Gavin Fien

SS Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 20 R/R 6'3" / 200 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

APROSPECTFG #356MiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP52ETA2028FG ETA2030MLB%4%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ATEX	45	.220/.273/.341	0	1	30	—	.167/.205/.262
2026	19	AWSH	344	.242/.340/.401	10	6	58	—	.191/.267/.314
2027PROJ4% MLB	20	MLBWSH	13	.227/.293/.369	0	0	87	0.0
2028PROJ45% MLB	21	MLBWSH	179	.232/.299/.386	5	3	93	0.4
2029PROJ62% MLB	22	MLBWSH	294	.236/.304/.399	10	5	98	0.9

Next 3 projected WAR 1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$6M2034Arb-2$10M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

ISO63

BB%55

Whiff%51

wRC+49

Z-Con%48

wOBA47

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 7, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 86%

CompsAndy Pages (age 20) · Hao-Yu Lee (age 20) · Junior Caminero (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .293 / .369

PA13

HR0

K%23

BB%8

BABIP286

ISO148

MLB%4%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$57M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 59

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT51

scouting grade only

POWER59

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$8M	+$8M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$10M	+$9M
2033	Arb-1	$6M	+1.8	$9M	+$6M
2034	Arb-2	$10M	+1.8	$8M	+$4M
2035	Arb-3	$14M	+1.6	$7M	+$1M
Totals		$33M		$52M	+$36M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	45	41	9	3	1	0	3	11	0	1	0	220	273	341	614	122	290	24	7	269	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	344	297	72	13	2	10	44	91	0	6	2	242	340	401	741	158	312	26	13	331	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	45	42	7	2	1	0	2	15	0	1	0	167	205	262	466	95	260	33	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	344	309	59	10	2	8	32	124	0	6	2	191	267	314	581	123	276	36	9	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	45	42	7	2	1	0	2	15	0	1	0	167	205	262	466	95	250	33	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	45	41	9	3	1	0	3	11	0	1	0	220	273	341	614	122	290	24	7	269	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	344	309	59	10	2	8	32	124	0	6	2	191	267	314	581	123	283	36	9	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	344	297	72	13	2	10	44	91	0	6	2	242	340	401	741	158	312	26	13	331	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	45	43	7	2	1	0	2	15	0	1	0	163	205	256	460	93	260	33	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	344	309	59	10	2	8	32	124	0	6	2	191	267	314	581	123	276	36	9	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	18	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	45	43	7	2	1	0	2	15	0	1	0	163	205	256	460	93	260	33	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	344	309	59	10	2	8	32	124	0	6	2	191	267	314	581	123	276	36	9	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	WSH	4%	454	412	94	17	3	12	36	120	3	8	2	227	293	371	665	144	287	26	8	296	87	-7	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	20	MLB CTX	WSH	4%	13	12	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	227	293	369	662	142	286	23	8	295	87	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	WSH	45%	399	361	83	15	2	12	32	103	3	7	2	233	300	388	688	156	288	26	8	306	93	-3	+1	-1	+4	+9	1.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	WSH	62%	478	432	102	18	3	16	39	121	4	9	2	237	305	401	706	165	289	25	8	313	98	-1	+1	-1	+5	+10	1.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	WSH	68%	528	476	114	20	3	18	43	132	4	10	3	240	308	411	719	171	290	25	8	318	101	+1	+1	-0	+6	+11	1.9
2031	24	MLB MLE	WSH	70%	561	506	122	22	3	20	46	139	4	10	3	242	311	417	729	175	292	25	8	322	104	+3	+1	+1	+6	+12	2.3
2032	25	MLB MLE	WSH	70%	579	521	126	22	3	21	48	142	5	10	3	243	313	421	734	178	292	25	8	324	105	+4	+1	+1	+6	+13	2.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	WSH	71%	588	529	130	23	4	22	49	144	5	10	3	244	313	424	737	180	292	24	8	325	106	+4	+1	+1	+6	+13	2.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	WSH	69%	589	531	129	23	3	22	49	145	4	10	3	243	312	421	733	178	291	25	8	324	105	+4	+1	+1	+6	+13	2.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	WSH	69%	585	527	126	22	3	21	49	146	4	9	3	241	310	417	727	176	290	25	8	321	104	+2	+1	+1	+6	+13	2.3
2036	29	MLB MLE	WSH	67%	576	519	124	22	3	20	48	145	4	8	3	239	308	411	718	172	289	25	8	318	101	+1	+0	+0	+6	+12	2.0
2037	30	MLB MLE	WSH	66%	565	510	120	21	3	19	46	144	4	7	3	236	304	403	708	167	288	25	8	313	98	-1	+0	-1	+6	+12	1.7
2038	31	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	551	498	115	20	3	18	45	143	3	6	4	232	300	394	694	162	285	26	8	308	94	-4	-0	-1	+6	+12	1.3
2039	32	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	533	482	110	19	3	17	43	141	3	5	8	227	294	382	675	155	281	26	8	300	89	-7	-2	-2	+6	+12	0.6
2040	33	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	503	456	101	17	2	15	39	136	3	4	25	221	286	367	653	146	277	27	8	291	83	-10	-9	-3	+5	+11	-0.6
2028	21	MLB CTX	WSH	45%	179	162	37	7	1	5	14	46	1	3	1	232	299	386	686	154	287	26	8	305	93	-1	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.4
2029	22	MLB CTX	WSH	62%	294	266	63	11	2	10	24	74	2	5	1	236	304	399	704	163	289	25	8	312	98	-1	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.9
2030	23	MLB CTX	WSH	68%	361	325	78	14	2	12	30	90	3	7	2	239	308	409	717	169	290	25	8	317	101	+1	+1	-0	+4	+8	1.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	WSH	70%	391	353	85	15	2	14	32	97	3	7	2	242	311	415	726	173	291	25	8	321	104	+2	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.6
2032	25	MLB CTX	WSH	70%	407	367	89	16	2	15	34	100	3	7	2	243	312	419	731	176	291	25	8	323	105	+3	+1	+1	+4	+9	1.8
2033	26	MLB CTX	WSH	71%	415	375	90	16	2	15	34	102	3	7	2	243	313	422	734	178	291	25	8	324	106	+3	+1	+1	+4	+9	1.8
2034	27	MLB CTX	WSH	69%	408	368	89	16	2	15	34	101	3	7	2	242	312	419	731	177	291	25	8	323	105	+3	+1	+1	+4	+9	1.8
2035	28	MLB CTX	WSH	69%	402	363	88	16	2	15	33	100	3	6	2	241	310	415	725	174	290	25	8	320	104	+2	+0	+1	+4	+9	1.6
2036	29	MLB CTX	WSH	67%	385	347	84	15	2	14	32	97	3	5	2	239	307	409	716	170	289	25	8	317	101	+1	+0	+0	+4	+8	1.4
2037	30	MLB CTX	WSH	66%	372	337	80	14	2	13	30	95	2	5	2	236	304	402	706	166	287	26	8	313	98	-1	+0	-0	+4	+8	1.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	359	325	76	13	2	12	29	93	2	4	3	232	299	392	692	161	285	26	8	307	94	-2	-0	-1	+4	+8	0.8
2039	32	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	345	312	70	12	1	11	28	91	2	3	5	227	293	380	674	153	281	26	8	300	89	-4	-1	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2040	33	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	325	295	65	11	1	10	25	88	2	3	16	221	286	365	651	145	276	27	8	290	83	-7	-6	-2	+3	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4643	4195	994	176	23	161	379	1174	32	69	42	237	305	405	710	168	289	25	8	314	96	-3	-3	-1	+50	+101	14.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	140	25	3	23	53	164	4	10	6	239	305	409	714	170	290	25	8	314	96	-0	-0	-0	+7	+14	2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	7744	6989	1634	288	43	258	635	2004	52	117	68	234	302	398	700	164	288	26	8	311	96	-13	-4	-4	+79	+159	22.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	138	24	4	22	53	168	4	10	6	235	303	402	705	167	289	26	8	311	96	-1	-0	-0	+7	+14	2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	5.5	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
/162	664	23	11	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	7.0	4,656	161	70	238	303	408	+50	+6	17.2	14.9
/162	664	23	10	+7.1	+0.8	2.5	pk7: 13
#3Heinie Wagner'02-'18 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,771 PA	5.7	3,771	10	144	251*	324*	410*	+36	-7	15.0	14.9
/162	664	2	25	+6.4	-1.3	2.6	pk7: 15
#4Billy Myers'35-'41 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,725 PA	4.1	2,725	45	23	238*	316*	398*	+29	+28	13.1	13.1
/162	664	11	6	+7.0	+6.9	3.2	pk7: 13
#5Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#6Daryl Spencer'52-'63 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,206 PA	6.3	4,206	105	13	236*	321*	384*	+30	-4	11.2	11.7
/162	664	17	2	+4.8	-0.6	1.8	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gavin Fien (OGILVIE)	20	43→51	51→59	51→47	45	225/291/368	143	287	9	5	26%	8%	87	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→60	46→50	46	215/300/346	131	277	14	9	26%	8%	85	+0.2	217/306/408	191	287	24	6	32%	9%	102	+1.5	269/326/453	184	315	23	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	49→51	44→50	48→55	46	237/306/359	122	312	12	12	27%	8%	89	+0.5	247/312/378	131	315	13	16	24%	7%	96	+1.0	253/317/409	156	313	15	15	23%	7%	103	+1.2
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	46→55	48→65	53→45	45	233/290/368	135	275	17	10	22%	6%	86	+0.3	260/306/451	191	302	26	6	23%	6%	111	+2.1	256/314/491	234	268	35	4	20%	7%	124	+3.1
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A	20	44→54	45→55	49→50	41	220/273/347	128	293	12	11	29%	6%	74	-0.5	259/309/398	139	326	14	13	24%	6%	99	+1.3	267/319/412	145	327	15	13	22%	6%	104	+1.4
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→48	45→55	51→55	44	213/272/340	128	284	12	11	29%	7%	72	-0.7	233/294/390	157	279	18	13	23%	7%	93	+0.8	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
●Sal Stewart 2024 · A	20	49→53	43→55	48→50	55	236/321/346	110	286	11	10	21%	11%	92	+0.7	249/321/397	148	298	16	12	21%	9%	104	+1.6	255/323/425	170	297	21	13	21%	8%	109	+1.8
✕Nick Yorke 2023 · A	21	46→56	47→50	46→55	43	233/287/366	133	297	16	9	27%	7%	84	+0.1	246/303/366	120	328	12	15	27%	7%	89	+0.5	256/312/370	114	340	11	18	26%	7%	91	+0.6
●Gary Sánchez 2013 · A	20	46→53	49→65	48→45	37	231/276/378	147	319	17	8	33%	5%	83	+0.1	238/288/377	139	300	16	5	25%	6%	87	+0.4	245/318/474	229	271	32	4	23%	8%	121	+2.3
✕Carter Kieboom 2018 · A	20	46→55	48→50	43→45	42	231/293/376	145	306	15	5	29%	7%	88	+0.5	241/311/374	133	318	15	6	27%	8%	95	+0.9	239/318/366	128	315	14	5	27%	9%	93	+0.6
✕Noelvi Marte 2022 · A	20	45→55	48→50	51→55	44	224/289/369	144	298	16	14	29%	8%	86	+0.3	237/299/368	131	306	15	18	26%	7%	88	+0.5	247/296/385	137	310	14	21	24%	5%	91	+0.4
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A	20	49→51	43→60	53→50	45	240/293/355	115	293	11	17	22%	6%	83	+0.1	213/260/318	105	291	9	15	29%	5%	62	-1.4	262/323/475	213	304	29	14	24%	8%	123	+1.4
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→53	47→45	52→55	43	223/289/361	138	311	13	9	31%	8%	84	+0.1	221/332/349	128	309	12	16	29%	12%	98	+1.2	226/338/346	120	294	12	19	24%	12%	96	+0.9
●Josmil Pinto 2010 · A	21	44→54	48→50	47→40	44	225/277/373	147	267	16	3	22%	6%	82	-0.0	217/263/349	132	268	14	2	24%	5%	71	-0.8	257/325/415	158	308	17	0	21%	8%	106	+1.5
✕Brennen Davis 2021 · A	21	48→43	47→50	51→45	43	237/301/376	139	306	15	9	27%	7%	92	+0.7	206/288/340	134	299	15	8	34%	8%	80	-0.2	188/287/362	173	236	23	4	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	47	44→50	49→45	43	230/281/347	117	293	11	9	25%	6%	77	-0.3	232/290/369	137	282	16	7	23%	7%	86	+0.3	222/285/355	133	266	16	4	23%	7%	79	-0.1
●Julio Rodríguez 2021 · A	20	49→55	47→60	48→55	42	242/298/386	143	310	13	6	26%	6%	93	+0.8	285/341/477	192	358	23	23	26%	7%	130	+3.5	288/344/498	210	352	27	29	25%	6%	136	+3.5
●Jo Adell 2019 · AA	20	47	52→65	54→50	37	238/286/414	176	325	19	12	32%	5%	95	+0.9	228/279/388	160	328	18	10	34%	6%	86	+0.3	228/290/425	197	264	28	9	26%	6%	101	+1.3
●Colt Keith 2023 · A	21	50→53	47→55	53→45	45	241/305/384	143	332	14	8	30%	8%	95	+0.9	257/313/415	158	319	18	5	24%	7%	105	+1.7	260/320/417	157	316	18	4	23%	8%	107	+1.6
●Brett Lawrie 2010 · AA	20	47→57	46→55	47→55	44	234/286/363	129	291	13	12	24%	6%	82	+0.0	262/312/422	160	320	13	18	21%	6%	105	+1.7	272/324/442	170	325	14	20	20%	6%	113	+2.1
●Jordan Diaz 2022 · A	21	49→59	49→55	42→30	44	249/294/398	149	296	16	5	22%	6%	93	+0.8	268/308/425	157	313	19	2	20%	5%	105	+1.7	274/316/435	161	317	20	0	20%	5%	108	+1.5

Gavin Fien

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps