Carter Bins — OGILVIE

Carter BinsC Altoona Curve

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 215 lbs AA HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .260 / .299

PA20

HR0

K%34

BB%8

ISO115

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	AA	Altoona Curve	—	109	87	13	2	0	1	20	32	2	2	0	149	321	207	528	57	222	29	18	267	67	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2021	22	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	185	148	42	10	0	7	32	54	4	1	3	284	424	493	917	209	398	29	17	407	162	+14	-1	—	—	+4	1.7
2022	23	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	279	245	51	13	3	10	25	100	7	2	0	208	300	408	708	200	299	36	9	314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+6	0.6
2022	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	51	46	6	4	0	1	4	21	1	2	0	130	216	283	498	152	208	41	8	228	41	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	101	90	20	4	0	3	8	31	2	1	1	222	300	367	667	144	298	31	8	299	88	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	24	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	42	40	12	4	0	2	1	13	1	1	0	300	333	550	883	250	400	31	2	385	147	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	47	40	11	5	0	0	4	20	3	0	0	275	383	400	783	125	550	43	9	358	129	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	25	AA	Altoona Curve	—	247	212	41	8	1	8	29	87	4	6	1	193	301	354	655	160	282	35	12	297	87	-4	+1	—	—	+5	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	109	93	12	2	0	1	14	39	2	2	0	129	257	183	440	54	203	36	13	206	26	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2021	22	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	185	160	33	7	0	5	20	74	4	1	3	206	310	344	654	138	332	40	11	290	82	-4	-1	—	—	+4	-0.1
2022	23	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	279	254	39	10	3	6	16	122	7	2	0	154	224	287	511	134	255	44	6	229	41	-20	+0	—	—	+6	-1.3
2022	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	51	47	5	3	0	1	3	26	1	2	0	106	176	234	411	128	193	51	6	164	-3	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2023	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	101	93	16	3	0	2	5	38	2	1	1	172	230	269	499	97	255	38	5	223	37	-8	-0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	47	41	7	3	0	0	3	25	3	0	0	171	277	244	520	73	474	53	6	252	57	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	247	222	33	6	1	7	20	111	4	6	1	149	232	279	511	131	245	45	8	223	37	-18	+1	—	—	+5	-1.3
2021	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	294	254	45	9	0	6	33	113	6	3	3	177	287	283	570	106	287	38	11	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	294	235	55	12	0	8	52	86	6	3	3	234	386	387	773	153	331	29	18	355	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	330	301	45	14	3	7	19	148	8	4	0	150	220	286	505	136	257	45	6	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	330	291	57	17	3	11	29	121	8	4	0	196	287	388	675	192	286	37	9	301	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	143	132	23	4	0	3	7	53	3	2	1	174	232	273	505	98	260	37	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	143	130	32	8	0	5	9	44	3	2	1	246	310	423	733	177	329	31	6	324	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	294	264	41	9	1	7	22	136	7	6	1	155	239	277	515	121	281	46	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	294	252	52	13	1	8	33	107	7	6	1	206	314	361	675	155	321	36	11	307	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	294	253	45	9	0	6	33	113	6	3	3	178	287	285	571	107	284	38	11	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	330	300	45	14	3	7	19	148	8	4	0	150	220	287	506	137	245	45	6	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	143	132	23	4	0	3	7	53	3	2	1	174	232	273	505	98	255	37	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	294	263	41	9	1	7	22	136	7	6	1	156	239	278	516	122	282	46	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	143	132	23	4	0	3	7	53	3	2	1	174	232	273	505	98	255	37	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	294	263	41	9	1	7	22	136	7	6	1	156	239	278	516	122	282	46	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	PIT	2%	20	18	3	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	167	250	222	472	56	269	35	10	256	60	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	PIT	27%	301	270	51	10	1	6	23	99	5	5	1	189	265	300	565	111	271	33	8	262	64	-13	+1	-1	+5	+7	-0.1
2028	29	MLB MLE	PIT	37%	327	293	56	11	1	7	26	105	5	5	1	191	269	307	576	116	272	32	8	265	65	-13	+1	-1	+6	+7	-0.1
