Quentin Young

SS Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 20 R/R 6'6" / 225 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2163ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	AMIN	22	.118/.250/.118	0	0	-10	—	.111/.200/.111
2026	19	AMIN	441	.214/.293/.387	15	8	22	—	.139/.201/.241
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBMIN	540	.171/.234/.293	13	8	47	-0.5
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBMIN	134	.179/.244/.314	4	2	56	-0.3
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBMIN	212	.186/.252/.333	7	4	63	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Max EV99

Speed59

Chase%40

BB%35

Whiff%6

K%5

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsRodolfo Castro (age 20) · Kevin Padlo (age 20) · Brayan Buelvas (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.170 / .233 / .290

PA210

HR5

K%37

BB%7

ISO122

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	22	17	2	0	0	0	2	9	1	0	0	118	250	118	368		200	41	9	179	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	441	388	83	12	5	15	44	197	0	8	9	214	293	387	680	173	370	45	10	298	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	22	18	2	0	0	0	1	12	1	0	0	111	200	111	311		185	55	5	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	441	402	56	8	3	9	31	268	0	8	9	139	201	241	442	102	335	61	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	22	18	2	0	0	0	1	12	1	0	0	111	200	111	311		250	55	5	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	22	17	2	0	0	0	2	9	1	0	0	118	250	118	368		200	41	9	179	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	441	402	56	8	3	9	31	268	0	8	9	139	201	241	442	102	353	61	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	441	388	83	12	5	15	44	197	0	8	9	214	293	387	680	173	370	45	10	298	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	22	20	2	0	0	0	1	12	1	0	0	100	200	100	300		185	55	5	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	441	407	56	8	3	9	31	268	0	8	9	138	201	238	439	101	335	61	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	18	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	22	20	2	0	0	0	1	12	1	0	0	100	200	100	300		185	55	5	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	441	407	56	8	3	9	31	268	0	8	9	138	201	238	439	101	335	61	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	540	494	85	15	3	13	38	198	3	8	4	171	234	293	527	122	248	37	7	238	47	-34	+0	-1	+6	+12	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	391	358	64	11	2	11	28	139	2	7	3	179	244	314	557	135	252	36	7	250	56	-21	+0	-1	+4	+8	-0.9
2029	22	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	438	400	75	13	2	14	32	152	3	8	3	186	252	332	584	146	255	35	7	261	63	-19	+0	-1	+5	+9	-0.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	487	444	84	14	2	16	37	165	3	9	4	192	259	346	605	154	258	34	8	270	69	-18	+0	-0	+5	+11	-0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	541	491	97	16	3	19	41	179	4	10	4	197	264	357	621	160	261	33	8	276	73	-17	+0	+1	+6	+12	0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	589	535	107	18	3	21	45	192	4	10	4	200	268	364	633	164	263	33	8	281	76	-17	+0	+2	+6	+13	0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	597	542	109	18	3	22	46	194	4	10	4	201	269	367	636	166	263	32	8	282	77	-16	+0	+2	+6	+13	0.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	596	541	108	18	3	22	46	195	4	10	4	200	268	365	632	165	263	33	8	281	76	-17	+0	+2	+6	+13	0.5
2035	28	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	585	531	106	18	3	21	45	193	4	8	4	198	266	360	626	162	262	33	8	279	75	-18	+0	+1	+6	+13	0.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	566	514	102	17	3	20	43	188	4	5	3	196	263	354	618	158	260	33	8	275	72	-19	-0	+0	+6	+12	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	134	122	23	4	1	4	10	48	1	2	1	179	244	314	558	135	252	36	7	251	56	-7	+0	-0	+1	+3	-0.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	212	193	36	6	1	7	16	73	1	4	2	186	252	333	585	147	255	34	8	262	63	-9	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	264	240	46	8	1	9	20	89	2	5	2	192	259	347	606	155	258	34	8	270	69	-10	+0	-0	+3	+6	-0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	300	272	55	9	2	11	23	99	2	5	2	197	264	358	622	161	261	33	8	277	73	-10	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	330	300	60	10	2	12	25	107	2	6	2	201	268	365	634	165	263	32	8	282	76	-9	+0	+1	+4	+7	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	336	305	61	10	2	12	26	109	2	6	2	201	269	368	637	167	263	32	8	283	77	-9	+0	+1	+4	+7	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	330	299	60	10	2	12	26	108	2	5	2	200	268	365	633	165	263	33	8	281	76	-9	+0	+1	+4	+7	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	321	291	59	10	2	12	25	106	2	4	2	198	266	361	627	163	262	33	8	279	75	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	302	274	54	9	1	11	23	100	2	3	2	196	263	355	619	159	260	33	8	275	72	-10	-0	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2529	2296	454	76	14	90	194	839	16	40	17	198	265	361	626	163	263	33	8	276	66	-83	+1	+3	+27	+55	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	117	20	4	23	50	216	4	10	4	198	266	363	628	164	265	33	8	276	66	-21	+0	+1	+7	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5463	4968	943	157	28	180	410	1954	34	88	43	190	256	341	598	152	266	36	8	266	66	-174	+2	+4	+54	+108	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	112	19	3	21	49	232	4	10	5	190	256	338	595	149	266	36	8	266	66	-23	+0	+1	+7	+14	-0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 441 PAwOBA .295 → .201 (−94)K% 44.7% → 60.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	44.67%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	60.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.75%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.045	7.03%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×1.045	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.70%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.989	×1.045	25.38%
Doubles /BIP	6.28%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.989	×1.045	5.39%
Triples /BIP	2.62%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.989	×1.045	2.46%
Home runs /BIP	7.85%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.045	6.57%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .295 → .201; ISO .173 → .110; BABIP .370 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 22 PAwOBA .193 → .154 (−39)K% 40.9% → 56.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	40.91%	÷0.994	×1.360	—	—	55.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.09%	÷1.054	×0.690	—	×1.050	6.25%
HBP% /PA	4.55%	—	×0.780	—	×1.050	3.72%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.029	×0.920	—	×1.050	23.48%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.032	×0.830	—	×1.050	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.898	×0.800	—	×1.050	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .193 → .154; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .200 → .185. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Frank Duffy'70-'79 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,924 PA	4.4	2,924	26	49	234*	283*	348*	+30	-2	0.9	2.1
/162	664	6	11	+6.7	-0.5	0.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.1	2,739	93	44	195	259	352	+29	+0	1.1	1.5
/162	664	23	11	+7.1	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 2
#3Andujar Cedeno'90-'96 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,233 PA	3.4	2,233	47	26	228*	284*	371*	+24	-20	1.3	1.3
/162	664	14	8	+7.1	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#4Pedro Garcia'73-'77 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,967 PA	3.0	1,967	37	35	220*	270*	388*	+6	-6	-0.3	-0.3
/162	664	12	12	+2.1	-2.0	-0.1	pk7: -0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Quentin Young (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	170/233/290	121	248	5	3	37%	7%	47	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rodolfo Castro 2019 · A	20	39→42	44→55	47→50	37	198/240/315	117	272	11	5	31%	5%	54	-2.0	203/245/352	149	282	17	6	33%	5%	65	-1.2	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	39→42	46→55	50	46	197/276/332	135	270	13	8	31%	9%	73	-0.6	186/272/313	127	276	12	8	34%	10%	67	-1.1	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Brayan Buelvas 2022 · A	20	39→45	46→50	51→55	41	199/261/328	129	275	14	13	32%	7%	65	-1.2	195/257/323	128	268	13	17	31%	7%	63	-1.4	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	41→42	45→50	49→50	42	206/277/332	126	281	12	8	30%	7%	73	-0.6	219/279/362	143	273	18	5	26%	6%	80	-0.1	214/275/354	140	261	19	5	25%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	36→44	40→50	47→50	46	175/264/271	96	263	7	8	34%	10%	55	-2.0	204/267/339	135	290	14	10	33%	7%	70	-0.8	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Junior Perez 2021 · A	20	37→40	44→50	50→55	43	187/261/304	117	279	12	11	36%	8%	61	-1.5	182/257/291	109	330	10	20	44%	9%	56	-1.9	172/245/318	146	265	16	25	39%	8%	56	-1.4
✕Sammy Hernandez 2024 · A	20	37	43→40	51→50	40	188/254/301	113	262	11	5	31%	6%	57	-1.8	203/291/298	95	270	8	9	26%	9%	71	-0.8	201/300/298	97	262	9	13	24%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Miguel Jerez 2019 · A	21	34	47→60	48→40	36	183/240/314	132	274	16	5	38%	6%	55	-2.0	169/239/291	122	273	15	3	41%	7%	50	-2.3	121/204/235	114	188	15	1	43%	7%	23	-1.8
✕Luis Baez 2024 · A	20	38→36	47→50	44→45	41	197/261/332	135	272	14	6	32%	7%	67	-1.1	208/253/329	121	296	13	9	33%	6%	62	-1.4	203/243/316	113	284	13	10	33%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Creed Willems 2024 · A	21	33→43	47→50	45→30	38	180/243/305	126	255	16	3	35%	6%	55	-2.0	206/269/346	140	260	17	3	27%	6%	74	-0.6	210/277/346	136	255	18	1	25%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Willy García 2013 · A	20	38→48	46→50	44→45	36	200/242/321	121	275	14	8	33%	5%	57	-1.8	216/248/355	139	330	16	8	38%	4%	66	-1.1	240/282/369	129	333	12	4	30%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Jeral Perez 2024 · A	19	38→42	47→50	49→45	49	195/280/329	134	254	15	8	28%	9%	74	-0.6	206/278/344	138	276	16	6	30%	8%	76	-0.4	199/270/336	137	262	16	5	29%	8%	68	-0.8
✕Dérmis Garcia 2018 · A	20	33→42	53→55	48→45	39	180/254/347	167	291	22	5	44%	9%	68	-1.0	193/246/361	168	320	22	5	44%	6%	68	-1.0	193/263/377	183	290	26	8	41%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Travis Demeritte 2015 · A	20	37→46	48→55	49→50	36	180/255/319	139	320	17	6	46%	8%	62	-1.4	187/255/329	142	325	15	10	44%	8%	64	-1.3	211/277/384	173	306	21	9	36%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2021 · A	20	40→42	43→55	47→45	42	202/266/309	107	265	11	7	28%	6%	63	-1.3	222/273/394	172	288	23	5	31%	5%	86	+0.3	200/264/382	182	250	25	1	31%	6%	78	-0.3
✕Agustín Ramírez 2022 · A	20	36→46	43→55	43→55	40	184/244/295	111	273	10	4	35%	7%	51	-2.2	225/286/365	140	284	15	12	25%	7%	84	+0.1	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Michael Chavis 2016 · A	20	37→46	45→60	45	33	188/231/313	125	290	13	7	39%	5%	51	-2.3	214/262/367	153	294	18	5	33%	5%	76	-0.4	237/293/439	202	305	28	3	31%	6%	102	+0.9
✕Carlos Rincon 2018 · A	20	34→40	51→55	48→45	30	177/223/329	151	306	20	7	48%	5%	52	-2.2	192/257/344	152	292	19	5	39%	7%	69	-0.9	194/261/355	161	269	22	4	35%	7%	70	-0.6
✕Gavin Conticello 2024 · A	21	36→46	45	48→50	40	185/254/310	126	264	13	8	34%	7%	59	-1.6	219/279/344	125	300	11	8	29%	7%	76	-0.4	230/290/358	128	308	12	7	28%	7%	80	-0.1
✕René Pinto 2017 · A	20	38	44→55	47→40	40	195/240/312	116	242	12	5	25%	4%	53	-2.1	228/272/322	94	294	6	3	24%	5%	68	-1.0	233/279/322	89	301	5	1	23%	5%	68	-0.5

Quentin Young

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps