Luis Cova — OGILVIE

Luis CovaOF Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 160 lbs A HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION334 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP250

ISO114

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$27M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.5M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$10M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	229	184	44	9	1	3	35	23	7	36	8	239	381	348	728	109	255	10	15	336	114	+4	+4	—	—	+5	1.3
2025	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	218	177	53	11	2	9	34	40	5	35	6	299	426	537	963	237	338	18	16	420	170	+18	+5	—	—	+5	2.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	229	197	37	6	1	3	22	33	7	36	8	188	292	274	566	86	203	14	10	253	57	-12	+4	—	—	+5	-0.3
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	218	191	38	7	1	5	20	59	5	35	6	199	292	325	616	126	250	27	9	274	72	-7	+5	—	—	+5	0.2
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	229	197	37	6	1	3	22	33	7	36	8	188	292	274	566	86	207	14	10	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	229	184	44	9	1	3	35	23	7	36	8	239	381	348	728	109	255	10	15	336	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	218	191	38	7	1	5	20	59	5	35	6	199	292	325	616	126	256	27	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	218	177	53	11	2	9	34	40	5	35	6	299	426	537	963	237	338	18	16	420	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	229	198	37	6	1	3	22	33	7	36	8	187	292	273	565	86	203	14	10	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	218	191	38	7	1	5	20	59	5	35	6	199	292	325	616	126	250	27	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	229	198	37	6	1	3	22	33	7	36	8	187	292	273	565	86	203	14	10	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	218	191	38	7	1	5	20	59	5	35	6	199	292	325	616	126	250	27	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A MLE	MIA	—	334	288	46	12	1	4	39	103	2	34	7	160	264	250	514	90	226	31	12	236	46	-22	+4	+0	-2	+7	-1.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	MIA	—	79	66	19	5	0	2	12	14	1	14	3	288	405	455	860	167	340	18	15	387	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A RAW	MIA	—	255	207	38	10	1	3	42	58	1	20	4	184	324	285	609	101	232	23	16	284	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	MIA	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		257	22	11	269	68	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	MIA	—	343	296	47	12	1	4	40	105	2	35	7	159	263	247	510	88	224	31	12	237	46	-22	+4	+0	-2	+7	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	MIA	43%	364	318	65	14	1	8	39	97	4	15	3	204	299	330	629	126	263	27	11	286	79	-9	+2	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIA	61%	456	398	84	18	2	11	49	118	6	17	3	211	307	349	656	138	267	26	11	297	87	-7	+2	+1	-3	+10	0.3
2029	22	MLB MLE	MIA	68%	518	452	97	20	2	14	55	131	6	17	3	215	308	361	669	146	269	25	11	304	92	-5	+2	+1	-3	+11	0.6
2030	23	MLB MLE	MIA	71%	557	485	106	22	2	16	60	139	7	17	3	219	313	371	685	153	270	25	11	308	95	-3	+2	+1	-3	+12	0.8
2031	24	MLB MLE	MIA	71%	581	506	112	23	2	17	63	144	7	17	3	221	316	375	691	154	271	25	11	311	97	-2	+2	+1	-3	+13	1.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	MIA	71%	594	517	114	23	2	18	64	147	8	17	3	221	316	377	693	157	271	25	11	313	98	-2	+2	+1	-4	+13	1.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	MIA	71%	599	521	116	24	2	18	65	148	8	16	3	223	318	380	698	157	271	25	11	313	98	-1	+2	+1	-4	+13	1.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	MIA	69%	598	519	114	23	2	18	66	148	8	16	3	220	317	376	693	156	271	25	11	313	98	-1	+2	+1	-4	+13	1.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	MIA	69%	592	514	113	23	2	18	66	147	7	15	3	220	317	377	694	158	270	25	11	312	97	-2	+2	-0	-4	+13	0.9
