Casey MartinSS Biloxi Shuckers
Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 175 lbs AA BB +10%HR +7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†31
AVG/OBP/SLG.166 / .222 / .272
PA250
HR5
SB6
K%39
BB%6
MLB%2%
BAT: -19.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-20BATRUN: +1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +7.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -0.90-0.9WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
2020
PWR
4040
SPD
5050
EYE
3838
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.8peak
2027

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Arb-1$0.8M
2030Arb-2$0.9M
2031Arb-3$0.9M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.2M
2033Ext / FA-deal$0.4M
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $-16M $-31M -$16M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202122 A2 teams 427386 571606 291639 177 .148.224.236.460 .088.233 387 .203 14 -42 +1 +0 +5 +12 -2.5
202223 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws 431408 561525 121307 172 .137.176.221.396 .083.185 303 .169 -12 -55 +3 +0 +5 +12 -3.6
202324 AA2 teams 444412 7012210 261793 226 .170.224.282.506 .112.267 406 .222 28 -36 +2 +0 +5 +13 -1.7
202425 AABiloxi Shuckers 352322 39526 171426 91 .121.180.205.385 .084.182 405 .175 -8 -43 +1 +0 +4 +10 -2.8
▸ 2026 Season
202627 MLBMIL 250232 39715 14982 61 .168.222.272.493 .103.257 396 .226 31 -20 +1 +0 +3 +7 -0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202728 MLB 9%MIL 267246 42716 161003 61 .171.230.280.511 .110.261 376 .234 38 -19 +1 -1 +3 +8 -0.8
202829 MLB 19%MIL 309283 51927 201133 61 .180.242.300.542 .120.263 376 .239 41 -21 +1 -1 +3 +9 -0.9
202930 MLB 29%MIL 336308 561027 221223 61 .182.243.295.539 .114.263 367 .240 42 -22 +1 -2 +4 +10 -1.0
203031 MLB 43%MIL 340312 561027 221243 50 .179.240.292.532 .112.262 366 .239 41 -23 +1 -3 +4 +10 -1.2
203132 MLB 57%MIL 334306 53917 221233 30 .173.236.278.513 .105.260 377 .234 37 -24 +1 -4 +4 +9 -1.4
203233 MLB 74%MIL 312286 48816 201173 20 .168.230.266.496 .098.259 386 .229 33 -24 +0 -4 +3 +9 -1.5
203334 MLB 92%MIL 273252 42715 171052 20 .167.225.262.487 .095.257 386 .222 28 -22 +0 -5 +3 +8 -1.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 40753753 6091151777 237151647 10120 .162.221.264.485 .101.243 376 .217 24 -349 +12 -20 +44 +115 -20.1
/ 162G 650599 9718312 382427 163 .162.220.262.483 .100.244 376 .217 24 -56 +2 -3 +7 +18 -3.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202122 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws 126110 15401 13521 24 .136.234.200.434 .064.241 4110 .207 17 -12 -1 +4 -1.0
202122 AClearwater Threshers 301264 591706 28688 153 .223.317.356.673 .133.277 239 .307 93 -2 +2 +9 0.8
202223 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws 431398 722125 221017 172 .181.237.281.518 .101.227 235 .234 37 -30 +3 +12 -1.6
202324 AAReading Fightin Phils 236217 39715 16871 62 .180.239.290.530 .111.268 377 .239 41 -16 +0 +7 -0.9
202324 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws 208182 511026 23512 164 .280.367.456.823 .176.360 2511 .365 138 +9 +2 +6 1.7
202425 AABiloxi Shuckers 352315 49629 241086 91 .156.229.273.502 .117.195 317 .227 32 -27 +1 +10 -1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Casey Martin (OGILVIE) 27 20 40 50 38 .166/.222/.272 .106.257 56 39% 6% 31 -1.3
Jake Means
2023 · AA
27 35→30 47→45 50→45 43 .183/.260/.318 .135.266 159 36% 9% 59 -1.1 .181/.252/.301 .120.260 1410 34% 8% 51 -1.7 .130/.207/.227.097.17215834%8%11-2.0
Cody Bohanek
2022 · AAA
27 37→36 43→40 48→50 40 .177/.276/.289 .112.295 1015 40% 8% 59 -1.1 .186/.277/.284 .098.306 815 38% 8% 58 -1.2 .151/.251/.216.064.27131640%8%27-1.6
McCarthy Tatum
2023 · AA
27 36→25 45→55 48→50 35 .184/.240/.304 .120.279 139 38% 5% 46 -2.0 .211/.271/.326 .115.298 1010 31% 5% 66 -0.6 .215/.285/.308.094.2976928%4%64-0.2
Caleb Hamilton
2022 · AAA
27 36 44→45 46→45 43 .181/.257/.295 .114.275 129 37% 9% 52 -1.6 .181/.267/.319 .138.277 186 38% 10% 63 -0.9 .145/.237/.274.129.20919339%10%37-0.8
Madison Stokes
2023 · AAA
27 38→36 43→45 49→40 35 .186/.243/.299 .112.305 119 41% 6% 46 -2.0 .192/.271/.300 .108.306 99 37% 9% 59 -1.1 .176/.270/.275.099.2738635%10%49-1.3
Bryan Arias
2023 · AA
26 38 43→45 51→50 40 .188/.263/.297 .108.296 1213 38% 8% 55 -1.4 .201/.277/.307 .106.299 1014 34% 8% 63 -0.9 .196/.298/.302.106.259112426%10%67-0.1
Connor Kopach
2021 · AAA
26 39→33 44→45 54→55 37 .193/.254/.311 .118.297 1218 37% 6% 54 -1.4 .184/.251/.289 .105.364 1116 48% 7% 47 -1.9 .105/.185/.185.080.240122158%8%-9-1.7
Zach Watson
2023 · AA
26 36→33 46→50 51→50 31 .186/.228/.311 .124.286 1514 40% 4% 42 -2.3 .194/.239/.318 .124.291 1415 37% 5% 49 -1.8 .168/.213/.301.132.231172435%4%31-1.0
Jordan Betts
2018 · AA
26 36→29 43→45 46→40 35 .184/.232/.292 .108.283 115 38% 6% 39 -2.5 .203/.251/.317 .114.300 134 35% 6% 54 -1.4 .191/.237/.292.101.27313034%5%38-1.6
Ryan Christianson
2007 · AAA
26 35 47→45 49→50 37 .185/.243/.308 .123.276 169 38% 7% 49 -1.8 .197/.251/.328 .131.289 169 36% 6% 56 -1.3 .160/.212/.283.123.22017036%6%24-0.7
Connor Hoover
2023 · AA
27 34→30 47→50 50 44 .181/.258/.318 .137.259 1513 35% 9% 58 -1.2 .189/.267/.321 .132.273 1612 35% 9% 63 -0.9 .160/.249/.296.136.218191236%9%46-1.0
John Nelson
2007 · AAA
28 34→35 47→45 48→45 37 .181/.241/.311 .129.276 169 39% 6% 49 -1.8 .189/.246/.332 .143.280 198 38% 6% 56 -1.3 .158/.218/.302.144.21522038%6%36-1.3
Wade Kirkland
2016 · AA
27 39→37 41→45 50→45 29 .191/.225/.286 .096.306 98 40% 3% 34 -2.8 .186/.219/.261 .075.322 68 42% 4% 24 -3.5 .149/.174/.195.045.2673344%3%-16-2.9
Mike Salvatore
2023 · A
26 33 42→40 49→45 41 .172/.233/.267 .095.245 106 33% 7% 33 -2.9 .188/.255/.278 .090.259 88 29% 8% 46 -2.0 .175/.250/.252.077.2336726%8%33-1.1
Arden Pabst
2022 · AA
27 33 44→45 42→30 29 .177/.206/.288 .111.270 134 40% 3% 27 -3.3 .189/.247/.330 .141.290 196 40% 6% 56 -1.3 .109/.210/.227.118.15518043%10%14-1.0
Jason Martinson
2016 · AAA
27 39→41 45→50 53→50 38 .194/.254/.310 .115.295 1313 37% 7% 53 -1.5 .183/.238/.299 .116.306 1210 42% 5% 44 -2.1 .161/.214/.274.113.28311845%5%24-2.1
Rogelio Noris
2017 · AAA
27 39→29 45 47→45 34 .203/.240/.313 .111.270 147 30% 3% 48 -1.9 .220/.255/.346 .126.276 168 26% 3% 63 -0.8 .226/.256/.353.127.26818423%3%63-0.4
Chris Okey
2021 · AAA
26 37 46→45 49→40 37 .191/.244/.313 .122.278 145 36% 6% 50 -1.8 .212/.266/.329 .117.304 125 32% 6% 63 -0.8 .209/.262/.317.107.29110230%5%55-0.4
Camden Duzenack
2022 · AAA
27 35→37 49→50 50 35 .190/.239/.328 .138.268 189 36% 5% 52 -1.6 .214/.262/.346 .132.279 1411 28% 5% 66 -0.6 .215/.267/.343.129.269141025%5%65-0.4
Matt Whatley
2023 · AAA
27 40→36 41→40 42→50 41 .197/.255/.287 .090.280 109 32% 7% 47 -1.9 .187/.250/.285 .098.263 1110 32% 6% 46 -2.0 .153/.225/.238.085.211121132%7%22-1.3