Colin DavisOF
Tacoma Rainiers
Age 27
R/R
6'0" / 215 lbs
AAA
HR +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
wRC+†73
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .281 / .334
PA173
HR4
K%29
BB%8
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
22→22
PWR
37→37
SPD
50→50
EYE
44→44
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.1peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-7M | $-17M | -$10M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | 130 | 114 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 1 | .272 | .346 | .386 | .732 | .114 | .312 | 17 | 9 | .324 | 106 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2022 | 23 | A | 2 teams | 276 | 254 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 90 | 3 | 8 | 3 | .165 | .226 | .260 | .486 | .094 | .235 | 33 | 6 | .219 | 26 | -23 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -1.7 |
| 2023 | 24 | A | 2 teams | 367 | 337 | 66 | 17 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 109 | 6 | 14 | 2 | .196 | .255 | .341 | .597 | .145 | .253 | 30 | 6 | .258 | 56 | -18 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 159 | 143 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 60 | 7 | 2 | 1 | .091 | .172 | .147 | .319 | .056 | .134 | 38 | 4 | .148 | -28 | -23 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -2.0 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | 2 teams | 153 | 137 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 3 | 6 | 0 | .153 | .237 | .248 | .485 | .095 | .222 | 35 | 8 | .208 | 17 | -14 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 15 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .267 | .267 | .333 | .600 | .067 | .444 | 40 | 0 | .296 | 85 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SEA | 158 | 142 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 46 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .211 | .287 | .352 | .639 | .141 | .274 | 29 | 8 | .280 | 72 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| TOT | 27 | MLB | SEA | 173 | 157 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 52 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .217 | .285 | .350 | .635 | .134 | .294 | 30 | 7 | .281 | 73 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 20% | SEA | 260 | 233 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 75 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .206 | .283 | .330 | .613 | .124 | .276 | 29 | 8 | .283 | 75 | -7 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 33% | SEA | 300 | 269 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 86 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .208 | .283 | .335 | .617 | .126 | .276 | 29 | 8 | .284 | 76 | -8 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 43% | SEA | 325 | 290 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 93 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .210 | .289 | .341 | .630 | .131 | .276 | 29 | 8 | .283 | 75 | -9 | +1 | -2 | -2 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 57% | SEA | 318 | 284 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 92 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .208 | .286 | .338 | .624 | .130 | .275 | 29 | 8 | .280 | 73 | -10 | +1 | -3 | -2 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 75% | SEA | 305 | 273 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 90 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .205 | .281 | .330 | .611 | .125 | .273 | 30 | 8 | .276 | 69 | -11 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +9 | -0.7 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 92% | SEA | 278 | 249 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 84 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .201 | .279 | .317 | .596 | .116 | .272 | 30 | 8 | .270 | 65 | -11 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +8 | -0.9 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 237 | 213 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 73 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .197 | .272 | .315 | .587 | .117 | .270 | 31 | 8 | .264 | 60 | -11 | +0 | -5 | -1 | +7 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3266 | 2938 | 575 | 117 | 10 | 72 | 246 | 973 | 52 | 68 | 10 | .196 | .270 | .316 | .586 | .120 | .263 | 30 | 8 | .263 | 59 | -150 | +10 | -20 | -20 | +93 | -8.