Jake Vogel — OGILVIE

Jake VogelOF Great Lakes Loons

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 141 proj PA

wRC+†24

AVG/OBP/SLG.161 / .236 / .222

PA141

HR1

K%36

BB%7

ISO61

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 32

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER32

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	372	335	61	8	5	2	23	147	12	12	4	182	259	254	513	72	314	40	6	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	372	325	75	14	6	3	33	111	12	12	4	231	324	338	663	108	338	30	9	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	499	452	79	18	4	1	32	173	9	19	7	175	243	239	482	64	275	35	6	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	499	432	102	22	9	1	52	111	9	19	7	236	331	336	666	100	310	22	10	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	421	380	72	16	1	3	25	146	9	28	2	189	256	261	517	71	290	35	6	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	421	369	87	22	1	3	35	109	9	28	2	236	316	325	642	89	318	26	8	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	321	285	38	4	2	2	24	130	9	18	5	133	223	182	406	49	234	40	7	189	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	321	271	48	5	2	3	38	94	9	18	5	177	299	244	542	66	257	29	12	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	LAD	—	141	127	21	4	1	1	10	51	3	4	1	165	243	236	479	71	257	36	7	216	24	-12	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	LAD	30%	157	142	26	5	1	2	11	54	3	5	1	183	256	275	531	92	262	34	7	234	37	-11	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
2028	26	MLB	LAD	44%	261	235	43	8	1	4	19	88	5	8	2	183	259	277	535	94	265	34	7	244	45	-16	+1	+0	-2	+7	-1.0
2027	25	MLB	LAD	30%	48	44	7	1	0	1	3	17	1	1	0	159	229	250	479	91	259	35	6	217	25	-4	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
2028	26	MLB	LAD	44%	115	103	18	3	0	2	9	39	2	3	1	175	254	262	517	87	262	34	8	228	33	-9	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	163	147	25	4	0	3	12	56	3	4	1	170	247	259	505	88	247	34	7	225	30	-13	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	100	16	0	12	48	223	12	16	4	171	248	259	507	89	248	34	7	225	30	-51	+2	+0	-4	+18	-3.6
Career	—			—	2172	1956	340	63	15	15	144	789	50	94	22	174	248	244	493	71	278	36	7	222	28	-176	+10	+0	-13	+62	-12.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	101	19	4	4	43	236	15	28	7	173	247	239	487	67	276	36	7	222	28	-53	+3	+0	-4	+18	-3.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	372	325	75	14	6	3	33	111	12	12	4	231	324	338	663	108	338	30	9	303	90	-4	+1	—	—	+11	0.7
2022	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	499	432	102	22	9	1	52	111	9	19	7	236	331	336	666	100	310	22	10	303	90	-6	+1	—	—	+14	1.0
2023	21	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	421	369	87	22	1	3	35	109	9	28	2	236	316	325	642	89	318	26	8	291	81	-9	+5	—	—	+12	0.8
2024	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	321	271	48	5	2	3	38	94	9	18	5	177	299	244	542	66	257	29	12	260	57	-16	+2	—	—	+9	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Vogel (OGILVIE)	24	20	32	57	48	161/236/222	61	257	1	4	36%	7%	24	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	36→24	39→40	54→55	40	166/257/253	87	306	7	18	44%	9%	42	-2.3	177/257/259	82	368	6	20	48%	9%	43	-2.2	92/195/135	43	236	2	38	55%	10%	-16	-1.7
✕Oliver Marmol 2010 · A	24	37	37→40	51→55	38	177/252/249	72	262	4	15	32%	5%	38	-2.6	200/280/300	100	309	7	12	35%	6%	63	-0.8	168/266/287	118	282	8	12	39%	7%	54	-0.3
✕Alfredo Reyes 2017 · A	23	36	36→30	57→55	35	178/218/236	57	272	4	20	35%	5%	17	-4.0	197/250/262	65	326	4	24	38%	6%	38	-2.6	193/254/252	59	326	4	28	39%	7%	34	-1.5
✕Thomas Jones 2022 · A	24	36→37	40	52→50	37	175/253/268	93	281	8	17	38%	6%	43	-2.2	176/256/285	109	322	11	13	45%	7%	49	-1.8	110/204/224	114	226	14	10	54%	8%	11	-1.7
✕Trey Martin 2017 · AA	24	37→39	36→40	53→55	34	182/220/242	60	276	4	19	35%	4%	20	-3.8	195/237/286	91	306	8	14	37%	5%	40	-2.4	188/231/286	97	298	10	14	39%	4%	36	-1.7
✕Jacob Zanon 2019 · A	24	41→33	36→40	53→55	44	192/254/262	71	268	2	22	28%	7%	40	-2.4	187/243/265	78	279	5	15	33%	6%	37	-2.7	165/219/233	68	248	6	15	34%	6%	17	-3.0
✕Rand Smith 2011 · A	24	41→39	36→30	53→50	46	195/260/260	66	263	4	15	26%	8%	43	-2.2	207/272/280	73	299	5	10	30%	8%	53	-1.5	186/262/225	39	288	1	4	32%	9%	32	-1.1
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	39	36→40	51→50	37	180/249/244	64	296	3	13	37%	6%	34	-2.8	203/266/281	78	292	4	12	30%	7%	50	-1.7	197/262/269	71	278	3	15	28%	6%	42	-1.1
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Leosdany Molina 2023 · A	23	40→34	38→40	53→50	37	193/242/267	74	280	6	17	32%	5%	37	-2.7	199/246/281	82	281	9	14	31%	5%	42	-2.3	184/229/246	61	251	10	18	30%	5%	24	-1.9
✕Neil Walton 2008 · A	24	39→32	36→30	48→50	35	186/229/257	70	286	3	13	35%	4%	27	-3.3	207/254/285	78	293	4	9	29%	6%	46	-2.0	204/252/269	65	280	3	6	27%	6%	37	-1.7
✕Dillon Moyer 2015 · A	24	38→39	36→30	47→50	41	181/240/247	66	262	3	10	30%	6%	30	-3.1	160/212/219	59	307	3	8	46%	6%	11	-4.5	93/139/123	29	227	0	5	56%	4%	-47	-4.8
✕Brantley Bell 2019 · A	24	42	37→40	52→55	38	203/250/275	72	279	5	18	28%	5%	42	-2.3	203/254/284	81	265	7	14	25%	5%	46	-2.0	185/236/257	72	252	6	15	28%	5%	29	-1.4
✕Jordan Serena 2016 · A	23	39→45	35→30	55→50	38	184/253/245	61	284	2	18	34%	6%	37	-2.7	195/250/257	62	306	3	10	35%	5%	37	-2.6	188/242/244	56	297	3	9	35%	5%	28	-1.9
✕Adam White 2009 · A	24	40→38	37→30	52→55	44	194/257/263	70	271	5	17	29%	7%	42	-2.3	211/276/294	83	314	5	19	32%	7%	59	-1.1	216/292/293	77	344	3	33	34%	8%	64	-0.2
✕Casey Martin 2023 · A	24	30→31	40	51→50	36	158/209/247	88	227	7	14	33%	5%	18	-3.9	165/218/263	98	256	10	15	38%	5%	26	-3.4	147/202/242	95	231	12	16	41%	6%	12	-2.9
✕Demi Orimoloye 2021 · A	24	36→35	41→40	52→55	33	181/233/274	94	291	9	16	40%	5%	35	-2.8	202/239/306	104	332	10	15	40%	4%	45	-2.1	186/212/289	103	307	10	18	42%	3%	24	-1.7
✕Luke Brown 2023 · A	24	38	37→40	52→50	40	181/252/250	68	281	4	11	35%	7%	37	-2.6	182/254/282	100	281	10	15	36%	7%	46	-2.0	154/232/257	103	234	12	19	37%	8%	28	-1.3
✕Nic Kent 2023 · A	23	35→41	35→40	48→50	35	173/219/230	57	265	3	14	35%	4%	17	-4.0	199/249/278	79	265	7	10	26%	5%	43	-2.2	193/253/275	82	267	8	10	29%	6%	41	-1.3
✕Brandon Thomas 2015 · A	24	38	41→40	54→55	38	185/256/278	93	294	9	17	38%	7%	46	-2.0	191/257/281	90	338	7	15	42%	7%	47	-1.9	140/212/193	52	302	3	18	50%	7%	4	-1.2