Casey Martin — OGILVIE

Casey MartinSS Biloxi Shuckers

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 175 lbs AA HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†34

AVG/OBP/SLG.165 / .219 / .259

PA20

HR0

K%34

BB%5

ISO95

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE39

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	126	110	15	4	0	1	13	52	1	2	4	136	234	200	434	64	241	41	10	207	26	-11	-1	—	—	+3	-1.0
2021	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	301	264	59	17	0	6	28	68	8	15	3	223	317	356	673	133	277	23	9	307	94	-2	+2	—	—	+7	0.6
2022	23	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	431	398	72	21	2	5	22	101	7	17	2	181	237	281	518	101	227	23	5	234	45	-28	+3	—	—	+9	-1.7
2023	24	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	236	217	39	7	1	5	16	87	1	6	2	180	239	290	530	111	268	37	7	239	48	-15	+0	—	—	+5	-0.9
2023	24	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	208	182	51	10	2	6	23	51	2	16	4	280	367	456	823	176	360	25	11	365	133	+8	+2	—	—	+5	1.5
2024	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	352	315	49	6	2	9	24	108	6	9	1	156	229	273	502	117	195	31	7	227	40	-25	+1	—	—	+8	-1.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	126	114	10	2	0	1	9	70	1	2	4	88	161	132	293	44	197	56	7	136	-22	-18	-1	—	—	+3	-1.7
2021	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	301	272	46	14	0	4	20	93	8	15	3	169	247	265	511	96	234	31	7	229	41	-21	+2	—	—	+7	-1.3
2022	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	431	406	57	16	2	4	14	132	7	17	2	140	183	219	402	79	187	31	3	175	5	-49	+3	—	—	+9	-3.8
2023	24	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	236	222	30	5	1	3	11	106	1	6	2	135	179	207	387	72	230	45	5	176	5	-27	+0	—	—	+5	-2.2
2023	24	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	208	189	41	7	2	5	16	69	2	16	4	217	285	354	640	138	302	33	8	275	72	-7	+2	—	—	+5	-0.1
2024	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	352	322	41	5	2	6	17	133	6	9	1	127	186	211	397	84	175	38	5	174	4	-40	+1	—	—	+8	-3.2
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	427	386	56	16	0	5	29	163	9	17	7	145	222	225	447	80	232	38	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	427	374	74	21	0	7	41	120	9	17	7	198	292	310	603	112	269	28	10	277	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	431	406	57	16	2	4	14	132	7	17	2	140	183	219	402	79	194	31	3	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	431	398	72	21	2	5	22	101	7	17	2	181	237	281	518	101	227	23	5	234	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	444	411	70	12	2	9	27	175	3	22	6	170	227	275	502	105	266	39	6	222	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	444	399	90	17	3	11	39	138	3	22	6	226	299	366	665	140	313	31	9	298	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	352	322	41	5	2	6	17	133	6	9	1	127	186	211	397	84	184	38	5	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	—	352	315	49	6	2	9	24	108	6	9	1	156	229	273	502	117	195	31	7	227	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	427	386	56	16	0	5	29	163	9	17	7	145	222	225	447	80	223	38	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	431	407	57	16	2	4	14	132	7	17	2	140	183	219	401	79	187	31	3	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	444	411	70	12	2	9	27	175	3	22	6	170	227	275	502	105	264	39	6	222	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	352	326	41	5	2	6	17	133	6	9	1	126	186	209	394	83	175	38	5	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	444	411	70	12	2	9	27	175	3	22	6	170	227	275	502	105	264	39	6	222	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	352	326	41	5	2	6	17	133	6	9	1	126	186	209	394	83	175	38	5	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	MIL	2%	20	19	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	158	200	211	411	53	239	35	5	219	34	-2	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIL	27%	267	247	43	8	1	5	15	89	3	6	1	174	230	275	505	101	245	33	6	229	41	-19	+1	-1	+3	+6	-1.0
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIL	37%	309	284	50	9	1	6	19	101	3	6	1	176	235	278	513	102	248	33	6	234	45	-20	+1	-1	+3	+7	-1.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIL	27%	72	67	11	2	0	1	4	24	1	2	0	164	222	239	461	75	243	33	6	222	41	-5	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIL	37%	115	106	19	3	1	2	7	38	1	2	0	179	237	283	520	104	246	33	6	227	45	-8	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	187	173	30	5	1	3	11	62	2	4	0	173	231	266	497	92	248	33	6	225	24	-13	+1	-1	+2	+4	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	103	17	3	10	38	216	7	14	0	171	229	260	488	88	246	33	6	225	24	-44	+3	-2	+7	+14	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2250	2075	320	67	8	35	122	800	31	77	18	154	212	245	457	91	227	36	5	204	24	-41	+2	-2	+6	+13	-2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	92	19	2	10	35	231	9	22	5	154	211	242	453	88	226	36	5	204	24	-44	+2	-2	+7	+14	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Casey Martin (OGILVIE)	27	20	39	50	39	165/219/259	95	239	4	6	34%	5%	34	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	41	168/229/263	95	238	11	5	34%	7%	38	-3.2	192/259/282	90	264	8	8	28%	8%	54	-2.0	175/250/251	77	232	6	7	26%	9%	40	-1.1
✕Zach Watson 2023 · AA	26	35→33	44→45	51→50	32	183/224/298	115	280	13	13	39%	4%	45	-2.7	195/241/312	117	286	12	15	35%	5%	55	-2.0	166/209/288	122	225	15	24	33%	4%	35	-1.2
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→25	44→50	49→50	35	186/241/304	118	277	12	9	36%	5%	53	-2.1	214/275/326	112	297	10	10	30%	5%	70	-0.8	213/284/304	91	290	6	9	26%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Arden Pabst 2022 · AA	27	33	44→45	44→30	30	179/207/288	109	269	13	4	39%	3%	35	-3.4	188/249/321	133	285	17	6	38%	7%	60	-1.6	107/209/207	100	155	15	0	42%	10%	19	-1.1
✕Madison Stokes 2023 · AAA	27	38→36	42→45	49→40	36	185/242/292	107	298	10	9	40%	6%	50	-2.3	195/273/300	105	301	9	9	35%	9%	64	-1.3	175/268/272	96	267	7	6	34%	10%	54	-1.5
✕Matt Whatley 2023 · AAA	27	40→38	40	42→50	41	200/256/286	87	277	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	188/252/288	100	262	11	11	31%	7%	53	-2.1	153/225/238	85	211	12	11	32%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Cale Iorg 2012 · AAA	26	35→41	41→45	46→50	33	179/213/270	91	256	9	13	34%	3%	33	-3.6	178/218/268	90	270	8	13	36%	4%	35	-3.4	122/158/182	60	198	2	8	38%	3%	-11	-1.9
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	47→45	44	181/260/291	111	272	12	9	36%	9%	57	-1.8	177/263/303	126	271	15	6	38%	10%	61	-1.5	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	42→40	48→30	40	191/248/295	104	256	10	5	29%	6%	53	-2.1	228/293/328	100	322	8	8	29%	8%	77	-0.3	245/316/306	61	355	3	0	29%	9%	80	-0.0
✕Rogelio Noris 2017 · AAA	27	39→31	43→45	47→45	34	198/237/298	100	267	12	7	31%	3%	49	-2.4	219/259/338	119	278	14	8	26%	4%	67	-1.1	222/252/336	114	267	15	4	23%	3%	61	-0.6
✕Jake Anchia 2023 · AA	26	37	43→45	47→40	36	192/235/296	104	268	12	3	33%	4%	48	-2.5	187/234/297	110	266	12	5	33%	5%	48	-2.5	167/214/283	117	229	13	3	33%	4%	35	-1.6
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→30	46→50	50	44	180/256/309	130	256	14	12	34%	9%	60	-1.6	194/270/319	125	275	14	12	33%	8%	68	-1.0	163/251/289	126	221	17	12	33%	9%	52	-1.1
✕Ryan Christianson 2007 · AAA	26	34	45	49→50	38	183/241/298	115	268	15	9	37%	7%	51	-2.2	200/256/327	127	290	15	9	35%	7%	63	-1.3	160/212/283	123	220	17	0	36%	6%	33	-0.7
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA	26	37→28	44→45	46→40	36	186/234/301	115	285	12	5	38%	6%	49	-2.4	202/251/310	108	297	11	5	34%	6%	57	-1.8	187/232/277	90	267	11	0	33%	5%	40	-1.9
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	183/248/269	86	262	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	15	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Grant Koch 2023 · AA	26	35	42→45	44→30	42	181/252/282	100	260	11	4	33%	7%	52	-2.2	203/258/296	93	311	9	4	35%	6%	57	-1.8	191/240/272	81	294	9	0	36%	5%	41	-0.8
✕Matt Spring 2011 · AA	26	36	45	46→45	37	189/239/312	123	264	14	4	33%	6%	54	-2.0	186/240/326	140	290	17	4	40%	6%	57	-1.8	162/219/303	141	241	18	0	40%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Chris Okey 2021 · AAA	26	38	45	49→40	38	195/249/311	117	281	13	6	35%	6%	57	-1.8	211/265/319	108	303	10	5	32%	6%	64	-1.3	205/259/305	100	287	9	2	30%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Nick Rickles 2017 · AA	27	38	41→40	48→30	35	194/219/289	95	255	10	5	28%	3%	39	-3.1	210/242/323	113	262	12	5	25%	4%	56	-1.9	203/229/313	110	244	13	1	23%	3%	47	-0.7
✕Connor Kopach 2021 · AAA	26	39→33	44→45	54→55	37	193/254/311	117	297	12	18	37%	6%	59	-1.6	188/257/291	103	357	11	16	46%	7%	56	-1.9	114/195/190	76	244	11	21	54%	8%	8	-1.6