Carter Bins — OGILVIE

Carter BinsC Altoona Curve

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 215 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .257 / .310

PA250

HR6

SB5

K%36

BB%8

ISO129

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	294	256	44	8	0	6	31	117	6	3	3	172	276	273	550	102	284	40	11	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	294	235	55	12	0	8	52	86	6	3	3	234	386	387	773	153	331	29	18	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	2 teams	—	330	302	44	14	3	8	18	153	8	4	0	146	213	291	505	146	252	46	5	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	2 teams	—	330	291	57	17	3	11	29	121	8	4	0	196	287	388	675	192	286	37	9	301	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	2 teams	—	143	132	22	4	0	3	7	56	3	2	1	167	225	265	491	98	257	39	5	212	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	2 teams	—	143	130	32	8	0	5	9	44	3	2	1	246	310	423	733	177	329	31	6	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	2 teams	—	294	264	40	9	1	9	22	149	7	6	1	152	235	295	531	144	292	51	7	229	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	2 teams	—	294	252	52	13	1	8	33	107	7	6	1	206	314	361	675	155	321	36	11	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	PIT	—	250	225	41	8	1	6	19	91	4	5	1	182	258	307	565	124	269	36	8	259	56	-12	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	PIT	27%	301	270	51	10	1	8	23	105	5	5	1	189	265	322	587	133	272	35	8	264	61	-13	+1	-1	+5	+9	0.0
2028	29	MLB	PIT	37%	327	293	56	11	1	8	26	112	5	5	1	191	269	317	586	126	273	34	8	267	62	-14	+1	-1	+6	+9	0.0
2029	30	MLB	PIT	43%	344	309	59	11	1	9	27	117	5	5	1	191	267	320	587	129	273	34	8	267	63	-15	+1	-2	+6	+10	-0.0
2027	28	MLB	PIT	27%	81	74	14	3	0	2	6	28	1	1	0	189	259	311	570	122	270	35	7	252	51	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	29	MLB	PIT	37%	121	109	20	4	0	3	9	41	2	2	0	183	258	303	561	119	271	34	7	255	53	-6	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	30	MLB	PIT	43%	148	133	26	5	1	4	12	50	2	2	1	195	272	338	610	143	271	34	8	255	54	-8	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	350	316	60	12	1	9	27	119	5	5	1	190	264	320	584	130	268	34	8	254	53	-19	+1	-2	+6	+10	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	112	22	2	17	50	221	9	9	2	191	265	322	587	131	269	34	8	254	53	-35	+1	-3	+12	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	2283	2051	357	75	8	57	173	900	43	35	9	174	253	302	555	128	271	39	8	249	49	-133	+3	-4	+41	+65	-2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	101	21	2	16	49	256	12	10	3	173	251	298	549	125	270	39	8	249	49	-38	+1	-1	+12	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	AA	Altoona Curve	—	109	87	13	2	0	1	20	32	2	2	0	149	321	207	528	57	222	29	18	267	63	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2021	22	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	185	148	42	10	0	7	32	54	4	1	3	284	424	493	917	209	398	29	17	407	170	+15	-1	—	—	+5	1.9
2022	23	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	279	245	51	13	3	10	25	100	7	2	0	208	300	408	708	200	299	36	9	314	98	-1	+0	—	—	+8	0.8
2022	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	51	46	6	4	0	1	4	21	1	2	0	130	216	283	498	152	208	41	8	228	33	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	101	90	20	4	0	3	8	31	2	1	1	222	300	367	667	144	298	31	8	299	87	-1	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2023	24	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	42	40	12	4	0	2	1	13	1	1	0	300	333	550	883	250	400	31	2	385	153	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	47	40	11	5	0	0	4	20	3	0	0	275	383	400	783	125	550	43	9	358	132	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	25	AA	Altoona Curve	—	247	212	41	8	1	8	29	87	4	6	1	193	301	354	655	160	282	35	12	297	86	-4	+1	—	—	+7	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	356	9	6	192	265	323	+6	+4	0.1	0.1