2029	30	MLB MLE	PIT	43%	344	309	60	12	1	7	27	110	5	5	1	194	270	307	577	113	271	32	8	265	66	-14	+1	-2	+6	+7	-0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	PIT	27%	81	74	14	3	0	2	6	27	1	1	0	189	259	311	570	122	269	33	7	247	64	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	PIT	37%	121	108	20	4	0	2	10	39	2	2	0	185	267	278	544	93	269	32	8	250	65	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	PIT	43%	148	133	26	5	1	3	12	47	2	2	1	195	272	316	588	120	269	32	8	250	66	-6	+0	-1	+3	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	350	315	60	12	1	7	28	113	5	5	1	190	267	302	569	111	269	32	8	249	54	-15	+1	-2	+6	+8	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	111	22	2	13	52	210	9	9	2	190	266	301	567	111	268	32	8	249	54	-27	+1	-3	+12	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2053	1841	324	70	7	43	159	771	39	30	8	176	256	292	548	116	271	38	8	248	54	-42	+2	-4	+18	+21	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	103	22	2	14	50	244	12	9	3	177	255	293	549	117	271	38	8	248	54	-27	+1	-3	+12	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	356	8	6	194	267	313	+6	+4	0.1	0.1
/162	664	14	10	+11.9	+7.5	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Bins (OGILVIE)	27	20	46	50	49	185/260/299	114	269	5	5	34%	8%	60	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→32	46→45	51→45	43	183/260/311	127	264	14	9	35%	8%	62	-1.4	186/255/300	114	261	13	10	32%	8%	57	-1.8	133/209/225	92	172	14	8	32%	7%	22	-1.9
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	47→45	44	181/260/291	111	272	12	9	36%	9%	57	-1.8	177/263/303	126	271	15	6	38%	10%	61	-1.5	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→30	46→50	50	44	180/256/309	130	256	14	12	34%	9%	60	-1.6	194/270/319	125	275	14	12	33%	8%	68	-1.0	163/251/289	126	221	17	12	33%	9%	52	-1.1
✕Camden Duzenack 2022 · AAA	27	37→36	48→50	51→50	35	197/244/332	135	278	17	9	35%	5%	60	-1.6	219/269/349	130	282	14	11	27%	5%	73	-0.6	219/270/346	127	273	14	10	24%	5%	70	-0.5
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→25	44→50	49→50	35	186/241/304	118	277	12	9	36%	5%	53	-2.1	214/275/326	112	297	10	10	30%	5%	70	-0.8	213/284/304	91	290	6	9	26%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Jason Martinson 2016 · AAA	27	38→41	43→45	52→50	38	192/252/297	105	289	11	13	36%	7%	55	-1.9	180/237/288	108	304	11	9	42%	6%	47	-2.5	158/211/261	103	279	10	8	45%	5%	28	-2.3
✕Jason Delay 2022 · AAA	27	38	44→45	48→40	33	194/233/309	115	283	13	6	36%	4%	51	-2.3	219/273/304	85	296	5	5	26%	6%	64	-1.3	228/287/304	76	299	3	2	23%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Ryan Christianson 2007 · AAA	26	34	45	49→50	38	183/241/298	115	268	15	9	37%	7%	51	-2.2	200/256/327	127	290	15	9	35%	7%	63	-1.3	160/212/283	123	220	17	0	36%	6%	33	-0.7
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA	28	35→41	43→45	48→55	41	179/243/283	104	257	11	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	188/252/274	86	270	7	15	31%	7%	50	-2.3	156/222/216	60	225	4	19	31%	6%	24	-2.1
✕Kevin Padlo 2023 · MLB	27	37→40	48→50	52→50	40	195/252/330	135	268	16	13	33%	6%	63	-1.4	192/272/322	130	271	14	13	32%	9%	69	-0.9	170/264/294	124	238	14	13	33%	11%	59	-1.0
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA	26	38	46→45	52→50	42	198/262/325	127	277	15	12	33%	8%	65	-1.2	189/270/297	108	298	10	14	37%	9%	63	-1.4	173/262/275	101	278	9	12	37%	10%	52	-1.2
✕Cody Bohanek 2022 · AAA	27	37→36	44→40	49→50	41	179/279/296	117	290	11	16	39%	8%	67	-1.1	188/278/283	95	308	7	15	38%	8%	63	-1.4	151/250/213	62	271	3	16	40%	8%	35	-1.6
✕Cody Puckett 2013 · AAA	26	38→40	46→50	50	40	198/250/327	129	260	14	11	30%	6%	61	-1.5	212/256/344	132	247	16	10	22%	5%	67	-1.1	208/243/344	136	220	20	8	17%	4%	60	-1.0
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	37→39	42→45	45→50	39	185/255/296	111	276	9	10	35%	7%	57	-1.8	191/270/296	105	294	8	13	35%	8%	62	-1.4	163/254/261	99	255	6	16	35%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA	26	37→35	47→50	50→55	40	194/258/322	128	272	15	14	34%	7%	63	-1.3	219/295/348	129	314	13	16	32%	8%	83	+0.1	231/310/361	130	325	12	18	30%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Cael Brockmeyer 2018 · AAA	26	37→39	44→45	47→40	38	189/244/301	112	262	12	4	32%	5%	53	-2.1	218/276/314	96	318	9	8	32%	5%	68	-1.0	250/309/327	77	377	6	5	33%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Patrick Dorrian 2023 · AAA	27	37→38	48→50	47→45	42	191/262/331	140	285	16	6	37%	8%	68	-1.0	192/256/321	129	288	15	7	37%	7%	63	-1.4	176/241/298	122	260	15	5	37%	7%	49	-1.4
✕Joe Dunand 2023 · AAA	27	38→45	43→45	49→45	38	186/254/295	109	287	10	8	37%	7%	56	-1.9	220/290/360	140	313	15	8	33%	8%	84	+0.2	222/297/375	153	307	18	4	32%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Brandon Hicks 2012 · MLB	26	39→40	45→50	48→50	38	198/256/313	115	293	13	13	36%	6%	60	-1.6	196/265/345	149	302	18	9	39%	8%	72	-0.7	179/258/334	155	270	19	6	39%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	36	43→50	48→50	38	180/243/288	107	283	11	11	39%	7%	50	-2.3	191/251/293	102	287	8	10	34%	7%	53	-2.1	154/212/246	92	221	3	6	30%	7%	25	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps