Luis Cova — OGILVIE

Luis CovaOF Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 160 lbs A HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION209 act + 139 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .289 / .292

PA139

HR2

SB8

K%27

BB%10

BABIP270

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$8M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+1.8	$8M	+$6M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+1.7	$7M	+$5M
2036	Arb-3	$7M	+1.5	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$20M		$47M	+$39M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	229	197	38	6	1	3	22	33	7	36	8	193	296	279	576	86	213	14	10	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	229	184	44	9	1	3	35	23	7	36	8	239	381	348	728	109	255	10	15	336	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	218	191	37	6	1	4	20	61	5	35	6	194	287	298	585	105	258	28	9	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	218	177	53	11	2	9	34	40	5	35	6	299	426	537	963	237	338	18	16	420	179	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	MIA	—	209	182	33	8	0	2	25	63	1	24	5	181	284	258	542	77	263	30	12	252	51	-12	+3	+0	-1	+6	-0.4
YTD	19	A	MIA	—	209	171	42	10	0	3	36	44	1	24	5	246	380	357	737	111	312	21	17	341	119	+4	+3	+0	-1	+6	1.2
ROS	19	A	MIA	0%	139	123	25	5	0	2	14	37	1	8	2	203	289	292	581	89	278	27	10	283	75	-4	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.0
ROS	19	MLB	MIA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		274	—	—	272	66	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	A	MIA	—	209	183	33	8	0	2	25	63	1	24	5	180	284	257	540	77	261	30	12	252	51	-12	+3	+0	-1	+6	-0.4
TOT	19	A	MIA	—	348	305	58	13	0	4	39	100	2	32	7	190	286	272	558	82	266	29	11	264	61	-16	+4	+0	-2	+10	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	MIA	34%	356	313	69	14	1	8	36	91	4	12	3	220	309	348	657	128	282	26	10	297	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.4
2028	21	MLB	MIA	48%	451	397	90	18	2	11	46	113	5	14	3	227	315	365	680	139	284	25	10	306	93	-4	+2	+1	-3	+13	0.9
2029	22	MLB	MIA	54%	514	451	104	20	2	14	52	127	6	15	3	231	318	377	695	146	285	25	10	312	97	-2	+2	+1	-3	+15	1.2
2030	23	MLB	MIA	57%	554	487	113	22	2	16	56	135	6	15	3	232	319	384	703	152	286	24	10	316	100	-0	+2	+1	-3	+16	1.5
2031	24	MLB	MIA	57%	579	508	119	23	2	17	59	140	7	16	3	234	322	388	710	154	287	24	10	318	102	+1	+2	+1	-3	+16	1.7
2032	25	MLB	MIA	57%	593	520	123	24	2	18	61	143	7	16	3	237	325	394	719	158	287	24	10	319	103	+2	+2	+1	-4	+17	1.8
2033	26	MLB	MIA	56%	598	525	123	24	2	18	61	144	7	16	3	234	322	390	713	156	287	24	10	320	103	+2	+2	+1	-4	+17	1.8
2034	27	MLB	MIA	55%	597	523	123	24	2	18	62	145	7	16	3	235	324	392	716	157	287	24	10	320	103	+2	+2	+1	-4	+17	1.8
2035	28	MLB	MIA	55%	592	518	121	23	2	18	62	144	7	15	3	234	324	390	714	156	286	24	10	319	102	+1	+2	-0	-4	+17	1.7
2036	29	MLB	MIA	53%	581	508	118	23	2	17	61	143	7	14	3	232	323	386	709	154	285	25	10	317	101	+0	+2	-1	-3	+16	1.5
2037	30	MLB	MIA	53%	570	498	114	22	2	16	60	141	7	13	3	229	320	378	698	149	284	25	11	314	99	-1	+1	-1	-3	+16	1.2
2038	31	MLB	MIA	52%	556	486	110	21	2	15	59	140	6	12	3	226	318	370	688	144	281	25	11	310	95	-3	+1	-2	-3	+16	0.9
2027	20	MLB	MIA	34%	122	108	24	5	0	3	12	31	1	4	1	222	306	352	658	130	277	25	10	285	77	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.0
2028	21	MLB	MIA	48%	219	192	42	8	1	5	22	55	3	7	1	219	309	349	658	130	279	25	10	294	83	-4	+1	+0	-1	+6	0.2
2029	22	MLB	MIA	54%	279	246	55	11	1	7	28	69	3	8	2	224	310	362	672	138	280	25	10	299	87	-4	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.3
2030	23	MLB	MIA	57%	314	275	63	12	1	9	32	77	4	9	2	229	318	378	697	149	281	25	10	303	90	-4	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.5
2031	24	MLB	MIA	57%	327	287	66	13	1	9	33	79	4	9	2	230	318	376	694	146	282	24	10	305	92	-3	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.6
2032	25	MLB	MIA	57%	335	294	68	13	1	10	34	81	4	9	2	231	319	384	704	153	282	24	10	306	92	-3	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.6
2033	26	MLB	MIA	56%	338	296	68	13	1	10	35	82	4	9	2	230	319	382	701	152	282	24	10	306	93	-3	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.6
2034	27	MLB	MIA	55%	331	290	67	13	1	10	34	80	4	9	2	231	320	386	706	155	282	24	10	307	93	-3	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.6
2035	28	MLB	MIA	55%	325	284	65	13	1	9	34	79	4	8	2	229	320	377	697	148	281	24	10	306	92	-3	+1	-0	-2	+9	0.5
2036	29	MLB	MIA	53%	311	271	62	12	1	9	33	76	4	8	2	229	321	380	702	151	280	24	11	304	91	-3	+1	-0	-2	+9	0.4
2037	30	MLB	MIA	53%	300	262	59	11	1	8	32	74	3	7	1	225	316	366	683	141	279	25	11	301	89	-4	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.3