	/162	664	17	10	192	265	323	+11.9	+7.5	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Bins (OGILVIE)	27	20	52	50	49	182/257/310	127	269	6	5	36%	8%	56	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→29	46→50	50	43	180/253/311	131	257	14	12	35%	8%	54	-1.4	199/273/346	147	278	18	12	33%	8%	72	-0.2	173/257/338	165	221	24	12	34%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Camden Duzenack 2022 · AAA	27	36→37	49→50	51→50	34	194/240/333	139	277	18	9	36%	5%	54	-1.4	214/264/344	130	277	14	11	27%	5%	66	-0.6	210/264/335	124	264	13	10	25%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→31	47→45	51→45	43	182/258/317	135	266	15	9	36%	8%	58	-1.2	187/257/316	129	263	16	10	34%	8%	57	-1.2	134/210/250	116	164	19	8	33%	8%	18	-1.7
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA	26	36→33	48→45	50→55	39	191/255/325	133	271	17	14	35%	6%	59	-1.1	215/291/341	126	313	13	16	33%	8%	78	+0.2	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	35	44→45	47→45	44	179/260/291	112	277	12	9	38%	10%	52	-1.6	180/266/322	142	275	19	6	39%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→24	45→55	49→50	35	185/239/305	121	279	13	9	38%	5%	46	-2.0	212/273/327	115	298	10	10	31%	5%	66	-0.6	207/279/300	93	287	6	9	28%	4%	59	-0.3
✕Jason Delay 2022 · AAA	27	38	47→45	48→40	32	196/234/327	131	292	16	6	38%	4%	50	-1.8	217/271/303	86	295	5	5	26%	6%	58	-1.2	225/284/302	76	298	3	2	23%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Ryan Christianson 2007 · AAA	26	34	47→45	49→50	37	183/241/304	121	272	16	9	38%	7%	46	-2.0	200/254/330	130	292	16	9	35%	6%	59	-1.1	160/212/283	123	220	17	0	36%	6%	24	-0.7
✕Jason Martinson 2016 · AAA	27	37→39	44→45	52→50	38	189/250/296	107	286	12	13	37%	7%	48	-1.9	178/233/289	111	303	12	9	43%	5%	39	-2.5	153/204/262	109	276	11	8	47%	4%	16	-2.4
✕Colt Morton 2009 · MLB	27	37	47→50	47→30	40	193/259/325	132	276	15	4	35%	7%	60	-1.0	204/259/342	138	283	16	7	32%	6%	64	-0.8	170/221/358	188	197	25	0	30%	5%	50	-0.3
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	35→32	51→55	50	44	187/277/350	163	274	19	12	37%	9%	75	-0.0	186/266/343	157	299	19	12	42%	8%	69	-0.4	165/248/320	156	268	21	12	44%	8%	53	-1.0
✕Cody Puckett 2013 · AAA	26	37→39	47→50	50	39	195/247/328	133	260	15	11	31%	6%	55	-1.4	212/254/352	140	250	18	10	23%	5%	65	-0.7	208/243/357	149	220	23	8	19%	4%	58	-0.8
✕Patrick Dorrian 2023 · AAA	27	37→39	49→55	47→45	40	192/260/338	147	292	18	6	39%	8%	64	-0.8	201/263/349	148	300	19	7	38%	7%	68	-0.5	189/253/337	148	276	20	5	38%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Kevin Smith 2023 · MLB	27	39→43	48→55	54→50	39	201/255/342	141	280	15	14	33%	6%	63	-0.9	210/253/346	136	306	17	16	36%	5%	63	-0.9	205/243/339	134	297	19	19	37%	4%	54	-0.7
✕Kevin Padlo 2023 · MLB	27	37→40	50→55	52→50	39	199/251/350	152	268	19	13	33%	6%	63	-0.8	192/271/329	137	269	15	13	32%	9%	66	-0.6	170/265/300	130	236	14	13	33%	11%	56	-0.8
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	35→34	45→50	47→50	37	180/243/296	116	289	13	11	40%	7%	46	-2.0	189/248/293	104	291	9	10	36%	7%	46	-2.0	146/203/235	89	219	3	6	33%	7%	8	-1.2
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	37→39	44→50	45→50	38	185/252/306	121	279	11	10	36%	6%	53	-1.5	189/263/296	107	295	8	13	36%	7%	54	-1.4	160/248/262	103	254	7	16	37%	8%	40	-1.1
✕John Nelson 2007 · AAA	28	33→35	47→45	48→45	37	179/239/309	130	273	16	9	39%	6%	47	-1.9	192/249/336	144	283	19	8	38%	6%	59	-1.1	158/218/302	144	215	22	0	38%	6%	36	-1.3
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA	26	38	46→50	47→30	44	198/261/319	121	270	14	4	32%	8%	59	-1.1	219/286/363	144	306	18	4	32%	8%	81	+0.4	211/283/356	145	291	19	1	33%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Cody Bohanek 2022 · AAA	27	37→36	45→40	49→50	41	181/280/304	124	295	12	16	39%	8%	66	-0.6	190/278/289	99	315	8	15	39%	8%	59	-1.1	152/249/216	63	282	3	16	42%	8%	27	-1.6