6
✕Anthony Hewitt 2013 · A	24	37	44→45	50→55	27	186/219/294	109	309	12	15	43%	3%	33	-2.9	181/216/277	96	327	10	16	46%	4%	27	-3.3	162/190/255	93	291	10	19	47%	3%	8	-2.1
✕LeDarious Clark 2018 · A	24	38→36	47→50	51→55	35	191/241/329	138	301	13	18	40%	6%	53	-1.5	188/254/302	114	302	12	17	39%	7%	52	-1.6	155/233/250	95	248	11	22	40%	7%	29	-1.0
✕Nicholas Moresi 2009 · A	24	40→39	42→45	50→45	36	196/248/298	103	292	9	10	35%	5%	47	-1.9	191/231/297	106	295	9	5	37%	4%	40	-2.4	176/212/284	108	273	9	2	38%	3%	25	-1.9
✕Spencer Griffin 2021 · A	24	39→36	39→40	51→50	37	180/246/265	85	318	6	10	43%	8%	38	-2.6	186/240/282	96	380	9	13	50%	6%	40	-2.4	117/163/189	72	288	7	20	59%	4%	-20	-1.7
✕Francisco Sosa 2014 · A	24	43	42→45	50	38	207/263/309	102	315	10	16	36%	6%	56	-1.3	200/261/308	108	310	11	11	36%	7%	56	-1.3	156/223/262	106	241	11	8	38%	7%	27	-1.4
✕Tommy Jew 2022 · A	24	38	41→40	51→60	36	176/248/274	99	317	9	14	44%	7%	42	-2.3	178/243/269	91	290	8	22	39%	7%	38	-2.6	146/212/219	74	231	7	32	38%	7%	11	-2.8
✕Justin Lavey 2023 · A	25	38	39→40	58→55	33	178/229/264	86	313	7	18	43%	6%	30	-3.1	200/247/288	88	324	7	16	38%	6%	44	-2.1	196/224/261	65	303	6	20	37%	3%	22	-0.6