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 585 | 114 | 23 | 2 | 14 | 49 | 194 | 10 | 14 | 2 | .195 | .269 | .313 | .581 | .118 | .262 | 30 | 8 | .263 | 59 | -30 | +2 | -4 | -4 | +18 | -1.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | 130 | 108 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 1 | .315 | .417 | .444 | .862 | .130 | .348 | 13 | 14 | .380 | 149 | +7 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 1.2 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 31 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .241 | .290 | .414 | .704 | .172 | .300 | 26 | 6 | .312 | 97 | -0 | +1 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Modesto Nuts | 245 | 217 | 49 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 58 | 3 | 5 | 3 | .226 | .309 | .350 | .659 | .124 | .287 | 24 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -4 | -0 | — | — | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 79 | 70 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .214 | .295 | .329 | .623 | .114 | .292 | 28 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Modesto Nuts | 288 | 258 | 65 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 60 | 4 | 12 | 2 | .252 | .325 | .446 | .771 | .194 | .289 | 21 | 8 | .340 | 118 | +6 | +2 | — | — | +8 | 1.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 159 | 137 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 43 | 7 | 2 | 1 | .131 | .242 | .219 | .461 | .088 | .163 | 27 | 8 | .221 | 27 | -13 | +0 | — | — | +5 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 90 | 76 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 0 | .224 | .337 | .368 | .705 | .145 | .259 | 21 | 12 | .320 | 103 | +0 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 26 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 63 | 55 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .164 | .270 | .273 | .543 | .109 | .235 | 32 | 11 | .255 | 53 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Colin Davis (OGILVIE) | 27 | 22 | 37 | 50 | 44 | .205/.281/.334 | .129 | .274 | 4 | 4 | 29% | 8% | 72 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Taylor Featherston 2017 · MLB |
27 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 49→50 | 38 | .209/.253/.343 | .135 | .265 | 14 | 11 | 27% | 4% | 62 | -0.9 | .190/.246/.310 | .120 | .287 | 13 | 11 | 37% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .164/.225/.278 | .114 | .280 | 14 | 10 | 44% | 5% | 31 | -1.9 |
|
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA |
26 | 38→40 | 45 | 54→50 | 42 | .196/.270/.318 | .122 | .273 | 13 | 15 | 32% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .193/.258/.302 | .109 | .284 | 11 | 12 | 34% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .153/.220/.254 | .100 | .233 | 9 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 22 | -1.3 |
|
✕Ryan Cordell 2019 · MLB |
27 | 39→41 | 47→55 | 51→50 | 38 | .205/.249/.340 | .135 | .267 | 15 | 14 | 29% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .206/.261/.337 | .131 | .289 | 15 | 12 | 33% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .187/.253/.332 | .146 | .269 | 20 | 12 | 37% | 7% | 57 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA |
27 | 43→45 | 48→45 | 53→55 | 48 | .221/.296/.363 | .142 | .269 | 16 | 16 | 24% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .221/.293/.348 | .127 | .275 | 14 | 24 | 24% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .214/.285/.324 | .111 | .265 | 13 | 28 | 24% | 8% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA |
26 | 41 | 47→40 | 48→55 | 41 | .209/.268/.341 | .133 | .288 | 15 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .231/.302/.338 | .107 | .302 | 9 | 28 | 25% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .241/.322/.332 | .091 | .312 | 6 | 48 | 22% | 9% | 85 | +0.3 |
|
✕Angelo Castellano 2022 · AAA |
27 | 38→42 | 43→45 | 49→50 | 40 | .196/.249/.299 | .103 | .256 | 12 | 13 | 28% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .207/.271/.322 | .115 | .258 | 13 | 13 | 24% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .204/.274/.324 | .120 | .246 | 14 | 14 | 23% | 8% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA |
27 | 36 | 44→45 | 46→45 | 43 | .181/.257/.295 | .114 | .275 | 12 | 9 | 37% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .181/.267/.319 | .138 | .277 | 18 | 6 | 38% | 10% | 63 | -0.9 | .145/.237/.274 | .129 | .209 | 19 | 3 | 39% | 10% | 37 | -0.8 |
|
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA |
26 | 38→35 | 48→45 | 50→55 | 39 | .196/.260/.330 | .134 | .279 | 17 | 14 | 35% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .216/.292/.346 | .130 | .312 | 13 | 16 | 33% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .230/.309/.359 | .129 | .323 | 13 | 18 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA |
27 | 35→30 | 47→45 | 50→45 | 43 | .183/.260/.318 | .135 | .266 | 15 | 9 | 36% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .181/.252/.301 | .120 | .260 | 14 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 51 | -1.7 | .130/.207/.227 | .097 | .172 | 15 | 8 | 34% | 8% | 11 | -2.0 |
|
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB |
27 | 36→45 | 49→50 | 52→50 | 48 | .195/.277/.338 | .143 | .247 | 18 | 12 | 29% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .202/.293/.353 | .151 | .264 | 18 | 13 | 29% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .189/.291/.340 | .151 | .244 | 19 | 12 | 30% | 12% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
✕Willie Argo 2017 · AA |
27 | 42→36 | 39→40 | 52→55 | 47 | .200/.282/.280 | .080 | .283 | 7 | 19 | 30% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .197/.253/.328 | .131 | .305 | 14 | 15 | 38% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .160/.218/.290 | .130 | .244 | 15 | 17 | 40% | 6% | 33 | -1.5 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA |
27 | 40→38 | 43→50 | 47→30 | 40 | .197/.265/.308 | .111 | .291 | 11 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .199/.260/.292 | .093 | .305 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .163/.224/.224 | .061 | .249 | 8 | 0 | 36% | 7% | 16 | -1.3 |
|
✕Nick Podkul 2023 · AAA |
26 | 40 | 46→50 | 49→50 | 45 | .202/.285/.330 | .128 | .282 | 15 | 9 | 32% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .215/.302/.373 | .158 | .297 | 19 | 5 | 32% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .211/.305/.392 | .181 | .283 | 23 | 1 | 32% | 10% | 92 | +0.5 |
|
✕Adam Engel 2019 · MLB |
27 | 42→48 | 43→50 | 54→60 | 39 | .208/.265/.327 | .119 | .287 | 10 | 21 | 30% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .230/.286/.372 | .142 | .305 | 14 | 17 | 28% | 5% | 83 | +0.6 | .227/.287/.366 | .138 | .305 | 13 | 23 | 28% | 5% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕David Thompson 2021 · AAA |
27 | 40→46 | 43→45 | 50 | 41 | .201/.260/.314 | .113 | .263 | 11 | 13 | 27% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .209/.280/.368 | .159 | .282 | 19 | 16 | 32% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .176/.260/.359 | .182 | .229 | 23 | 20 | 34% | 6% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA |
27 | 41 | 44→45 | 44→40 | 43 | .205/.269/.321 | .117 | .279 | 11 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .216/.284/.361 | .145 | .260 | 15 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .203/.270/.374 | .171 | .212 | 20 | 2 | 16% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Quincy Latimore 2016 · AA |
27 | 44→42 | 48→50 | 47→50 | 41 | .223/.272/.364 | .142 | .286 | 15 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .209/.260/.342 | .133 | .281 | 16 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .195/.247/.315 | .120 | .261 | 16 | 4 | 31% | 6% | 48 | -1.4 |
|
✕Jeremy Farrell 2014 · AAA |
27 | 42→38 | 41→45 | 43→45 | 39 | .204/.271/.301 | .098 | .292 | 8 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .205/.260/.301 | .096 | .309 | 7 | 5 | 34% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .201/.247/.287 | .087 | .313 | 4 | 3 | 35% | 4% | 41 | -0.9 |
|
✕Chadwick Tromp 2022 · MLB |
27 | 39 | 50 | 45→40 | 38 | .210/.251/.359 | .150 | .263 | 19 | 4 | 29% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .214/.261/.356 | .142 | .264 | 18 | 3 | 26% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .219/.275/.356 | .137 | .267 | 17 | 0 | 25% | 7% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Grayson Greiner 2020 · MLB |
27 | 41 | 45 | 44→30 | 45 | .208/.272/.325 | .117 | .274 | 13 | 3 | 28% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .200/.264/.316 | .116 | .307 | 13 | 4 | 37% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .177/.244/.263 | .086 | .329 | 9 | 1 | 46% | 8% | 34 | -0.9 |