2036	29	MLB MLE	MIA	67%	581	504	110	22	2	17	65	146	7	14	3	218	316	371	687	153	269	25	11	310	96	-3	+2	-1	-3	+13	0.7
2037	30	MLB MLE	MIA	66%	570	494	107	22	2	16	64	144	7	13	3	217	315	366	681	150	268	25	11	308	94	-4	+1	-1	-3	+12	0.5
2038	31	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	556	482	103	21	2	15	62	143	7	12	2	214	312	359	671	145	265	26	11	303	91	-6	+2	-2	-3	+12	0.3
2039	32	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	537	466	97	19	2	14	60	140	6	11	2	208	306	348	654	139	262	26	11	298	88	-8	+1	-3	-3	+12	-0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	MIA	43%	157	137	28	6	1	3	17	42	2	6	1	204	301	328	630	124	255	27	11	270	79	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIA	61%	278	243	49	10	1	6	30	72	3	10	2	202	297	325	622	123	259	26	11	280	87	-4	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	MIA	68%	353	308	64	13	1	9	38	89	4	12	2	208	303	344	647	136	261	25	11	287	92	-3	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.4
2030	23	MLB CTX	MIA	71%	396	345	74	14	2	11	43	99	5	12	2	214	310	362	673	148	262	25	11	291	95	-2	+2	+0	-2	+9	0.6
2031	24	MLB CTX	MIA	71%	412	360	77	15	2	11	44	102	5	12	2	214	308	358	666	144	263	25	11	294	97	-2	+2	+0	-2	+9	0.7
2032	25	MLB CTX	MIA	71%	421	367	79	15	2	12	46	104	5	12	2	215	311	365	676	150	263	25	11	295	98	-1	+2	+0	-3	+9	0.8
2033	26	MLB CTX	MIA	71%	425	371	80	16	2	12	46	105	5	12	2	216	310	367	677	151	263	25	11	295	98	-1	+2	+1	-3	+9	0.8
2034	27	MLB CTX	MIA	69%	416	362	78	15	2	12	46	103	5	11	2	215	312	367	680	152	262	25	11	296	98	-1	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.8
2035	28	MLB CTX	MIA	69%	407	354	76	15	2	11	45	101	5	10	2	215	312	362	673	147	262	25	11	295	97	-1	+1	-0	-2	+9	0.6
2036	29	MLB CTX	MIA	67%	389	338	71	14	1	11	43	98	5	9	2	210	308	355	663	145	261	25	11	293	96	-2	+1	-0	-2	+8	0.5
2037	30	MLB CTX	MIA	66%	375	325	67	13	1	10	42	95	5	9	2	206	306	345	651	138	260	25	11	290	94	-3	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.3
2038	31	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	362	315	65	13	1	10	40	93	4	8	2	206	304	349	653	143	257	26	11	287	91	-4	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.1
2039	32	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	348	302	61	12	1	9	39	91	4	7	1	202	301	338	639	136	254	26	11	281	88	-5	+1	-2	-2	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4739	4127	869	171	19	127	519	1194	57	130	24	211	307	354	661	143	262	25	11	290	92	-33	+16	-1	-28	+103	5.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	119	23	3	17	71	164	8	18	3	210	307	352	659	141	263	25	11	290	92	-5	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	7559	6572	1414	287	27	208	821	1886	100	269	51	215	312	362	674	147	267	25	11	304	92	-53	+25	-2	-43	+154	8.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	122	25	2	18	71	162	9	23	4	216	314	363	676	147	267	25	11	304	92	-5	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	7.5	4,995	139	143	218	311	368	-30	+13	8.6	7.5
/162	664	18	19	-4.0	+1.8	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Cova (OGILVIE)	19	50	50	61	55	189/285/293	103	257	4	18	28%	11%	68	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Robles 2016 · A	19	50→52	42→50	55→60	45	240/311/353	113	291	8	21	20%	6%	90	+0.6	242/308/360	118	303	8	23	22%	5%	91	+0.6	246/315/392	146	305	12	27	22%	6%	97	+0.9
