Sean Gamble

CF Columbia Fireflies

Age 21 L/R 6'1" / 188 lbs A HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

OGV OFP35OGV rank#677ETA2029MLB%4%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	20	AKC	487	.203/.316/.310	7	38	40	—	.167/.256/.249
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBKC	8	.208/.281/.311	0	0	70	-0.0
2028PROJ36% MLB	22	MLBKC	163	.214/.287/.329	3	4	77	-0.0
2029PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBKC	246	.218/.291/.342	5	6	82	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$3M2034Arb-2$4M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed84

Z-Con%60

Whiff%54

Chase%50

BB%46

K%40

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 4.4, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 88%

CompsCarlos Jimenez (age 21) · Forrest Wall (age 21) · Daylen Lile (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .281 / .311

PA8

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP278

ISO101

MLB%4%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$6M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$4M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$4M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	487	413	84	17	3	7	57	126	11	38	7	203	316	310	626	107	274	26	12	289	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	487	430	72	14	3	5	40	171	11	38	7	167	256	249	505	81	254	35	8	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	487	430	72	14	3	5	40	171	11	38	7	167	256	249	505	81	263	35	8	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	487	413	84	17	3	7	57	126	11	38	7	203	316	310	626	107	274	26	12	289	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	487	433	72	14	3	5	40	171	11	38	7	166	256	247	503	81	254	35	8	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	487	433	72	14	3	5	40	171	11	38	7	166	256	247	503	81	254	35	8	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	KC	4%	597	538	112	22	3	9	45	162	9	15	3	211	283	317	599	106	279	27	8	272	70	-21	+2	-1	+2	+13	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	21	MLB CTX	KC	4%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	208	281	311	592	103	278	25	12	269	70	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	KC	36%	452	407	89	17	3	9	35	120	7	11	2	216	289	336	625	119	281	27	8	282	77	-12	+1	-1	+2	+10	-0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	KC	49%	501	450	100	19	3	11	39	131	7	12	3	221	294	350	644	129	283	26	8	290	82	-11	+1	-0	+2	+11	0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	KC	53%	557	500	111	21	3	13	44	143	8	13	3	224	297	360	658	136	284	26	8	295	86	-9	+1	-0	+2	+12	0.6
2031	25	MLB MLE	KC	55%	578	519	117	22	3	15	46	148	8	13	3	227	300	367	667	140	285	26	8	299	88	-8	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.8
2032	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	590	530	121	23	3	16	47	150	8	13	3	228	301	371	672	143	285	25	8	301	90	-7	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.9
2033	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	590	529	120	23	3	15	48	151	8	13	3	227	300	368	668	142	284	26	8	299	89	-8	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.9
2034	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	582	522	118	22	3	15	47	150	8	12	3	225	298	363	661	139	283	26	8	297	87	-9	+1	-0	+2	+13	0.6
2035	29	MLB MLE	KC	53%	565	508	113	21	3	14	45	147	7	11	3	222	295	357	652	135	282	26	8	293	84	-11	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	KC	53%	552	496	109	20	3	13	44	145	7	10	3	219	291	349	641	130	280	26	8	288	81	-12	+1	-2	+2	+12	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	KC	36%	163	147	31	6	1	3	13	43	2	4	1	214	287	329	616	115	279	26	8	279	77	-4	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	KC	49%	246	221	47	9	1	5	19	64	4	6	1	218	291	342	634	124	281	26	8	286	82	-5	+1	-0	+1	+5	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	KC	53%	295	266	59	11	2	7	23	76	4	7	2	222	295	352	647	130	282	26	8	291	86	-5	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	KC	55%	317	285	63	12	2	7	25	81	4	7	2	224	297	358	655	135	283	26	8	294	88	-4	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	329	296	67	13	2	8	26	84	4	8	2	225	298	362	660	137	283	26	8	296	90	-4	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	325	292	65	12	2	8	26	83	4	7	2	224	297	359	657	136	282	26	8	295	89	-4	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	318	285	63	12	2	7	26	82	4	7	2	222	295	355	650	133	281	26	8	292	87	-5	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	KC	53%	301	270	60	11	2	7	24	78	4	6	1	219	292	349	641	129	280	26	8	288	84	-6	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	KC	53%	290	261	56	11	1	6	23	76	4	5	1	216	289	341	630	125	278	26	8	284	81	-7	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2584	2323	511	97	15	58	205	667	34	57	14	220	293	350	642	130	281	26	8	290	81	-45	+6	-2	+9	+56	2.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	129	24	4	15	52	168	9	14	4	221	295	353	648	132	281	26	8	290	81	-11	+1	-0	+2	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5664	5080	1110	210	31	129	451	1513	82	151	34	219	293	348	641	130	283	27	8	287	81	-95	+12	-4	+18	+112	4.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	128	24	4	15	52	174	9	17	4	220	293	352	645	132	285	27	8	287	81	-12	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AColumbia Fireflies · 487 PAwOBA .283 → .227 (−55)K% 25.9% → 35.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.87%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	35.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.70%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.030	8.32%
HBP% /PA	2.26%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	1.81%
Singles /BIP	19.86%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.006	×1.030	18.94%
Doubles /BIP	5.92%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.006	×1.030	5.10%
Triples /BIP	1.05%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.006	×1.030	0.99%
Home runs /BIP	2.44%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.030	2.01%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .283 → .227; ISO .107 → .084; BABIP .274 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Shelby'81-'91 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,326 PA	5.0	3,326	70	98	237*	281*	385*	+1	-4	1.7	3.8
/162	664	14	20	+0.1	-0.9	0.3	pk7: 6
#2Gerald Williams'92-'05 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,323 PA	5.0	3,323	85	106	242*	287*	395*	-18	+7	1.9	3.6
/162	664	17	21	-3.5	+1.4	0.4	pk7: 5
#3Luis Matos'00-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,773 PA	2.7	1,773	30	72	245*	304*	365*	+1	+10	3.2	3.2
/162	664	11	27	+0.3	+3.9	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.9	2,593	63	57	225	294	361	-15	+0	1.8	1.9
/162	664	16	15	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Dylan Carlsonlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,987 PA	3.0	1,987	43	16	233	312	372	-9	-22	0.8	0.8
/162	664	14	5	-3.0	-7.4	0.3	pk7: 1
#6George Wright'82-'86 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,322 PA	3.5	2,322	42	19	241*	288*	377*	-2	-7	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	12	5	-0.5	-2.1	-0.1	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sean Gamble (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	209/280/314	105	279	3	5	27%	8%	70	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2024 · A	21	39→44	40→50	52→55	44	186/271/278	93	294	7	15	36%	9%	59	-1.7	222/298/356	134	324	13	17	33%	9%	86	+0.3	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Forrest Wall 2017 · A	21	47→55	40→45	52→70	43	226/279/321	95	294	7	17	25%	6%	70	-0.9	222/278/324	102	303	9	19	28%	7%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
●Daylen Lile 2024 · A	21	44→54	44→55	55	43	213/273/340	127	293	10	15	30%	7%	72	-0.7	244/298/387	143	300	11	16	22%	6%	92	+0.7	254/307/414	160	300	13	17	19%	6%	101	+1.4
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	40→48	41→55	46→55	42	198/255/291	92	273	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	206/267/338	132	276	14	13	29%	7%	70	-0.8	229/297/399	170	285	18	21	26%	8%	94	+0.9
✕Darrell Ceciliani 2011 · A	21	43→53	38→45	52→55	41	206/263/283	77	275	6	13	26%	6%	55	-1.9	236/292/325	89	318	5	16	26%	6%	76	-0.4	259/299/367	108	345	9	26	26%	4%	86	+0.2
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→51	39→45	59→55	46	195/272/287	91	280	4	17	30%	9%	60	-1.6	220/296/307	87	294	6	17	25%	9%	74	-0.6	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
●Andrew Toles 2013 · A	21	43→53	45	51→60	38	217/252/345	127	271	12	13	25%	4%	65	-1.2	245/275/343	98	330	4	28	26%	3%	72	-0.7	279/314/423	145	342	13	14	22%	4%	104	+0.8
✕Jake Shaffer 2009 · A	21	43→53	38→45	52→45	42	207/257/288	81	283	5	15	28%	6%	54	-2.0	250/282/362	112	317	9	7	23%	4%	80	-0.2	265/295/386	122	329	9	6	22%	3%	87	+0.3
✕Junior Franco 2024 · A	21	42→43	43→45	50→55	38	208/258/315	107	302	10	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	220/274/324	104	286	10	19	25%	6%	69	-0.9	227/282/332	105	286	10	21	23%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Taylor Trammell 2019 · A	21	47→48	41→55	54→55	46	222/292/326	104	317	8	21	31%	9%	76	-0.4	207/285/314	107	296	11	16	31%	9%	72	-0.7	213/300/386	173	283	21	17	31%	10%	93	+0.5
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→49	39→55	49→45	44	198/268/289	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	59	-1.6	217/280/371	154	321	18	7	36%	7%	83	+0.1	222/291/386	164	273	18	6	25%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Daryl Jones 2008 · A	21	41→51	38→45	48→50	42	199/263/279	80	267	6	13	27%	6%	55	-1.9	237/303/342	105	312	9	14	25%	7%	84	+0.2	242/312/349	107	314	9	14	24%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2018 · A	21	42→45	45→50	55→50	39	207/270/339	132	294	12	8	32%	6%	72	-0.7	210/260/342	132	294	14	8	32%	5%	68	-1.0	208/282/359	151	278	18	6	31%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Dustin Fowler 2016 · A	21	48→54	41→55	51→55	37	233/260/334	102	299	8	15	25%	4%	65	-1.2	250/276/388	138	307	11	19	22%	3%	84	+0.1	258/283/412	154	310	13	21	21%	3%	89	+0.4
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2023 · A	21	45→46	39→55	49→50	44	216/270/309	94	286	6	8	26%	6%	63	-1.3	219/270/344	125	280	13	10	26%	6%	72	-0.7	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Drew Vettleson 2012 · A	21	44→51	44→45	53→50	42	217/271/334	117	291	11	15	29%	6%	70	-0.8	226/272/335	109	308	9	9	28%	6%	70	-0.8	225/270/336	111	305	9	7	28%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Yohendrick Pinango 2023 · A	21	47→54	43→50	52→50	42	231/269/337	106	282	10	9	22%	5%	70	-0.9	217/274/323	106	272	10	10	23%	7%	69	-0.9	223/292/355	132	284	14	7	25%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Alejandro Osuna 2024 · A	21	47→56	43→45	50→55	46	226/298/334	107	305	11	21	28%	8%	81	-0.1	237/309/354	117	303	11	18	24%	8%	89	+0.5	244/321/351	107	303	9	19	21%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Esteban González 2024 · A	21	43→45	41→45	56→55	41	205/280/306	101	298	7	18	31%	7%	68	-1.0	211/269/331	120	298	10	24	31%	6%	70	-0.9	203/264/330	127	285	12	27	31%	6%	65	-0.8
✕Blake Perkins 2018 · A	21	45→51	40→50	51→55	44	216/276/308	92	292	7	15	28%	7%	66	-1.1	204/272/289	85	295	7	17	31%	8%	61	-1.5	227/310/355	127	301	12	25	27%	10%	89	+0.4

Sean Gamble

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps