Carter BinsC
Altoona Curve
Age 27
R/R
5'11" / 215 lbs
AA
BB +7%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.1 · 2027
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .261 / .310
PA250
HR6
SB5
K%38
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
47→47
SPD
50→50
EYE
50→50
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-1M | $-8M | -$7M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | 2 teams | 294 | 254 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 116 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .177 | .287 | .283 | .570 | .106 | .293 | 39 | 11 | .261 | 58 | -14 | -1 | +0 | +5 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | 2 teams | 330 | 301 | 45 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 150 | 8 | 4 | 0 | .150 | .220 | .292 | .512 | .143 | .255 | 45 | 6 | .228 | 33 | -25 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +9 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | 2 teams | 143 | 131 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 56 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .176 | .239 | .275 | .514 | .099 | .274 | 39 | 6 | .227 | 32 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 294 | 263 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 140 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .148 | .235 | .262 | .498 | .114 | .276 | 48 | 8 | .226 | 31 | -23 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +8 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 250 | 225 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 95 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .187 | .262 | .311 | .573 | .124 | .285 | 38 | 8 | .261 | 58 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 9% | PIT | 291 | 262 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 107 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .191 | .266 | .317 | .583 | .126 | .286 | 37 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 19% | PIT | 319 | 286 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 115 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .196 | .272 | .325 | .597 | .129 | .286 | 36 | 8 | .268 | 64 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 29% | PIT | 339 | 304 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 121 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .191 | .268 | .312 | .580 | .122 | .285 | 36 | 8 | .268 | 63 | -14 | +1 | -2 | +6 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 40% | PIT | 323 | 289 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 115 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .194 | .272 | .322 | .594 | .128 | .283 | 36 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -14 | +1 | -3 | +6 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 49% | PIT | 300 | 269 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 109 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .190 | .266 | .312 | .578 | .123 | .281 | 36 | 8 | .261 | 58 | -14 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 63% | PIT | 267 | 240 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 99 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .183 | .260 | .300 | .560 | .117 | .280 | 37 | 8 | .256 | 54 | -14 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB 81% | PIT | 222 | 199 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 84 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .186 | .264 | .307 | .570 | .121 | .278 | 38 | 8 | .249 | 49 | -13 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +6 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3372 | 3023 | 546 | 111 | 11 | 79 | 266 | 1307 | 58 | 47 | 9 | .181 | .260 | .303 | .563 | .122 | .283 | 39 | 8 | .254 | 53 | -179 | +6 | -20 | +60 | +96 | -3.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 583 | 105 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 51 | 252 | 11 | 9 | 2 | .180 | .259 | .300 | .559 | .120 | .282 | 39 | 8 | .254 | 53 | -35 | +1 | -4 | +12 | +18 | -0.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Altoona Curve | 109 | 87 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .149 | .321 | .207 | .528 | .057 | .222 | 29 | 18 | .267 | 63 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 185 | 148 | 42 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 54 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .284 | .424 | .493 | .917 | .209 | .398 | 29 | 17 | .407 | 170 | +15 | -1 | — | — | +5 | 1.9 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 279 | 245 | 51 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 100 | 7 | 2 | 0 | .208 | .300 | .408 | .708 | .200 | .299 | 36 | 9 | .314 | 98 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Altoona Curve | 51 | 46 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .130 | .216 | .283 | .498 | .152 | .208 | 41 | 8 | .228 | 33 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | 101 | 90 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .222 | .300 | .367 | .667 | .144 | .298 | 31 | 8 | .299 | 87 | -1 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | 42 | 40 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .300 | .333 | .550 | .883 | .250 | .400 | 31 | 2 | .385 | 153 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 47 | 40 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .275 | .383 | .400 | .783 | .125 | .550 | 43 | 9 | .358 | 132 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Altoona Curve | 247 | 212 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 87 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .193 | .301 | .354 | .655 | .160 | .282 | 35 | 12 | .297 | 86 | -4 | +1 | — | — | +7 | 0.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Carter Bins (OGILVIE) | 27 | 20 | 47 | 50 | 50 | .185/.261/.310 | .125 | .285 | 6 | 5 | 38% | 8% | 58 | -0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA |
27 | 35→30 | 47→45 | 50→45 | 43 | .183/.260/.318 | .135 | .266 | 15 | 9 | 36% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .181/.252/.301 | .120 | .260 | 14 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 51 | -1.7 | .130/.207/.227 | .097 | .172 | 15 | 8 | 34% | 8% | 11 | -2.0 |
|
✕Camden Duzenack 2022 · AAA |
27 | 35→37 | 49→50 | 50 | 35 | .190/.239/.328 | .138 | .268 | 18 | 9 | 36% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .214/.262/.346 | .132 | .279 | 14 | 11 | 28% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.267/.343 | .129 | .269 | 14 | 10 | 25% | 5% | 65 | -0.4 |
|
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA |
27 | 36 | 44→45 | 46→45 | 43 | .181/.257/.295 | .114 | .275 | 12 | 9 | 37% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .181/.267/.319 | .138 | .277 | 18 | 6 | 38% | 10% | 63 | -0.9 | .145/.237/.274 | .129 | .209 | 19 | 3 | 39% | 10% | 37 | -0.8 |
|
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA |
27 | 34→30 | 47→50 | 50 | 44 | .181/.258/.318 | .137 | .259 | 15 | 13 | 35% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .189/.267/.321 | .132 | .273 | 16 | 12 | 35% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .160/.249/.296 | .136 | .218 | 19 | 12 | 36% | 9% | 46 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jason Delay 2022 · AAA |
27 | 38 | 47→45 | 48→40 | 33 | .198/.238/.325 | .127 | .287 | 15 | 6 | 36% | 4% | 50 | -1.7 | .216/.269/.301 | .085 | .295 | 5 | 5 | 27% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .226/.285/.301 | .075 | .297 | 3 | 2 | 23% | 6% | 61 | -0.4 |
|
✕Cody Bohanek 2022 · AAA |
27 | 37→36 | 43→40 | 48→50 | 40 | .177/.276/.289 | .112 | .295 | 10 | 15 | 40% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .186/.277/.284 | .098 | .306 | 8 | 15 | 38% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .151/.251/.216 | .064 | .271 | 3 | 16 | 40% | 8% | 27 | -1.6 |
|
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA |
27 | 36→25 | 45→55 | 48→50 | 35 | .184/.240/.304 | .120 | .279 | 13 | 9 | 38% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .211/.271/.326 | .115 | .298 | 10 | 10 | 31% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.285/.308 | .094 | .297 | 6 | 9 | 28% | 4% | 64 | -0.2 |
|
✕Ryan Christianson 2007 · AAA |
26 | 35 | 47→45 | 49→50 | 37 | .185/.243/.308 | .123 | .276 | 16 | 9 | 38% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .197/.251/.328 | .131 | .289 | 16 | 9 | 36% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .160/.212/.283 | .123 | .220 | 17 | 0 | 36% | 6% | 24 | -0.7 |
|
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA |
26 | 38→35 | 48→45 | 50→55 | 39 | .196/.260/.330 | .134 | .279 | 17 | 14 | 35% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .216/.292/.346 | .130 | .312 | 13 | 16 | 33% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .230/.309/.359 | .129 | .323 | 13 | 18 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕Jason Martinson 2016 · AAA |
27 | 39→41 | 45→50 | 53→50 | 38 | .194/.254/.310 | .115 | .295 | 13 | 13 | 37% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .183/.238/.299 | .116 | .306 | 12 | 10 | 42% | 5% | 44 | -2.1 | .161/.214/.274 | .113 | .283 | 11 | 8 | 45% | 5% | 24 | -2.1 |
|
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA |
25 | 36 | 45→50 | 48→50 | 37 | .186/.248/.306 | .120 | .290 | 14 | 12 | 39% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .185/.245/.287 | .102 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 36% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .153/.212/.244 | .092 | .224 | 3 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 14 | -1.0 |
|
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA |
26 | 38 | 48→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .198/.263/.333 | .135 | .282 | 16 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .187/.269/.297 | .110 | .295 | 11 | 14 | 37% | 9% | 57 | -1.2 | .172/.261/.270 | .098 | .275 | 9 | 12 | 38% | 10% | 44 | -1.2 |
|
✕Brandon Hicks 2013 · MLB |
27 | 38→40 | 51→50 | 46→50 | 39 | .198/.263/.355 | .157 | .292 | 19 | 10 | 38% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .193/.264/.334 | .141 | .300 | 16 | 8 | 39% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | .174/.250/.292 | .119 | .273 | 14 | 5 | 39% | 8% | 44 | -1.1 |
|
✕Joe Dunand 2023 · AAA |
27 | 38→46 | 45→50 | 49→45 | 38 | .190/.256/.311 | .120 | .289 | 12 | 8 | 37% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .222/.290/.373 | .151 | .314 | 17 | 7 | 33% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .230/.304/.404 | .174 | .313 | 21 | 4 | 32% | 8% | 96 | +1.0 |
|
✕Mark Kolozsvary 2023 · MLB |
27 | 37 | 46→40 | 47→30 | 38 | .186/.270/.313 | .127 | .292 | 13 | 4 | 38% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .190/.267/.321 | .131 | .292 | 15 | 8 | 38% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .166/.225/.303 | .137 | .244 | 18 | 4 | 39% | 5% | 36 | -0.5 |
|
✕John Nelson 2007 · AAA |
28 | 34→35 | 47→45 | 48→45 | 37 | .181/.241/.311 | .129 | .276 | 16 | 9 | 39% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .189/.246/.332 | .143 | .280 | 19 | 8 | 38% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .158/.218/.302 | .144 | .215 | 22 | 0 | 38% | 6% | 36 | -1.3 |
|
✕Madison Stokes 2023 · AAA |
27 | 38→36 | 43→45 | 49→40 | 35 | .186/.243/.299 | .112 | .305 | 11 | 9 | 41% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .192/.271/.300 | .108 | .306 | 9 | 9 | 37% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .176/.270/.275 | .099 | .273 | 8 | 6 | 35% | 10% | 49 | -1.3 |
|
✕Patrick Dorrian 2023 · AAA |
27 | 38→37 | 50→55 | 47→45 | 41 | .196/.266/.350 | .154 | .290 | 19 | 6 | 38% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .196/.260/.343 | .147 | .289 | 18 | 6 | 37% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .181/.245/.318 | .137 | .261 | 18 | 5 | 37% | 7% | 49 | -1.0 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA |
27 | 40→38 | 43→50 | 47→30 | 40 | .197/.265/.308 | .111 | .291 | 11 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .199/.260/.292 | .093 | .305 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .163/.224/.224 | .061 | .249 | 8 | 0 | 36% | 7% | 16 | -1.3 |
|
✕Kevin Padlo 2023 · MLB |
27 | 37→40 | 49→55 | 52→50 | 39 | .196/.252/.341 | .145 | .270 | 18 | 13 | 34% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .194/.271/.330 | .136 | .273 | 15 | 13 | 33% | 9% | 67 | -0.5 | .172/.266/.302 | .130 | .240 | 15 | 13 | 33% | 11% | 57 | -0.8 |