2038	31	MLB	MIA	52%	290	254	57	11	1	8	31	73	3	6	1	224	316	370	686	146	276	25	11	297	86	-5	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3491	3060	696	135	11	97	360	856	41	93	20	227	317	374	691	146	282	25	10	302	90	-41	+11	+0	-21	+99	4.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	129	25	2	18	67	159	8	17	4	226	317	372	689	146	280	24	10	302	90	-8	+2	+0	-4	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	7127	6245	1427	275	25	195	731	1737	89	253	52	228	318	374	692	146	283	24	10	311	96	-32	+30	+1	-43	+202	16.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	130	25	2	18	67	158	8	23	5	228	318	374	692	146	281	24	10	311	96	-3	+3	+0	-4	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	229	184	44	9	1	3	35	23	7	36	8	239	381	348	728	109	255	10	15	336	116	+4	+4	—	—	+6	1.5
2025	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	218	177	53	11	2	9	34	40	5	35	6	299	426	537	963	237	338	18	16	420	179	+20	+5	—	—	+6	3.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Alex Gonzalezlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,150 PA	6	3,150	86	34	246	304	402	-0	+23	9.7	9.7
	/162	664	18	7	246	304	402	-0.0	+4.9	2.1	pk7: 10
#3Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
	/162	664	12	20	254	307	380	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#5Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,742	105	99	232	317	382	-22	+9	8.7	7.5
	/162	664	19	18	232	317	382	-4.0	+1.6	1.5	pk7: 6
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Cova (OGILVIE)	19	50	50	61	55	190/286/272	82	266	4	32	29%	11%	61	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	45→49	41→60	55→50	47	217/288/313	96	267	8	16	21%	7%	69	-0.4	215/262/314	99	286	8	16	27%	5%	57	-1.2	261/322/478	218	301	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	78	+0.2	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
●Victor Robles 2016 · A	19	50→54	42→50	55→60	45	240/311/353	113	291	8	21	20%	6%	89	+0.9	241/308/357	116	304	7	23	22%	5%	89	+0.9	241/311/384	143	300	12	27	22%	6%	93	+1.0
●Luis Matos 2021 · A	19	50→56	43→50	53→50	45	244/303/364	121	284	10	14	18%	5%	88	+0.9	233/275/353	120	270	12	13	18%	4%	73	-0.1	241/293/396	155	250	19	13	13%	6%	90	+0.8
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	45→53	42→50	52→55	54	215/320/330	115	290	9	18	26%	12%	88	+0.9	235/321/384	149	306	13	20	25%	10%	101	+1.8	236/324/395	159	305	15	21	26%	10%	102	+1.2
●Coby Mayo 2022 · A	20	49→45	49→60	55→45	47	243/313/397	153	307	17	13	26%	8%	101	+1.8	223/296/393	170	304	20	6	32%	8%	93	+1.3	221/303/414	193	290	23	4	31%	9%	99	+1.4
✕Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	47→52	48→55	58→50	45	232/302/389	157	310	14	16	28%	8%	94	+1.3	239/303/395	156	305	17	9	26%	7%	96	+1.5	237/308/399	162	294	18	5	25%	8%	94	+1.1
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→49	43→60	54→55	44	208/271/317	109	280	11	13	29%	7%	63	-0.9	191/252/319	128	296	13	13	38%	7%	56	-1.3	247/315/451	204	301	24	25	26%	8%	113	+2.3
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→58	41→45	56→70	47	227/290/330	103	300	7	17	26%	8%	73	-0.1	221/273/317	96	291	7	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	266/338/377	110	363	9	50	27%	9%	101	+1.1
✕Jesus Morelli 2009 · A	19	49	42→45	48→50	49	234/311/346	112	300	9	12	24%	8%	87	+0.8	220/282/289	69	304	4	10	27%	6%	59	-1.1	219/279/260	41	287	0	14	22%	6%	47	-0.5
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A	19	47→57	43→50	57→70	38	227/269/358	131	311	8	19	29%	5%	71	-0.3	199/249/302	103	312	8	27	37%	5%	49	-1.8	268/342/410	142	331	14	74	22%	7%	114	+1.8
●Jahmai Jones 2018 · A	20	49→53	42→55	51→50	43	235/289/341	106	303	9	16	25%	6%	76	+0.0	205/266/304	99	274	8	13	27%	7%	56	-1.3	263/358/462	199	338	20	18	26%	11%	131	+2.1
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2023 · A	19	46→56	45→50	49→45	43	227/292/347	120	278	12	9	23%	5%	80	+0.4	244/297/370	126	294	14	7	21%	5%	88	+0.9	253/307/382	129	303	14	6	21%	5%	91	+0.9
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	218/268/339	121	285	11	12	27%	6%	66	-0.6	230/295/375	145	298	17	16	27%	8%	88	+0.9	233/300/377	144	296	17	19	26%	8%	87	+0.7
●Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→54	42→55	52→55	49	219/296/333	114	288	7	10	25%	9%	77	+0.1	195/265/303	108	302	7	13	35%	8%	56	-1.3	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	65	-0.7	241/291/379	138	314	14	12	26%	6%	86	+0.8	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Efrain Contreras 2008 · A	21	48	45	53→55	45	236/301/354	118	277	12	16	20%	6%	85	+0.7	212/270/304	92	278	8	10	25%	5%	59	-1.1	184/237/253	70	259	5	6	30%	5%	29	-1.1
●Leandro Castro 2008 · A	19	43→53	42→55	53→50	44	212/271/311	99	261	10	18	23%	6%	60	-1.0	213/252/312	99	267	9	14	23%	4%	52	-1.6	250/292/410	161	269	20	11	16%	5%	92	+0.9
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1