Jake Vogel

PosOF
B/TR/R
Born2001-10-12
Age (2027)25
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
A+LAST SEASON 2024
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202220ALAA499.236/.331/.33611942—.187/.258/.260
202321A+LAD421.236/.316/.32532843—.189/.256/.253
202422A+LAD321.177/.299/.24431819—.141/.233/.190
Contract
No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202119 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 372325 751463 3311112 124 231324338663 108338 309 303 44 — — — — — —
202220 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 499432 1022291 521119 197 236331336666 100310 2210 303 42 — — — — — —
202321 A+Great Lakes Loons — 421369 872213 351099 282 236316325642 89318 268 291 43 — — — — — —
202422 A+Great Lakes Loons — 321271 48523 38949 185 177299244542 66257 2912 260 19 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202119 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 372334 61952 2414912 124 183262257520 75309 406 233 44 — — — — — —
202220 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 499450 841861 341629 197 187258260518 73274 327 230 42 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 421380 721612 251389 282 189256253509 63276 336 232 43 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 321284 40422 251219 185 141233190423 49225 388 196 19 — — — — — —
202119 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 372334 61952 2414912 124 183262257520 75319 406 233 44 — — — — — —
202119 A RAWRancho Cucamonga Quakes — 372325 751463 3311112 124 231324338663 108338 309 303 44 — — — — — —
202220 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 499450 841861 341629 197 187258260518 73283 327 230 42 — — — — — —
202220 A RAWRancho Cucamonga Quakes — 499432 1022291 521119 197 236331336666 100310 2210 303 42 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 421380 721612 251389 282 189256253509 63283 336 232 43 — — — — — —
202321 A+ RAWGreat Lakes Loons — 421369 872213 351099 282 236316325642 89318 268 291 43 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 321284 40422 251219 185 141233190423 49235 388 196 19 — — — — — —
202422 A+ RAWGreat Lakes Loons — 321271 48523 38949 185 177299244542 66257 2912 260 19 — — — — — —
202119 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 372333 61952 2414912 124 183262258520 75309 406 233 44 — — — — — —
202220 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 499453 841861 341629 197 185258258516 73274 327 230 42 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 421384 721612 251389 282 188256250506 62276 336 232 43 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 321284 40422 251219 185 141233190423 49225 388 196 19 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 321284 40422 251219 185 141233190423 49225 388 196 19 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
Career— MLE — 16131448 25747147 10857039 7718 177253244497 66282 357 224 38 -119 +8 +0 -10 +35 -8.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 1041963 4423016 317 178255247502 68283 357 224 38 -48 +3 +0 -4 +14 -3.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 A+Great Lakes Loons · 321 PAwOBA .253 → .196 (−57)K% 29.3% → 37.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.28%÷0.990×1.270——37.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.53%÷1.037×0.710—×0.9987.88%
HBP% /PA2.80%—×0.790—×0.9982.21%
Singles /BIP21.47%÷1.004×0.920×0.969×0.99819.02%
Doubles /BIP2.82%÷0.950×0.810×0.969×0.9982.33%
Triples /BIP1.13%÷0.948×0.850×0.969×0.9980.98%
Home runs /BIP1.69%÷1.036×0.800—×0.9981.31%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 90, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .253 → .196; ISO .066 → .051; BABIP .257 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Great Lakes Loons · 421 PAwOBA .288 → .232 (−56)K% 25.9% → 32.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.89%÷1.004×1.270——32.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.31%÷0.992×0.710—×1.0126.02%
HBP% /PA2.14%—×0.790—×1.0121.71%
Singles /BIP23.46%÷0.975×0.920×0.950×1.01221.29%
Doubles /BIP8.46%÷1.011×0.810×0.950×1.0126.52%
Triples /BIP0.38%÷0.997×0.850×0.950×1.0120.32%
Home runs /BIP1.15%÷0.951×0.800—×1.0120.98%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 95, 2B 102, 3B 99, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .288 → .232; ISO .089 → .069; BABIP .318 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 499 PAwOBA .299 → .230 (−69)K% 22.2% → 32.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.24%÷0.930×1.360——32.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.42%÷1.072×0.690—×1.0156.81%
HBP% /PA1.80%—×0.780—×1.0151.43%
Singles /BIP21.81%÷0.981×0.920×0.954×1.01519.82%
Doubles /BIP6.85%÷0.923×0.830×0.954×1.0155.97%
Triples /BIP2.80%÷1.150×0.910×0.954×1.0152.15%
Home runs /BIP0.31%÷1.247×0.800—×1.0150.20%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 86, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .299 → .230; ISO .100 → .074; BABIP .310 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 372 PAwOBA .297 → .233 (−64)K% 29.8% → 40.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.84%÷1.015×1.360——39.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.87%÷0.985×0.690—×1.0306.40%
HBP% /PA3.23%—×0.780—×1.0302.59%
Singles /BIP24.30%÷0.965×0.920×0.985×1.03023.49%
Doubles /BIP6.54%÷1.166×0.830×0.985×1.0304.72%
Triples /BIP2.80%÷0.960×0.910×0.985×1.0302.69%
Home runs /BIP1.40%÷0.965×0.800—×1.0301.20%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 93, 2B 133, 3B 92, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .297 → .233; ISO .108 → .080; BABIP .338 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).