Player 815491 — OGILVIE

Player 8154911B Salem RidgeYaks

Age — —/— A HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION81 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP271

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	A MLE	BOS	—	81	65	8	1	0	1	9	16	7	6	0	123	296	185	481	62	146	20	11	227	40	-6	+1	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	A RAW	BOS	—	81	60	8	1	0	1	14	11	7	6	0	133	358	200	558	67	146	14	17	293	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	A MLE	BOS	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		267	27	9	290	83	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	—	A MLE	BOS	—	92	75	9	1	0	1	10	19	7	6	0	120	283	173	456	53	145	21	11	235	45	-6	+1	+0	-2	+2	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	217	187	40	7	1	4	20	50	8	6	1	214	316	326	642	112	268	23	9	293	84	-4	+1	+0	-4	+5	-0.3
2028	25	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	343	297	64	11	2	6	32	79	11	10	1	215	315	327	641	111	269	23	9	296	86	-6	+2	+0	-6	+7	-0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	428	372	81	14	2	8	39	99	14	12	2	218	315	331	646	113	270	23	9	298	88	-6	+2	+0	-8	+9	-0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	485	422	91	15	2	10	45	112	15	13	2	216	313	332	645	116	271	23	9	299	88	-7	+2	+0	-9	+11	-0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	525	454	100	17	3	11	49	121	17	15	2	220	319	344	663	123	270	23	9	299	89	-7	+2	+0	-9	+11	-0.3
2032	25	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	552	478	106	18	3	12	51	127	18	15	2	222	320	347	667	126	270	23	9	300	89	-7	+2	+0	-10	+12	-0.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	572	496	108	18	3	12	53	132	18	16	2	218	316	339	654	121	270	23	9	300	89	-7	+2	+0	-10	+12	-0.3
2034	25	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	587	508	112	19	3	13	55	135	19	16	2	220	320	346	666	126	269	23	9	301	90	-7	+2	+0	-10	+13	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	BOS	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	272	—	—	269	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	BOS	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	274	—	—	273	86	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	BOS	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	275	—	—	276	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	BOS	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	275	—	—	277	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	BOS	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	275	—	—	278	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	BOS	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	275	—	—	278	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	BOS	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	275	—	—	278	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	BOS	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	274	—	—	279	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3720	3224	703	119	19	76	345	858	120	103	14	218	317	337	654	119	272	23	9	299	88	-52	+15	+0	-66	+81	-2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	122	21	3	13	60	150	21	18	2	217	315	334	649	117	270	23	9	299	88	-9	+3	+0	-12	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.9	3,924	79	109	219	314	337	-44	+0	3.2	3.0
/162	664	13	18	-7.4	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 815491 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	208/313/306	99	267	3	7	23%	9%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	42→52	46→45	55	45	207/293/340	133	287	12	21	30%	8%	81	-0.1	221/300/334	113	289	9	19	25%	8%	82	-0.0	221/304/328	106	311	9	22	29%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Mario Lisson 2008 · A	24	47→49	42→50	52→55	43	226/287/335	108	297	9	19	26%	6%	76	-0.4	206/252/317	111	266	11	17	26%	5%	59	-1.6	230/303/360	129	300	15	8	27%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	44→48	40→45	51→50	50	209/293/306	97	268	7	15	23%	9%	73	-0.6	199/284/276	77	275	4	12	27%	9%	63	-1.4	176/273/228	52	251	2	11	27%	10%	47	-1.5
✕Richard Racobaldo 2010 · A	25	50→48	44→45	49→50	45	245/299/362	117	302	11	9	22%	6%	87	+0.4	226/282/318	92	319	6	8	29%	7%	70	-0.8	219/278/301	82	318	4	6	30%	7%	63	-1.1
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2011 · A	25	44→46	45→55	50	47	216/293/342	126	269	11	11	23%	8%	81	-0.1	211/268/374	163	269	17	10	27%	6%	79	-0.2	233/278/405	172	262	21	11	20%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	223/297/336	113	267	10	9	20%	7%	81	-0.1	246/327/353	107	315	8	14	23%	8%	96	+1.0	247/334/354	107	319	8	16	23%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→48	44→50	54→65	47	216/295/339	123	274	11	23	24%	8%	81	-0.1	209/275/329	120	265	11	18	25%	7%	71	-0.8	207/330/379	172	285	16	41	30%	12%	101	+0.7
✕Danny Muno 2013 · A	24	49→51	41→45	54→50	52	231/310/331	100	297	7	18	23%	10%	84	+0.2	230/313/336	106	292	9	12	23%	10%	87	+0.4	226/311/326	100	286	10	11	23%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	43→45	43→45	50	44	212/278/331	119	279	10	12	27%	7%	72	-0.7	231/289/332	101	313	8	9	27%	6%	76	-0.4	234/293/322	88	321	6	7	27%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	44→42	42→45	47→50	47	211/303/316	105	285	9	10	27%	8%	80	-0.2	211/299/300	89	300	7	10	29%	9%	74	-0.5	171/289/188	17	273	0	6	32%	12%	44	-0.5
✕José Caballero 2021 · A	24	46	41→45	52→70	47	220/294/324	104	280	8	25	24%	8%	77	-0.3	221/324/338	117	285	11	35	24%	11%	93	+0.8	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	42	47→50	52→55	42	211/281/355	143	283	14	15	30%	7%	80	-0.2	210/290/349	139	286	16	22	31%	8%	82	-0.0	203/288/338	135	274	17	27	31%	9%	77	-0.2
✕Scott Heineman 2017 · A	24	48→55	45	51→50	43	234/300/367	133	315	12	17	28%	7%	89	+0.5	244/302/363	119	329	11	14	27%	6%	88	+0.5	250/311/378	128	324	14	16	26%	6%	92	+0.4
✕Sherman Johnson 2015 · A	25	47→50	46→45	52→50	51	233/309/366	133	288	12	13	23%	9%	92	+0.7	205/284/311	106	257	9	15	22%	10%	70	-0.8	202/277/291	89	276	6	11	27%	9%	60	-0.9
✕Tucker Bradley 2023 · AA	25	50→53	45	53→50	48	244/310/370	125	312	11	15	24%	8%	93	+0.8	239/302/367	128	313	11	15	25%	8%	89	+0.5	240/304/373	134	316	10	16	26%	8%	90	+0.3
✕Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	44→52	44→45	49→50	43	218/288/335	117	294	12	11	29%	7%	78	-0.3	241/313/376	135	292	15	10	22%	8%	96	+1.0	238/318/367	129	288	14	9	21%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Hunter Stovall 2022 · A	25	52→49	39→45	54→50	46	243/301/332	89	319	6	19	25%	7%	80	-0.1	232/280/333	101	293	8	15	23%	6%	73	-0.6	227/272/322	96	275	8	14	20%	6%	64	-0.9
✕Jared Triolo 2023 · AA	25	50→60	43→45	54→55	47	241/300/353	113	305	10	20	24%	8%	85	+0.2	239/317/352	113	322	10	17	26%	10%	92	+0.7	235/321/349	114	313	11	17	26%	10%	90	+0.5
✕Aaron Mathews 2006 · A	24	48→53	43→45	55→45	44	232/282/350	118	296	9	13	24%	6%	78	-0.3	247/285/359	112	295	9	7	19%	5%	80	-0.1	255/291/364	109	301	8	5	18%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Vince Faison 2006 · A	25	51→44	43→50	57→50	44	246/294/375	129	317	8	16	24%	6%	88	+0.4	217/267/351	134	278	11	8	25%	6%	72	-0.7	208/257/345	138	264	11	6	25%	6%	65	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps