Eduardo Garcia
SS Nashville Sounds| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AA/A+/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 349 | .267/.327/.435 | 7 | 13 | 68 | — | .196/.258/.311 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 659 | .257/.344/.428 | 19 | 45 | 66 | — | .176/.250/.274 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA/AAMIL | 412 | .214/.305/.317 | 10 | 21 | 43 | — | .180/.251/.253 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 25 | MLBMIL | 21 | .178/.247/.265 | 0 | 0 | 46 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 26 | MLBMIL | 88 | .184/.252/.282 | 2 | 2 | 52 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 27 | MLBMIL | 123 | .186/.255/.286 | 2 | 2 | 54 | -0.2 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Brewers | — | 40 | 32 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 312 | 450 | 469 | 919 | 156 | 409 | 22 | 15 | 416 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 42 | 33 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 333 | 463 | 455 | 918 | 121 | 524 | 31 | 14 | 408 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Brewers Gold | — | 150 | 135 | 34 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 252 | 327 | 474 | 801 | 222 | 337 | 28 | 7 | 352 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 108 | 105 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 40 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 248 | 269 | 419 | 688 | 171 | 350 | 37 | 0 | 303 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 372 | 347 | 91 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 122 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 262 | 310 | 403 | 713 | 141 | 375 | 33 | 5 | 317 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 329 | 298 | 62 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 106 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 208 | 280 | 326 | 606 | 117 | 307 | 32 | 8 | 275 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 36 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 241 | 389 | 448 | 837 | 207 | 375 | 33 | 8 | 379 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 246 | 225 | 56 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 76 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 249 | 302 | 387 | 688 | 138 | 349 | 31 | 2 | 304 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK | ACL Brewers | — | 16 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 250 | 400 | 650 | 200 | 273 | 25 | 6 | 281 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | INTL | Venezuela | — | 51 | 46 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 391 | 429 | 674 | 1.102 | 283 | 593 | 37 | 4 | 459 | 197 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 128 | 113 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 38 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 212 | 299 | 265 | 565 | 53 | 316 | 30 | 11 | 264 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 411 | 361 | 91 | 23 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 107 | 8 | 36 | 4 | 252 | 341 | 435 | 776 | 183 | 322 | 26 | 10 | 346 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | Cardenales de Lara | — | 120 | 105 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 324 | 398 | 581 | 979 | 257 | 400 | 25 | 9 | 419 | 170 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 215 | 189 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 72 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 206 | 292 | 312 | 605 | 106 | 289 | 33 | 9 | 276 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 197 | 171 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 50 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 222 | 318 | 322 | 640 | 99 | 286 | 25 | 10 | 294 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers | — | 40 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 300 | 206 | 506 | 29 | 271 | 28 | 10 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 42 | 35 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 366 | 343 | 709 | 86 | 462 | 43 | 10 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers Gold | — | 150 | 139 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 60 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 158 | 220 | 302 | 522 | 144 | 252 | 40 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 108 | 105 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 52 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 181 | 204 | 314 | 518 | 133 | 292 | 48 | 0 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 372 | 352 | 66 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 170 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 188 | 229 | 276 | 505 | 88 | 331 | 46 | 4 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 329 | 306 | 46 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 141 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 150 | 207 | 229 | 436 | 78 | 267 | 43 | 5 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 36 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 233 | 361 | 433 | 794 | 200 | 364 | 42 | 6 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 246 | 226 | 43 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 97 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 190 | 244 | 288 | 531 | 97 | 293 | 39 | 2 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 16 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 250 | 400 | 650 | 200 | 201 | 38 | 6 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 128 | 117 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 50 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 162 | 228 | 197 | 425 | 34 | 282 | 39 | 8 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 411 | 372 | 67 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 144 | 8 | 36 | 4 | 180 | 256 | 298 | 554 | 118 | 261 | 35 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 215 | 195 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 86 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 174 | 241 | 246 | 487 | 72 | 271 | 40 | 7 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 197 | 177 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 61 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 186 | 262 | 260 | 521 | 73 | 260 | 31 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers | — | 40 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 300 | 206 | 506 | 29 | 261 | 28 | 10 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Brewers | — | 40 | 32 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 312 | 450 | 469 | 919 | 156 | 409 | 22 | 15 | 416 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 192 | 174 | 31 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 78 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 178 | 251 | 310 | 562 | 132 | 298 | 41 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 192 | 168 | 45 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 55 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 268 | 356 | 470 | 826 | 202 | 373 | 29 | 8 | 364 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 480 | 457 | 84 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 222 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 184 | 221 | 282 | 504 | 98 | 327 | 46 | 3 | 218 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 480 | 452 | 117 | 16 | 3 | 15 | 19 | 162 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 259 | 301 | 407 | 708 | 148 | 370 | 34 | 4 | 314 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 329 | 306 | 46 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 141 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 150 | 207 | 229 | 436 | 78 | 264 | 43 | 5 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 329 | 298 | 62 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 106 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 208 | 280 | 326 | 606 | 117 | 307 | 32 | 8 | 275 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 349 | 318 | 59 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 138 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 186 | 245 | 286 | 531 | 101 | 302 | 40 | 2 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ RAW | 4 teams | — | 349 | 315 | 84 | 24 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 111 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 267 | 327 | 435 | 761 | 168 | 379 | 32 | 3 | 333 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 659 | 596 | 105 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 49 | 237 | 10 | 45 | 12 | 176 | 250 | 270 | 521 | 94 | 272 | 36 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 659 | 579 | 149 | 36 | 3 | 19 | 66 | 175 | 10 | 45 | 12 | 257 | 344 | 428 | 772 | 171 | 335 | 27 | 10 | 343 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 412 | 372 | 67 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 148 | 7 | 21 | 5 | 180 | 251 | 253 | 503 | 73 | 270 | 36 | 7 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 412 | 360 | 77 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 122 | 7 | 21 | 5 | 214 | 305 | 317 | 621 | 103 | 288 | 30 | 10 | 284 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers | — | 40 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 300 | 206 | 506 | 29 | 271 | 28 | 10 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 192 | 173 | 31 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 78 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 179 | 251 | 312 | 563 | 133 | 298 | 41 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 480 | 455 | 84 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 222 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 185 | 221 | 284 | 505 | 99 | 322 | 46 | 3 | 218 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 329 | 304 | 46 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 141 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 151 | 207 | 230 | 438 | 79 | 267 | 43 | 5 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 349 | 321 | 59 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 138 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 184 | 245 | 283 | 528 | 100 | 297 | 40 | 2 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 659 | 595 | 105 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 49 | 237 | 10 | 45 | 12 | 176 | 250 | 271 | 521 | 94 | 266 | 36 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 412 | 374 | 67 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 148 | 7 | 21 | 5 | 179 | 251 | 251 | 502 | 72 | 266 | 36 | 7 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 349 | 321 | 59 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 138 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 184 | 245 | 283 | 528 | 100 | 297 | 40 | 2 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 659 | 595 | 105 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 49 | 237 | 10 | 45 | 12 | 176 | 250 | 271 | 521 | 94 | 266 | 36 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 412 | 374 | 67 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 148 | 7 | 21 | 5 | 179 | 251 | 251 | 502 | 72 | 266 | 36 | 7 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIL | 10% | 380 | 346 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 138 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 180 | 248 | 266 | 514 | 86 | 275 | 36 | 7 | 237 | 46 | -24 | +1 | +2 | +4 | +8 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIL | 10% | 21 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 247 | 265 | 512 | 87 | 271 | 38 | 5 | 235 | 46 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIL | 35% | 253 | 230 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 90 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 185 | 254 | 283 | 537 | 97 | 276 | 36 | 7 | 245 | 52 | -14 | +1 | +1 | +3 | +5 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIL | 44% | 280 | 255 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 98 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 187 | 256 | 287 | 543 | 99 | 277 | 35 | 7 | 248 | 54 | -15 | +1 | +1 | +3 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIL | 35% | 88 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 184 | 252 | 282 | 535 | 98 | 272 | 35 | 7 | 244 | 52 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIL | 44% | 123 | 111 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 43 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 186 | 255 | 286 | 541 | 100 | 273 | 35 | 7 | 247 | 54 | -7 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 211 | 192 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 74 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 182 | 252 | 271 | 523 | 89 | 270 | 35 | 7 | 246 | 42 | -12 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +5 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 107 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 46 | 228 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 181 | 250 | 267 | 518 | 86 | 268 | 35 | 7 | 246 | 42 | -36 | +1 | +3 | +7 | +14 | -1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3204 | 2933 | 523 | 97 | 14 | 49 | 181 | 1239 | 66 | 123 | 33 | 178 | 242 | 271 | 513 | 93 | 285 | 39 | 6 | 230 | 42 | -43 | +2 | +4 | +8 | +16 | -1.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 107 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 37 | 251 | 13 | 25 | 7 | 180 | 243 | 274 | 517 | 94 | 287 | 39 | 6 | 230 | 42 | -38 | +2 | +3 | +7 | +14 | -1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAANashville Sounds · 215 PAwOBA .272 → .223 (−49)K% 33.5% → 40.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.49% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 40.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 6.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.40% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.980 | ×1.048 | 25.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.980 | ×1.048 | 1.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.980 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.76% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .272 → .223; ISO .106 → .075; BABIP .289 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AABiloxi Shuckers · 197 PAwOBA .289 → .240 (−49)K% 25.4% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.38% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 6.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.03% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 21.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 3.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.68% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .289 → .240; ISO .099 → .082; BABIP .286 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 411 PAwOBA .338 → .241 (−97)K% 26.0% → 35.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.03% | ÷0.943 | ×1.270 | — | — | 35.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.98% | ÷0.965 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.95% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.87% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 17.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.06% | ÷1.013 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 6.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.12% | ÷1.246 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.28% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 89, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .338 → .241; ISO .183 → .116; BABIP .322 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AABiloxi Shuckers · 128 PAwOBA .260 → .201 (−58)K% 29.7% → 38.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.69% | ÷0.932 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.94% | ÷1.008 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 7.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 22.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.091 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 6.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.083 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.170 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 95, 2B 118, 3B 117, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .260 → .201; ISO .053 → .039; BABIP .316 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 246 PAwOBA .301 → .229 (−71)K% 30.9% → 39.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.89% | ÷0.993 | ×1.270 | — | — | 39.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.03% | ÷0.995 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 1.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.88% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 3.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.49% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×0.960 | ×1.012 | 20.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.07% | ÷0.991 | ×0.810 | ×0.960 | ×1.012 | 8.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.34% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.960 | ×1.012 | 0.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.68% | ÷0.979 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.22% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .301 → .229; ISO .138 → .100; BABIP .349 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AABiloxi Shuckers · 36 PAwOBA .369 → .307 (−62)K% 33.3% → 40.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 40.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷0.989 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 5.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 11.11% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 9.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷0.972 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.042 | 23.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.971 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.042 | 5.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 5.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.198 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 4.09% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .369 → .307; ISO .207 → .162; BABIP .375 → .364. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Brewers · 16 PAwOBA .274 → .175 (−99)K% 25.0% → 35.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.002 | ×1.440 | — | — | 35.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.014 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 3.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.015 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 7.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.088 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 5.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 7.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .274 → .175; ISO .200 → .129; BABIP .273 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 329 PAwOBA .269 → .198 (−70)K% 32.2% → 42.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.22% | ÷0.955 | ×1.270 | — | — | 42.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.90% | ÷1.024 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 5.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.83% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | ×1.027 | 18.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.77% | ÷0.966 | ×0.810 | ×0.970 | ×1.027 | 5.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.60% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.970 | ×1.027 | 1.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.033 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.66% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 91, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .269 → .198; ISO .117 → .081; BABIP .307 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .