Maikol Escotto
SS Greensboro Grasshoppers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A+PIT | 343 | .213/.274/.347 | 8 | 10 | 22 | — | .164/.206/.260 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+PIT | 232 | .215/.259/.355 | 8 | 8 | 21 | — | .168/.197/.273 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA/A+PIT | 298 | .232/.297/.371 | 8 | 21 | 49 | — | .199/.249/.315 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBPIT | 1 | .216/.260/.343 | 0 | 0 | 69 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 26 | MLBPIT | 51 | .218/.264/.351 | 1 | 1 | 73 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ42% MLB | 27 | MLBPIT | 88 | .219/.266/.351 | 2 | 2 | 74 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 55
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Yankees | — | 218 | 181 | 57 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 57 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 315 | 429 | 552 | 981 | 238 | 422 | 26 | 15 | 428 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 381 | 320 | 75 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 54 | 116 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 234 | 355 | 347 | 702 | 112 | 343 | 30 | 14 | 325 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 160 | 146 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 164 | 228 | 342 | 570 | 178 | 220 | 36 | 6 | 251 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 99 | 87 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 253 | 337 | 391 | 728 | 138 | 312 | 22 | 9 | 326 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 343 | 314 | 67 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 92 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 213 | 274 | 347 | 621 | 134 | 273 | 27 | 6 | 277 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 232 | 214 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 78 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 215 | 259 | 355 | 614 | 140 | 290 | 34 | 6 | 269 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 142 | 126 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 135 | 216 | 198 | 414 | 63 | 153 | 20 | 6 | 195 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 156 | 141 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 2 | 18 | 4 | 319 | 370 | 525 | 895 | 206 | 382 | 22 | 6 | 387 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees | — | 218 | 190 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 70 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 179 | 281 | 295 | 576 | 116 | 260 | 32 | 11 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 381 | 340 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 160 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 191 | 276 | 265 | 541 | 74 | 342 | 42 | 9 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 160 | 150 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 76 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 120 | 165 | 233 | 398 | 113 | 204 | 48 | 3 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 99 | 90 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 211 | 276 | 300 | 576 | 89 | 285 | 30 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 343 | 323 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 120 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 164 | 206 | 260 | 466 | 96 | 229 | 35 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 232 | 220 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 99 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 168 | 197 | 273 | 470 | 105 | 248 | 43 | 3 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 142 | 129 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 124 | 187 | 186 | 373 | 62 | 141 | 26 | 4 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 156 | 146 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 2 | 18 | 4 | 267 | 305 | 432 | 737 | 164 | 342 | 29 | 4 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees | — | 218 | 190 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 70 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 179 | 281 | 295 | 576 | 116 | 259 | 32 | 11 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Yankees | — | 218 | 181 | 57 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 57 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 315 | 429 | 552 | 981 | 238 | 422 | 26 | 15 | 428 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 381 | 340 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 160 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 191 | 276 | 265 | 541 | 74 | 345 | 42 | 9 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A RAW | Bradenton Marauders | — | 381 | 320 | 75 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 54 | 116 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 234 | 355 | 347 | 702 | 112 | 343 | 30 | 14 | 325 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 259 | 239 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 106 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 155 | 211 | 259 | 470 | 105 | 248 | 41 | 5 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 259 | 233 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 80 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 197 | 270 | 361 | 630 | 163 | 260 | 31 | 7 | 280 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 343 | 323 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 120 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 164 | 206 | 260 | 466 | 96 | 236 | 35 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ RAW | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 343 | 314 | 67 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 92 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 213 | 274 | 347 | 621 | 134 | 273 | 27 | 6 | 277 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 232 | 220 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 99 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 168 | 197 | 273 | 470 | 105 | 263 | 43 | 3 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ RAW | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 232 | 214 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 78 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 215 | 259 | 355 | 614 | 140 | 290 | 34 | 6 | 269 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 298 | 275 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 82 | 6 | 21 | 6 | 200 | 249 | 316 | 566 | 116 | 253 | 28 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 298 | 267 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 63 | 6 | 21 | 6 | 232 | 297 | 371 | 668 | 139 | 270 | 21 | 6 | 296 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees | — | 218 | 189 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 70 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 180 | 281 | 296 | 577 | 116 | 260 | 32 | 11 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 381 | 338 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 160 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 192 | 276 | 266 | 543 | 74 | 342 | 42 | 9 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 259 | 240 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 106 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 154 | 211 | 258 | 469 | 104 | 235 | 41 | 5 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 343 | 323 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 120 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 164 | 206 | 260 | 466 | 96 | 229 | 35 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 232 | 222 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 99 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 167 | 197 | 270 | 468 | 104 | 248 | 43 | 3 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 298 | 278 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 82 | 6 | 21 | 6 | 198 | 249 | 313 | 562 | 115 | 246 | 28 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 232 | 222 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 99 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 167 | 197 | 270 | 468 | 104 | 248 | 43 | 3 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 298 | 278 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 82 | 6 | 21 | 6 | 198 | 249 | 313 | 562 | 115 | 246 | 28 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | PIT | 0% | 348 | 326 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 92 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 217 | 261 | 348 | 609 | 132 | 271 | 26 | 4 | 270 | 69 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | PIT | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 260 | 343 | 602 | 127 | 271 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 69 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | PIT | 30% | 167 | 155 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 44 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 219 | 265 | 357 | 623 | 138 | 272 | 26 | 5 | 276 | 73 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | PIT | 42% | 211 | 196 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 220 | 267 | 358 | 625 | 138 | 272 | 26 | 5 | 277 | 74 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | PIT | 30% | 51 | 48 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 218 | 264 | 351 | 615 | 133 | 272 | 25 | 4 | 273 | 73 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | PIT | 42% | 88 | 83 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 266 | 351 | 617 | 133 | 273 | 26 | 5 | 274 | 74 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 139 | 131 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 206 | 252 | 313 | 565 | 107 | 261 | 26 | 4 | 274 | 47 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 613 | 126 | 23 | 0 | 14 | 28 | 168 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 206 | 251 | 312 | 562 | 106 | 260 | 26 | 4 | 274 | 47 | -21 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | 0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2256 | 2076 | 390 | 67 | 10 | 47 | 126 | 775 | 32 | 95 | 33 | 188 | 245 | 298 | 543 | 110 | 271 | 34 | 6 | 237 | 47 | -17 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +11 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 113 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 223 | 9 | 27 | 10 | 189 | 245 | 301 | 546 | 112 | 271 | 34 | 6 | 237 | 47 | -21 | +2 | +0 | +7 | +14 | 0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 156 PAwOBA .378 → .311 (−67)K% 21.8% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.79% | ÷0.994 | ×1.310 | — | — | 28.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.41% | ÷0.980 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 3.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.10% | ÷0.950 | ×0.870 | ×1.026 | ×0.998 | 25.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.41% | ÷0.998 | ×0.780 | ×1.026 | ×0.998 | 6.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.025 | ×0.850 | ×1.026 | ×0.998 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.61% | ÷1.048 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 4.70% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 105, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .378 → .311; ISO .206 → .165; BABIP .382 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAltoona Curve · 142 PAwOBA .195 → .164 (−30)K% 20.4% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.42% | ÷0.947 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.34% | ÷1.033 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.82% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 2.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.40% | ÷1.024 | ×0.970 | ×0.962 | ×1.027 | 12.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.06% | ÷1.036 | ×0.860 | ×0.962 | ×1.027 | 1.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.06% | ÷0.891 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 1.85% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 105, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 89, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .195 → .164; ISO .063 → .055; BABIP .153 → .141. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 232 PAwOBA .265 → .199 (−65)K% 33.6% → 42.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.62% | ÷1.029 | ×1.310 | — | — | 42.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.60% | ÷0.974 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 3.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.024 | ×0.870 | ×1.013 | ×1.012 | 20.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.41% | ÷0.950 | ×0.780 | ×1.013 | ×1.012 | 3.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×1.013 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.106 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 4.74% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 106, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .265 → .199; ISO .140 → .104; BABIP .290 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 343 PAwOBA .271 → .200 (−71)K% 26.8% → 35.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.82% | ÷1.005 | ×1.310 | — | — | 34.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.41% | ÷1.007 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 3.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.17% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.37% | ÷1.016 | ×0.870 | ×1.010 | ×1.027 | 17.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.31% | ÷1.154 | ×0.780 | ×1.010 | ×1.027 | 4.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.90% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×1.010 | ×1.027 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.60% | ÷1.202 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 2.71% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 103, 2B 131, 3B 80, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .271 → .200; ISO .134 → .094; BABIP .273 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 160 PAwOBA .244 → .175 (−69)K% 36.2% → 47.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.25% | ÷0.999 | ×1.310 | — | — | 47.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.62% | ÷1.063 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.042 | 3.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.88% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.042 | 1.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.64% | ÷0.961 | ×0.870 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 13.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.963 | ×0.780 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 4.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 1.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.82% | ÷1.273 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 4.91% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 92, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .244 → .175; ISO .178 → .117; BABIP .220 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ABradenton Marauders · 99 PAwOBA .321 → .257 (−64)K% 22.2% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.996 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 6.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.02% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.54% | ÷0.999 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×1.030 | 20.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.23% | ÷1.082 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | ×1.030 | 7.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.023 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.08% | ÷1.111 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.28% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 80, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .321 → .257; ISO .138 → .100; BABIP .312 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ABradenton Marauders · 381 PAwOBA .318 → .247 (−71)K% 30.4% → 41.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.45% | ÷0.989 | ×1.360 | — | — | 41.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.17% | ÷1.130 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 9.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.47% | ÷0.976 | ×0.920 | ×1.040 | ×1.045 | 27.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.37% | ÷0.943 | ×0.830 | ×1.040 | ×1.045 | 6.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.040 | ×1.045 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.43% | ÷1.302 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.20% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 95, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 98, BB 126 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .318 → .247; ISO .113 → .077; BABIP .343 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 DSLDSL Yankees · 218 PAwOBA .417 → .259 (−157)K% 26.1% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.15% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 10.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.83% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 18.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 5.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 1.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 3.10% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .417 → .259; ISO .238 → .124; BABIP .422 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).