Luis CovaOF
DSL Marlins
Age 19
R/R
6'1" / 160 lbs
ROK
HR -4%BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 3.5 · 2033
wRC+†93
AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .308 / .370
PA187
HR5
SB5
K%24
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
35↗50
PWR
30↗51
SPD
60↗62
FLD
40↗54
EYE
54↗55
trajectory · 10 yrs
3.6peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +3.4 | $32M | +$32M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.5 | $34M | +$33M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.5 | $35M | +$34M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +3.4 | $35M | +$28M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $11M | +3.1 | $33M | +$23M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $14M | +2.8 | $31M | +$17M |
| Totals | $35M | $202M | +$167M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 229 | 197 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 33 | 7 | 36 | 8 | .193 | .296 | .279 | .576 | .086 | .213 | 14 | 10 | .256 | 54 | -12 | +4 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 218 | 191 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 61 | 5 | 35 | 6 | .194 | .287 | .298 | .585 | .105 | .258 | 28 | 9 | .263 | 59 | -10 | +5 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | MIA | 187 | 167 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 45 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .234 | .308 | .377 | .685 | .144 | .287 | 24 | 9 | .306 | 93 | -2 | +1 | -0 | -1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB 11% | MIA | 265 | 234 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 61 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .244 | .327 | .406 | .733 | .162 | .294 | 23 | 9 | .326 | 107 | +2 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +8 | 0.9 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB 28% | MIA | 383 | 336 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 38 | 86 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .247 | .334 | .411 | .745 | .164 | .295 | 22 | 10 | .334 | 114 | +6 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +11 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB 48% | MIA | 467 | 409 | 103 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 48 | 101 | 7 | 13 | 3 | .252 | .341 | .428 | .768 | .176 | .295 | 22 | 10 | .341 | 119 | +10 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +13 | 2.2 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB 65% | MIA | 522 | 454 | 116 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 55 | 111 | 8 | 15 | 3 | .256 | .346 | .434 | .780 | .178 | .296 | 21 | 11 | .346 | 123 | +14 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 2.7 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB 82% | MIA | 558 | 484 | 124 | 22 | 3 | 20 | 61 | 117 | 8 | 15 | 3 | .256 | .349 | .438 | .787 | .182 | .296 | 21 | 11 | .350 | 126 | +16 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +16 | 3.1 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | MIA | 579 | 501 | 129 | 23 | 3 | 21 | 64 | 120 | 9 | 16 | 3 | .257 | .352 | .441 | .793 | .184 | .297 | 21 | 11 | .353 | 129 | +19 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +16 | 3.4 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 589 | 509 | 131 | 23 | 3 | 22 | 66 | 122 | 9 | 16 | 3 | .257 | .353 | .444 | .797 | .187 | .297 | 21 | 11 | .355 | 130 | +20 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +17 | 3.5 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 591 | 510 | 131 | 23 | 3 | 22 | 67 | 123 | 9 | 15 | 3 | .257 | .353 | .443 | .796 | .186 | .297 | 21 | 11 | .355 | 130 | +20 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +17 | 3.5 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 588 | 507 | 130 | 23 | 3 | 22 | 67 | 124 | 9 | 15 | 2 | .256 | .353 | .444 | .797 | .187 | .297 | 21 | 11 | .354 | 129 | +19 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +17 | 3.4 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 579 | 498 | 128 | 23 | 3 | 21 | 67 | 124 | 9 | 14 | 2 | .257 | .355 | .442 | .797 | .185 | .296 | 21 | 12 | .352 | 127 | +18 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +16 | 3.1 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 569 | 491 | 125 | 22 | 3 | 21 | 65 | 123 | 8 | 13 | 2 | .255 | .351 | .440 | .791 | .185 | .294 | 22 | 11 | .349 | 125 | +16 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +16 | 2.8 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 555 | 478 | 120 | 21 | 3 | 20 | 64 | 123 | 8 | 12 | 1 | .251 | .349 | .433 | .782 | .182 | .293 | 22 | 12 | .345 | 122 | +14 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +16 | 2.5 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 537 | 462 | 114 | 20 | 3 | 18 | 62 | 122 | 8 | 11 | 0 | .247 | .346 | .420 | .766 | .173 | .292 | 23 | 12 | .340 | 118 | +11 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +15 | 2.2 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 507 | 437 | 105 | 18 | 2 | 17 | 58 | 118 | 7 | 10 | 0 | .240 | .339 | .407 | .746 | .167 | .290 | 23 | 11 | .334 | 114 | +8 | +2 | -5 | -3 | +14 | 1.7 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 461 | 400 | 94 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 52 | 111 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .235 | .332 | .398 | .729 | .163 | .288 | 24 | 11 | .328 | 109 | +5 | +2 | -5 | -3 | +13 | 1.2 |
| 2042 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 405 | 351 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 102 | 5 | 9 | 0 | .231 | .328 | .385 | .713 | .154 | .286 | 25 | 11 | .320 | 103 | +1 | +2 | -6 | -2 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2043 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 345 | 299 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 91 | 5 | 8 | 0 | .224 | .322 | .375 | .696 | .151 | .283 | 26 | 11 | .310 | 96 | -2 | +2 | -7 | -2 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2044 | 37 | MLB | MIA | 281 | 244 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 76 | 4 | 6 | 0 | .217 | .315 | .348 | .664 | .131 | .279 | 27 | 11 | .300 | 88 | -4 | +1 | -7 | -2 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2045 | 38 | MLB | MIA | 212 | 184 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 59 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .207 | .305 | .332 | .636 | .125 | .274 | 28 | 11 | .289 | 79 | -5 | +1 | -8 | -1 | +6 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9627 | 8343 | 2043 | 357 | 50 | 319 | 1055 | 2153 | 146 | 297 | 44 | .245 | .340 | .414 | .754 | .169 | .291 | 22 | 11 | .336 | 115 | +166 | +42 | -56 | -58 | +273 | 37.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 563 | 138 | 24 | 3 | 22 | 71 | 145 | 10 | 20 | 3 | .245 | .340 | .416 | .756 | .171 | .290 | 22 | 11 | .336 | 115 | +11 | +3 | -4 | -4 | +18 | 2.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 229 | 184 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 36 | 8 | .239 | .381 | .348 | .728 | .109 | .255 | 10 | 15 | .336 | 116 | +4 | +4 | — | — | +6 | 1.5 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 218 | 177 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 40 | 5 | 35 | 6 | .299 | .426 | .537 | .963 | .237 | .338 | 18 | 16 | .420 | 179 | +20 | +5 | — | — | +6 | 3.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Luis Cova (OGILVIE) | 19 | 35→50 | 30→51 | 60→62 | 55 | .230/.308/.370 | .140 | .287 | 5 | 5 | 24% | 9% | 93 | +0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Trevor Story 2012 · A |
19 | 42→52 | 43→65 | 54→55 | 44 | .209/.272/.318 | .108 | .282 | 10 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .193/.253/.326 | .133 | .287 | 13 | 12 | 36% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .270/.336/.500 | .231 | .327 | 29 | 25 | 26% | 8% | 134 | +3.6 |
|
●Julio Rodríguez 2019 · A |
18 | 47→56 | 43→60 | 59→55 | 46 | .228/.289/.349 | .121 | .291 | 8 | 9 | 24% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .249/.303/.399 | .150 | .321 | 15 | 8 | 26% | 6% | 97 | +1.5 | .288/.348/.497 | .209 | .353 | 27 | 29 | 25% | 7% | 136 | +3.8 |
|
●Luis Robert Jr. 2018 · A |
20 | 48→58 | 43→60 | 52→60 | 46 | .224/.316/.343 | .119 | .317 | 10 | 15 | 30% | 9% | 89 | +1.0 | .228/.285/.372 | .144 | .324 | 14 | 22 | 33% | 5% | 83 | +0.6 | .284/.330/.497 | .213 | .339 | 28 | 17 | 24% | 5% | 131 | +2.8 |
|
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A |
19 | 43 | 46→50 | 51→55 | 47 | .214/.294/.340 | .125 | .274 | 14 | 15 | 26% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .220/.281/.362 | .142 | .292 | 16 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .205/.253/.387 | .182 | .264 | 22 | 15 | 31% | 6% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
●Bo Bichette 2017 · A |
19 | 50→60 | 46→60 | 53→55 | 40 | .243/.287/.379 | .136 | .324 | 13 | 8 | 28% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .267/.312/.417 | .150 | .332 | 13 | 17 | 23% | 6% | 105 | +2.1 | .305/.346/.482 | .177 | .358 | 22 | 13 | 20% | 5% | 135 | +4.6 |
|
●Aaron Hicks 2009 · A |
19 | 48→56 | 42→60 | 54→55 | 47 | .230/.289/.338 | .108 | .295 | 8 | 12 | 24% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .221/.296/.327 | .106 | .300 | 7 | 12 | 26% | 10% | 76 | +0.0 | .247/.358/.450 | .204 | .280 | 25 | 11 | 21% | 14% | 127 | +2.4 |
|
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A |
19 | 46→49 | 41→60 | 54→50 | 47 | .220/.290/.316 | .096 | .269 | 8 | 15 | 21% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .218/.267/.324 | .106 | .281 | 10 | 16 | 25% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .261/.323/.483 | .222 | .300 | 31 | 14 | 24% | 8% | 123 | +1.6 |
|
●Jurickson Profar 2012 · A |
19 | 47→56 | 46→55 | 52→50 | 49 | .229/.293/.374 | .145 | .263 | 10 | 13 | 18% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .234/.297/.369 | .135 | .275 | 12 | 12 | 19% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .257/.353/.419 | .161 | .284 | 18 | 7 | 16% | 11% | 121 | +2.9 |
|
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A |
19 | 44→52 | 49→65 | 49→45 | 45 | .226/.283/.369 | .143 | .276 | 17 | 6 | 25% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .250/.300/.421 | .171 | .300 | 23 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 102 | +1.8 | .258/.305/.479 | .221 | .284 | 33 | 5 | 22% | 6% | 116 | +2.6 |
|
●Lorenzo Cain 2006 · A |
20 | 50→60 | 42→50 | 53→55 | 43 | .239/.292/.353 | .114 | .300 | 8 | 10 | 22% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .245/.297/.340 | .095 | .323 | 6 | 16 | 24% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .299/.370/.422 | .123 | .348 | 12 | 25 | 16% | 9% | 126 | +3.3 |
|
●Wil Myers 2010 · A |
19 | 49→54 | 47→60 | 52→55 | 41 | .240/.290/.384 | .144 | .317 | 14 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 88 | +0.9 | .240/.309/.386 | .146 | .310 | 15 | 8 | 26% | 9% | 96 | +1.5 | .241/.320/.442 | .200 | .295 | 25 | 22 | 26% | 10% | 109 | +2.2 |
|
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A |
19 | 47→57 | 43→50 | 56→70 | 38 | .227/.269/.356 | .129 | .308 | 8 | 18 | 28% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .204/.253/.311 | .107 | .309 | 9 | 27 | 35% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .264/.338/.396 | .132 | .327 | 13 | 74 | 22% | 6% | 108 | +1.6 |
|
●Tyrone Taylor 2013 · A |
19 | 48→52 | 43→60 | 51→55 | 43 | .233/.283/.353 | .119 | .294 | 8 | 11 | 23% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .238/.282/.338 | .100 | .277 | 6 | 12 | 16% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .239/.297/.453 | .213 | .275 | 26 | 12 | 23% | 6% | 106 | +1.2 |
|
★Manny Machado 2012 · A |
20 | 43→53 | 44→65 | 48→50 | 44 | .217/.266/.340 | .124 | .267 | 11 | 10 | 24% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .250/.295/.396 | .146 | .294 | 13 | 8 | 19% | 6% | 92 | +1.2 | .280/.340/.502 | .222 | .295 | 29 | 7 | 16% | 8% | 128 | +4.3 |
|
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A |
19 | 45 | 41→55 | 55 | 43 | .216/.285/.315 | .099 | .290 | 7 | 13 | 27% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .204/.313/.323 | .119 | .295 | 10 | 23 | 31% | 12% | 83 | +0.6 | .202/.308/.336 | .135 | .284 | 11 | 26 | 30% | 12% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Luis Torres 2023 · A |
19 | 51 | 51→60 | 46→50 | 41 | .257/.304/.425 | .168 | .315 | 17 | 9 | 24% | 5% | 105 | +2.1 | .220/.283/.330 | .110 | .348 | 9 | 5 | 36% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .183/.261/.257 | .074 | .337 | 5 | 0 | 43% | 8% | 40 | -0.6 |
|
●Evan Carter 2022 · A |
19 | 46→52 | 43→50 | 52→55 | 54 | .219/.321/.336 | .117 | .295 | 9 | 17 | 27% | 11% | 89 | +1.0 | .230/.314/.374 | .144 | .298 | 13 | 20 | 25% | 10% | 95 | +1.4 | .229/.316/.381 | .152 | .296 | 15 | 21 | 26% | 10% | 95 | +0.9 |
|
★Jason Heyward 2009 · A |
19 | 51→60 | 44→55 | 52→50 | 44 | .250/.294/.374 | .124 | .300 | 11 | 9 | 20% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .261/.334/.425 | .164 | .305 | 17 | 10 | 19% | 9% | 117 | +2.9 | .255/.348/.438 | .183 | .301 | 21 | 14 | 22% | 12% | 121 | +3.1 |
|
★Justin Upton 2007 · A |
19 | 44→54 | 44→65 | 46→55 | 45 | .218/.276/.333 | .115 | .274 | 11 | 10 | 25% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .249/.319/.424 | .175 | .316 | 18 | 12 | 26% | 9% | 110 | +2.4 | .279/.359/.480 | .201 | .337 | 22 | 19 | 23% | 10% | 134 | +4.2 |
|
✕Victor Robles 2016 · A |
19 | 50 | 42→50 | 55→60 | 45 | .239/.309/.350 | .112 | .290 | 8 | 21 | 20% | 6% | 87 | +0.8 | .239/.306/.357 | .118 | .298 | 8 | 23 | 22% | 5% | 88 | +0.9 | .244/.313/.382 | .138 | .303 | 11 | 27 | 22% | 6% | 94 | +1.0 |