Jake Vogel — OGILVIE

Jake VogelOF Great Lakes Loons

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A+ HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 141 proj PA

wRC+†34

AVG/OBP/SLG.162 / .238 / .223

PA12

HR0

K%36

BB%7

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	372	325	75	14	6	3	33	111	12	12	4	231	324	338	663	108	338	30	9	303	91	-4	+1	—	—	+8	0.5
2022	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	499	432	102	22	9	1	52	111	9	19	7	236	331	336	666	100	310	22	10	303	91	-5	+1	—	—	+11	0.7
2023	21	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	421	369	87	22	1	3	35	109	9	28	2	236	316	325	642	89	318	26	8	291	83	-9	+5	—	—	+9	0.5
2024	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	321	271	48	5	2	3	38	94	9	18	5	177	299	244	542	66	257	29	12	260	62	-15	+2	—	—	+7	-0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	19	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	372	335	60	9	5	2	23	149	12	12	4	179	257	254	510	75	300	40	6	227	40	-27	+1	—	—	+8	-1.8
2022	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	499	450	80	17	5	1	34	160	9	19	7	178	249	244	494	67	264	32	7	224	38	-37	+1	—	—	+11	-2.6
2023	21	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	421	380	69	16	1	2	25	147	9	28	2	182	249	245	494	63	272	35	6	224	38	-31	+5	—	—	+9	-1.8
2024	22	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	321	284	38	4	2	2	25	128	9	18	5	134	226	183	410	49	224	40	8	191	15	-32	+2	—	—	+7	-2.4
2021	19	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	372	335	60	9	5	2	23	149	12	12	4	179	257	254	510	75	312	40	6	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	372	325	75	14	6	3	33	111	12	12	4	231	324	338	663	108	338	30	9	303	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	499	450	80	17	5	1	34	160	9	19	7	178	249	244	494	67	268	32	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	499	432	102	22	9	1	52	111	9	19	7	236	331	336	666	100	310	22	10	303	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	421	380	69	16	1	2	25	147	9	28	2	182	249	245	494	63	282	35	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	—	421	369	87	22	1	3	35	109	9	28	2	236	316	325	642	89	318	26	8	291	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	321	284	38	4	2	2	25	128	9	18	5	134	226	183	410	49	232	40	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	—	321	271	48	5	2	3	38	94	9	18	5	177	299	244	542	66	257	29	12	260	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	372	334	60	9	5	2	23	149	12	12	4	180	257	254	511	75	300	40	6	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	499	453	80	17	5	1	34	160	9	19	7	177	249	243	492	66	264	32	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	421	384	69	16	1	2	25	147	9	28	2	180	249	242	491	62	272	35	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	321	284	38	4	2	2	25	128	9	18	5	134	226	183	410	49	224	40	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	421	384	69	16	1	2	25	147	9	28	2	180	249	242	491	62	272	35	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	321	284	38	4	2	2	25	128	9	18	5	134	226	183	410	49	224	40	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	24	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	12	11	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	91	167	91	258		257	33	8	218	34	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAD	30%	157	141	26	5	1	2	12	53	3	5	1	184	263	277	539	92	261	34	8	235	45	-10	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.7
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAD	44%	261	234	43	8	1	4	20	86	5	8	2	184	263	278	540	94	264	33	8	245	52	-15	+1	+0	-2	+6	-1.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	LAD	30%	48	43	7	1	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	163	250	256	506	93	257	33	8	220	45	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAD	44%	115	103	18	3	0	2	9	38	2	3	1	175	254	262	517	87	260	33	8	231	52	-7	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	163	146	25	4	0	3	13	54	3	4	1	171	253	260	513	89	244	33	8	228	37	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	100	16	0	12	52	215	12	16	4	172	254	261	515	89	245	33	8	228	37	-39	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2043	1835	317	59	15	13	140	727	47	90	21	173	249	243	492	70	273	36	7	223	37	-26	+1	+0	-3	+9	-1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	101	19	5	4	45	231	15	29	7	173	250	243	494	70	273	36	7	223	37	-39	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Vogel (OGILVIE)	24	20	33	57	49	162/238/223	61	257	1	4	36%	7%	34	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	37→28	40	54→55	41	172/263/265	93	309	7	18	42%	9%	53	-2.1	179/260/262	83	375	6	20	48%	9%	51	-2.3	94/200/138	45	245	2	38	56%	10%	0	-1.6
✕Oliver Marmol 2010 · A	24	37	37→40	51→55	38	177/252/249	72	262	4	15	32%	5%	45	-2.7	200/280/299	99	307	7	12	35%	7%	68	-1.0	167/267/280	114	275	8	12	38%	7%	58	-0.4
✕Thomas Jones 2022 · A	24	36→35	41→40	52→50	37	176/256/269	93	287	8	17	39%	7%	51	-2.2	180/261/291	111	315	11	13	43%	7%	58	-1.7	123/217/245	122	228	14	10	49%	8%	31	-1.4
✕Trey Martin 2017 · AA	24	38→39	36→40	53→55	35	184/222/243	59	275	4	19	34%	4%	30	-3.8	198/240/284	86	303	7	14	35%	5%	47	-2.6	194/236/283	90	298	8	14	36%	4%	44	-1.7
✕Jacob Zanon 2019 · A	24	41→36	36→40	53→55	43	192/251/261	69	267	2	22	27%	7%	46	-2.6	194/248/275	81	279	6	15	31%	6%	48	-2.5	178/230/252	74	256	7	15	32%	6%	35	-2.6
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	179/255/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	196/281/311	115	314	12	8	38%	9%	70	-0.8	152/262/269	117	243	16	5	41%	11%	52	-0.7
✕Ashton Creal 2023 · A	24	38	41→40	54→55	38	181/259/279	98	296	8	22	39%	7%	55	-2.0	191/267/280	89	341	8	15	43%	7%	57	-1.8	129/224/173	43	295	6	12	53%	7%	16	-1.0
✕Rand Smith 2011 · A	24	41→39	37→30	53→50	45	197/260/265	67	265	5	15	26%	7%	50	-2.3	210/272/283	73	296	5	10	28%	8%	59	-1.7	198/269/240	42	290	1	4	30%	8%	45	-1.0
✕Alfredo Reyes 2017 · A	23	37	36→30	57→55	35	181/222/241	60	279	4	20	36%	5%	29	-3.8	200/252/266	66	327	4	24	37%	6%	47	-2.5	198/257/257	59	329	4	28	38%	7%	44	-1.4
✕Brandon Thomas 2015 · A	24	38	40	54→55	39	182/256/273	90	287	8	17	37%	7%	51	-2.2	192/260/280	88	335	7	15	41%	7%	55	-2.0	147/222/200	53	310	3	18	49%	8%	19	-1.1
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	39	36→40	51→50	37	180/249/244	64	298	3	13	38%	6%	42	-2.9	204/267/282	78	290	4	12	29%	7%	57	-1.8	201/266/271	70	279	2	15	26%	6%	51	-1.1
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Leosdany Molina 2023 · A	23	39→34	38→40	53→50	37	191/240/264	72	276	6	17	32%	5%	42	-2.9	197/244/277	80	278	9	14	31%	5%	47	-2.6	179/223/239	61	244	10	18	30%	5%	28	-2.1
✕Casey Martin 2023 · A	24	30→33	39→40	51→50	36	158/210/242	84	229	7	14	34%	5%	26	-4.0	166/219/260	94	254	10	15	37%	5%	34	-3.5	149/204/241	92	229	11	16	39%	6%	22	-2.9
✕Luke Brown 2023 · A	24	38	37→40	52→50	41	181/252/252	71	280	5	11	35%	7%	45	-2.7	185/256/291	106	287	11	15	37%	7%	56	-1.9	159/236/269	110	240	13	19	38%	8%	41	-1.2
✕Casio Grider 2012 · A	24	41→40	38→40	57→55	37	195/253/281	85	292	4	20	33%	5%	51	-2.2	200/258/285	85	299	5	22	33%	5%	54	-2.0	191/248/272	81	291	5	27	34%	5%	44	-1.2
✕Aaron Whitefield 2021 · AA	24	36→46	37→40	53→60	33	175/223/245	70	294	4	24	40%	5%	32	-3.7	214/269/309	95	320	8	31	33%	7%	63	-1.3	211/269/308	97	313	8	38	33%	7%	62	-0.7
✕Brantley Bell 2019 · A	24	43	38→40	52→55	38	205/253/279	74	283	5	18	28%	5%	51	-2.3	204/255/285	81	264	6	14	24%	5%	53	-2.1	188/239/257	70	250	5	15	26%	5%	38	-1.4
✕Spencer Griffin 2021 · A	24	40→37	39→40	51→50	38	184/253/268	84	320	6	10	42%	8%	49	-2.4	187/241/281	94	388	8	13	50%	6%	47	-2.5	116/163/186	69	298	7	20	60%	4%	-7	-1.7
✕Cody Bohanek 2019 · AAA	24	39→36	38→40	47→50	41	188/265/260	72	272	7	10	31%	6%	53	-2.1	177/270/265	88	291	8	12	39%	8%	56	-1.9	151/256/238	88	264	7	16	41%	8%	45	-1.6