Casey Martin — OGILVIE

Casey MartinSS Biloxi Shuckers

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 175 lbs AA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†24

AVG/OBP/SLG.162 / .216 / .258

PA250

HR4

SB6

K%36

BB%5

ISO97

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE39

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	427	386	56	17	0	5	29	164	9	17	7	145	222	228	450	83	233	38	7	203	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	427	374	74	21	0	7	41	120	9	17	7	198	292	310	603	112	269	28	10	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	431	407	57	16	2	5	13	130	7	17	2	140	180	226	406	86	189	30	3	177	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	431	398	72	21	2	5	22	101	7	17	2	181	237	281	518	101	227	23	5	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	2 teams	—	444	410	70	12	2	10	28	181	3	22	6	171	229	283	512	112	271	41	6	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	2 teams	—	444	399	90	17	3	11	39	138	3	22	6	226	299	366	665	140	313	31	9	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	352	322	40	5	2	5	17	141	6	9	1	124	183	199	381	75	191	40	5	173	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	352	315	49	6	2	9	24	108	6	9	1	156	229	273	502	117	195	31	7	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	MIL	—	250	231	37	6	1	4	14	90	3	6	1	160	218	247	464	87	240	36	6	217	24	-21	+1	+0	+3	+7	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	MIL	27%	267	246	41	7	1	5	16	93	3	6	1	167	226	264	491	98	246	35	6	227	32	-21	+1	-1	+3	+8	-1.0
2028	29	MLB	MIL	37%	309	284	49	9	1	6	19	106	3	6	1	173	232	275	507	102	249	34	6	232	36	-22	+1	-1	+3	+9	-1.1
2027	28	MLB	MIL	27%	72	67	11	2	0	1	4	25	1	2	0	164	222	239	461	75	244	35	6	217	24	-6	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.3
2028	29	MLB	MIL	37%	115	106	18	3	1	2	7	39	1	2	0	170	228	274	502	104	247	34	6	223	29	-9	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	187	173	29	5	1	3	11	64	2	4	0	168	226	260	486	92	243	34	6	221	27	-15	+1	-1	+2	+5	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	100	17	3	10	38	222	7	14	0	166	224	255	479	88	242	34	6	221	27	-54	+3	-2	+7	+18	-2.8
Career	—			—	2480	2286	350	72	9	40	136	905	34	83	19	153	212	245	457	92	228	36	5	206	16	-237	+9	-2	+27	+70	-13.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	599	91	19	2	10	36	237	9	22	5	152	212	240	452	88	227	36	6	206	16	-62	+2	-1	+7	+18	-3.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	126	110	15	4	0	1	13	52	1	2	4	136	234	200	434	64	241	41	10	207	17	-12	-1	—	—	+4	-1.0
2021	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	301	264	59	17	0	6	28	68	8	15	3	223	317	356	673	133	277	23	9	307	93	-2	+2	—	—	+9	0.8
2022	23	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	431	398	72	21	2	5	22	101	7	17	2	181	237	281	518	101	227	23	5	234	37	-30	+3	—	—	+12	-1.6
2023	24	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	236	217	39	7	1	5	16	87	1	6	2	180	239	290	530	111	268	37	7	239	41	-16	+0	—	—	+7	-0.9
2023	24	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	208	182	51	10	2	6	23	51	2	16	4	280	367	456	823	176	360	25	11	365	138	+9	+2	—	—	+6	1.7
2024	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	352	315	49	6	2	9	24	108	6	9	1	156	229	273	502	117	195	31	7	227	32	-27	+1	—	—	+10	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Casey Martin (OGILVIE)	27	20	38	50	39	162/216/258	96	240	4	6	36%	5%	24	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	31	41→40	49→45	40	165/225/253	88	235	9	5	33%	7%	26	-3.4	191/259/280	89	260	8	8	28%	8%	48	-1.9	174/253/251	76	228	6	7	25%	9%	34	-1.1
✕Madison Stokes 2023 · AAA	27	37→35	42→40	49→40	34	180/237/285	105	304	10	9	42%	6%	40	-2.4	191/271/298	107	304	9	9	37%	9%	58	-1.2	169/265/267	98	265	8	6	36%	11%	45	-1.5
✕Zach Watson 2023 · AA	26	34→32	44→45	51→50	31	178/219/289	111	282	12	13	41%	4%	33	-2.9	192/239/307	115	292	12	15	37%	5%	46	-2.0	162/206/278	116	229	14	24	36%	4%	23	-1.3
✕Matt Whatley 2023 · AAA	27	40→36	41→40	42→50	40	201/255/292	91	279	10	9	31%	6%	49	-1.8	189/252/290	101	263	12	11	31%	6%	47	-1.9	154/225/240	86	212	12	11	33%	7%	22	-1.3
✕Cale Iorg 2012 · AAA	26	34→41	42→45	46→50	32	178/212/275	97	257	10	13	35%	3%	26	-3.4	176/216/270	94	273	8	13	37%	4%	26	-3.4	117/153/180	63	194	3	8	40%	3%	-28	-2.0
✕Jason Martinson 2016 · AAA	27	37→39	44→45	52→50	38	189/250/296	107	286	12	13	37%	7%	48	-1.9	178/233/289	111	303	12	9	43%	5%	39	-2.5	153/204/262	109	276	11	8	47%	4%	16	-2.4
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	38	43→45	51→50	38	183/255/286	103	300	11	14	40%	7%	49	-1.8	201/273/302	101	301	9	14	34%	8%	59	-1.1	198/297/294	96	260	8	24	25%	10%	65	-0.1
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	39	40	50	38	192/244/277	85	285	8	15	34%	6%	40	-2.4	202/255/293	91	305	9	12	34%	6%	49	-1.8	138/193/172	34	236	3	8	41%	6%	-10	-1.1
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA	26	35→27	45	46→40	34	182/229/301	118	285	13	5	40%	6%	40	-2.4	198/246/305	107	298	12	5	36%	5%	48	-1.9	181/224/268	87	264	11	0	35%	4%	27	-2.0
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→24	45→55	49→50	35	185/239/305	121	279	13	9	38%	5%	46	-2.0	212/273/327	115	298	10	10	31%	5%	66	-0.6	207/279/300	93	287	6	9	28%	4%	59	-0.3
✕Arden Pabst 2022 · AA	27	33	46→50	44→30	28	178/206/299	121	275	15	4	41%	3%	30	-3.1	192/254/342	150	292	20	6	39%	7%	63	-0.9	119/223/261	142	161	22	0	42%	11%	28	-0.8
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	35	44→45	47→45	44	179/260/291	112	277	12	9	38%	10%	52	-1.6	180/266/322	142	275	19	6	39%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Jake Anchia 2023 · AA	26	37	44→45	48→40	35	193/235/302	109	272	13	3	34%	4%	43	-2.2	192/238/323	131	269	16	5	34%	5%	50	-1.7	174/222/323	149	230	19	3	33%	4%	41	-1.1
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→29	46→50	50	43	180/253/311	131	257	14	12	35%	8%	54	-1.4	199/273/346	147	278	18	12	33%	8%	72	-0.2	173/257/338	165	221	24	12	34%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Hamlet Marte 2021 · AA	27	39	42→45	44→45	38	192/249/290	98	298	10	6	38%	7%	46	-2.0	199/256/301	102	333	10	8	40%	7%	52	-1.6	160/221/250	90	259	11	4	40%	6%	21	-0.8
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA	28	39	41→40	49→55	43	192/252/288	96	264	8	14	30%	7%	46	-2.0	189/256/275	86	286	8	11	34%	7%	45	-2.1	154/227/217	62	241	6	8	36%	7%	15	-1.2
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	45→40	47→30	40	194/250/312	118	257	13	5	29%	6%	53	-1.5	231/295/334	103	322	9	8	29%	8%	76	+0.1	254/328/320	66	364	4	0	28%	9%	87	+0.2
✕Anthony Garibaldi 2007 · A	26	36	42→40	45	36	184/246/281	97	273	10	9	35%	5%	43	-2.2	193/254/293	100	311	10	8	39%	6%	50	-1.8	150/217/234	84	266	8	5	44%	6%	15	-1.1
✕Wade Kirkland 2015 · A	26	37→33	41→45	48→45	32	183/227/285	102	284	8	7	37%	4%	35	-2.8	183/214/261	78	323	7	8	44%	3%	22	-3.7	163/185/222	58	299	6	6	47%	2%	-3	-2.3
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	36	39→50	50→55	40	177/243/264	88	262	6	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	198/276/337	139	318	16	16	40%	8%	71	-0.3	186/272/335	149	306	19	19	42%	9%	67	-0.4