✕Jorge Mateo 2014 · A	19	43→48	42→50	60→65	46	209/275/314	105	270	9	30	25%	8%	68	-1.0	211/263/305	94	295	6	36	28%	6%	60	-1.6	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	55	216/324/330	114	293	8	18	27%	12%	91	+0.6	237/321/380	143	308	13	20	25%	10%	100	+1.3	237/324/389	152	306	14	21	25%	10%	100	+0.9
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	49	41→45	59→65	52	232/323/340	107	283	6	29	19%	9%	92	+0.7	232/310/353	121	294	11	18	23%	8%	90	+0.6	226/310/337	111	288	7	11	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Manuel Margot 2015 · A	20	48→52	44→50	56→60	47	236/285/359	123	266	11	25	16%	6%	81	-0.1	242/282/357	115	280	8	26	16%	5%	79	-0.2	245/302/387	142	288	13	20	19%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→36	41→50	55	45	231/306/331	100	330	7	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	193/323/316	123	270	12	20	30%	11%	89	+0.5	189/341/340	151	235	17	19	25%	12%	100	+0.7
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	46→54	43→50	61→55	45	223/282/346	122	298	9	28	27%	7%	77	-0.3	240/293/371	131	287	13	16	20%	7%	87	+0.4	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Jay Allen II 2022 · A	19	48→46	45→40	58→55	44	236/308/360	124	307	12	21	26%	7%	91	+0.7	189/288/275	86	288	6	30	33%	9%	65	-1.2	197/281/296	99	271	10	24	29%	7%	64	-1.0
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	83	+0.1	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	80	-0.1	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	75	-0.2
●Desmond Jennings 2007 · A	20	46→56	40→50	56→60	44	220/278/308	88	281	7	24	24%	6%	67	-1.1	254/316/370	116	301	9	29	18%	7%	95	+0.9	243/323/397	154	290	15	28	21%	9%	102	+1.5
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A	19	47→57	43→50	57→70	38	227/269/358	131	311	8	19	29%	5%	74	-0.5	199/248/301	102	310	8	27	37%	5%	54	-2.0	264/338/395	131	327	12	74	22%	6%	107	+1.2
✕Luis Matos 2021 · A	19	50→55	43→50	53→50	45	244/303/364	121	284	10	14	18%	5%	89	+0.5	232/275/353	121	268	12	13	18%	5%	76	-0.4	237/289/389	152	247	18	13	13%	6%	88	+0.4
✕Abraham Almonte 2007 · A	18	41→51	45→55	54→55	54	205/293/332	127	260	12	26	25%	11%	79	-0.2	208/266/308	100	276	8	19	26%	7%	62	-1.4	228/326/410	182	278	20	11	24%	12%	106	+1.0
✕Maximo Rivera 2013 · A	20	46	41→45	52→60	43	223/275/312	89	278	9	23	23%	6%	66	-1.1	216/267/290	74	293	5	14	26%	6%	58	-1.7	195/246/249	53	277	2	10	29%	5%	38	-0.7
✕Luisangel Acuña 2022 · A	20	45→55	42→45	55→60	43	222/280/325	103	301	11	25	29%	7%	72	-0.7	238/289/342	104	317	10	34	26%	7%	78	-0.3	244/291/343	98	312	9	39	24%	6%	75	-0.4
✕Delino DeShields 2013 · A	20	46→55	41→45	61→65	44	221/284/321	100	299	9	36	28%	7%	72	-0.7	233/303/337	104	312	7	37	26%	8%	83	+0.1	236/312/340	103	313	6	38	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/290/330	103	300	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	222/274/319	97	291	7	16	25%	6%	68	-1.0	253/326/354	101	349	8	50	27%	9%	92	+0.5
●Jahmai Jones 2018 · A	20	48→50	42→50	51→50	43	233/284/342	109	297	9	16	24%	6%	77	-0.3	208/268/307	99	274	8	13	26%	7%	63	-1.4	248/345/422	173	324	16	18	26%	11%	114	+1.3
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Jake Marisnick 2012 · A	21	49→54	45→60	56→55	41	239/293/364	125	307	11	21	25%	5%	86	+0.3	229/280/349	120	292	10	20	25%	5%	77	-0.3	231/295/439	208	305	27	18	33%	6%	102	+0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps