Bryce Meccage
P
Wisconsin Timber Rattlers
+0.5
WAR
Age 20
RHP
6'4" / 210 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 2.0 · 2032
ERA4.39
FIP4.39
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.7%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%12.2%
IP70
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.0peak
2032
K†5060
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 19 | 19 | 70 | 292 | 69 | 26 | 4 | 17.5% | 10.5% | 1.5% | 4.35 | 3.78 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 2 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 4 | 8 | 0 | — | — | — | 4.05 | — | — |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIL | 13 | 13 | 70 | 297 | 65 | 28 | 8 | 21.7% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 4.39 | +0.5 |
| 2026 Total | 20 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 77 | 326 | 69 | 36 | 8 | 21.0% | 11.2% | 2.5% | 4.36 | 4.01 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIL | 13 | 13 | 74 | 312 | 70 | 29 | 9 | 22.3% | 9.2% | 2.7% | 4.31 | 4.26 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | MIL | 14 | 14 | 78 | 327 | 76 | 28 | 9 | 23.3% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.18 | 4.09 | +0.9 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | MIL | 15 | 15 | 80 | 339 | 82 | 28 | 9 | 24.0% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 4.06 | 3.98 | +1.0 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | MIL | 18 | 18 | 98 | 415 | 102 | 34 | 11 | 24.5% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 3.96 | 3.89 | +1.6 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | MIL | 20 | 20 | 112 | 471 | 117 | 38 | 12 | 24.9% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 3.89 | 3.84 | +1.8 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 22 | 22 | 119 | 501 | 126 | 40 | 13 | 25.1% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 3.84 | 3.81 | +2.0 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 22 | 22 | 122 | 514 | 129 | 41 | 14 | 25.1% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 3.83 | 3.82 | +2.0 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 22 | 22 | 122 | 515 | 129 | 41 | 14 | 25.1% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 3.84 | 3.85 | +2.0 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 22 | 22 | 119 | 503 | 126 | 41 | 14 | 24.9% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 3.87 | 3.89 | +1.9 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | MIL | 21 | 21 | 116 | 488 | 121 | 40 | 14 | 24.7% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 3.92 | 3.96 | +1.8 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | MIL | 20 | 20 | 112 | 471 | 115 | 39 | 13 | 24.5% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 3.99 | 4.03 | +1.6 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | MIL | 19 | 19 | 107 | 452 | 110 | 38 | 13 | 24.2% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.07 | 4.12 | +1.4 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | MIL | 19 | 19 | 102 | 432 | 103 | 37 | 13 | 23.9% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 4.16 | 4.22 | +1.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 21 | 21 | 77 | 321 | 55 | 39 | 4 | 17.2% | 12.0% | 1.4% | 4.32 | 3.93 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 55 | 200 | 834 | 143 | 101 | 10 | 17.2% | 12.0% | 1.4% | 4.32 | 3.93 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bryce Meccage (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 21.7% | 9.6% | 2.8% | — | 4.11 | 23.2% | 14.5% | 232 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Yimmi Brasoban R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.90 | 20.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .261 | 4.36 | 16.7% | 5.3% | 78 | +0.46 | 3.33 | 149 | 91 |
| Tanner Burns R 2028 · 4.38 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.38 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .292 | 5.40 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 244 | +1.02 | 4.38 | 355 | 90 |
| Brendan Collins R 2028 · 3.69 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.69 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.16 | 3.69 | 122 | 90 |
| David Garner R 2028 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.81 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .282 | 4.52 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.81 | 154 | 89 |
| Marco Raya R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.98 | 19.9% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .238 | 4.57 | 20.0% | 7.3% | 191 | +0.59 | 3.98 | 319 | 89 |
| José López R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.04 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.79 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 436 | -0.25 | 3.12 | 543 | 88 |
| Curtis Taylor R 2028 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.97 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.2% | .305 | 3.40 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 96 | -0.57 | 2.58 | 408 | 87 |
| Mike Vasil R 2028 · 3.64 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.64 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .264 | 4.65 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 359 | +1.01 | 3.64 | 429 | 87 |
| Peyton Remy R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.57 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 2.0% | .280 | 4.71 | 16.3% | 5.2% | 140 | +1.14 | 3.57 | 286 | 87 |
| Alessandro Ercolani R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.89 | 22.9% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .267 | 5.28 | 12.7% | 2.8% | 100 | +1.39 | 3.82 | 291 | 87 |
| Sam Bragg R 2028 · 3.26 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.26 | 23.2% | 8.6% | 1.9% | .306 | 3.98 | 15.7% | 8.5% | 203 | +0.72 | 3.26 | 277 | 86 |
| Aaron Holiday R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.81 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 3.9% | .310 | 5.20 | 19.7% | -3.3% | 59 | +0.39 | 4.72 | 116 | 86 |
| Robert Colina R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.45 | 19.0% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .312 | 3.69 | 21.5% | 12.7% | 111 | -0.76 | 3.25 | 266 | 86 |
| William Kempner R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.04 | 21.5% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .277 | 3.24 | 27.3% | 11.8% | 68 | -0.80 | 3.24 | 129 | 86 |
| RJ Petit R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.50 | 20.3% | 8.4% | 3.7% | .270 | 3.45 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 177 | -1.05 | 3.09 | 231 | 86 |
| Drew Anderson R 2028 · 3.39 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.39 | 21.1% | 9.2% | 1.6% | .295 | 4.66 | 16.3% | 7.6% | 273 | +1.27 | 3.11 | 450 | 86 |
| John Russell R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.98 | 22.5% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 4.78 | 24.0% | 11.2% | 60 | +0.80 | 3.92 | 158 | 85 |
| Adam Leverett R 2028 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.43 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.4% | .274 | 4.47 | 16.0% | 6.9% | 228 | +1.04 | 3.43 | 305 | 85 |
| Will Latcham R 2028 · 3.49 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.49 | 20.1% | 9.4% | 1.7% | .262 | 5.25 | 16.0% | 4.7% | 79 | +1.76 | 3.49 | 134 | 85 |
| Jared Karros R 2028 · 4.78 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.78 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 3.9% | .290 | 5.27 | 17.8% | 8.3% | 120 | +0.49 | 3.36 | 191 | 85 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.1 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.6 | $14M | +$14M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.9 | $18M | +$17M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +2.0 | $19M | +$15M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +2.0 | $20M | +$13M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $10M | +2.0 | $20M | +$10M |
| Totals | $23M | $101M | +$78M | ||